This opponent (Dordrecht) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dordrecht
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.17
2.27
0.60
1.07
1.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.68
1.18
2.27
0.60
1.00
1.85
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.00
-
-
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Willem II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
67.1%
Under 1.5
32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
39.2%
Under 2.5
60.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
19.1%
Under 3.5
80.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.5%
No
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.0%
1-1
13.4%
0-0
11.7%
2-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.2%
3-0
5.4%
1-2
4.9%
Willem II goals ↓
Dordrecht goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
7.2%
3.4%
0.9%
0.2%
1
14%
13%
4.9%
1.3%
0.3%
2
11%
8.9%
3.6%
0.9%
0.2%
3
5.4%
4.3%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
4
2.0%
1.6%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Willem II goals (down), columns = Dordrecht goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barendrecht
2.50
SC Genemuiden
2.33
Excelsior
2.33
Heerenveen
2.33
Rijnsburgse Boys
2.25
ASWH
2.25
Utrecht
2.25
GO Ahead Eagles
2.20
AZ Alkmaar
2.20
Heracles
2.20
Noordwijk
2.17
De Graafschap
2.00
Rijnvogels
2.00
Koninklijke HFC
2.00
Ijsselmeervogels
2.00
Feyenoord
2.00
Excelsior Maassluis
2.00
Waalwijk
2.00
Sparta Nijkerk
1.75
Eemdijk
1.75
Quick Boys
1.75
PSV Eindhoven
1.75
Blauw Geel
1.67
Hercules
1.67
FC Volendam
1.50
Telstar
1.50
Cambuur
1.50
Sportlust '46
1.50
Groningen
1.50
UDI '19
1.50
Poortugaal
1.50
Ajax
1.50
Fortuna Sittard
1.50
TEC
1.50
Gemert
1.50
Twente
1.50
ADO '20
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
MVV
1.50
FC Eindhoven
1.50
Dovo
1.33
AFC Amsterdam
1.33
Capelle
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
Spakenburg
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
RKAV Volendam
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
PEC Zwolle
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
Hoogeveen
0.99
Walcheren
0.99
Dongen
0.99
ARC
0.99
Groene Ster
0.99
Halsteren
0.99
Velocitas
0.99
Sportclub 25
0.99
't Zand
0.99
Westlandia
0.99
Erp
0.99
AWC
0.99
VV Scherpenzeel
0.99
HZVV
0.99
Staphorst
0.99
Roosendaal
0.99
DVO
0.99
Zwaluwen
0.99
Heino
0.99
VVOG
0.99
Kampong
0.99
Aalsmeer
0.99
De Foresters
0.99
Mierlo-Hout
0.99
Willem II
0.50
Katwijk
0.50
Hoek
0.50
Juliana '31
0.50
Almere City FC
0.00
Emmen
0.00
De Treffers
0.00
Harkemase Boys
0.00
GOES
0.00
Kozakken Boys
0.00
URK
0.00
ADO Den Haag
0.00
Hollandia
0.00
TOGB
0.00
GVVV Veenendaal
0.00
ACV
0.00
ROHDA Raalte
0.00
Huizen
0.00
Excelsior '31
0.00
Kloetinge
0.00
HHC
0.00
UNA
0.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
0.00
Meerssen
0.00
Dordrecht
0.00
FC OSS
0.00
NAC Breda
0.00
Roda
0.00
Den Bosch
0.00
Vitesse
0.00
VVV Venlo
0.00
Helmond Sport
0.00
SteDoCo
0.00
Willem II is 0.50 points better than Dordrecht in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 0.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Eindhoven
4.00
PSV Eindhoven
3.50
Ijsselmeervogels
3.33
Sparta Nijkerk
3.25
Barendrecht
3.00
Groningen
3.00
Utrecht
3.00
De Graafschap
2.67
Excelsior
2.67
Waalwijk
2.67
FC Volendam
2.50
Cambuur
2.50
Fortuna Sittard
2.50
Blauw Geel
2.33
Hercules
2.33
Quick Boys
2.25
AZ Alkmaar
2.20
Katwijk
2.00
Rijnvogels
2.00
Spakenburg
2.00
GOES
2.00
URK
2.00
Sportlust '46
2.00
ACV
2.00
RKAV Volendam
2.00
Poortugaal
2.00
Feyenoord
2.00
PEC Zwolle
2.00
TEC
