Wisła Kraków are tipped to win in a 52% favourite, with a 26% chance of a draw and only 22% for a Slask Wroclaw victory. The model expects 2.9 goals on average, but the most likely total is 2, a 24% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.2% chance, reflecting the balanced scoring and conceding figures: Wisła, at home against a similarly ranked side, averages 1.0 goal scored and 3.0 conceded, while Slask, on the road, nets 1.4 and concedes 1.5. Recent form shows Wisła coming off a win and Slask a draw, adding a slight edge to the home side. The model’s selection of Over 1.5 goals carries a 79.1% probability, signalling a likely attacking encounter. The suggested picks list only this selection, with its probability stated plainly.
Results analysis
The Pythia model’s prediction proved spot on, as Wisla Krakow secured a decisive 5-0 victory, extending their recent win streak. The model had named a Home win as the favourite, assigning it a 52% probability, and this call was correct. The suggested Over 1.5 selection, with a 79.1% chance, also hit. Wisla’s home form, highlighted by a recent win, contrasted with Slask Wroclaw’s mixed away results, yet the final score confirmed the model’s expectations. The match delivered a clear home triumph, matching the predicted outcome and validating the model’s overall accuracy.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Wisla Krakow win✓ Hit
52.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Slask Wroclaw win✗ Miss
22.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Wisla Krakow
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
3.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.33
0.93
1.71
0.86
2.88
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
2.00
2.00
1.00
3.00
2.50
1.50
vs Weaker (27)
2.37
0.81
1.77
0.69
2.93
0.93
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Slask Wroclaw) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slask Wroclaw
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.43
1.47
1.20
1.33
1.67
vs Stronger (5)
1.40
2.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
2.67
vs Similar (23)
1.39
1.35
1.38
1.23
1.40
1.50
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.00
-
-
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
7% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Wisla Krakow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.1%
Under 1.5
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.6%
Under 2.5
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.3%
Under 3.5
67.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.4%
No
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.0%
2-0
8.9%
0-0
6.8%
1-2
6.1%
3-1
5.8%
2-2
5.4%
Wisla Krakow goals ↓
Slask Wroclaw goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.8%
5.1%
3.4%
1.3%
0.3%
1
9.0%
12%
6.1%
2.2%
0.6%
2
8.9%
9.8%
5.4%
2.0%
0.5%
3
5.2%
5.8%
3.2%
1.2%
0.3%
4
2.3%
2.5%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Wisla Krakow goals (down), columns = Slask Wroclaw goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Wisla Krakow
2.15
Slask Wroclaw
1.79
Wieczysta Kraków
1.75
ŁKS Łódź
1.57
Ruch Chorzów
1.56
Chrobry Głogów
1.56
Miedz Legnica
1.53
Polonia Warszawa
1.51
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.44
Polonia Bytom
1.38
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.32
Odra Opole
1.29
Stal Rzeszów
1.26
Pogoń Siedlce
1.06
Stal Mielec
1.06
Znicz Pruszków
0.82
Górnik Łęczna
0.79
Tychy 71
0.68
Wisla Krakow is 0.36 points better than Slask Wroclaw in terms of average points per game (2.15 vs 1.79).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Wisla Krakow
2.18
Wieczysta Kraków
2.08
Slask Wroclaw
2.00
Polonia Bytom
1.65
ŁKS Łódź
1.63
Ruch Chorzów
1.59
Polonia Warszawa
1.54
Miedz Legnica
1.53
Stal Mielec
1.50
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.50
Stal Rzeszów
1.44
Chrobry Głogów
1.39
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.32
Tychy 71
1.18
Znicz Pruszków
1.18
Górnik Łęczna
1.15
Odra Opole
1.00
Pogoń Siedlce
0.97
Wisla Krakow is 0.18 goals better than Slask Wroclaw in terms of goals scored per game (2.18 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Wisla Krakow
0.88
Chrobry Głogów
1.08
Odra Opole
1.18
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.18
Pogoń Siedlce
1.26
Ruch Chorzów
1.35
Wieczysta Kraków
1.39
ŁKS Łódź
1.40
Slask Wroclaw
1.42
Polonia Bytom
1.47
Polonia Warszawa
1.49
Miedz Legnica
1.56
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.59
Stal Rzeszów
1.76
Górnik Łęczna
1.82
Stal Mielec
1.82
Znicz Pruszków
2.00
Tychy 71
2.18
Wisla Krakow is 0.55 goals better than Slask Wroclaw in terms of goals conceded per game (0.88 vs 1.42).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Wisla Krakow
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.50
0.93
0.57
1.50
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (27)
1.26
0.44
0.92
0.46
1.57
0.43
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Slask Wroclaw) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slask Wroclaw
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.70
0.73
0.60
0.60
0.80
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (23)
0.65
0.70
0.77
0.62
0.50
0.80
