PythiaFootballBETA
Wolfsberger AC hosts Austria Vienna at home in the Austria: Bundesliga. The home side is coming off a draw against Red Bull Salzburg, a result that follows a win and a loss in their previous three matches. Their opponents, Austria Vienna, suffered a 0-2 defeat to Lask Linz, their second loss in the last five matches.
The model favours a home win, predicting a 39% chance of Wolfsberger AC taking all three points. The model also expects a low-scoring match, with an average of 2.4 goals and a most likely total of 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 14.2% probability. Wolfsberger AC has scored 1 goal on average at home, while conceding 0.71 goals, against opponents of similar strength. Austria Vienna, meanwhile, scores 1.8 goals on average away from home, while conceding 1.4 goals against similar opponents.
The model's selections include Under 3.5 (77% probability) and Over 1.5 (71.3% probability). The model's selection, Under 3.5, holds an 8% edge. Wolfsberger AC is 39% likely to win, 30% likely to draw, and 31% likely to lose.
Wolfsberger AC's win extends their recent run, coming off a draw against Red Bull Salzburg. The final score was 3-0 in favour of the home team, confirming the actual result. The model's selection, Home win, was correct, given its pre-match probability of 39%. The model's call was vindicated as the favourite, with the other options unlikely to prevail. The model's selection for Under 3.5 goals came in with a probability of 77%, while Over 1.5 goals was also a hit, with a probability of 71.3%.
Wolfsberger AC| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.20 | 1.37 | 1.23 | 0.85 | 1.18 | 1.76 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 2.25 | 1.50 | 2.50 | 1.50 | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| vs Similar (17) | 0.82 | 1.29 | 1.00 | 0.71 | 0.70 | 1.70 |
| vs Weaker (9) | 1.44 | 1.44 | 1.00 | 0.75 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 23% (-3pp vs league) | |||||
Austria Vienna| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.38 | 1.62 | 1.64 | 1.36 |
| vs Stronger (8) | 1.38 | 2.00 | 1.50 | 3.00 | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (11) | 1.73 | 1.45 | 1.67 | 1.50 | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| vs Weaker (11) | 1.36 | 1.18 | 1.00 | 0.83 | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Clean sheet % | 30% (+4pp vs league) | |||||
| Austria Vienna goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 10.0% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 10% | 14% | 7.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 7.5% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Wolfsberger ACAustria ViennaWolfsberger AC| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.5 | 9.4 | 9.5 | 4.4 | 4.1 | 4.6 | 22.8 | 23.1 | 22.5 |
| vs Stronger (11) | 9.4 | 8.0 | 10.6 | 4.9 | 5.2 | 4.7 | 21.0 | 25.5 | 17.4 |
| vs Similar (28) | 9.8 | 9.9 | 9.7 | 4.5 | 3.9 | 5.1 | 23.5 | 23.1 | 23.9 |
| vs Weaker (11) | 8.7 | 9.4 | 8.2 | 3.6 | 3.8 | 3.5 | 22.6 | 21.4 | 23.7 |
| % over line | 48% | 48% | 48% | 68% | 58% | 77% | 58% | 61% | 56% |
| % under line | 52% | 52% | 52% | 32% | 42% | 23% | 42% | 39% | 44% |
Austria Vienna| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.4 | 10.5 | 10.2 | 4.2 | 4.4 | 4.0 | 22.6 | 22.8 | 22.5 |
| vs Stronger (12) | 9.8 | 10.5 | 9.0 | 5.2 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 22.6 | 21.5 | 23.7 |
| vs Similar (21) | 10.5 | 9.4 | 11.5 | 4.2 | 5.1 | 3.4 | 22.7 | 24.5 | 21.0 |
| vs Weaker (17) | 10.8 | 12.0 | 9.4 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 4.0 | 22.7 | 21.6 | 23.9 |
| % over line | 56% | 58% | 54% | 60% | 64% | 56% | 50% | 54% | 46% |
| % under line | 44% | 42% | 46% | 40% | 36% | 44% | 50% | 46% | 54% |
Wolfsberger AC| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.73 | 0.47 | 0.69 | 0.23 | 0.76 | 0.65 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 1.75 | 0.25 | 1.50 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.50 |
| vs Similar (17) | 0.41 | 0.41 | 0.57 | 0.14 | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| vs Weaker (9) | 0.89 | 0.67 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+27pp vs league) | |||||
Austria Vienna| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.73 | 0.90 | 0.56 | 0.81 | 0.93 | 1.00 |
