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West Ham vs Newcastle Result & Analysis

Date: 10/03/2025
Time: 20:00
Final 0-1
West Ham
West Ham
Vs
28%
25%
47%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Newcastle
Newcastle
England: Premier League
Referee: M Salisbury
Match preview & prediction

Newcastle are tipped to win, the model picking an away victory with a 47% chance against West Ham’s 28% home win probability and a 25% draw. The expected goal tally is 3.1, but the most likely total is two goals, a 22% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with an 11.5% probability. West Ham, at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.45 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Newcastle away from home averages 1.88 scored and 1.12 conceded. The suggested picks include Over 1.5 goals at 83.1%, Over 2.5 cards at 80.7%, Over 19.5 fouls at 77.5% (edge), Under 5.5 cards at 73.1% (edge), and Over 8.5 corners at 71.0%. The match preview therefore points to a Newcastle win, a 1-1 draw most likely, and a total of two goals, while the picks highlight a high-scoring, card-heavy affair.

Results analysis

West Ham’s recent run of DWLDW saw them exit a 1-1 draw with Watford, while Newcastle, on a two-game winning streak, had edged Tottenham 2-0. The match finished 0-1, confirming the model’s pick of an away win with a 47% probability, and the prediction proved correct. The total goals of one were far below the expected 3.1 and the most likely 2-goal outcome. The model’s selections were mixed: Over 1.5 (83.1%) missed, Over 2.5 cards (80.7%) missed, Over 19.5 fouls (77.5%) hit, Under 5.5 cards (73.1%) hit, and Over 8.5 corners (71.0%) missed. The game’s low scoreline left the over/under picks largely off target.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

West Ham win✗ Miss
28.0%
Avg Implied 28.7% · @ 3.35
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.2%
Avg Implied 27.6% · @ 3.49
Edge
-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Newcastle win✓ Hit
46.8%
Avg Implied 43.7% · @ 2.20
Edge
+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

West HamWest Ham

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-505L14L12L32W02L11D12L01L10W20WH·LIV29/12A·MAN04/01A·AST10/01H·FUL14/01H·CRY18/01A·AST26/01A·CHE03/02H·BRE15/02A·ARS22/02H·LEI27/02
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.801.271.801.071.80
vs Stronger (8)0.883.380.754.001.002.75
vs Similar (22)1.271.231.451.001.091.45
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NewcastleNewcastle

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W14L31W12L20W32W04L43W02L11DH·WOL15/01H·BOU18/01A·SOU25/01H·FUL01/02H·ARS05/02A·BIR08/02A·MAN15/02H·NOT23/02A·LIV26/02H·BRI02/03
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.231.941.121.771.38
vs Stronger (7)1.291.431.751.000.672.00
vs Similar (17)1.761.351.671.561.881.12
vs Weaker (6)2.830.672.750.253.001.50
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
83.1%
Under 1.5
16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.8%
@ 1.89+9.8%
Under 2.5
39.2%
@ 1.96-9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.4%
Under 3.5
61.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
62.8%
No
37.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-1
7.1%
0-2
6.9%
0-1 ✓
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
1-3
5.6%
0-0
5.4%
West Ham goals ↓
Newcastle goals →
01234
05.4%6.7%6.9%4.1%1.9%
14.8%12%9.4%5.6%2.5%
23.9%7.1%6.3%3.8%1.7%
31.8%3.2%2.8%1.7%0.8%
40.6%1.1%1.0%0.6%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = West Ham goals (down), columns = Newcastle goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
West Ham is 0.61 points worse than Newcastle in terms of average points per game (1.13 vs 1.74).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
West Ham is 0.58 goals worse than Newcastle in terms of goals scored per game (1.21 vs 1.79).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
West Ham is 0.39 goals worse than Newcastle in terms of goals conceded per game (1.63 vs 1.24).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
West Ham is 2.7 percentage points worse than Newcastle in terms of average possession (48% vs 51%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

West HamWest Ham

For 2.6 · Against 3.7 · Total 6.3

🚩 Corners

11033292343424317362262117763894H·LEIA·ARSH·BREA·CHEA·ASTH·CRYH·FULA·MANH·LIVA·SOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.0

