Newcastle are the clear favourites, with a 52% chance of victory, while West Ham have only a 22% chance and a 26% chance of a draw. The match is expected to see 2.7 goals on average, and the model’s single most likely score is 1-1, a 12.6% probability. West Ham, playing at home against a team of similar strength, average 0.92 goals scored and 1.58 conceded, whereas Newcastle, on the road against a comparable opponent, average 1.0 goal scored and 0.88 conceded. The suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards at 86%, Over 1.5 at 76.9%, Under 25.5 fouls at 75.3%, Under 4.5 cards at 72.8%, Over 8.5 corners at 71.0%, Over 19.5 fouls at 72.0% (miss), and Under 3.5 at 70.7% (miss). The model’s selection favours an away win, reflecting Newcastle’s stronger form and defensive solidity.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Newcastle, was expected to win with a 52% probability, but the match ended 3-1 in favour of West Ham, proving the model’s pick wrong. West Ham, coming off a draw, extended their recent form streak, while Newcastle rode a two-game winning run. The model’s other selections all played out: Under 5.5 cards hit at 86%, Over 1.5 hit at 76.9%, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 75.3%, Under 4.5 cards hit at 72.8%, Over 8.5 corners hit at 71.0%, but Over 19.5 fouls missed at 72.0% and Under 3.5 missed at 70.7%. The final score of 3-1 confirmed a home win.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
West Ham win✓ Hit
21.8%
Avg Implied 19.0% · @ 4.99
Edge
+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied 23.2% · @ 4.08
Edge
+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Newcastle win✗ Miss
51.9%
Avg Implied 57.8% · @ 1.64
Edge
-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
West Ham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.73
0.92
1.85
1.24
1.65
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
2.50
1.00
5.00
0.80
2.00
vs Similar (24)
1.17
1.54
0.92
1.58
1.42
1.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.03
2.29
0.94
1.00
1.15
vs Stronger (8)
1.12
1.88
1.75
1.75
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (19)
1.84
0.79
2.45
0.73
1.00
0.88
vs Weaker (3)
2.67
0.33
2.50
0.50
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.9%
Under 1.5
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.5%
@ 1.68-4.7%
Under 2.5
48.5%
@ 2.15+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.3%
Under 3.5
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.8%
No
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
9.4%
0-0
7.6%
2-1
5.9%
1-0
5.6%
1-3
5.5%
West Ham goals ↓
Newcastle goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.6%
9.9%
9.4%
5.3%
2.3%
1
5.6%
13%
9.7%
5.5%
2.3%
2
3.5%
5.9%
5.0%
2.8%
1.2%
3
1.2%
2.0%
1.7%
1.0%
0.4%
4
0.3%
0.5%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = West Ham goals (down), columns = Newcastle goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Fulham
1.37
Chelsea
1.37
Newcastle
1.29
Everton
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
West Ham is 0.26 points worse than Newcastle in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.29).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Tottenham
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Everton
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
West Ham is 0.18 goals worse than Newcastle in terms of goals scored per game (1.21 vs 1.39).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Manchester United
1.32
Everton
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
West Ham is 0.26 goals worse than Newcastle in terms of goals conceded per game (1.71 vs 1.45).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
West Ham is 9.9 percentage points worse than Newcastle in terms of average possession (42% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
West Ham
For 4.9 · Against 7.1 · Total 12.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 10.3 · Total 20.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Newcastle
For 6.1 · Against 5.3 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 11.3 · Total 22.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
West Ham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.5