2.00
Heerenveen
2.00
Gemert
2.00
Excelsior Maassluis
2.00
Twente
2.00
GO Ahead Eagles
2.00
SteDoCo
2.00
Noordwijk
1.83
Rijnsburgse Boys
1.75
Eemdijk
1.75
Capelle
1.67
Willem II
1.50
Telstar
1.50
ASWH
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
Juliana '31
1.50
MVV
1.50
Hoogeveen
1.42
Walcheren
1.42
Dongen
1.42
ARC
1.42
Groene Ster
1.42
Halsteren
1.42
Velocitas
1.42
Sportclub 25
1.42
't Zand
1.42
Westlandia
1.42
Erp
1.42
AWC
1.42
VV Scherpenzeel
1.42
HZVV
1.42
Staphorst
1.42
Roosendaal
1.42
DVO
1.42
Zwaluwen
1.42
Heino
1.42
VVOG
1.42
Kampong
1.42
Aalsmeer
1.42
De Foresters
1.42
Mierlo-Hout
1.42
Heracles
1.40
Koninklijke HFC
1.33
SC Genemuiden
1.33
AFC Amsterdam
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
De Treffers
1.00
Harkemase Boys
1.00
Dovo
1.00
Kozakken Boys
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
ADO Den Haag
1.00
UDI '19
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
Huizen
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
Ajax
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
Kloetinge
1.00
ADO '20
1.00
UNA
1.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
Dordrecht
1.00
FC OSS
1.00
NAC Breda
1.00
Roda
1.00
Den Bosch
1.00
Vitesse
1.00
VVV Venlo
1.00
Hoek
0.50
Almere City FC
0.00
Emmen
0.00
Hollandia
0.00
TOGB
0.00
GVVV Veenendaal
0.00
ROHDA Raalte
0.00
Excelsior '31
0.00
HHC
0.00
Meerssen
0.00
Helmond Sport
0.00
Willem II is 0.50 goals better than Dordrecht in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Heracles
0.40
Barendrecht
0.50
Sportlust '46
0.50
ASWH
0.50
ADO '20
0.50
SC Genemuiden
0.67
Noordwijk
0.83
Emmen
1.00
De Graafschap
1.00
Telstar
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
Hollandia
1.00
UDI '19
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
Ajax
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
Gemert
1.00
HHC
1.00
Utrecht
1.00
Meerssen
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
GO Ahead Eagles
1.00
AZ Alkmaar
1.00
Rijnsburgse Boys
1.25
PSV Eindhoven
1.25
Blauw Geel
1.33
Feyenoord
1.33
Heerenveen
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
Waalwijk
1.33
FC Volendam
1.50
Quick Boys
1.50
Hoek
1.50
Excelsior Maassluis
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
MVV
1.50
FC Eindhoven
1.50
Hercules
1.67
Excelsior
1.67
Sparta Nijkerk
1.75
Hoogeveen
1.95
Walcheren
1.95
Dongen
1.95
ARC
1.95
Groene Ster
1.95
Halsteren
1.95
Velocitas
1.95
Sportclub 25
1.95
't Zand
1.95
Westlandia
1.95
Erp
1.95
AWC
1.95
VV Scherpenzeel
1.95
HZVV
1.95
Staphorst
1.95
Roosendaal
1.95
DVO
1.95
Zwaluwen
1.95
Heino
1.95
VVOG
1.95
Kampong
1.95
Aalsmeer
1.95
De Foresters
1.95
Mierlo-Hout
1.95
Willem II
2.00
Spakenburg
2.00
Harkemase Boys
2.00
Dovo
2.00
Kozakken Boys
2.00
Capelle
2.00
RKAV Volendam
2.00
Groningen
2.00
Huizen
2.00
Poortugaal
2.00
PEC Zwolle
2.00
Fortuna Sittard
2.00
Kloetinge
2.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
2.00
Juliana '31
2.00
Dordrecht
2.00
NAC Breda
2.00
Den Bosch
2.00
VVV Venlo
2.00
Ijsselmeervogels
2.33
Katwijk
2.50
Eemdijk
2.50
Cambuur
2.50
Twente
2.50
Rijnvogels
2.67
Almere City FC
3.00
Koninklijke HFC
3.00
AFC Amsterdam
3.00
GVVV Veenendaal
3.00
TEC
3.00
Roda
3.00
Vitesse
3.00
Helmond Sport
3.00
SteDoCo
3.00
De Treffers
4.00
GOES
4.00
URK
4.00
ADO Den Haag
4.00
TOGB
4.00
ROHDA Raalte
4.00
Excelsior '31
4.00
UNA
4.00
FC OSS
4.00
ACV
5.00
Willem II and Dordrecht are level in goals conceded per game (both 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
GO Ahead Eagles
54%
AZ Alkmaar
46%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Willem II