🟨 Cards

603211133223312210524526303H·LEIA·ARSH·BREA·CHEA·ASTH·CRYH·FULA·MANH·LIVA·SOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 12.0 · Total 23.3

⚠️ Fouls

3101261516101310111613131091813871081518312321292327211723H·LEIA·ARSH·BREA·CHEA·ASTH·CRYH·FULA·MANH·LIVA·SOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NewcastleNewcastle

For 5.8 · Against 5.2 · Total 11.0

🚩 Corners

19024764747837642109329661311111113619515A·LIVH·NOTA·MANH·FULA·SOUH·BOUH·WOLA·TOTA·MANH·AST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.6

🟨 Cards

8011414411624111221518172524A·LIVH·NOTA·MANH·FULA·SOUH·BOUH·WOLA·TOTA·MANH·AST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 12.0 · Total 22.5

⚠️ Fouls

26011121113135101551071810131511813151023241825152523262125A·LIVH·NOTA·MANH·FULA·SOUH·BOUH·WOLA·TOTA·MANH·AST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

West HamWest Ham

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.29.73.73.93.421.822.720.8
vs Stronger (12)10.111.28.83.33.82.821.420.822.0
vs Similar (37)9.89.610.03.83.93.621.823.320.4
vs Weaker (1)13.013.0-4.04.0-24.024.0-
% over line51%58%43%50%52%48%49%58%39%
% under line49%42%57%50%48%52%51%42%61%
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NewcastleNewcastle

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.811.310.43.63.73.523.024.421.6
vs Stronger (8)9.710.78.73.25.80.824.328.020.7
vs Similar (32)11.412.410.64.13.94.323.024.122.1
vs Weaker (10)9.69.011.02.32.32.321.923.019.0
% over line61%70%52%50%54%46%63%75%52%
% under line39%30%48%50%46%54%37%25%48%
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.4
Bournemouth
11.6
Brentford
11.2
Manchester United
10.9
Everton
10.8
Newcastle
10.8
Southampton
10.8
Nottingham Forest
10.7
Fulham
10.7
Ipswich
10.7
Liverpool
10.5
Manchester City
10.5
Crystal Palace
10.3
Brighton
10.2
Wolves
10.2
Aston Villa
10.1
Leicester
9.8
Chelsea
9.8
West Ham
9.6
Arsenal
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
4.7
Chelsea
4.7
Aston Villa
4.7
Wolves
4.6
Brighton
4.4
Nottingham Forest
4.4
Newcastle
4.4
Southampton
4.4
Tottenham
4.2
Liverpool
4.1
Fulham
4.1
Arsenal
4.0
Leicester
3.9
West Ham
3.9
Manchester United
3.9
Ipswich
3.9
Crystal Palace
3.9
Brentford
3.8
Everton
3.6
Manchester City
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bournemouth
24.1
Tottenham
23.9
Aston Villa
23.8
Wolves
23.6
Southampton
22.9
Brighton
22.9
Newcastle
22.9
Ipswich
22.5
Crystal Palace
22.4
Chelsea
22.4
Arsenal
22.2
Nottingham Forest
21.9
Leicester
21.7
West Ham
21.6
Everton
21.5
Liverpool
21.0
Fulham
20.8
Manchester United
20.8
Brentford
19.0
Manchester City
17.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
59.1%
Under 9.5
40.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
62.9%
Under 3.5
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
62.7%
Under 21.5
37.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

West HamWest Ham

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L02L10W20W00D01L10W01L10W20WH·LIV29/12A·MAN04/01A·AST10/01H·FUL14/01H·CRY18/01A·AST26/01A·CHE03/02H·BRE15/02A·ARS22/02H·LEI27/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.800.671.000.400.60
vs Stronger (8)0.751.880.753.000.750.75
vs Similar (22)0.450.410.640.270.270.55
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NewcastleNewcastle