9.7
3.3
3.6
3.1
22.0
22.0
22.0
vs Stronger (11)
9.9
11.6
8.2
3.1
3.6
2.7
22.0
19.2
24.8
vs Similar (39)
10.2
10.2
10.1
3.4
3.6
3.2
22.0
22.8
21.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
57%
68%
48%
44%
48%
41%
49%
50%
48%
% under line
43%
32%
52%
56%
52%
59%
51%
50%
52%
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
11.1
10.3
3.2
3.9
2.4
22.3
23.8
20.4
vs Stronger (12)
12.4
13.0
11.3
3.3
4.6
1.6
23.8
25.8
19.7
vs Similar (30)
10.3
10.9
9.7
3.5
3.9
3.0
22.2
23.3
21.2
vs Weaker (8)
10.2
9.0
12.5
2.1
2.8
1.0
20.2
22.2
16.0
% over line
56%
58%
53%
42%
57%
23%
60%
75%
42%
% under line
44%
42%
47%
58%
43%
77%
40%
25%
58%
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Newcastle
10.9
Tottenham
10.8
Bournemouth
10.6
Brentford
10.5
Nottingham Forest
10.4
Liverpool
10.4
Aston Villa
10.2
West Ham
10.2
Fulham
9.9
Everton
9.9
Crystal Palace
9.8
Sunderland
9.7
Brighton
9.7
Leeds
9.6
Arsenal
9.5
Wolves
9.5
Chelsea
9.4
Manchester United
9.4
Manchester City
9.2
Burnley
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
5.0
Nottingham Forest
4.6
Chelsea
4.4
Brighton
4.3
Crystal Palace
4.2
Sunderland
4.2
Wolves
4.2
Newcastle
4.1
Manchester United
4.1
Aston Villa
3.9
Brentford
3.8
Liverpool
3.8
Fulham
3.7
Tottenham
3.7
Everton
3.6
Manchester City
3.6
West Ham
3.5
Burnley
3.4
Arsenal
3.4
Leeds
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bournemouth
24.1
Wolves
23.9
Brighton
23.0
Aston Villa
22.8
Tottenham
22.8
Sunderland
22.6
Newcastle
22.5
Chelsea
22.3
Burnley
22.1
West Ham
22.0
Nottingham Forest
21.8
Fulham
21.6
Leeds
21.6
Everton
21.6
Manchester United
21.5
Arsenal
21.3
Crystal Palace
21.3
Liverpool
20.2
Brentford
18.7
Manchester City
18.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
59.1%
Under 9.5
40.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.0%
Under 3.5
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
55.9%
Under 21.5
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
West Ham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.67
0.46
0.69
0.29
0.65
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.17
1.00
3.00
0.40
0.80
vs Similar (24)
0.33
0.54
0.42
0.50
0.25
0.58
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.37
1.18
0.24
0.54
0.54
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
0.62
0.50
0.25
0.25
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.95
0.32
1.36
0.27
0.38
0.38
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
0.00
1.50
0.00
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
West Ham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
West Ham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.07
0.46
1.15
0.94
1.00
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.33
0.00
2.00
0.40
1.20
vs Similar (24)
0.83
1.00
0.50
1.08
1.17
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Newcastle
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.67
1.12
0.71
0.46
0.62
vs Stronger (8)
0.75
1.25
1.25
1.50
0.25
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.89
0.47
1.09
0.45
0.62
0.50
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
West Ham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
West Ham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Valentín Castellanos27%
Lucas Paquetá26%
Jarrod Bowen24%
Crysencio Summerville21%
Callum Wilson17%
Tomáš Souček15%
Mateus Fernandes11%
Axel Disasi6%
Konstantinos Mavropanos6%
Soungoutou Magassa4%
Kyle Walker-Peters4%
Jean-Clair Todibo0%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Guido Rodríguez0%
James Ward-Prowse0%
Igor Júlio0%
Mads Hermansen0%
Max Kilman0%
Adama Traoré0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Nayef Aguerd0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Andy Irving0%
Freddie Potts0%
Pablo Felipe0%
Oliver Scarles0%
Mohamadou Kanté0%
Luis Guilherme0%
El Hadji Malick Diouf0%
Ezra Mayers0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Valentín Castellanos32%
Lucas Paquetá32%
Crysencio Summerville21%
Jean-Clair Todibo20%
Max Kilman20%
Soungoutou Magassa19%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka19%
Mateus Fernandes18%
El Hadji Malick Diouf18%
James Ward-Prowse17%
Kyle Walker-Peters14%
Mohamadou Kanté14%
Guido Rodríguez12%
Oliver Scarles12%
Tomáš Souček10%