For 5.1 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 9.7 · Total 21.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dordrecht
For 6.0 · Against 6.1 · Total 12.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.7 · Against 11.7 · Total 25.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Willem II
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.1
10.8
2.9
3.0
2.8
19.9
19.5
20.3
vs Stronger (14)
9.8
10.4
9.2
2.6
2.7
2.4
18.3
18.4
18.2
vs Similar (36)
10.7
10.0
11.3
3.0
3.1
2.9
20.5
20.0
21.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
54%
50%
58%
32%
38%
27%
40%
38%
42%
% under line
46%
50%
42%
68%
62%
73%
60%
62%
58%
This opponent (Dordrecht) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dordrecht
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.4
11.6
11.2
3.7
3.6
3.8
25.9
25.6
26.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (47)
11.2
11.7
10.7
3.6
3.5
3.7
25.8
25.1
26.5
vs Weaker (3)
13.7
8.0
16.5
6.3
8.0
5.5
27.7
36.0
23.5
% over line
67%
72%
62%
52%
52%
52%
67%
64%
71%
% under line
33%
28%
38%
48%
48%
48%
33%
36%
29%
This opponent (Willem II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Gemert
16.0
Excelsior Maassluis
15.0
Sparta Nijkerk
14.0
Quick Boys
12.0
GVVV Veenendaal
12.0
Den Bosch
11.7
Dordrecht
11.4
Waalwijk
11.4
VVV Venlo
11.4
GO Ahead Eagles
11.2
FC OSS
11.0
PSV Eindhoven
10.8
Almere City FC
10.7
MVV
10.6
Vitesse
10.6
Sparta Rotterdam
10.5
Heracles
10.5
Willem II
10.5
NEC Nijmegen
10.4
Telstar
10.4
Helmond Sport
10.3
De Graafschap
10.3
FC Volendam
10.3
Fortuna Sittard
10.2
Emmen
10.1
Utrecht
9.9
Roda
9.8
Cambuur
9.8
AZ Alkmaar
9.8
Excelsior
9.8
Feyenoord
9.7
ADO Den Haag
9.6
PEC Zwolle
9.5
FC Eindhoven
9.4
NAC Breda
9.4
Heerenveen
9.4
Twente
9.2
Groningen
9.1
Ajax
9.0
HHC
8.0
Katwijk
4.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sparta Nijkerk
6.0
Excelsior Maassluis
5.0
GVVV Veenendaal
5.0
AZ Alkmaar
4.7
Ajax
4.4
ADO Den Haag
4.2
Cambuur
4.1
Twente
4.1
Dordrecht
4.0
Vitesse
4.0
Emmen
4.0
Gemert
4.0
HHC
4.0
FC OSS
4.0
NEC Nijmegen
3.9
Groningen
3.9
Roda
3.7
NAC Breda
3.7
Excelsior
3.7
Feyenoord
3.7
Den Bosch
3.7
Fortuna Sittard
3.6
Utrecht
3.6
Helmond Sport
3.6
GO Ahead Eagles
3.6
PSV Eindhoven
3.6
De Graafschap
3.6
PEC Zwolle
3.5
Heracles
3.5
FC Volendam
3.5
FC Eindhoven
3.4
VVV Venlo
3.4
Sparta Rotterdam
3.4
Telstar
3.4
MVV
3.4
Heerenveen
3.3
Almere City FC
3.3
Willem II
3.2
Waalwijk
3.0
Katwijk
3.0
Quick Boys
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Excelsior Maassluis
31.0
GVVV Veenendaal
31.0
FC OSS
28.4
Helmond Sport
27.0
Cambuur
26.9
ADO Den Haag
26.8
Vitesse
26.7
Emmen
26.0
Dordrecht
26.0
Telstar
25.4
Ajax
24.5
MVV
24.1
Sparta Nijkerk
24.0
HHC
24.0
FC Volendam
23.9
Roda
23.8
VVV Venlo
23.4
Den Bosch
23.3
De Graafschap
23.2
Heracles
23.1
Gemert
23.0
Fortuna Sittard
22.9
Excelsior
22.7
NEC Nijmegen
22.7
AZ Alkmaar
22.6
Twente
22.4
FC Eindhoven
22.2
Utrecht
22.0
PEC Zwolle
21.9
Heerenveen
21.5
Groningen
21.4
NAC Breda
21.3
Quick Boys
21.0
Feyenoord
21.0
Almere City FC
20.4
Willem II
20.1
GO Ahead Eagles
20.1
Waalwijk
19.3
PSV Eindhoven
18.2
Sparta Rotterdam
17.9
Katwijk
16.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
61.1%
Under 9.5
38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
51.2%
Under 3.5
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
74.9%
Under 21.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Willem II or Draw✓ Hit
80.5%
Avg Implied -
51%
29%
19%
covers Willem II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Willem II or Dordrecht✓ Hit
70.8%
Avg Implied -
51%
29%
19%
covers Willem II + Dordrecht
