Aston Villa are tipped to lift the trophy, the model picking an away win with a 47% probability, while West Ham’s chances sit at 27% and a draw at 26%. The expected total of 3.0 goals points to a lively encounter, yet the most likely total is two goals, with a 24% chance. The single score the model deems most probable is a 1-1 draw, carrying a 12.1% probability, even though the final outcome is an away victory. West Ham, playing at home against a team of similar strength, averages 1.17 goals scored and 1.5 conceded, whereas Villa, on the road, averages 1.18 scored and 1.36 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 25.5 fouls at 87.2%, Under 5.5 cards at 84.6%, Over 1.5 at 80.6%, Under 23.5 fouls at 76.4%, Over 8.5 corners at 73.8%, and Under 4.5 cards at 70.9%. The edge percentages are noted where provided. West Ham’s recent form shows a draw after a 1-1 against Watford, while Villa come off a 0-4 defeat to Brighton, setting the stage for a contest where Villa’s slightly better defensive record may prove decisive.
Results analysis
West Ham’s recent run of DWLDW left them coming off a draw, while Aston Villa, after a LWWWD streak that began with a 0-4 loss to Brighton, were eager for a turnaround. The final score was 2-3, an away win that matched the model’s pick and confirmed its accuracy. The model had forecast an away victory with a 47% probability and expected a total of 3.0 goals, yet the match produced five goals, well above the most likely 2-goal outcome. The suggested selections delivered mixed results: Under 5.5 cards hit at 84.6%, Over 1.5 hit at 80.6%, and Under 4.5 cards hit at 70.9%. The other picks - Under 25.5 fouls, Under 23.5 fouls, and Over 8.5 corners - missed, each with probabilities of 87.2%, 76.4%, and 73.8% respectively.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
West Ham win✗ Miss
26.6%
Avg Implied 28.7% · @ 3.31
Edge
-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.9%
Avg Implied 27.8% · @ 3.42
Edge
-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa win✓ Hit
47.5%
Avg Implied 43.6% · @ 2.18
Edge
+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
West Ham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.60
1.07
1.79
1.31
1.44
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
2.20
0.50
3.50
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (25)
1.32
1.48
1.17
1.50
1.46
1.46
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aston Villa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.00
1.87
0.67
1.13
1.33
vs Stronger (4)
1.75
1.25
2.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (18)
1.50
1.11
2.00
0.71
1.18
1.36
vs Weaker (8)
1.38
0.62
1.60
0.40
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.6%
Under 1.5
19.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.9%
@ 1.75+3.0%
Under 2.5
43.1%
@ 2.04-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.5%
Under 3.5
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.5%
No
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
7.8%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
6.9%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
1-3
5.4%
West Ham goals ↓
Aston Villa goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.3%
7.8%
7.6%
4.4%
1.9%
1
5.3%
12%
9.5%
5.4%
2.3%
2
4.0%
6.9%
5.9%
3.4%
1.5%
3
1.7%
2.8%
2.4%
1.4%
0.6%
4
0.5%
0.9%
0.8%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = West Ham goals (down), columns = Aston Villa goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Fulham
1.37
Chelsea
1.37
Newcastle
1.29
Everton
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
West Ham is 0.68 points worse than Aston Villa in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.71).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Tottenham
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Everton
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
West Ham is 0.26 goals worse than Aston Villa in terms of goals scored per game (1.21 vs 1.47).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Manchester United
1.32
Everton
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
West Ham is 0.42 goals worse than Aston Villa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.71 vs 1.29).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
West Ham is 11.6 percentage points worse than Aston Villa in terms of average possession (42% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
West Ham
For 5.3 · Against 6.1 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 11.4 · Total 22.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aston Villa
For 4.8 · Against 3.3 · Total 8.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 14.8 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
