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Wexford vs Kerry Result & Analysis

Date: 10/07/2026
Time: 18:45
Final 2-2
Wexford
Wexford
Vs
46%
27%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kerry
Kerry
Ireland: First Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Wexford win✗ Miss
45.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kerry win✗ Miss
27.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

WexfordWexford

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L22D00D32W31W21W03L20W02LA·UCD08/08H·BRA22/08A·LON30/08H·DUN05/09H·COB19/09A·FIN22/09A·ATH26/09H·UCD05/10A·KER10/10H·TRE17/10
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.401.201.471.331.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.001.700.831.501.252.00
vs Weaker (20)1.401.251.441.441.361.09
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Kerry) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KerryKerry

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L10W33D11D12L00D11D02L11D15LH·FIN08/08H·LON22/08A·DUN29/08H·COB05/09A·UCD19/09A·ATH22/09H·TRE26/09H·WEX10/10A·FIN13/10A·BRA17/10
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.731.071.131.202.33
vs Stronger (23)0.961.910.751.331.182.55
vs Similar (7)1.711.142.330.331.251.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Wexford) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.1%
Under 1.5
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.6%
Under 2.5
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.2%
Under 3.5
67.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.1%
No
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
0-0
6.8%
0-1
5.9%
2-2 ✓
5.8%
Wexford goals ↓
Kerry goals →
01234
06.8%5.9%4.3%1.8%0.5%
18.2%13%7.1%2.9%0.9%
27.6%9.4%5.8%2.4%0.7%
34.1%5.1%3.1%1.3%0.4%
41.7%2.1%1.3%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Wexford goals (down), columns = Kerry goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kerry
2.00
Cork City
1.86
Longford Town
1.86
Athlone Town
1.86
UCD
1.57
Treaty United
1.43
Cobh Ramblers
1.43
Bray Wanderers
1.29
Wexford
1.00
Finn Harps
0.00
Wexford is 1.00 points worse than Kerry in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 2.00).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cork City
2.57
Longford Town
2.57
Bray Wanderers
2.43
UCD
2.29
Kerry
2.29
Athlone Town
1.57
Cobh Ramblers
1.29
Treaty United
1.14
Wexford
1.00
Finn Harps
0.86
Wexford is 1.29 goals worse than Kerry in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 2.29).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Athlone Town
1.00
Kerry
1.14
Treaty United
1.43
Cobh Ramblers
1.43
Longford Town
1.57
Wexford
1.86
Bray Wanderers
1.86
Cork City
2.00
UCD
2.29
Finn Harps
3.43
Wexford is 0.71 goals worse than Kerry in terms of goals conceded per game (1.86 vs 1.14).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

WexfordWexford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L02L00D11D00D11D01L00D00DA·UCD08/08H·BRA22/08A·LON30/08H·DUN05/09H·COB19/09A·FIN22/09A·ATH26/09H·UCD05/10A·KER10/10H·TRE17/10
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.730.530.730.270.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.300.700.500.500.001.00
vs Weaker (20)0.450.750.560.890.360.64
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Kerry) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KerryKerry

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D21W00D01L00D00D00D10W02LH·FIN08/08H·LON22/08A·DUN29/08H·COB05/09A·UCD19/09A·ATH22/09H·TRE26/09H·WEX10/10A·FIN13/10A·BRA17/10
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.570.600.330.530.80
vs Stronger (23)0.390.700.330.420.451.00
vs Similar (7)1.140.141.670.000.750.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Wexford) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Wexford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kerry over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kerry over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kerry over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

WexfordWexford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D20W00D21W31W10W02L20W02LA·UCD08/08H·BRA22/08A·LON30/08H·DUN05/09H·COB19/09A·FIN22/09A·ATH26/09H·UCD05/10A·KER10/10H·TRE17/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.670.670.731.070.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.701.000.331.001.251.00
vs Weaker (20)0.950.500.890.561.000.45
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Kerry) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KerryKerry

