Wolfsberger AC enter the match after a narrow 1-3 loss to Lask Linz, while Rapid Vienna are also coming off a 1-5 defeat to Red Bull Salzburg. The model favours a home win with a 49% probability, a draw at 27% and an away win at 24%. The expected total goals hover at 2.7, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 26%. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, carrying a 12.9% chance. Wolfsberger’s home form shows an average of 1.25 goals scored and 1.0 conceded against similarly matched opponents, whereas Rapid Vienna’s away record against such teams averages 0.83 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. The model’s suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99.3%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.2% with a 7% edge), Under 6.5 (97.9% with a 3% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.5% with a 9% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (97.5% with an 11% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.2%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.8% with a 3% edge), and Under 5.5 (94.1% with a 5% edge).
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Wolfsberger AC win
48.7%
Avg Implied 22.3% · @ 4.14
Edge
+26.3%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
4.50
1xBet
4.36
Marathonbet
4.33
Betfair
4.00
William Hil
4.00
Draw
27.0%
Avg Implied 25.0% · @ 3.70
Edge
+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
3.75
Betfair
3.75
1xBet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
Rapid Vienna win
24.4%
Avg Implied 52.6% · @ 1.76
Edge
-28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.85
10Bet
1.85
William Hil
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.74
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Wolfsberger AC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.40
1.14
0.93
1.19
1.81
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.33
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (17)
0.82
1.35
1.25
1.00
0.44
1.67
vs Weaker (9)
1.89
1.44
1.00
0.33
2.33
2.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapid Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rapid Vienna
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.27
1.93
0.79
1.31
1.69
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
1.25
1.00
0.00
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (12)
1.25
1.58
1.67
1.33
0.83
1.83
vs Weaker (14)
2.07
1.00
2.50
0.50
1.75
1.38
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolfsberger AC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
76.7%
@ 1.19-0.9%
Under 1.5
23.3%
@ 4.14+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
Under
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.10
1xBet
4.10
Betano
3.95
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
51.2%
@ 1.68-4.7%
Under 2.5
48.8%
@ 2.14+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.69
10Bet
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Under
Bet365
2.15
10Bet
2.15
1xBet
2.13
Marathonbet
2.13
Betano
2.12
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
29.1%
@ 2.61-6.2%
Under 3.5
70.9%
@ 1.43+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.70
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.60
1xBet
2.57
Marathonbet
2.57
Under
Betano
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Both teams to score
Yes
54.6%
@ 1.62-2.5%
No
45.4%
@ 2.15+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
1xBet
1.63
William Hil
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
Betano
1.60
No
Betano
2.20
10Bet
2.20
William Hil
2.15
1xBet
2.14
Marathonbet
2.13
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%@ 7.09+6.4%
2-1
9.5%@ 12.57+5.9%
1-0
9.5%@ 13.00+6.0%
2-0
8.7%@ 24.14+6.8%
0-0
7.7%@ 12.36+4.0%
1-2
6.4%@ 8.01+0.7%
0-1
6.0%@ 8.24+0.5%
2-2
5.2%@ 12.36+1.5%
Wolfsberger AC goals ↓
Rapid Vienna goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.7%
6.0%
3.9%
1.4%
0.4%
1
9.5%
13%
6.4%
2.3%
0.6%
2
8.7%
9.5%
5.2%
1.9%
0.5%
3
4.7%
5.2%
2.8%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.9%
2.1%
1.2%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Wolfsberger AC goals (down), columns = Rapid Vienna goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lask Linz
3.00
Red Bull Salzburg
2.60
Rapid Vienna
2.40
Sturm Graz
1.60
WSG Wattens
1.40
TSV Hartberg
1.20
Wolfsberger AC
1.00
Austria Lustenau
1.00
Grazer AK
0.80
Ried
0.80
Austria Vienna
0.60
SCR Altach
0.60
Wolfsberger AC is 1.40 points worse than Rapid Vienna in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 2.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Rapid Vienna
3.00
Lask Linz
3.00
Red Bull Salzburg
2.80
WSG Wattens
1.40
Sturm Graz
1.20
Wolfsberger AC
1.20
Ried
1.20
TSV Hartberg
1.00
Austria Lustenau
1.00
SCR Altach
0.80
Austria Vienna
0.60
Grazer AK
0.40
Wolfsberger AC is 1.80 goals worse than Rapid Vienna in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 3.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lask Linz
0.40
Red Bull Salzburg
0.60
Sturm Graz
1.00
Wolfsberger AC
1.20
Rapid Vienna
1.40
WSG Wattens
1.40
TSV Hartberg
1.60
SCR Altach
1.60
Austria Lustenau
1.80
Austria Vienna
2.00
Ried
2.00
Grazer AK
2.60
Wolfsberger AC is 0.20 goals better than Rapid Vienna in terms of goals conceded per game (1.20 vs 1.40).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
66%
Lask Linz
58%
Rapid Vienna
56%
Sturm Graz
55%
Ried
52%
Grazer AK
50%
SCR Altach
49%
Austria Vienna
45%
WSG Wattens
45%
TSV Hartberg
42%
Wolfsberger AC
42%
Austria Lustenau
41%
Wolfsberger AC is 14.6 percentage points worse than Rapid Vienna in terms of average possession (42% vs 56%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Wolfsberger AC