West Ham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.4
10.4
3.4
3.4
3.3
21.7
22.3
21.2
vs Stronger (9)
9.2
10.5
8.2
2.7
2.0
3.2
23.0
20.8
24.8
vs Similar (41)
10.7
10.4
11.0
3.5
3.7
3.3
21.4
22.7
20.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
61%
65%
58%
46%
43%
48%
47%
52%
42%
% under line
39%
35%
42%
54%
57%
52%
53%
48%
58%
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aston Villa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.5
9.9
3.5
3.1
4.0
23.3
23.0
23.5
vs Stronger (6)
10.0
9.0
11.0
3.3
2.7
4.0
20.7
20.0
21.3
vs Similar (31)
9.4
10.0
8.9
3.7
3.3
4.1
22.4
21.8
23.0
vs Weaker (13)
10.4
8.4
12.0
3.3
2.8
3.7
26.9
28.2
25.8
% over line
62%
55%
68%
62%
54%
69%
60%
59%
60%
% under line
38%
45%
32%
38%
46%
31%
40%
41%
40%
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.4
Tottenham
10.5
West Ham
10.4
Bournemouth
10.4
Brentford
10.3
Liverpool
10.2
Nottingham Forest
10.1
Fulham
10.1
Aston Villa
9.9
Brighton
9.8
Everton
9.8
Manchester United
9.7
Sunderland
9.5
Arsenal
9.4
Burnley
9.4
Manchester City
9.4
Wolves
9.2
Leeds
9.2
Crystal Palace
9.2
Chelsea
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
4.9
Chelsea
4.4
Sunderland
4.3
Manchester United
4.3
Nottingham Forest
4.2
Brighton
4.1
Wolves
3.9
Aston Villa
3.9
Crystal Palace
3.9
Tottenham
3.8
Brentford
3.7
Newcastle
3.7
Everton
3.6
Liverpool
3.5
West Ham
3.5
Manchester City
3.5
Fulham
3.5
Arsenal
3.4
Burnley
3.4
Leeds
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bournemouth
24.5
Wolves
24.1
Aston Villa
23.2
Chelsea
22.8
Brighton
22.7
Tottenham
22.6
Nottingham Forest
22.5
Sunderland
22.4
Everton
22.1
Manchester United
22.0
Leeds
22.0
Arsenal
22.0
West Ham
21.8
Burnley
21.8
Newcastle
21.5
Crystal Palace
21.1
Liverpool
20.7
Fulham
20.7
Brentford
18.9
Manchester City
18.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
62.3%
Under 9.5
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
48.2%
Under 3.5
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
38.6%
Under 21.5
61.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
West Ham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.63
0.50
0.79
0.31
0.50
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.00
0.50
1.50
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (25)
0.40
0.56
0.50
0.67
0.31
0.46
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aston Villa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.50
0.87
0.33
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
0.75
1.00
0.67
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.56
0.56
0.71
0.43
0.45
0.64
vs Weaker (8)
0.88
0.25
1.00
0.00
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
West Ham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
West Ham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.97
0.57
1.00
1.00
0.94
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
1.20
0.00
2.00
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (25)
0.92
0.92
0.67
0.83
1.15
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aston Villa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.50
1.00
0.33
0.60
0.67
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.33
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (18)
0.94
0.56
1.29
0.29
0.73
0.73
vs Weaker (8)
0.50
0.38
0.60
0.40
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
West Ham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
West Ham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Valentín Castellanos27%
Lucas Paquetá26%
Jarrod Bowen24%
Crysencio Summerville21%
Callum Wilson17%
Tomáš Souček15%
Mateus Fernandes11%
Axel Disasi6%
Konstantinos Mavropanos6%
Soungoutou Magassa4%
Kyle Walker-Peters4%
Jean-Clair Todibo0%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Guido Rodríguez0%
James Ward-Prowse0%
Igor Júlio0%
Mads Hermansen0%
Max Kilman0%
Adama Traoré0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Nayef Aguerd0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Andy Irving0%
Freddie Potts0%
Pablo Felipe0%
Oliver Scarles0%
Mohamadou Kanté0%
Luis Guilherme0%
El Hadji Malick Diouf0%
Ezra Mayers0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Valentín Castellanos32%
Lucas Paquetá32%
Crysencio Summerville21%
Jean-Clair Todibo20%
Max Kilman20%
Soungoutou Magassa19%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka19%
Mateus Fernandes18%
El Hadji Malick Diouf18%
James Ward-Prowse17%
Kyle Walker-Peters14%
Mohamadou Kanté14%
Guido Rodríguez12%
Oliver Scarles12%
Tomáš Souček10%
Jarrod Bowen10%
Adama Traoré8%
Axel Disasi6%
Konstantinos Mavropanos6%
Freddie Potts4%
Callum Wilson3%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Igor Júlio0%