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W12L21W10W10W22D03L41W01L11DH·WOL15/01H·BOU18/01A·SOU25/01H·FUL01/02H·ARS05/02A·BIR08/02A·MAN15/02H·NOT23/02A·LIV26/02H·BRI02/03
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.671.120.471.150.92
vs Stronger (7)0.570.710.750.250.331.33
vs Similar (17)1.290.651.330.671.250.62
vs Weaker (6)1.330.671.000.252.001.50
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
West Ham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

West HamWest Ham

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L12L02L12L02L10W02L00D00D00DH·LIV29/12A·MAN04/01A·AST10/01H·FUL14/01H·CRY18/01A·AST26/01A·CHE03/02H·BRE15/02A·ARS22/02H·LEI27/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.631.000.600.800.671.20
vs Stronger (8)0.121.500.001.000.252.00
vs Similar (22)0.820.820.820.730.820.91
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NewcastleNewcastle

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W02L10W02L10W10W01L02L01L00DH·WOL15/01H·BOU18/01A·SOU25/01H·FUL01/02H·ARS05/02A·BIR08/02A·MAN15/02H·NOT23/02A·LIV26/02H·BRI02/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.570.820.650.620.46
vs Stronger (7)0.710.711.000.750.330.67
vs Similar (17)0.470.710.330.890.620.50
vs Weaker (6)1.500.001.750.001.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
West Ham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.1%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards80.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls77.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards73.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners71.0%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

West Ham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jarrod Bowen39%
Tomáš Souček24%
Niclas Füllkrug15%
Mohammed Kudus14%
Lucas Paquetá14%
Michail Antonio7%
Emerson Palmieri6%
James Ward-Prowse6%
Danny Ings6%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka5%
Crysencio Summerville5%
Carlos Soler3%
Jean-Clair Todibo0%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Vladimír Coufal0%
Konstantinos Mavropanos0%
Guido Rodríguez0%
Edson Álvarez0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Max Kilman0%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Andy Irving0%
Evan Ferguson0%
Oliver Scarles0%
Luis Guilherme0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lucas Paquetá31%
Edson Álvarez29%
Guido Rodríguez25%
Tomáš Souček21%
Vladimír Coufal20%
Carlos Soler18%
Andy Irving18%
Łukasz Fabiański18%
Emerson Palmieri16%
Aaron Cresswell15%
Konstantinos Mavropanos14%
Jean-Clair Todibo14%
James Ward-Prowse12%
Max Kilman12%
Niclas Füllkrug10%
Crysencio Summerville9%
Mohammed Kudus9%
Michail Antonio7%
Oliver Scarles6%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka5%
Jarrod Bowen3%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Danny Ings0%
Evan Ferguson0%
Luis Guilherme0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jarrod Bowen19%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka13%
Danny Ings12%
Mohammed Kudus11%
Niclas Füllkrug10%
Crysencio Summerville9%
Michail Antonio7%
James Ward-Prowse6%
Guido Rodríguez4%
Edson Álvarez3%
Emerson Palmieri3%
Carlos Soler3%
Tomáš Souček3%
Max Kilman2%
Jean-Clair Todibo0%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Vladimír Coufal0%
Konstantinos Mavropanos0%
Lucas Paquetá0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Andy Irving0%
Evan Ferguson0%
Oliver Scarles0%
Luis Guilherme0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jarrod Bowen31%
Tomáš Souček13%
Mohammed Kudus9%
Lucas Paquetá8%
Michail Antonio7%
Carlos Soler3%
Konstantinos Mavropanos3%
Jean-Clair Todibo0%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Vladimír Coufal0%
Emerson Palmieri0%
Guido Rodríguez0%
Edson Álvarez0%
James Ward-Prowse0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Max Kilman0%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Danny Ings0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Crysencio Summerville0%
Andy Irving0%
Evan Ferguson0%
Oliver Scarles0%
Luis Guilherme0%
Newcastle
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alexander Isak52%
Anthony Gordon21%
Harvey Barnes20%
Jacob Murphy17%
Fabian Schär14%
Sandro Tonali11%
Joelinton11%
Bruno Guimarães11%
William Osula11%
Lewis Miley11%
Joe Willock5%
Callum Wilson5%
Dan Burn4%
Kieran Trippier0%
Miguel Almirón0%
Emil Krafth0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Sean Longstaff0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Lloyd Kelly0%
Sven Botman0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Lewis Hall0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joelinton32%
Fabian Schär29%
Dan Burn26%
Bruno Guimarães21%
Lloyd Kelly14%
Sandro Tonali13%
Sean Longstaff12%
Nick Pope12%
Joe Willock12%
Lewis Hall12%
Emil Krafth11%
Sven Botman10%
Jacob Murphy10%
Anthony Gordon10%
Valentino Livramento7%
William Osula5%
Callum Wilson5%
Kieran Trippier3%
Alexander Isak2%
Miguel Almirón0%
Harvey Barnes0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Matt Targett0%
Lewis Miley0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jacob Murphy29%
Matt Targett20%
Bruno Guimarães15%
Alexander Isak14%
Anthony Gordon14%
Lewis Hall12%
Harvey Barnes10%
Kieran Trippier10%
Joelinton8%
Lloyd Kelly7%
Sandro Tonali7%
William Osula5%
Joe Willock5%
Sean Longstaff3%
Fabian Schär2%
Valentino Livramento2%
Dan Burn2%
Miguel Almirón0%
Emil Krafth0%
Callum Wilson0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Nick Pope0%
Sven Botman0%
Lewis Miley0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexander Isak33%
Harvey Barnes15%
Anthony Gordon12%
William Osula11%
Jacob Murphy10%
Joelinton8%
Joe Willock7%
Miguel Almirón7%
Bruno Guimarães6%
Fabian Schär5%
Lewis Hall3%
Kieran Trippier0%
Emil Krafth0%
Callum Wilson0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Sean Longstaff0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Dan Burn0%
Lloyd Kelly0%
Sandro Tonali0%
Sven Botman0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Lewis Miley0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
West Ham's squad is €294m less valuable than Newcastle's (€274m vs €568m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
West Ham's attack is €150m less valuable than Newcastle's (€84m vs €234m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
West Ham's midfield is €76m less valuable than Newcastle's (€48m vs €124m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
West Ham's defence is €68m less valuable than Newcastle's (€141m vs €210m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
WHU wins
3
Draws
3
NEW wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

