The contest between Wexford and Cobh Ramblers is finely balanced, with the model favouring an away win. Home and away win probabilities sit at 36 % and 37 % respectively, while a draw is 28 %. The expected total is 2.8 goals, with the most likely total number of goals being two, at a 25 % chance. The single score the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 13.2 % probability. Wexford, playing at home against a weaker opponent, averages 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, whereas Cobh Ramblers, on the road against a stronger side, also averages 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded. The suggested picks are: Under 7.5 (99.2 %), Under 6.5 (97.6 %), Home under 3.5 goals (94.9 %), Away under 3.5 goals (94.6 %), Under 5.5 (93.7 %), Under 4.5 (85.1 %), Home under 2.5 goals (83.9 %), and Away under 2.5 goals (83.3 %). The match’s outcome remains uncertain, but the model’s selection points to a modestly low-scoring affair with Cobh Ramblers likely to edge out Wexford.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Wexford win
35.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
27.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers win
36.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Wexford
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.57
1.07
1.64
1.12
1.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.90
2.00
0.50
1.75
1.17
2.17
vs Weaker (20)
1.20
1.35
1.30
1.60
1.10
1.10
Clean sheet %
13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Cobh Ramblers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cobh Ramblers
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.17
2.13
0.87
1.47
1.47
vs Stronger (11)
1.82
1.36
2.17
1.17
1.40
1.60
vs Similar (12)
2.00
0.92
2.29
0.71
1.60
1.20
vs Weaker (7)
1.43
1.29
1.50
0.50
1.40
1.60
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Wexford) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
77.7%
Under 1.5
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
52.6%
Under 2.5
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
30.3%
Under 3.5
69.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
57.6%
No
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
0-1
7.5%
0-0
7.4%
1-0
7.4%
0-2
6.1%
2-0
5.9%
Wexford goals ↓
Cobh Ramblers goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.4%
7.5%
6.1%
2.8%
1.0%
1
7.4%
13%
8.4%
3.9%
1.4%
2
5.9%
8.3%
5.8%
2.7%
0.9%
3
2.7%
3.8%
2.7%
1.2%
0.4%
4
0.9%
1.3%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Wexford goals (down), columns = Cobh Ramblers goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Kerry
2.00
Cork City
1.86
Longford Town
1.86
Athlone Town
1.86
UCD
1.57
Treaty United
1.43
Cobh Ramblers
1.43
Bray Wanderers
1.29
Wexford
1.00
Finn Harps
0.00
Wexford is 0.43 points worse than Cobh Ramblers in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.43).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Cork City
2.57
Longford Town
2.57
Bray Wanderers
2.43
UCD
2.29
Kerry
2.29
Athlone Town
1.57
Cobh Ramblers
1.29
Treaty United
1.14
Wexford
1.00
Finn Harps
0.86
Wexford is 0.29 goals worse than Cobh Ramblers in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Athlone Town
1.00
Kerry
1.14
Treaty United
1.43
Cobh Ramblers
1.43
Longford Town
1.57
Wexford
1.86
Bray Wanderers
1.86
Cork City
2.00
UCD
2.29
Finn Harps
3.43
Wexford is 0.43 goals worse than Cobh Ramblers in terms of goals conceded per game (1.86 vs 1.43).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Wexford or Draw
63.4%
Avg Implied -
36%
28%
37%
covers Wexford + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Wexford or Cobh Ramblers
72.2%
Avg Implied -
36%
28%
37%
covers Wexford + Cobh Ramblers
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Cobh Ramblers
64.4%
Avg Implied -
36%
28%
37%
covers Draw + Cobh Ramblers
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Wexford over/under 0.5
Over
74.8%
Under
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 1.5
Over
40.0%
Under
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 2.5
Over
16.1%
Under
83.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 3.5
Over
5.1%
Under
94.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 0.5
Over
75.4%
Under
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 1.5
Over
40.9%
Under
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 2.5
Over
16.7%
Under
83.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 3.5
Over
5.4%
Under
94.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Wexford, so a minus line means Wexford give that many goals of a start and Cobh Ramblers receive them. At -1, Wexford must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Wexford win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Wexford)
Wexford -2
6.1%
Draw -2
10.7%
Cobh Ramblers +2
83.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Wexford)
Wexford -1
16.8%
Draw -1
18.7%
Cobh Ramblers +1
64.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Wexford)
Wexford +1
63.4%
Draw +1
19.1%
Cobh Ramblers -1
17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Wexford)
Wexford +2
82.4%
Draw +2
11.1%
Cobh Ramblers -2
6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Wexford
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.90
0.50
1.00
0.25
0.81
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.30
0.90
0.50
0.75
0.17
1.00
vs Weaker (20)
0.40
0.90
0.50
1.10
0.30
0.70
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Cobh Ramblers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cobh Ramblers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.53
1.13
0.53
1.13
0.53
vs Stronger (11)
1.00
0.73
1.00
0.83
1.00
0.60
vs Similar (12)
1.33
0.33
1.29
0.43
1.40
0.20
vs Weaker (7)
1.00
0.57
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.80
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Wexford) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Wexford over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Wexford
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.67
0.57
0.64
0.88
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.60
1.10
0.00
1.00
1.00
1.17
vs Weaker (20)
0.80
0.45
0.80
0.50
0.80
0.40
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Cobh Ramblers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cobh Ramblers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.63
1.00
0.33
0.33
0.93
vs Stronger (11)
0.82
0.64
1.17
0.33
0.40
1.00
vs Similar (12)
0.67
0.58
1.00
0.29
0.20
1.00
vs Weaker (7)
0.43
0.71
0.50
0.50
0.40
0.80
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Wexford) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Wexford over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
94.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
94.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Ireland: First Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: First Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Kerry
Longford Town
Cork City
Athlone Town
UCD
Treaty United
Bray Wanderers
Finn Harps