Mads Hermansen0%
Nayef Aguerd0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Andy Irving0%
Pablo Felipe0%
Luis Guilherme0%
Ezra Mayers0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jarrod Bowen24%
El Hadji Malick Diouf15%
Ezra Mayers11%
Mateus Fernandes11%
Crysencio Summerville9%
Adama Traoré8%
Pablo Felipe6%
Lucas Paquetá5%
Mads Hermansen5%
Alphonse Aréola4%
Jean-Clair Todibo4%
Freddie Potts4%
Soungoutou Magassa4%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka4%
Kyle Walker-Peters4%
Callum Wilson3%
Tomáš Souček0%
Konstantinos Mavropanos0%
Guido Rodríguez0%
James Ward-Prowse0%
Igor Júlio0%
Max Kilman0%
Nayef Aguerd0%
Axel Disasi0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Valentín Castellanos0%
Andy Irving0%
Oliver Scarles0%
Mohamadou Kanté0%
Luis Guilherme0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Valentín Castellanos36%
Niclas Füllkrug11%
Lucas Paquetá11%
Jarrod Bowen10%
Callum Wilson6%
Crysencio Summerville3%
Konstantinos Mavropanos3%
Mateus Fernandes3%
Tomáš Souček3%
Jean-Clair Todibo0%
Kyle Walker-Peters0%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Guido Rodríguez0%
James Ward-Prowse0%
Igor Júlio0%
Mads Hermansen0%
Max Kilman0%
Adama Traoré0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Nayef Aguerd0%
Axel Disasi0%
Andy Irving0%
Freddie Potts0%
Pablo Felipe0%
Soungoutou Magassa0%
Oliver Scarles0%
Mohamadou Kanté0%
Luis Guilherme0%
El Hadji Malick Diouf0%
Ezra Mayers0%
Aston Villa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jamaldeen Jimoh33%
Ollie Watkins27%
Emiliano Buendía20%
Morgan Rogers20%
Tammy Abraham19%
John McGinn18%
Donyell Malen17%
Ross Barkley13%
Harvey Elliott11%
Evann Guessand10%
Matty Cash6%
Youri Tielemans6%
Leon Bailey5%
Amadou Onana5%
Douglas Luiz5%
Tyrone Mings5%
Ezri Konsa4%
Boubacar Kamara4%
Jadon Sancho3%
Ian Maatsen2%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Lucas Digne0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Marco Bizot0%
Pau Torres0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
George Hemmings0%
Andrés García0%
Alysson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matty Cash24%
Marco Bizot21%
Boubacar Kamara19%
John McGinn18%
Emiliano Buendía17%
Morgan Rogers16%
Lamare Bogarde16%
Douglas Luiz15%
Lucas Digne14%
Andrés García12%
Amadou Onana11%
Evann Guessand10%
Ollie Watkins7%
Victor Lindelöf7%
Emiliano Martínez7%
Ian Maatsen7%
Youri Tielemans6%
Leon Bailey5%
Tyrone Mings5%
Ross Barkley4%
Pau Torres3%
Ezri Konsa2%
Jadon Sancho0%
Donyell Malen0%
Harvey Elliott0%
Tammy Abraham0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
George Hemmings0%
Alysson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Morgan Rogers20%
Youri Tielemans17%
Emiliano Buendía17%
Lucas Digne16%
John McGinn16%
Boubacar Kamara15%
Ollie Watkins9%
Matty Cash8%
Jadon Sancho8%
Donyell Malen7%
Tammy Abraham6%
Leon Bailey5%
Douglas Luiz5%
Evann Guessand5%
Ross Barkley4%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Emiliano Martínez2%
Ian Maatsen2%
Harvey Elliott0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Marco Bizot0%
Pau Torres0%
Amadou Onana0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
George Hemmings0%
Andrés García0%
Alysson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jamaldeen Jimoh33%
Morgan Rogers24%
Ollie Watkins24%
Emiliano Buendía13%
Harvey Elliott11%
Donyell Malen10%
Evann Guessand10%
Youri Tielemans6%
Ross Barkley4%
Amadou Onana3%
Jadon Sancho3%
John McGinn2%
Ian Maatsen2%
Matty Cash2%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Leon Bailey0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Lucas Digne0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Tammy Abraham0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Marco Bizot0%
Pau Torres0%
Douglas Luiz0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
George Hemmings0%
Andrés García0%
Alysson0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
West Ham's squad is €262m less valuable than Aston Villa's (€274m vs €536m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
West Ham's attack is €135m less valuable than Aston Villa's (€84m vs €220m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
West Ham's midfield is €112m less valuable than Aston Villa's (€48m vs €160m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
West Ham's defence is €15m less valuable than Aston Villa's (€141m vs €156m).
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Arsenal
Manchester City
Manchester United
Liverpool
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Brighton
Brentford
Chelsea
Fulham
Newcastle
Everton
Leeds
Crystal Palace
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham
Burnley
Wolves