West Ham vs Newcastle · H/A from WHU
DateH/AGameScore
25/11/24ANewcastle Vs WHU0-2
30/03/24ANewcastle Vs WHU4-3
08/10/23HWHU Vs Newcastle2-2
05/04/23HWHU Vs Newcastle1-5
04/02/23ANewcastle Vs WHU1-1
19/02/22HWHU Vs Newcastle1-1
15/08/21ANewcastle Vs WHU2-4
17/04/21ANewcastle Vs WHU3-2

West HamWest Ham

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/02/25HWHU Vs Leicester2-0
22/02/25AArsenal Vs WHU0-1
15/02/25HWHU Vs Brentford0-1
03/02/25AChelsea Vs WHU2-1
26/01/25AAston Villa Vs WHU1-1
18/01/25HWHU Vs Crystal Palace0-2
14/01/25HWHU Vs Fulham3-2
10/01/25AAston Villa Vs WHU2-1
04/01/25AManchester City Vs WHU4-1
29/12/24HWHU Vs Liverpool0-5

NewcastleNewcastle

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/03/25HNEW Vs Brighton1-1
26/02/25ALiverpool Vs NEW2-0
23/02/25HNEW Vs Nottingham Forest4-3
15/02/25AManchester City Vs NEW4-0
08/02/25ABirmingham Vs NEW2-3
05/02/25HNEW Vs Arsenal2-0
01/02/25HNEW Vs Fulham1-2
25/01/25ASouthampton Vs NEW1-3
18/01/25HNEW Vs Bournemouth1-4
15/01/25HNEW Vs Wolves3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