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Dordrecht✗ Miss
48.7%
Avg Implied -
51%
29%
19%
covers Draw + Dordrecht
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Willem II over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
76.6%
Under
23.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Willem II over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
42.6%
Under
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Willem II over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
18.0%
Under
82.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Willem II over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
6.0%
Under
94.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dordrecht over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
55.1%
Under
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dordrecht over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
19.2%
Under
80.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dordrecht over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.8%
Under
95.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dordrecht over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Willem II, so a minus line means Willem II give that many goals of a start and Dordrecht receive them. At -1, Willem II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Willem II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Willem II)Actual: Willem II
Willem II -2
10.5%
Draw -2
16.1%
Dordrecht +2
73.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Willem II)Actual: Willem II
Willem II -1
26.5%
Draw -1
24.8%
Dordrecht +1
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Willem II)Actual: Willem II
Willem II +1
80.5%
Draw +1
13.1%
Dordrecht -1
6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Willem II)Actual: Willem II
Willem II +2
93.7%
Draw +2
4.9%
Dordrecht -2
1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Willem II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.70
0.71
0.79
0.56
0.62
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.62
0.81
0.67
0.92
0.57
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Dordrecht) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dordrecht
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.70
1.20
0.27
0.33
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.79
0.68
1.20
0.27
0.31
1.15
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.00
-
-
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Willem II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Willem II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Willem II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Willem II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dordrecht over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dordrecht over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dordrecht over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Willem II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
1.17
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.31
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.75
0.50
2.50
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.50
1.08
0.50
0.75
0.50
1.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Dordrecht) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dordrecht
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.47
1.07
0.33
0.73
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.89
0.50
1.07
0.33
0.69
0.69
