This opponent (Stevenage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stevenage
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.07
1.13
0.67
1.00
1.47
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
1.75
0.00
0.00
1.33
2.33
vs Similar (25)
1.04
0.92
1.21
0.71
0.82
1.18
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
2.00
-
-
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Wigan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
63.7%
Under 1.5
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
35.4%
@ 2.49-2.2%
Under 2.5
64.6%
@ 1.50+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.4%
Under 3.5
83.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.6%
No
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%
0-0 ✓
13.4%
1-0
12.4%
0-1
10.5%
2-0
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
6.6%
0-2
5.8%
Wigan goals ↓
Stevenage goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
10%
5.8%
1.9%
0.5%
1
12%
15%
6.6%
2.1%
0.5%
2
7.8%
7.6%
3.7%
1.2%
0.3%
3
3.0%
2.9%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
4
0.8%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Wigan goals (down), columns = Stevenage goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Birmingham
2.41
Wrexham
2.00
Stockport
1.89
Charlton
1.85
Wycombe
1.83
Leyton Orient
1.70
Reading
1.63
Bolton
1.48
Blackpool
1.46
Huddersfield
1.39
Lincoln
1.33
Barnsley
1.33
Rotherham
1.28
Stevenage
1.24
Wigan
1.22
Exeter
1.22
Mansfield
1.17
Northampton
1.11
Peterboro
1.11
Burton
1.02
Crawley Town
1.00
Bristol Rvs
0.93
Cambridge
0.83
Shrewsbury
0.72
Wigan is 0.02 points worse than Stevenage in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 1.24).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Birmingham
1.83
Leyton Orient
1.57
Blackpool
1.57
Stockport
1.57
Wycombe
1.52
Barnsley
1.50
Reading
1.48
Peterboro
1.48
Bolton
1.46
Charlton
1.46
Wrexham
1.46
Lincoln
1.39
Mansfield
1.30
Huddersfield
1.26
Crawley Town
1.24
Rotherham
1.17
Exeter
1.07
Burton
1.07
Northampton
1.04
Cambridge
0.98
Bristol Rvs
0.96
Stevenage
0.91
Shrewsbury
0.89
Wigan
0.87
Wigan is 0.04 goals worse than Stevenage in terms of goals scored per game (0.87 vs 0.91).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Birmingham
0.67
Wrexham
0.74
Wigan
0.91
Stockport
0.91
Charlton
0.93
Wycombe
0.98
Leyton Orient
1.04
Stevenage
1.09
Huddersfield
1.20
Lincoln
1.22
Reading
1.24
Rotherham
1.28
Blackpool
1.30
Exeter
1.41
Northampton
1.43
Burton
1.43
Bolton
1.52
Cambridge
1.59
Barnsley
1.59
Mansfield
1.59
Bristol Rvs
1.65
Shrewsbury
1.72
Peterboro
1.76
Crawley Town
1.80
Wigan is 0.17 goals better than Stevenage in terms of goals conceded per game (0.91 vs 1.09).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Birmingham
67%
Bolton
56%
Crawley Town
56%
Huddersfield
54%
Peterboro
54%
Stockport
53%
Leyton Orient
52%
Reading
52%
Barnsley
51%
Exeter
51%
Wycombe
50%
Blackpool
50%
Charlton
50%
Mansfield
49%
Wigan
48%
Stevenage
47%
Wrexham
47%
Rotherham
47%
Lincoln
45%
Northampton
43%
Cambridge
43%
Burton
42%
Shrewsbury
42%
Wigan is 0.8 percentage points better than Stevenage in terms of average possession (48% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Wigan
For 4.1 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 12.7 · Total 24.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Stevenage
For 6.0 · Against 6.1 · Total 12.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.6 · Against 14.0 · Total 28.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Wigan
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.5
8.6
5.0
4.3
5.6
24.9
23.9
25.8
vs Stronger (1)
10.0
-
10.0
3.0
-
3.0
30.0
-
30.0
vs Similar (42)
8.9
9.7
8.1
5.1
4.2
6.0
25.0
24.8
25.1
vs Weaker (7)
10.0
8.8
11.7
4.6
4.8
4.3
23.6
19.5
29.0
% over line
43%
54%
32%
64%
60%
68%
71%
62%
80%
% under line
57%
46%
68%
36%
40%
32%
29%
38%
20%
This opponent (Stevenage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stevenage
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
11.2
8.9
4.6
4.6
4.5
25.8
25.8
25.8
vs Stronger (7)
9.0
11.0
7.0
4.4
5.0
4.0
27.2
24.7
29.7
vs Similar (41)
10.0
11.1
8.9
4.6
4.6
4.5
25.8
26.1
25.5
vs Weaker (2)
14.0
13.0
15.0
5.0
4.0
6.0
21.5
23.0
20.0
% over line
49%
68%
29%
62%
64%
60%
80%
84%
75%
% under line
51%
32%
71%
38%
36%
40%
20%
16%
25%
This opponent (Wigan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Exeter
11.9
Wrexham
11.2
Huddersfield
11.2
Peterboro
11.0
Crawley Town
10.9
Bolton
10.7
Barnsley
10.7
Charlton
10.7
Rotherham
10.6
Birmingham
10.6
Wycombe
10.6
Mansfield
10.4
Reading
10.4
Bristol Rvs
10.3
Leyton Orient
10.3
Shrewsbury
10.3
Stevenage
10.0
Cambridge
9.6
Lincoln
9.4
Blackpool
9.4
Stockport
9.2
Wigan
9.1
Northampton
8.7
Burton
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Wigan
5.1
Lincoln
4.7
Stevenage
4.6
Exeter
4.5
Bolton
4.4
Crawley Town
4.4
Blackpool
4.3
Bristol Rvs
4.3
Charlton
4.1
Cambridge
4.1
Barnsley
4.0
Birmingham
4.0
Wycombe
3.9
Huddersfield
3.9
Burton
3.9
Shrewsbury
3.9
Mansfield
3.9
Wrexham
3.8
Leyton Orient
3.8
Reading
3.7
Northampton
3.5
Stockport
3.5
Peterboro
3.2
Rotherham
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Stevenage
25.8
Wigan
24.8
Birmingham
23.7
Bolton
23.6
Blackpool
23.2
Cambridge
23.2
Stockport
22.8
Bristol Rvs
22.8
Huddersfield
22.8
Lincoln
22.5
Shrewsbury
22.4
Exeter
22.3
Reading
21.9
Burton
21.9
Wycombe
21.3
Charlton
21.2
Mansfield
21.1
Rotherham
20.9
Leyton Orient
20.8
Wrexham
20.8
Crawley Town
20.5
Peterboro
20.3
Northampton
20.2
Barnsley
20.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
37.0%
Under 9.5
63.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
63.9%
Under 3.5
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
80.4%
Under 21.5
19.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Wigan
