Wolfsberger AC will travel to face Lask Linz on September 1 in the Austrian Bundesliga, and the model’s most likely outcome is an away win. The probabilities are 34% for a home victory, 30% for a draw, and 36% for a win by Lask Linz. The average goal expectation sits at 2.4, with the most probable total of two goals occurring 27% of the time. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 14.3% chance. Wolfsberger’s home form shows an average of 1.29 goals scored and 0.71 conceded against similarly matched opponents, while Lask Linz on the road averages 2.17 scored and 1.33 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.5%), Under 6.5 (98.4%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.1%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.2%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.1%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.1%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.0%), and Home under 3.5 goals (95.5%). Each selection carries its own probability, with edges highlighted where provided.
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved spot on, as Lask Linz secured a 3-1 away victory, extending their three-game winning streak while Wolfsberger AC slipped after a defeat. The pre-match favourite was the away win, given a 38% probability, and the model’s call was correct. The final score of 1-3 matched the actual result. The model’s selections largely hit: Under 7.5 goals (99.5%) and Under 6.5 goals (98.4%) were correct, as were Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.0%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.3%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.1%) and Home under 3.5 goals (95.5%). Only the Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.9%) missed. The most likely total of 2 goals, with a 26% chance, was not reached, but the overall model performance remained strong.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Wolfsberger AC win✗ Miss
33.4%
Avg Implied 16.2% · @ 5.76
Edge
+17.2%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
6.25
Bet365
6.00
BetVictor
6.00
Pinnacle
5.99
Dafabet
5.80
Draw✗ Miss
29.0%
Avg Implied 20.2% · @ 4.61
Edge
+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.04
BetVictor
5.00
Dafabet
4.80
1xBet
4.70
Superbet
4.70
Lask Linz win✓ Hit
37.6%
Avg Implied 63.6% · @ 1.47
Edge
-26.0%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.52
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.49
Dafabet
1.49
1xBet
1.47
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Wolfsberger AC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.33
1.15
0.77
1.29
1.76
vs Stronger (5)
1.40
1.40
1.00
1.33
2.00
1.50
vs Similar (16)
0.81
1.25
1.29
0.71
0.44
1.67
vs Weaker (9)
1.89
1.44
1.00
0.33
2.33
2.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Lask Linz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lask Linz
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
3.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.40
1.17
2.38
1.00
2.43
1.36
vs Stronger (5)
2.00
2.40
2.33
2.33
1.50
2.50
vs Similar (11)
2.45
1.09
2.80
0.80
2.17
1.33
vs Weaker (14)
2.50
0.79
2.12
0.62
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolfsberger AC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.2%
@ 1.12-9.3%
Under 1.5
25.8%
@ 5.66+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.15
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Pinnacle
1.13
Unibet
1.12
Under
Pinnacle
6.54
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
BetVictor
6.00
Marathonbet
5.65
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.7%
@ 1.43-17.4%
Under 2.5
52.3%
@ 2.67+17.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.48
Unibet
1.47
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Under
Pinnacle
2.98
BetVictor
2.75
Bet365
2.70
Betfair
2.70
Marathonbet
2.68
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.0%
@ 2.11-18.4%
Under 3.5
74.0%
@ 1.69+18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.23
SBO
2.20
10Bet
2.15
Betfair
2.15
Betano
2.12
Under
Pinnacle
1.82
Marathonbet
1.75
1xBet
1.72
Betano
1.70
BetVictor
1.69
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.8%
@ 1.55-6.0%
No
46.2%
@ 2.30+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.58
Betfair
1.57
Bet365
1.57
10Bet
1.55
William Hil
1.55
No
BetVictor
2.38
Betfair
2.38
1xBet
2.35
Marathonbet
2.33
Betano
2.30
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%@ 8.72+8.6%
0-1
8.8%@ 9.47+4.0%
0-0
8.8%@ 17.32+6.2%