West Ham
West Ham
England: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWW1.12
HomeLWLLW1.36
AwayLLDLW0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%36%24%
AVG goals3.283.323.24
Over 1.5 %88%88%88%
Over 2.5 %58%60%56%
Over 3.5 %40%44%36%
Scored1.301.521.08
Conceded1.981.802.16
BTTS60%60%60%
Clean Sheet16%16%16%
Corners9.9610.179.74
Cards3.914.083.74
Newcastle
Newcastle
England: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLD1.82
HomeLLWWD2.08
AwayWWWLL1.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%62%46%
AVG goals3.303.233.38
Over 1.5 %88%85%92%
Over 2.5 %60%58%62%
Over 3.5 %44%38%50%
Scored1.962.151.75
Conceded1.341.081.62
BTTS60%54%67%
Clean Sheet30%38%21%
Corners10.8311.3010.38
Cards4.394.853.95

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LiverpoolLiverpool3884
66%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
89%
63%
45%
10.4
58%
3.9
55%
21.1
47%
980
5182012602.31.1
58%
2ArsenalArsenal3874
53%
1.9
6934+35
2.7
76%
45%
32%
9.7
55%
4.0
58%
21.2
47%
1406
6082905081.80.9
57%
3Manchester CityManchester City3871
55%
1.9
7244+28
3.1
84%
61%
39%
9.9
55%
3.9
58%
17.7
18%
1326
6351605311.91.2
61%
4ChelseaChelsea3869
53%
1.8
6443+21
2.8
76%
55%
26%
9.9
55%
5.2
79%
23.5
68%
1407
6142785141.71.1
57%
5NewcastleNewcastle3866
53%
1.7
6847+21
3.0
82%
61%
34%
11.1
66%
4.4
61%
22.6
61%
568
2341242101.81.2
51%
6Aston VillaAston Villa3866
50%
1.7
5851+7
2.9
84%
63%
32%
10.6
61%
4.7
79%
24.1
66%
536
2201601561.51.3
50%
7Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3865
50%
1.7
5846+12
2.7
71%
50%
26%
10.6
55%
5.0
76%
21.7
55%
551
263522361.51.2
41%
8BrightonBrighton3861
42%
1.6
6659+7
3.3
89%
71%
45%
9.8
63%
4.3
66%
22.8
55%
620
1901802491.71.6
53%
9BournemouthBournemouth3856
39%
1.5
5846+12
2.7
76%
55%
32%
10.9
63%
5.1
74%
24.3
82%
573
2851061821.51.2
49%
10BrentfordBrentford3856
42%
1.5
6657+9
3.2
84%
61%
39%
11.1
68%
3.8
53%
18.0
18%
565
2281282091.71.5
48%
11FulhamFulham3854
39%
1.4
5454+0
2.8
84%
58%
32%
9.9
55%
3.9
61%
21.1
50%
329
178281231.41.4
53%
12Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3853
34%
1.4
5151+0
2.7
79%
45%
29%
10.2
55%
4.2
61%
22.0
58%
505
229931821.31.3
43%
13EvertonEverton3848
29%
1.3
4244-2
2.3
66%
37%
29%
10.2
58%
3.4
42%
21.4
50%
459
1741621231.11.2
41%
14West HamWest Ham3843
29%
1.1
4662-16
2.8
84%
50%
29%
9.6
53%
3.6
50%
22.4
53%
274
84481411.21.6
48%
15Manchester UnitedManchester United3842
29%
1.1
4454-10
2.6
76%
50%
24%
10.0
53%
4.2
66%
21.0
50%
929
4322362611.21.4
54%
16WolvesWolves3842
32%
1.1
5469-15
3.2
87%
66%
32%
9.7
58%
4.2
61%
24.3
76%
273
79791161.41.8
-
17TottenhamTottenham3838
29%
1.0
6465-1
3.4
82%
63%
45%
11.8
76%
4.2
55%
24.7
82%
920
2502823881.71.7
55%
18LeicesterLeicester3825
16%
0.7
3380-47
3.0
92%
61%
34%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.7
47%
69
2013360.92.1
45%
19IpswichIpswich3822
11%
0.6
3682-46
3.1
84%
58%
39%
10.4
71%
4.1
55%
22.2
50%
280
13066850.92.2
40%
20SouthamptonSouthampton3812
5%
0.3
2686-60
2.9
79%
61%
42%
10.5
66%
3.9
53%
23.5
61%
205
7253790.72.3
48%
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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