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.47
0.67
0.20
0.53
0.73
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.56
0.40
0.62
0.15
0.50
0.67
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.75
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Stevenage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stevenage
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.57
0.53
0.33
0.33
0.80
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (25)
0.40
0.48
0.57
0.36
0.18
0.64
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Wigan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Wigan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wigan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wigan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stevenage over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stevenage over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stevenage over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Wigan
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.63
0.40
0.40
0.93
0.87
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.68
0.64
0.38
0.46
1.00
0.83
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Stevenage) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Stevenage
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.50
0.60
0.33
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.75
0.00
0.00
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.44
0.64
0.36
0.64
0.55
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Wigan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Wigan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wigan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wigan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stevenage over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stevenage over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stevenage over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
90.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Wigan · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dara Costelloe33%
Jon Mellish0%
Jensen Weir0%
Max Power0%
Joe Walsh0%
Sonny Perkins0%
Connor Barrett0%
James Carragher0%
Akeel Higgins0%
Archie Harris0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jon Mellish33%
Jensen Weir33%
Max Power33%
James Carragher33%
Archie Harris33%
Dara Costelloe0%
Joe Walsh0%
Sonny Perkins0%
Connor Barrett0%
Akeel Higgins0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
James Carragher33%
Jon Mellish0%
Jensen Weir0%
Max Power0%
Dara Costelloe0%
Joe Walsh0%
Sonny Perkins0%
Connor Barrett0%
Akeel Higgins0%
Archie Harris0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Max Power33%
Dara Costelloe33%
Sonny Perkins33%
Jon Mellish0%
Jensen Weir0%
Joe Walsh0%
Connor Barrett0%
James Carragher0%
Akeel Higgins0%
Archie Harris0%
Stevenage · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Josh Magennis50%
Jordan Roberts25%
Daniel Kemp25%
Oliver Sanderson25%
Terence Vancooten0%
Carl Piergianni0%
Louis Thompson0%
Lewis Freestone0%
Phoenix Patterson0%
Filip Marschall0%
Terry Taylor0%
Daniel Phillips0%
Saxon Earley0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Carl Piergianni50%
Jordan Roberts25%
Lewis Freestone25%
Daniel Kemp25%
Terence Vancooten0%
Louis Thompson0%
Josh Magennis0%
Phoenix Patterson0%
Filip Marschall0%
Terry Taylor0%
Daniel Phillips0%
Saxon Earley0%
Oliver Sanderson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Phoenix Patterson50%
Jordan Roberts0%
Terence Vancooten0%
Carl Piergianni0%
Louis Thompson0%
Josh Magennis0%
Lewis Freestone0%
Daniel Kemp0%
Filip Marschall0%
Terry Taylor0%
Daniel Phillips0%
Saxon Earley0%
Oliver Sanderson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Daniel Kemp50%
Phoenix Patterson25%
Jordan Roberts0%
Terence Vancooten0%
Carl Piergianni0%
Louis Thompson0%
Josh Magennis0%
Lewis Freestone0%
Filip Marschall0%
Terry Taylor0%
Daniel Phillips0%
Saxon Earley0%
Oliver Sanderson0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BIR (26)
€93m
WRE (32)
€77m
CHA (29)
€31m
BOL (22)
€17m
HUD (26)
€16m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
BR (24)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
SHR (17)
€3m
CT (19)
€3m
NOR (18)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
Wigan and Stevenage have a similar squad value (both €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BIR (9)
€46m
CHA (13)
€18m
WRE (9)
€15m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
STE (6)
€2m
BR (10)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
CT (7)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
SHR (3)
€0m
Wigan and Stevenage have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WRE (9)
€23m
BIR (5)
€12m
BOL (4)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CHA (3)
€3m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SHR (4)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
CT (7)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
BR (4)
€0m
Wigan and Stevenage have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WRE (14)
€39m
BIR (12)
€35m
CHA (13)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
HUD (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
BR (10)
€3m
CAM (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
SHR (10)
€2m
EXE (5)
€1m
CT (5)
€1m
Wigan and Stevenage have a similar defence value (both €3m).
England: League One 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →
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Birmingham
Wrexham
Stockport
Charlton
Wycombe
Leyton Orient
Reading
Bolton
Blackpool
Huddersfield
Lincoln
Barnsley
Rotherham
Exeter
Mansfield
Peterboro
Northampton
Burton
Crawley Town
Bristol Rvs
Cambridge
Shrewsbury