1-2
8.4%@ 7.66+2.5%
1-0
8.2%@ 19.47+5.8%
2-1
7.8%@ 15.88+5.0%
0-2
6.7%@ 8.76+1.6%
2-0
5.9%@ 35.24+4.6%
Wolfsberger AC goals ↓
Lask Linz goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.8%
8.8%
6.7%
3.0%
1.0%
1
8.2%
14%
8.4%
3.7%
1.3%
2
5.9%
7.8%
5.2%
2.3%
0.8%
3
2.4%
3.3%
2.2%
1.0%
0.3%
4
0.8%
1.0%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Wolfsberger AC goals (down), columns = Lask Linz goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lask Linz
3.00
Red Bull Salzburg
2.60
Rapid Vienna
2.40
Sturm Graz
1.60
WSG Wattens
1.40
TSV Hartberg
1.20
Wolfsberger AC
1.00
Austria Lustenau
1.00
Grazer AK
0.80
Ried
0.80
Austria Vienna
0.60
SCR Altach
0.60
Wolfsberger AC is 2.00 points worse than Lask Linz in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 3.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Rapid Vienna
3.00
Lask Linz
3.00
Red Bull Salzburg
2.80
WSG Wattens
1.40
Sturm Graz
1.20
Wolfsberger AC
1.20
Ried
1.20
TSV Hartberg
1.00
Austria Lustenau
1.00
SCR Altach
0.80
Austria Vienna
0.60
Grazer AK
0.40
Wolfsberger AC is 1.80 goals worse than Lask Linz in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 3.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lask Linz
0.40
Red Bull Salzburg
0.60
Sturm Graz
1.00
Wolfsberger AC
1.20
Rapid Vienna
1.40
WSG Wattens
1.40
TSV Hartberg
1.60
SCR Altach
1.60
Austria Lustenau
1.80
Austria Vienna
2.00
Ried
2.00
Grazer AK
2.60
Wolfsberger AC is 0.80 goals worse than Lask Linz in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 0.40).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
66%
Lask Linz
58%
Rapid Vienna
56%
Sturm Graz
55%
Ried
52%
Grazer AK
50%
SCR Altach
49%
Austria Vienna
45%
WSG Wattens
45%
TSV Hartberg
42%
Wolfsberger AC
42%
Austria Lustenau
41%
Wolfsberger AC is 16.0 percentage points worse than Lask Linz in terms of average possession (42% vs 58%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Wolfsberger AC
For 4.1 · Against 6.2 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 10.3 · Total 23.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lask Linz
For 5.5 · Against 3.5 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 11.4 · Total 22.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Wolfsberger AC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.6
9.7
3.8
3.7
3.9
23.2
22.9
23.5
vs Stronger (9)
9.7
8.7
10.7
4.7
4.2
5.2
21.2
22.3
20.0
vs Similar (29)
9.7
9.8
9.6
4.2
3.6
4.7
23.6
23.3
23.9
vs Weaker (12)
9.6
9.8
9.4
2.3
3.2
1.9
23.1
21.8
24.2
% over line
49%
48%
50%
58%
52%
63%
60%
57%
64%
% under line
51%
52%
50%
42%
48%
37%
40%
43%
36%
This opponent (Lask Linz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lask Linz
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.8
10.3
3.2
3.3
3.2
21.3
21.7
20.9
vs Stronger (6)
10.5
12.0
9.0
2.2
2.0
2.3
19.7
23.7
15.7
vs Similar (17)
10.6
11.1
10.1
4.1
3.9
4.3
20.8
20.6
21.0
vs Weaker (27)
10.6
10.3
11.0
2.9
3.2
2.5
22.2
21.9
22.6
% over line
58%
61%
55%
38%
40%
36%
47%
43%
50%
% under line
42%
39%
45%
62%
60%
64%
53%
57%
50%
This opponent (Wolfsberger AC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lask Linz
10.2
Austria Vienna
10.1
WSG Wattens
10.0
Sturm Graz
10.0
TSV Hartberg
9.9
Austria Lustenau
9.8
Wolfsberger AC
9.6
Rapid Vienna
9.6
Red Bull Salzburg
9.3
Grazer AK
9.1
Ried
8.9
SCR Altach
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SCR Altach
5.0
Austria Lustenau
4.9
Sturm Graz
4.8
Wolfsberger AC
4.7
Ried
4.6
Grazer AK
4.6
TSV Hartberg
4.5
Austria Vienna
4.4
WSG Wattens
4.3
Rapid Vienna
4.2
Red Bull Salzburg
3.9
Lask Linz
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rapid Vienna
24.0
Sturm Graz
23.8
Grazer AK
23.3
Austria Lustenau
23.3
SCR Altach
23.0
Austria Vienna
22.9
Wolfsberger AC
22.8
WSG Wattens
22.5
Ried
22.4
TSV Hartberg
21.7
Lask Linz
21.0
Red Bull Salzburg
19.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.3%
@ 1.78+3.0%
Under 9.5
44.7%
@ 1.95-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.87
Superbet
1.85
10Bet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.78
Under
Unibet
2.06
Pinnacle
2.02
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
1.97
10Bet
1.91
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
54.8%
Under 3.5
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
44.3%
Under 21.5
55.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Wolfsberger AC or Draw✗ Miss
66.0%
Avg Implied 36.5% · @ 2.56
Edge
+29.5%
33%
29%
38%
covers Wolfsberger AC + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.70