Jarrod Bowen10%
Adama Traoré8%
Axel Disasi6%
Konstantinos Mavropanos6%
Freddie Potts4%
Callum Wilson3%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Igor Júlio0%
Mads Hermansen0%
Nayef Aguerd0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Andy Irving0%
Pablo Felipe0%
Luis Guilherme0%
Ezra Mayers0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jarrod Bowen24%
El Hadji Malick Diouf15%
Ezra Mayers11%
Mateus Fernandes11%
Crysencio Summerville9%
Adama Traoré8%
Pablo Felipe6%
Lucas Paquetá5%
Mads Hermansen5%
Alphonse Aréola4%
Jean-Clair Todibo4%
Freddie Potts4%
Soungoutou Magassa4%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka4%
Kyle Walker-Peters4%
Callum Wilson3%
Tomáš Souček0%
Konstantinos Mavropanos0%
Guido Rodríguez0%
James Ward-Prowse0%
Igor Júlio0%
Max Kilman0%
Nayef Aguerd0%
Axel Disasi0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Valentín Castellanos0%
Andy Irving0%
Oliver Scarles0%
Mohamadou Kanté0%
Luis Guilherme0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Valentín Castellanos36%
Niclas Füllkrug11%
Lucas Paquetá11%
Jarrod Bowen10%
Callum Wilson6%
Crysencio Summerville3%
Konstantinos Mavropanos3%
Mateus Fernandes3%
Tomáš Souček3%
Jean-Clair Todibo0%
Kyle Walker-Peters0%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Guido Rodríguez0%
James Ward-Prowse0%
Igor Júlio0%
Mads Hermansen0%
Max Kilman0%
Adama Traoré0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Nayef Aguerd0%
Axel Disasi0%
Andy Irving0%
Freddie Potts0%
Pablo Felipe0%
Soungoutou Magassa0%
Oliver Scarles0%
Mohamadou Kanté0%
Luis Guilherme0%
El Hadji Malick Diouf0%
Ezra Mayers0%
Newcastle
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anthony Gordon29%
Bruno Guimarães22%
Harvey Barnes21%
William Osula21%
Nick Woltemade20%
Joelinton12%
Yoane Wissa11%
Jacob Murphy9%
Lewis Miley9%
Malick Thiaw8%
Sven Botman5%
Fabian Schär5%
Jacob Ramsey5%
Dan Burn5%
Sandro Tonali4%
Joe Willock3%
Lewis Hall2%
Anthony Elanga2%
Kieran Trippier0%
Emil Krafth0%
Nick Pope0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Alex Murphy0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joelinton38%
Dan Burn28%
Bruno Guimarães22%
Malick Thiaw17%
Kieran Trippier17%
Joe Willock16%
Yoane Wissa15%
Fabian Schär14%
Aaron Ramsdale14%
Sandro Tonali13%
Jacob Ramsey12%
Anthony Gordon9%
Lewis Hall9%
Nick Pope6%
Sven Botman5%
Jacob Murphy4%
Valentino Livramento4%
Harvey Barnes4%
Anthony Elanga2%
Nick Woltemade2%
Emil Krafth0%
William Osula0%
Alex Murphy0%
Lewis Miley0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bruno Guimarães15%
Lewis Miley12%
Dan Burn12%
Sandro Tonali12%
Kieran Trippier11%
Jacob Murphy11%
Anthony Gordon11%
Harvey Barnes11%
Nick Woltemade8%
Joe Willock8%
Jacob Ramsey7%
Joelinton5%
Lewis Hall4%
Valentino Livramento4%
Yoane Wissa4%
William Osula3%
Nick Pope3%
Sven Botman3%
Anthony Elanga2%
Fabian Schär0%
Emil Krafth0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Alex Murphy0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Anthony Gordon24%
Bruno Guimarães15%
Harvey Barnes14%
Jacob Murphy13%
Fabian Schär10%
Joelinton7%
Nick Woltemade6%
William Osula6%
Sandro Tonali4%
Yoane Wissa4%
Sven Botman3%
Joe Willock3%
Kieran Trippier0%
Emil Krafth0%
Nick Pope0%
Dan Burn0%
Jacob Ramsey0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
Anthony Elanga0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Lewis Hall0%
Alex Murphy0%
Lewis Miley0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
West Ham's squad is €294m less valuable than Newcastle's (€274m vs €568m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
West Ham's attack is €150m less valuable than Newcastle's (€84m vs €234m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
West Ham's midfield is €76m less valuable than Newcastle's (€48m vs €124m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
West Ham's defence is €68m less valuable than Newcastle's (€141m vs €210m).
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Arsenal
Manchester City
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Liverpool
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Brighton
Brentford
Chelsea
Fulham
Everton
Leeds
Crystal Palace
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham
Burnley
Wolves