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (Willem II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Willem II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Willem II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Willem II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dordrecht over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dordrecht over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dordrecht over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
95.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
92.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 goals
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
76.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Willem II
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Devin Haen43%
Thomas Verheydt33%
Emilio Kehrer22%
Calvin Twigt15%
Nick Doodeman15%
Armin Culum14%
Mounir El Allouchi12%
Justin Hoogma9%
Raffael Behounek8%
Finn Stam5%
Per van Loon5%
Siegert Baartmans4%
Samuel Bamba3%
Nathan Tjoe-A-On3%
Gijs Besselink3%
Uriel van Aalst3%
Thomas Didillon0%
Mickael Tirpan0%
Alessandro Ciranni0%
Jari Schuurman0%
Rúnar Þór Sigurgeirsson0%
Amine Et-Taibi0%
Lasse Abildgaard0%
Anass Zarrouk0%
Jens Mathijsen0%
Karst de Leeuw0%
Pieter van Maarschalkerwaard0%
Kayen Scheepens0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rúnar Þór Sigurgeirsson67%
Karst de Leeuw33%
Pieter van Maarschalkerwaard33%
Jens Mathijsen25%
Nathan Tjoe-A-On24%
Finn Stam19%
Kayen Scheepens17%
Calvin Twigt15%
Justin Hoogma15%
Alessandro Ciranni14%
Jari Schuurman12%
Thomas Verheydt11%
Gijs Besselink11%
Mounir El Allouchi9%
Devin Haen9%
Armin Culum7%
Uriel van Aalst5%
Anass Zarrouk5%
Siegert Baartmans4%
Samuel Bamba3%
Raffael Behounek3%
Nick Doodeman2%
Thomas Didillon0%
Mickael Tirpan0%
Amine Et-Taibi0%
Emilio Kehrer0%
Lasse Abildgaard0%
Per van Loon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nick Doodeman32%
Amine Et-Taibi25%
Calvin Twigt15%
Armin Culum14%
Mounir El Allouchi12%
Devin Haen11%
Thomas Verheydt11%
Alessandro Ciranni10%
Per van Loon9%
Uriel van Aalst8%
Justin Hoogma6%
Siegert Baartmans4%
Samuel Bamba3%
Nathan Tjoe-A-On3%
Raffael Behounek3%
Gijs Besselink3%
Thomas Didillon0%
Mickael Tirpan0%
Jari Schuurman0%
Rúnar Þór Sigurgeirsson0%
Emilio Kehrer0%
Finn Stam0%
Lasse Abildgaard0%
Anass Zarrouk0%
Jens Mathijsen0%
Karst de Leeuw0%
Pieter van Maarschalkerwaard0%
Kayen Scheepens0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Devin Haen49%
Thomas Verheydt26%
Emilio Kehrer22%
Mounir El Allouchi19%
Samuel Bamba17%
Calvin Twigt8%
Nick Doodeman8%
Armin Culum7%
Nathan Tjoe-A-On6%
Per van Loon5%
Siegert Baartmans4%
Raffael Behounek3%
Uriel van Aalst3%
Thomas Didillon0%
Mickael Tirpan0%
Justin Hoogma0%
Alessandro Ciranni0%
Jari Schuurman0%
Rúnar Þór Sigurgeirsson0%
Amine Et-Taibi0%
Finn Stam0%
Gijs Besselink0%
Lasse Abildgaard0%
Anass Zarrouk0%
Jens Mathijsen0%
Karst de Leeuw0%
Pieter van Maarschalkerwaard0%
Kayen Scheepens0%
Dordrecht
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yannick Eduardo48%
Nick Venema24%
Joep van der Sluijs17%
Joshua Pynadath16%
Argyrios Darelas13%
Stéphano Carrillo12%
Daniel van Vianen8%
Yannis M'Bemba8%
Jurre van Aken8%
Jan Plug7%
Sem Valk7%
Yoon Do-young7%
Lucas Woudenberg5%
Marouane Afaker4%
Seung-gyun Bae4%
Lawson Sunderland3%
Robin van Asten3%
Mica Pinto0%
Tim Coremans0%
Martin Vetkal0%
Celton Biai0%
Augustin Drakpe0%
John Hilton0%
Noah Bischof0%
Nicolás Rossi0%
Lorenzo Codutti0%
Deveron Fonville0%
Joey de Bie0%
Senne Vugts0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yoon Do-young33%
Yannick Eduardo26%
Lucas Woudenberg25%
Deveron Fonville25%
Senne Vugts22%
Joey de Bie21%