Betano
2.67
10Bet
2.62
BetVictor
2.60
1xBet
2.59
Wolfsberger AC or Lask Linz✓ Hit
70.9%
Avg Implied 80.2% · @ 1.16
Edge
-9.3%
33%
29%
38%
covers Wolfsberger AC + Lask Linz
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Unibet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Draw or Lask Linz✓ Hit
63.1%
Avg Implied 83.3% · @ 1.12
Edge
-20.3%
33%
29%
38%
covers Draw + Lask Linz
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.14
Betfair
1.13
William Hil
1.12
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Wolfsberger AC over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
73.2%
@ 1.42+7.8%
Under
26.8%
@ 2.69-7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.45
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
Under
Pinnacle
2.95
Betfair
2.75
BetVictor
2.75
Marathonbet
2.72
1xBet
2.68
Wolfsberger AC over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
37.9%
@ 3.06+7.6%
Under
62.1%
@ 1.34-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Unibet
3.05
Superbet
3.05
1xBet
3.05
Under
Pinnacle
1.38
Marathonbet
1.36
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Betfair
1.33
Wolfsberger AC over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.7%
@ 7.56+2.4%
Under
85.3%
@ 1.06-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
1xBet
7.90
Marathonbet
7.70
Superbet
7.60
Betfair
7.50
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
BetVictor
1.06
Wolfsberger AC over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.5%
@ 19.58-0.4%
Under
95.5%
@ 1.01+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
26.00
Superbet
21.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Lask Linz over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
71.5%
@ 1.07-15.8%
Under
28.5%
@ 7.33+15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.08
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Under
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
8.00
Betfair
7.50
Superbet
7.40
BetVictor
7.00
Lask Linz over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
35.7%
@ 1.40-31.0%
Under
64.3%
@ 2.79+31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.44
Unibet
1.42
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
3.08
Betfair
2.88
BetVictor
2.88
Marathonbet
2.88
1xBet
2.82
Lask Linz over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
13.3%
@ 2.26-28.0%
Under
86.7%
@ 1.59+28.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.38
Unibet
2.35
Betano
2.25
Betfair
2.25
10Bet
2.25
Under
Pinnacle
1.68
Marathonbet
1.63
1xBet
1.61
Superbet
1.60
BetVictor
1.60
Lask Linz over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.9%
@ 4.27-17.8%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.18+17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Unibet
4.40
BetVictor
4.33
10Bet
4.33
Under
Pinnacle
1.22
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Wolfsberger AC, so a minus line means Wolfsberger AC give that many goals of a start and Lask Linz receive them. At -1, Wolfsberger AC must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Wolfsberger AC win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Wolfsberger AC)Actual: Lask Linz
Wolfsberger AC -2
6.1%
@ 34.67+3.4%
Draw -2
11.1%
@ 16.33+5.4%
Lask Linz +2
82.8%
@ 1.03-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
41.00
Bet365
34.00
Superbet
29.00
Draw
Bet365
19.00
Betfair
15.00
Superbet
15.00
Away
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Handicap -1 (Wolfsberger AC)Actual: Lask Linz
Wolfsberger AC -1
17.2%
@ 11.00+9.1%
Draw -1
19.7%
@ 6.76+6.6%
Lask Linz +1
63.1%
@ 1.13-15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
13.00
Unibet
11.00
10Bet
9.00
Marathonbet
7.00
Draw
Bet365
8.50
Betfair
8.00
Unibet
6.75
10Bet
5.75
Marathonbet
4.80
Away
10Bet
1.20
Unibet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Handicap +1 (Wolfsberger AC)Actual: Lask Linz
Wolfsberger AC +1
66.0%
@ 2.49+30.0%
Draw +1
18.8%
@ 3.73-5.3%
Lask Linz -1
15.3%
@ 2.25-24.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.62
Superbet
2.62
Betfair
2.60
Marathonbet
2.59
Unibet
2.43
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
10Bet
3.60
Away
Bet365
2.75
Unibet
2.23
10Bet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.13
Superbet
2.12
Handicap +2 (Wolfsberger AC)Actual: Draw
Wolfsberger AC +2
84.7%
@ 1.60+28.9%
Draw +2
10.1%
@ 4.37-10.4%
Lask Linz -2
5.2%
@ 3.78-18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.65
Bet365
1.62
Betfair
1.62
10Bet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
