West Ham’s recent draw against Watford has left them looking to regain momentum, but the model favours a Newcastle win. The predicted outcome is an away victory, with a 46% chance, while home and draw chances each sit at 27%. The expected total goals hover at 2.8, with the most likely total of two goals at 25%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13% probability. West Ham, playing at home against a similarly-strengthened opponent, averages 1.88 goals scored and 1.12 conceded, whereas Newcastle, on the road, averages 1.64 scored and 1.27 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 25.5 fouls at 87.8%, Under 11.5 corners at 83.1%, Over 2.5 cards at 77.6%, Over 1.5 at 77.4%, Under 23.5 fouls at 77.3%, Under 5.5 cards at 77.0%, Under 10.5 corners at 74.0%, and Under 3.5 at 70.0%. These selections reflect the model’s expectations for the match.
Results analysis
West Ham’s recent draw streak ended as the match finished 2-2, a result that surprised the pre-match favourite, Newcastle, who had a 46% chance of winning. The model’s call was therefore wrong. The game also saw Newcastle’s 2-game winning run halted, while West Ham’s form remained mixed. Among the model’s selections, Under 11.5 corners (83.1%) hit, Over 2.5 cards (77.6%) hit, Over 1.5 (77.4%) hit, Under 10.5 corners (74.0%) hit, but Under 25.5 fouls (87.8%) missed, Under 23.5 fouls (77.3%) missed, Under 5.5 cards (77.0%) missed, and Under 3.5 (70.0%) missed. The final score of 2-2 matched the model’s most likely 1-1 or 1-2 outcomes, but the draw itself was not predicted.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
West Ham win✗ Miss
27.2%
Avg Implied 28.4% · @ 3.39
Edge
-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.2%
Avg Implied 26.3% · @ 3.67
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Newcastle win✗ Miss
45.6%
Avg Implied 45.3% · @ 2.13
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
West Ham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.77
1.40
2.07
1.29
1.50
1.50
vs Stronger (6)
1.33
2.33
1.75
2.00
0.50
3.00
vs Similar (20)
1.70
1.30
1.88
1.12
1.58
1.42
vs Weaker (4)
2.75
0.50
3.50
0.50
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.93
1.00
2.13
0.87
1.73
1.13
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
1.43
1.25
1.75
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (19)
2.11
0.95
2.75
0.50
1.64
1.27
vs Weaker (4)
3.25
0.50
1.67
0.67
8.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.4%
Under 1.5
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.2%
@ 1.78-1.7%
Under 2.5
47.8%
@ 2.08+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.0%
Under 3.5
70.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.2%
No
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
8.8%
0-2
7.9%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
6.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-2 ✓
5.5%
West Ham goals ↓
Newcastle goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.5%
8.8%
7.9%
4.2%
1.7%
1
6.3%
13%
9.3%
4.9%
2.0%
2
4.4%
6.9%
5.5%
2.9%
1.2%
3
1.7%
2.7%
2.2%
1.1%
0.5%
4
0.5%
0.8%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = West Ham goals (down), columns = Newcastle goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.39
Arsenal
2.34
Liverpool
2.16
Aston Villa
1.79
Tottenham
1.74
Chelsea
1.66
Newcastle
1.58
Manchester United
1.58
West Ham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.29
Brighton
1.26
Bournemouth
1.26
Everton
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Wolves
1.21
Brentford
1.03
Nottingham Forest
0.95
Luton
0.68
Burnley
0.63
Sheffield United
0.42
West Ham is 0.21 points worse than Newcastle in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 1.58).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.53
Arsenal
2.39
Liverpool
2.26
Newcastle
2.24
Chelsea
2.03
Aston Villa
2.00
Tottenham
1.95
West Ham
1.58
Crystal Palace
1.50
Manchester United
1.50
Brentford
1.47
Fulham
1.45
Brighton
1.45
Bournemouth
1.42
Luton
1.37
Wolves
1.32
Nottingham Forest
1.29
Burnley
1.08
Everton
1.05
Sheffield United
0.92
West Ham is 0.66 goals worse than Newcastle in terms of goals scored per game (1.58 vs 2.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.76
Manchester City
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Everton
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.61
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.61
Brighton
1.63
Newcastle
1.63
Chelsea
1.66
Brentford
1.71
Wolves
1.71
Nottingham Forest
1.76
Bournemouth
1.76
West Ham
1.95
Burnley
2.05
Luton
2.24
Sheffield United
2.74
West Ham is 0.32 goals worse than Newcastle in terms of goals conceded per game (1.95 vs 1.63).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Tottenham