| vs Stronger (8) | 0.88 | 1.12 | 0.75 | 1.75 | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| vs Similar (11) | 0.64 | 0.91 | 0.67 | 0.67 | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| vs Weaker (11) | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+20pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 78.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | â Miss |
| Under 3.5 | 77.0% | 1.35 | 1.40 | 1.37 | 1.36 | 1.36 | 1.35 | +7.9% | â Hit |
| Under 5.5 cards | 76.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | â Hit |
| Under 25.5 fouls | 75.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | â Hit |
| Under 11.5 corners | 74.4% | 1.32 | 1.36 | 1.35 | 1.32 | 1.28 | 1.27 | +5.0% | â Hit |
| Over 19.5 fouls | 71.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | â Hit |
| Over 1.5 | 71.3% | 1.25 | 1.28 | 1.28 | 1.26 | 1.26 | 1.25 | -3.0% | â Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/12/25 | H | 2-1 | |
| 10/08/25 | A | 0-2 | |
| 18/05/25 | H | 1-2 | |
| 06/04/25 | A | 0-0 | |
| 09/11/24 | H | 0-1 | |
| 11/08/24 | A | 3-1 | |
| 21/05/24 | H | 1-2 | |
| 11/05/24 | A | 0-4 |
Wolfsberger AC| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 16/05/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 09/05/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 04/05/26 | A | 1-4 | |
| 25/04/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 21/04/26 | A | 3-0 | |
| 18/04/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 11/04/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 04/04/26 | A | 3-1 | |
| 21/03/26 | H | 1-1 |
Austria Vienna| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 17/05/26 | H | 0-3 | |
| 10/05/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 03/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 26/04/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 22/04/26 | A | 3-1 | |
| 19/04/26 | H | 1-3 | |
| 12/04/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 05/04/26 | A | 4-1 | |
| 22/03/26 | A | 0-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value âŽm | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 |  Rapid Vienna | 3 | 9 | 100% | 3.0 | 11 | 1 | +10 | 4.0 | 67% | 67% | 33% | 9.0 | 33% | 2.7 | 33% | 20.7 | 67% | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 3.7 | 0.3 | 56% |
| 2 |  Lask Linz | 3 | 9 | 100% | 3.0 | 9 | 1 | +8 | 3.3 | 100% | 67% | 33% | 9.0 | 33% | 3.7 | 67% | 22.7 | 67% | 48 | 17 | 8 | 22 | 3.0 | 0.3 | 49% |
| 3 |  Red Bull Salzburg | 3 | 7 | 67% | 2.3 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 2.0 | 67% | 33% | 0% | 14.0 | 67% | 4.5 | 50% | 16.7 | 0% | 192 | 93 | 40 | 59 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 60% |
| 4 |  Sturm Graz | 3 | 7 | 67% | 2.3 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 1.7 | 67% | 0% | 0% | 12.7 | 67% | 3.7 | 67% | 21.3 | 67% | 59 | 20 | 17 | 22 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 54% |
| 5 | Wolfsberger AC | 3 | 4 | 33% | 1.3 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 2.7 | 100% | 67% | 0% | 10.0 | 67% | 3.7 | 33% | 21.0 | 33% | 35 | 14 | 3 | 18 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 51% |
| 6 |  Austria Lustenau | 3 | 4 | 33% | 1.3 | 4 | 4 | +0 | 2.7 | 100% | 67% | 0% | 11.3 | 100% | 3.3 | 33% | 20.3 | 67% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | - |
| 7 |  SCR Altach | 3 | 3 | 33% | 1.0 | 3 | 3 | +0 | 2.0 | 33% | 33% | 33% | 12.7 | 67% | 2.0 | 0% | 18.7 | 33% | 12 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 52% |
| 8 | Austria Vienna | 3 | 3 | 33% | 1.0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 2.3 | 100% | 33% | 0% | 11.0 | 67% | 3.3 | 33% | 21.3 | 33% | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 49% |
| 9 |  Grazer AK | 3 | 3 | 33% | 1.0 | 2 | 12 | -10 | 4.7 | 100% | 100% | 33% | 9.3 | 33% | 3.0 | 33% | 22.0 | 67% | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 0.7 | 4.0 | 48% |
| 10 |  Ried | 3 | 1 | 0% | 0.3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 3.3 | 100% | 67% | 33% | 8.7 | 33% | 3.3 | 67% | 19.3 | 33% | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 49% |
| 11 |  WSG Wattens | 3 | 1 | 0% | 0.3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 3.0 | 100% | 67% | 33% | 8.0 | 0% | 3.3 | 33% | 20.7 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.7 | 2.3 | 44% |
| 12 |  TSV Hartberg | 3 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 1.7 | 67% | 0% | 0% | 15.0 | 100% | 3.5 | 50% | 19.3 | 33% | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 0.0 | 1.7 | 39% |