Draw
Marathonbet
4.55
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.25
10Bet
4.20
Away
Betfair
4.00
Unibet
3.90
10Bet
3.85
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.60
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Wolfsberger AC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.50
0.54
0.31
0.82
0.65
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
0.40
0.33
0.33
2.00
0.50
vs Similar (16)
0.38
0.38
0.57
0.29
0.22
0.44
vs Weaker (9)
1.11
0.78
0.67
0.33
1.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Lask Linz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lask Linz
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.77
1.31
0.81
0.86
0.71
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
1.40
1.33
1.33
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (11)
1.00
0.64
1.20
0.80
0.83
0.50
vs Weaker (14)
1.21
0.64
1.38
0.62
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolfsberger AC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
68.0%
@ 1.22-8.0%
Under 0.5
32.0%
@ 3.85+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Under
BetVictor
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.96
Superbet
3.90
1xBet
3.90
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
34.3%
@ 2.09-10.3%
Under 1.5
65.7%
@ 1.69+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.20
Betano
2.18
SBO
2.16
Unibet
2.12
Betfair
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.77
Marathonbet
1.73
Superbet
1.71
1xBet
1.71
10Bet
1.70
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.0%
@ 4.50-8.7%
Under 2.5
88.0%
@ 1.17+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
4.80
BetVictor
4.60
William Hil
4.50
Betano
4.40
Under
Superbet
1.19
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
Bet365
1.17
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Wolfsberger AC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
42.3%
@ 2.39+3.3%
Under
57.7%
@ 1.52-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.45
Betano
2.45
Pinnacle
2.43
Unibet
2.38
10Bet
2.38
Under
Pinnacle
1.57
Marathonbet
1.53
10Bet
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Betano
1.52
Wolfsberger AC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.9%
@ 8.16-0.5%
Under
89.1%
@ 1.05+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.60
1xBet
8.40
Superbet
8.20
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.60
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Wolfsberger AC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 23.83-2.0%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.01+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
33.00
10Bet
26.00
Betano
12.50
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
Lask Linz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
47.2%
@ 1.46-16.4%
Under
52.8%
@ 2.56+16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Unibet
1.48
10Bet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.45
1xBet
1.45
Under
Pinnacle
2.78
Superbet
2.60
1xBet
2.55
10Bet
2.55
Betano
2.47
Lask Linz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.7%
@ 3.14-15.7%
Under
86.3%
@ 1.31+15.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.30
10Bet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.14
Superbet
3.05
1xBet
3.00
Under
Superbet
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.30
Lask Linz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.7%
@ 7.83-9.2%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.05+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.20
10Bet
8.00
Betano
7.60
Superbet
7.50
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Wolfsberger AC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.83
0.62
0.46
0.47
1.12
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.44
0.88
0.71
0.43
0.22
1.22
vs Weaker (9)
0.78
0.67
0.33
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Lask Linz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lask Linz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.40
1.06
0.19
1.57
0.64
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (11)
1.45
0.45
1.60
0.00
1.33
0.83
vs Weaker (14)
1.29
0.14
0.75
0.00
2.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolfsberger AC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.4%
@ 1.12-4.3%
Under 0.5
21.6%
@ 5.38+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.10
Under
Marathonbet
5.60
1xBet
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Betano
5.40
Superbet
5.25