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Wisla Krakow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Wisla Krakow over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wisla Krakow over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wisla Krakow over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slask Wroclaw over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slask Wroclaw over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slask Wroclaw over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Wisla Krakow
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.43
0.79
0.29
1.38
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
1.50
1.00
vs Weaker (27)
1.11
0.37
0.85
0.23
1.36
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Slask Wroclaw) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slask Wroclaw
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.73
0.73
0.60
0.73
0.87
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
1.00
1.50
0.50
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (23)
0.74
0.65
0.62
0.62
0.90
0.70
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.00
-
-
0.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Wisla Krakow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Wisla Krakow over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wisla Krakow over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wisla Krakow over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slask Wroclaw over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slask Wroclaw over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slask Wroclaw over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Wisla Krakow · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jordi Sánchez83%
Marko Božić33%
Elie Youan20%
Ángel Rodado17%
Julius Ertlthaler0%
Frederico Duarte0%
Julian Lelieveld0%
Alan Uryga0%
James Igbekeme0%
Raoul Giger0%
Rafał Mikulec0%
Maxence Maisonneuve0%
Kacper Duda0%
Marcel Łubik0%
Jakub Krzyżanowski0%
Maciej Kuziemka0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Maxence Maisonneuve60%
Alan Uryga33%
Kacper Duda33%
Julius Ertlthaler17%
Jordi Sánchez17%
Marko Božić17%
Elie Youan0%
Frederico Duarte0%
Julian Lelieveld0%
James Igbekeme0%
Raoul Giger0%
Rafał Mikulec0%
Ángel Rodado0%
Marcel Łubik0%
Jakub Krzyżanowski0%
Maciej Kuziemka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rafał Mikulec33%
Raoul Giger25%
Maxence Maisonneuve20%
Julius Ertlthaler17%
Alan Uryga17%
Marko Božić17%
Ángel Rodado17%
Elie Youan0%
Frederico Duarte0%
Julian Lelieveld0%
James Igbekeme0%
Jordi Sánchez0%
Kacper Duda0%
Marcel Łubik0%
Jakub Krzyżanowski0%
Maciej Kuziemka0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jordi Sánchez50%
Marko Božić33%
Ángel Rodado33%
Julius Ertlthaler0%
Elie Youan0%
Frederico Duarte0%
Julian Lelieveld0%
Alan Uryga0%
James Igbekeme0%
Raoul Giger0%
Rafał Mikulec0%
Maxence Maisonneuve0%
Kacper Duda0%
Marcel Łubik0%
Jakub Krzyżanowski0%
Maciej Kuziemka0%
Slask Wroclaw · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Piotr Samiec-Talar40%
Przemysław Banaszak40%
Eniss Shabani25%
Luka Marjanac20%
Lamine Ba0%
Malaly Dembélé0%
Karol Niemczycki0%
Mariusz Malec0%
Grzegorz Tomasiewicz0%
Jorge Yriarte0%
Alex Timossi Andersson0%
Michał Mokrzycki0%
Irodotos Christodoulou0%
Marc Llinares0%
Yegor Matsenko0%
Michał Rosiak0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Eniss Shabani50%
Michał Rosiak40%
Lamine Ba25%
Grzegorz Tomasiewicz20%
Jorge Yriarte20%
Malaly Dembélé0%
Karol Niemczycki0%
Piotr Samiec-Talar0%
Mariusz Malec0%
Alex Timossi Andersson0%
Przemysław Banaszak0%
Michał Mokrzycki0%
Irodotos Christodoulou0%
Marc Llinares0%
Yegor Matsenko0%
Luka Marjanac0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Piotr Samiec-Talar40%
Michał Mokrzycki33%
Lamine Ba0%
Malaly Dembélé0%
Karol Niemczycki0%
Mariusz Malec0%
Grzegorz Tomasiewicz0%
Jorge Yriarte0%
Alex Timossi Andersson0%
Przemysław Banaszak0%
Irodotos Christodoulou0%
Marc Llinares0%
Eniss Shabani0%
Yegor Matsenko0%
Michał Rosiak0%
Luka Marjanac0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Piotr Samiec-Talar20%
Lamine Ba0%
Malaly Dembélé0%
Karol Niemczycki0%
Mariusz Malec0%
Grzegorz Tomasiewicz0%
Jorge Yriarte0%
Alex Timossi Andersson0%
Przemysław Banaszak0%
Michał Mokrzycki0%
Irodotos Christodoulou0%
Marc Llinares0%
Eniss Shabani0%
Yegor Matsenko0%
Michał Rosiak0%
Luka Marjanac0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WK (24)
€13m
WK (22)
€12m
SW (22)
€7m
PW (25)
€5m
ML (24)
€4m
ŁŁ (22)
€4m
OO (24)
€4m
RC (20)
€4m
SR (18)
€3m
PB (21)
€3m
CG (20)
€3m
PN (16)
€3m
PGM (15)
€2m
SM (16)
€2m
PS (18)
€2m
Wisla Krakow's squad is €6m more valuable than Slask Wroclaw's (€13m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WK (8)
€6m
WK (8)
€5m
PW (13)
€3m
OO (8)
€2m
SW (5)
€2m
ŁŁ (7)
€2m
ML (7)
€1m
SM (8)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
SR (9)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
CG (7)
€1m
PS (8)
€1m
PGM (4)
€0m
Wisla Krakow's attack is €4m more valuable than Slask Wroclaw's (€6m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SW (9)
€3m
WK (4)
€2m
ML (10)
€2m
OO (8)
€1m
PGM (6)
€1m
WK (3)
€1m
PB (8)
€1m
ŁŁ (7)
€1m
RC (5)
€1m
CG (6)
€1m
PN (4)
€0m
PW (2)
€0m
SR (2)
€0m
PS (3)
€0m
SM (2)
€0m
Wisla Krakow's midfield is €1m less valuable than Slask Wroclaw's (€2m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WK (12)
€5m
WK (11)
€5m
SW (8)
€2m
PW (10)
€2m
ŁŁ (8)
€2m
CG (7)
€1m
SR (7)
€1m
RC (8)
€1m
ML (7)
€1m
PN (6)
€1m
OO (8)
€1m
PB (5)
€1m
PGM (5)
€1m
PS (7)
€1m
SM (6)
€1m
Wisla Krakow's defence is €3m more valuable than Slask Wroclaw's (€5m vs €2m).
Poland: I Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: I Liga stats & trends →