62%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
59%
Chelsea
58%
Aston Villa
53%
Newcastle
52%
Manchester United
51%
Fulham
50%
Burnley
47%
Brentford
45%
Bournemouth
45%
Crystal Palace
42%
Luton
42%
West Ham
41%
Nottingham Forest
40%
Everton
40%
Sheffield United
35%
West Ham is 11.6 percentage points worse than Newcastle in terms of average possession (41% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
West Ham
For 5.2 · Against 7.7 · Total 12.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 9.8 · Total 20.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Newcastle
For 3.8 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 12.6 · Total 24.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
West Ham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
10.1
11.7
2.7
2.6
2.9
19.1
17.4
20.6
vs Stronger (9)
11.0
11.2
10.8
2.3
3.2
1.2
20.0
18.4
22.0
vs Similar (36)
10.9
10.0
11.7
2.9
2.4
3.3
19.0
17.4
20.4
vs Weaker (5)
11.0
8.7
14.5
2.4
2.7
2.0
17.8
16.0
20.5
% over line
60%
50%
69%
30%
33%
27%
30%
12%
46%
% under line
40%
50%
31%
70%
67%
73%
70%
88%
54%
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
11.4
10.7
4.0
4.2
3.8
22.1
22.7
21.4
vs Stronger (11)
11.5
13.2
9.6
4.7
4.3
5.2
21.5
21.7
21.2
vs Similar (32)
10.7
10.4
10.9
4.1
4.2
3.9
23.2
24.1
22.2
vs Weaker (7)
12.0
13.0
11.2
2.4
3.3
1.8
17.9
17.3
18.2
% over line
70%
72%
68%
52%
52%
52%
46%
52%
40%
% under line
30%
28%
32%
48%
48%
48%
54%
48%
60%
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Manchester United
11.3
Newcastle
11.0
West Ham
10.9
Everton
10.9
Sheffield United
10.8
Bournemouth
10.7
Tottenham
10.7
Luton
10.6
Liverpool
10.3
Fulham
10.1
Nottingham Forest
10.0
Brighton
10.0
Burnley
9.9
Wolves
9.9
Arsenal
9.9
Aston Villa
9.9
Brentford
9.8
Chelsea
9.6
Crystal Palace
9.5
Manchester City
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Tottenham
4.6
Chelsea
4.5
Brighton
4.5
Wolves
4.3
Aston Villa
4.3
Crystal Palace
4.3
Nottingham Forest
4.1
Sheffield United
4.1
Burnley
4.1
Everton
4.0
Newcastle
4.0
Fulham
4.0
Manchester City
3.9
Luton
3.8
Manchester United
3.7
Arsenal
3.6
Bournemouth
3.4
Brentford
3.2
Liverpool
3.2
West Ham
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.6
Aston Villa
23.9
Chelsea
23.7
Brighton
22.9
Luton
22.6
Tottenham
22.4
Wolves
22.2
Fulham
22.2
Nottingham Forest
22.2
Newcastle
22.1
Bournemouth
21.1
Arsenal
21.0
Everton
20.9
Burnley
20.8
Liverpool
20.7
Manchester City
20.4
Brentford
20.3
Sheffield United
20.1
Manchester United
20.0
West Ham
19.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
37.4%
Under 9.5
62.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
58.5%
Under 3.5
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
37.4%
Under 21.5
62.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
West Ham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.60
0.93
0.71
0.81
0.50
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
0.83
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (20)
0.85
0.65
1.00
0.75
0.75
0.58
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.53
1.00
0.40
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.71
0.75
0.75
0.00
0.67
vs Similar (19)
0.95
0.53
1.38
0.25
0.64
0.73
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.25
0.33
0.33
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
West Ham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
West Ham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.80
1.14
0.57
0.69
1.00
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.50
0.75
1.00
0.00
2.50
vs Similar (20)
0.85
0.65
0.88
0.38
0.83
0.83
vs Weaker (4)
1.75
0.50
3.00
0.50
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.47
1.13
0.47
1.07
0.47
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
0.71
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.33
vs Similar (19)
1.16
0.42
1.38
0.25
1.00
0.55
vs Weaker (4)
2.25
0.25
1.33
0.33
5.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
West Ham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
87.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
70.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
West Ham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jarrod Bowen37%
George Earthy25%
Mohammed Kudus24%
Michail Antonio22%
Lucas Paquetá20%
Tomáš Souček19%
James Ward-Prowse15%
Kurt Zouma8%
Maxwel Cornet8%
Nayef Aguerd7%
Aaron Cresswell6%
Edson Álvarez5%
Danny Ings4%
Konstantinos Mavropanos4%
Emerson Palmieri2%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Thilo Kehrer0%
Vladimír Coufal0%
Pablo Fornals0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Ben Johnson0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Saïd Benrahma0%