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W12L11D11D00D11D02L01L13LH·FIN08/08H·LON22/08A·DUN29/08H·COB05/09A·UCD19/09A·ATH22/09H·TRE26/09H·WEX10/10A·FIN13/10A·BRA17/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.170.470.800.671.53
vs Stronger (23)0.571.220.420.920.731.55
vs Similar (7)0.571.000.670.330.501.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Wexford) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Wexford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kerry over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kerry over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kerry over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FH (2)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
FH (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FH (1)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CR (2)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
FH (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
WEX wins
3
Draws
1
KER wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Wexford vs Kerry · H/A from WEX
DateH/AGameScore
10/10/25AKerry Vs WEX0-2
27/06/25HWEX Vs Kerry4-3
16/05/25AKerry Vs WEX1-1
21/03/25HWEX Vs Kerry1-2
11/10/24HWEX Vs Kerry4-0
28/06/24AKerry Vs WEX1-1
17/05/24HWEX Vs Kerry2-0
29/03/24AKerry Vs WEX1-1

WexfordWexford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/10/25HWEX Vs Treaty United0-2
10/10/25AKerry Vs WEX0-2
05/10/25HWEX Vs UCD0-3
26/09/25AAthlone Town Vs WEX1-2
22/09/25AFinn Harps Vs WEX1-3
19/09/25HWEX Vs Cobh Ramblers3-2
05/09/25HWEX Vs Dundalk0-0
30/08/25ALongford Town Vs WEX2-2
22/08/25HWEX Vs Bray Wanderers0-1
08/08/25AUCD Vs WEX1-0

KerryKerry

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/10/25ABray Wanderers Vs KER5-1
13/10/25AFinn Harps Vs KER1-1
10/10/25HKER Vs Wexford0-2
26/09/25HKER Vs Treaty United1-1
22/09/25AAthlone Town Vs KER0-0
19/09/25AUCD Vs KER2-1
05/09/25HKER Vs Cobh Ramblers1-1
29/08/25ADundalk Vs KER3-3
22/08/25HKER Vs Longford Town1-0
08/08/25HKER Vs Finn Harps0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Wexford
Wexford
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWL1.42
HomeLDWLL1.46
AwayLDWWW1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%42%38%
AVG goals2.662.382.92
Over 1.5 %74%67%81%
Over 2.5 %52%42%62%
Over 3.5 %32%25%38%
Scored1.301.291.31
Conceded1.361.081.62
BTTS48%33%62%
Clean Sheet24%38%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Kerry
Kerry
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLDL0.88
HomeLWDDL1.21
AwayDLDDL0.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%33%8%
AVG goals2.802.293.27
Over 1.5 %76%71%81%
Over 2.5 %44%29%58%
Over 3.5 %30%17%42%
Scored1.081.041.12
Conceded1.721.252.15
BTTS46%29%62%
Clean Sheet20%29%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KerryKerry714
57%
2.0
168+8
3.4
100%
86%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.1
-
2Longford TownLongford Town713
57%
1.9
1811+7
4.1
86%
86%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.6
-
3Cork CityCork City713
57%
1.9
1814+4
4.6
100%
86%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.62.0
-
4Athlone TownAthlone Town713
57%
1.9
117+4
2.6
86%
57%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.0
-
5UCDUCD711
43%
1.6
1616+0
4.6
86%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.32.3
-
6Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers710
43%
1.4
910-1
2.7
86%
57%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
7Treaty UnitedTreaty United710
43%
1.4
810-2
2.6
71%
57%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
8Bray WanderersBray Wanderers79
43%
1.3
1713+4
4.3
100%
100%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.41.9
-
9WexfordWexford77
29%
1.0
713-6
2.9
86%
57%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.9
-
10Finn HarpsFinn Harps70
0%
0.0
624-18
4.3
86%
86%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.93.4
-
Ireland: First Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: First Division stats & trends →

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