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
42.5%
@ 1.66-13.6%
Under 1.5
57.5%
@ 2.12+13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.68
William Hil
1.67
Bet365
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Betano
1.65
Under
Betano
2.22
Marathonbet
2.18
1xBet
2.14
William Hil
2.10
Superbet
2.10
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
16.4%
@ 3.03-14.3%
Under 2.5
83.6%
@ 1.34+14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
William Hil
3.20
Superbet
3.00
1xBet
2.93
Betano
2.90
Under
Betano
1.40
Marathonbet
1.34
Superbet
1.34
1xBet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Wolfsberger AC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
49.8%
@ 2.01+3.7%
Under
50.2%
@ 1.72-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.05
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
2.00
Betano
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
Under
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
Superbet
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Wolfsberger AC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.0%
@ 6.14-1.0%
Under
86.0%
@ 1.09+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
6.50
Marathonbet
6.30
1xBet
6.20
Superbet
6.10
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Wolfsberger AC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.5%
@ 19.50-1.4%
Under
96.5%
@ 1.01+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
21.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Lask Linz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
52.3%
@ 1.30-19.1%
Under
47.7%
@ 3.25+19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.29
Under
1xBet
3.30
Betano
3.30
Superbet
3.20
10Bet
3.20
Lask Linz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
16.9%
@ 2.40-21.8%
Under
83.1%
@ 1.51+21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.45
Superbet
2.42
Marathonbet
2.38
Betano
2.37
1xBet
2.36
Under
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.50
Superbet
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Lask Linz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
4.1%
@ 5.38-13.1%
Under
95.9%
@ 1.12+13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.50
10Bet
5.50
1xBet
5.40
Betano
5.10
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.4%
1.04
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
+6.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.0%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.3%
1.05
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
-
+9.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.1%
1.18
Pinnacle
1.22
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
+17.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.9%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.10
-
+13.1%
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
95.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.3%
1.09
Pinnacle
1.14
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Superbet
1.10
+10.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.1%
1.05
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
88.1%
1.27
Pinnacle
1.33
Betano
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.28
+15.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.0%
1.17
Superbet
1.19
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.18
BetVictor
1.17
Bet365
1.17
+8.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
86.3%
1.31
Superbet
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.30
+15.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
86.0%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
+1.0%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
85.3%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
BetVictor
1.06
-2.4%
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.6%
1.34
Betano
1.40
Marathonbet
1.34
Superbet
1.34
1xBet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
+14.3%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
82.8%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-8.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.4%
1.12
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.10
-4.3%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.2%
1.12
10Bet
1.15
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Pinnacle
1.13
Unibet
1.12
-9.3%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
74.0%
1.69
Pinnacle
1.82
Marathonbet
1.75
1xBet
1.72
Betano
1.70
BetVictor
1.69
+18.4%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