Divin Mubama0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Edson Álvarez37%
Thilo Kehrer33%
Lucas Paquetá32%
Emerson Palmieri30%
Michail Antonio25%
Kalvin Phillips20%
Tomáš Souček17%
Mohammed Kudus17%
Vladimír Coufal16%
Angelo Ogbonna14%
Aaron Cresswell12%
Kurt Zouma11%
Jarrod Bowen10%
James Ward-Prowse9%
Nayef Aguerd7%
Konstantinos Mavropanos7%
Ben Johnson6%
Saïd Benrahma6%
Pablo Fornals5%
Danny Ings4%
Alphonse Aréola3%
Maxwel Cornet0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Divin Mubama0%
George Earthy0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jarrod Bowen24%
James Ward-Prowse17%
Vladimír Coufal16%
Mohammed Kudus14%
Lucas Paquetá10%
Maxwel Cornet8%
Tomáš Souček6%
Michail Antonio6%
Saïd Benrahma6%
Edson Álvarez5%
Emerson Palmieri5%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Thilo Kehrer0%
Konstantinos Mavropanos0%
Pablo Fornals0%
Kurt Zouma0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Ben Johnson0%
Danny Ings0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Nayef Aguerd0%
Divin Mubama0%
George Earthy0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jarrod Bowen37%
Mohammed Kudus14%
Saïd Benrahma11%
Tomáš Souček9%
Danny Ings8%
Lucas Paquetá8%
Michail Antonio6%
Nayef Aguerd4%
Konstantinos Mavropanos4%
Emerson Palmieri2%
James Ward-Prowse2%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Thilo Kehrer0%
Maxwel Cornet0%
Vladimír Coufal0%
Pablo Fornals0%
Kurt Zouma0%
Edson Álvarez0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Ben Johnson0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Divin Mubama0%
George Earthy0%
Newcastle
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alexander Isak49%
Callum Wilson33%
Anthony Gordon27%
Harvey Barnes18%
Sean Longstaff15%
Bruno Guimarães14%
Joelinton12%
Jacob Murphy12%
Sven Botman11%
Miguel Almirón10%
Fabian Schär10%
Joe Willock9%
Sandro Tonali9%
Dan Burn8%
Matt Ritchie8%
Lewis Hall5%
Lewis Miley5%
Jamaal Lascelles5%
Valentino Livramento3%
Kieran Trippier3%
Emil Krafth0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Paul Dummett0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Joe White0%
Elliot Anderson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joelinton33%
Anthony Gordon29%
Joe White25%
Bruno Guimarães23%
Matt Targett20%
Jamaal Lascelles19%
Sandro Tonali18%
Sean Longstaff18%
Fabian Schär17%
Lewis Hall16%
Nick Pope15%
Kieran Trippier15%
Elliot Anderson13%
Callum Wilson12%
Emil Krafth12%
Sven Botman11%
Dan Burn11%
Harvey Barnes9%
Miguel Almirón8%
Matt Ritchie8%
Lewis Miley5%
Martin Dúbravka4%
Jacob Murphy4%
Valentino Livramento3%
Alexander Isak3%
Joe Willock0%
Paul Dummett0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kieran Trippier26%
Jacob Murphy25%
Anthony Gordon22%
Lewis Miley20%
Bruno Guimarães19%
Harvey Barnes14%
Sven Botman11%
Elliot Anderson9%
Alexander Isak6%
Dan Burn5%
Sean Longstaff5%
Joelinton4%
Callum Wilson4%
Miguel Almirón3%
Fabian Schär2%
Joe Willock0%
Emil Krafth0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Paul Dummett0%
Jamaal Lascelles0%
Matt Ritchie0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Sandro Tonali0%
Joe White0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Lewis Hall0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexander Isak34%
Callum Wilson21%
Anthony Gordon17%
Miguel Almirón13%
Joelinton12%
Elliot Anderson9%
Lewis Miley5%
Harvey Barnes5%
Jacob Murphy4%
Sean Longstaff2%
Fabian Schär2%
Kieran Trippier0%
Joe Willock0%
Emil Krafth0%
Bruno Guimarães0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Paul Dummett0%
Jamaal Lascelles0%
Matt Ritchie0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Dan Burn0%
Sandro Tonali0%
Sven Botman0%
Joe White0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Lewis Hall0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
LUT (26)
€29m
West Ham's squad is €294m less valuable than Newcastle's (€274m vs €568m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
SHU (9)
€29m
LUT (10)
€13m
West Ham's attack is €150m less valuable than Newcastle's (€84m vs €234m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
SHU (5)
€32m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
LUT (6)
€4m
West Ham's midfield is €76m less valuable than Newcastle's (€48m vs €124m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SHU (13)
€49m
BUR (11)
€37m
LUT (10)
€12m
West Ham's defence is €68m less valuable than Newcastle's (€141m vs €210m).
England: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Arsenal
Liverpool
Aston Villa
Tottenham
Chelsea
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
Brighton
Everton
Bournemouth
Fulham
Wolves
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
Luton
Burnley
Sheffield United