Marouane Afaker21%
Augustin Drakpe18%
Nicolás Rossi18%
Lawson Sunderland17%
Joep van der Sluijs17%
Daniel van Vianen17%
Nick Venema16%
Seung-gyun Bae16%
Martin Vetkal16%
Stéphano Carrillo15%
Jan Plug14%
Sem Valk13%
Yannis M'Bemba12%
Jurre van Aken12%
Celton Biai11%
Lorenzo Codutti8%
Robin van Asten7%
John Hilton5%
Mica Pinto0%
Tim Coremans0%
Joshua Pynadath0%
Noah Bischof0%
Argyrios Darelas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Deveron Fonville25%
Yoon Do-young20%
Yannick Eduardo17%
Nicolás Rossi14%
Nick Venema14%
Joep van der Sluijs11%
Augustin Drakpe9%
Marouane Afaker8%
Jurre van Aken8%
Joey de Bie7%
Sem Valk7%
John Hilton5%
Seung-gyun Bae4%
Lawson Sunderland3%
Martin Vetkal3%
Lucas Woudenberg0%
Mica Pinto0%
Tim Coremans0%
Joshua Pynadath0%
Celton Biai0%
Yannis M'Bemba0%
Noah Bischof0%
Daniel van Vianen0%
Argyrios Darelas0%
Lorenzo Codutti0%
Stéphano Carrillo0%
Jan Plug0%
Robin van Asten0%
Senne Vugts0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yannick Eduardo35%
Joep van der Sluijs33%
Stéphano Carrillo21%
Nick Venema16%
Argyrios Darelas13%
Nicolás Rossi11%
Joshua Pynadath11%
Daniel van Vianen8%
Joey de Bie7%
Jan Plug7%
Lawson Sunderland7%
Yoon Do-young7%
Augustin Drakpe5%
Marouane Afaker4%
Jurre van Aken4%
Robin van Asten3%
Martin Vetkal3%
Lucas Woudenberg0%
Mica Pinto0%
Tim Coremans0%
Celton Biai0%
Yannis M'Bemba0%
John Hilton0%
Noah Bischof0%
Sem Valk0%
Lorenzo Codutti0%
Deveron Fonville0%
Seung-gyun Bae0%
Senne Vugts0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
ADH (23)
€13m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
NB (23)
€10m
ACF (27)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
TEL (21)
€8m
ROD (17)
€8m
WAA (22)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
FV (20)
€6m
DG (21)
€6m
DOR (21)
€6m
DB (17)
€5m
EMM (21)
€5m
MVV (21)
€4m
HS (16)
€4m
VV (19)
€4m
FO (17)
€4m
FE (16)
€3m
Willem II's squad is €7m more valuable than Dordrecht's (€13m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
ADH (11)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
WI (8)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
CAM (10)
€3m
TEL (7)
€3m
DB (7)
€3m
DOR (8)
€2m
FV (6)
€2m
DG (8)
€2m
FE (8)
€2m
HS (5)
€2m
MVV (8)
€1m
VV (6)
€1m
EMM (6)
€1m
FO (5)
€1m
Willem II's attack is €2m more valuable than Dordrecht's (€4m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
EMM (7)
€2m
NB (3)
€2m
ACF (5)
€2m
DOR (5)
€2m
DG (5)
€2m
TEL (4)
€2m
ROD (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
ADH (3)
€1m
MVV (4)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
DB (3)
€1m
HS (5)
€1m
FO (3)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
FE (2)
€0m
VV (3)
€0m
Willem II's midfield is €2m more valuable than Dordrecht's (€4m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
CAM (10)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
WI (12)
€5m
ADH (9)
€5m
NB (10)
€4m
TEL (10)
€3m
WAA (11)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
ACF (12)
€3m
DG (8)
€2m
VIT (11)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
ROD (6)
€2m
FO (9)
€2m
DOR (8)
€2m
HS (6)
€2m
MVV (9)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
DB (7)
€1m
FE (6)
€1m
Willem II's defence is €3m more valuable than Dordrecht's (€5m vs €2m).
Netherlands: Eerste Divisie 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eerste Divisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
ADO Den Haag
Cambuur
Almere City FC
De Graafschap
Waalwijk
Roda
Vitesse
Jong PSV U21
Den Bosch
FC Eindhoven
Jong Utrecht
VVV Venlo
Emmen
FC OSS
Jong AZ
Helmond Sport
MVV
Jong Ajax
FC Volendam