73.2%
1.42
10Bet
1.45
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
+7.8%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
71.5%
1.07
10Bet
1.08
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.08
BetVictor
1.07
Superbet
1.06
-15.8%
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
70.9%
1.16
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Unibet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
-9.3%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Wolfsberger AC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
G. Vrioni60%
F. Wohlmuth20%
A. Schwarz20%
Lukas Gütlbauer0%
T. Schriebl0%
R. Behounek0%
Nicolas Wimmer0%
M. Pink0%
R. Renner0%
Donis Avdijaj0%
Marco Sulzner0%
Otar Mamageishvili0%
Sankara Karamoko0%
P. Verhounig0%
Marco Schabauer0%
Cheick Mamadou Diabate0%
Emmanuel Agyemang0%
Matteo Kitz0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marco Sulzner40%
Otar Mamageishvili40%
T. Schriebl33%
Cheick Mamadou Diabate33%
Nicolas Wimmer25%
Marco Schabauer25%
R. Behounek20%
R. Renner20%
F. Wohlmuth20%
Lukas Gütlbauer0%
M. Pink0%
G. Vrioni0%
Donis Avdijaj0%
Sankara Karamoko0%
A. Schwarz0%
P. Verhounig0%
Emmanuel Agyemang0%
Matteo Kitz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Donis Avdijaj60%
F. Wohlmuth20%
Lukas Gütlbauer0%
T. Schriebl0%
R. Behounek0%
Nicolas Wimmer0%
M. Pink0%
R. Renner0%
G. Vrioni0%
Marco Sulzner0%
Otar Mamageishvili0%
Sankara Karamoko0%
A. Schwarz0%
P. Verhounig0%
Marco Schabauer0%
Cheick Mamadou Diabate0%
Emmanuel Agyemang0%
Matteo Kitz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
G. Vrioni20%
Lukas Gütlbauer0%
T. Schriebl0%
R. Behounek0%
Nicolas Wimmer0%
M. Pink0%
R. Renner0%
Donis Avdijaj0%
F. Wohlmuth0%
Marco Sulzner0%
Otar Mamageishvili0%
Sankara Karamoko0%
A. Schwarz0%
P. Verhounig0%
Marco Schabauer0%
Cheick Mamadou Diabate0%
Emmanuel Agyemang0%
Matteo Kitz0%
Lask Linz
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Samuel Adeniran60%
Florian Flecker50%
C. Lang43%
M. Usor43%
Robert Ljubičić20%
Melayro Bogarde17%
A. Schöpf14%
Andrés Andrade14%
X. Mbuyamba14%
S. Horvath0%
K. Jørgensen0%
George Bello0%
Krystof Daněk0%
Lukas Jungwirth0%
Yvan Dibango0%
Alemão0%
Miguel Freckleton0%
Nael Kane0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
X. Mbuyamba43%
Alemão33%
M. Usor29%
Yvan Dibango25%
Samuel Adeniran20%
K. Jørgensen14%
A. Schöpf0%
Andrés Andrade0%
Robert Ljubičić0%
S. Horvath0%
Florian Flecker0%
George Bello0%
Melayro Bogarde0%
Krystof Daněk0%
Lukas Jungwirth0%
C. Lang0%
Miguel Freckleton0%
Nael Kane0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
M. Usor43%
Melayro Bogarde33%
S. Horvath29%
Krystof Daněk29%
Florian Flecker25%
Samuel Adeniran20%
Alemão17%
Andrés Andrade14%
K. Jørgensen14%
A. Schöpf0%
Robert Ljubičić0%
X. Mbuyamba0%
George Bello0%
Lukas Jungwirth0%
C. Lang0%
Yvan Dibango0%
Miguel Freckleton0%
Nael Kane0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Samuel Adeniran60%
K. Jørgensen43%
M. Usor43%
Andrés Andrade29%
C. Lang29%
Alemão17%
Krystof Daněk14%
A. Schöpf0%
Robert Ljubičić0%
S. Horvath0%
Florian Flecker0%
X. Mbuyamba0%
George Bello0%
Melayro Bogarde0%
Lukas Jungwirth0%
Yvan Dibango0%
Miguel Freckleton0%
Nael Kane0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (31)
€105m
SG (26)
€52m
RV (33)
€46m
LL (22)
€44m
AV (30)
€23m
WA (28)
€12m
TH (27)
€10m
GA (23)
€9m
SA (23)
€9m
RIE (24)
€7m
WW (22)
€7m
AL (22)
€5m
Wolfsberger AC's squad is €31m less valuable than Lask Linz's (€12m vs €44m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€47m
SG (11)
€26m
RV (11)
€16m
LL (5)
€13m
AV (11)
€9m
SA (9)
€4m
WA (9)
€3m
WW (7)
€3m
TH (9)
€3m
AL (10)
€2m
RIE (7)
€2m
GA (7)
€2m
Wolfsberger AC's attack is €10m less valuable than Lask Linz's (€3m vs €13m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (6)
€29m
SG (4)
€14m
LL (6)
€11m
RV (6)
€10m
AV (5)
€7m
WA (5)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
RIE (8)
€3m
WW (7)
€2m
SA (3)
€1m
GA (3)
€1m
AL (3)
€1m
Wolfsberger AC's midfield is €8m less valuable than Lask Linz's (€3m vs €11m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (14)
€29m
LL (11)
€20m
RV (16)
€19m
SG (11)
€13m
AV (14)
€7m
WA (14)
€6m
GA (13)
€6m
TH (11)
€5m
SA (11)
€4m
WW (8)
€3m
RIE (9)
€3m
AL (9)
€2m
Wolfsberger AC's defence is €14m less valuable than Lask Linz's (€6m vs €20m).
Austria: Bundesliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Red Bull Salzburg
Rapid Vienna
Sturm Graz
WSG Wattens
TSV Hartberg
Austria Lustenau
Ried
Grazer AK
SCR Altach
Austria Vienna