For 3.9 · Against 7.1 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 10.1 · Total 22.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rapid Vienna
For 6.5 · Against 3.4 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 11.3 · Total 21.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Wolfsberger AC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.9
9.3
3.8
3.9
3.7
23.0
22.5
23.6
vs Stronger (9)
9.7
8.7
10.7
4.7
4.2
5.2
21.2
22.3
20.0
vs Similar (29)
9.6
10.1
8.9
4.2
4.0
4.3
23.4
22.7
24.2
vs Weaker (12)
9.6
9.8
9.4
2.3
3.2
1.9
23.1
21.8
24.2
% over line
48%
48%
48%
58%
57%
59%
60%
52%
67%
% under line
52%
52%
52%
42%
43%
41%
40%
48%
33%
This opponent (Rapid Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rapid Vienna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.6
9.4
3.7
4.3
3.2
24.0
24.4
23.6
vs Stronger (5)
8.2
8.0
8.3
4.4
3.5
5.0
23.6
21.0
25.3
vs Similar (21)
9.4
9.2
9.7
4.2
5.0
3.2
25.4
26.1
24.6
vs Weaker (24)
9.8
10.3
9.4
3.1
3.6
2.9
22.5
22.9
22.2
% over line
47%
52%
41%
54%
57%
52%
67%
65%
68%
% under line
53%
48%
59%
46%
43%
48%
33%
35%
32%
This opponent (Wolfsberger AC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lask Linz
10.3
Austria Vienna
10.1
WSG Wattens
10.1
Sturm Graz
10.0
TSV Hartberg
9.9
Austria Lustenau
9.8
Wolfsberger AC
9.7
Rapid Vienna
9.6
Red Bull Salzburg
9.4
Grazer AK
9.1
Ried
8.9
SCR Altach
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SCR Altach
5.0
Austria Lustenau
4.9
Sturm Graz
4.8
Wolfsberger AC
4.7
Ried
4.6
Grazer AK
4.6
TSV Hartberg
4.5
WSG Wattens
4.4
Austria Vienna
4.4
Rapid Vienna
4.2
Lask Linz
3.7
Red Bull Salzburg
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rapid Vienna
23.8
Sturm Graz
23.8
Grazer AK
23.3
Austria Lustenau
23.3
SCR Altach
23.0
Austria Vienna
22.9
Wolfsberger AC
22.6
Ried
22.4
WSG Wattens
22.3
TSV Hartberg
21.7
Lask Linz
21.0
Red Bull Salzburg
19.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
54.8%
Under 9.5
45.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
53.8%
Under 3.5
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
48.9%
Under 21.5
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Wolfsberger AC or Draw
75.6%
Avg Implied 47.1% · @ 2.00
Edge
+28.5%
49%
27%
24%
covers Wolfsberger AC + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
2.15
1xBet
2.03
Marathonbet
2.02
Betfair
2.00
Betano
1.98
Wolfsberger AC or Rapid Vienna
73.0%
Avg Implied 75.4% · @ 1.25
Edge
-2.4%
49%
27%
24%
covers Wolfsberger AC + Rapid Vienna
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Draw or Rapid Vienna
51.3%
Avg Implied 77.5% · @ 1.22
Edge
-26.2%
49%
27%
24%
covers Draw + Rapid Vienna
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Betfair
1.22
William Hil
1.22
Marathonbet
1.19
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Wolfsberger AC over/under 0.5
Over
80.4%
@ 1.39+13.8%
Under
19.6%
@ 2.77-13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.36
Under
10Bet
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Betano
2.85
Marathonbet
2.72
1xBet
2.68
Wolfsberger AC over/under 1.5
Over
48.4%
@ 2.96+16.8%
Under
51.6%
@ 1.37-16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
1xBet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.05
Betfair
2.88
Betano
2.75
Under
Betano
1.42
10Bet
1.40
Betfair
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
Wolfsberger AC over/under 2.5
Over
22.4%
@ 7.68+10.3%
Under
77.6%
@ 1.06-10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
9.00
1xBet
8.40
Marathonbet
8.40
Betfair
7.50
10Bet
6.50
Under
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Marathonbet
1.03
Wolfsberger AC over/under 3.5
Over
8.3%
@ 18.62+3.1%
Under
91.7%
@ 1.01-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
26.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Rapid Vienna over/under 0.5
Over
66.5%
@ 1.13-15.8%
Under
33.5%
@ 5.26+15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.10
Under
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Betano
4.80
Rapid Vienna over/under 1.5
Over
29.9%
@ 1.71-24.8%
Under
70.1%
@ 2.06+24.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
10Bet
1.73
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
Bet365
1.67
Under
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
1xBet
2.08
Betano
2.00
Rapid Vienna over/under 2.5
Over
9.8%
@ 3.22-19.0%
Under
90.2%
@ 1.31+19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.30
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.25
Betfair
3.20
1xBet
3.16
Under
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.30
Rapid Vienna over/under 3.5
Over
2.5%
@ 6.74-11.2%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.07+11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
6.90
Marathonbet
6.90
Betfair
6.50
Betano
6.40
Under
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.09
Betfair
1.08
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Wolfsberger AC, so a minus line means Wolfsberger AC give that many goals of a start and Rapid Vienna receive them. At -1, Wolfsberger AC must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Wolfsberger AC win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Wolfsberger AC)
Wolfsberger AC -2
11.1%
@ 26.00+7.5%
Draw -2
15.2%
@ 14.00+8.5%
Rapid Vienna +2
73.7%
@ 1.04-16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
26.00
Bet365
26.00
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
13.00
Away
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Handicap -1 (Wolfsberger AC)
Wolfsberger AC -1
26.3%
@ 8.49+15.8%
Draw -1
22.4%
@ 5.47+6.1%
Rapid Vienna +1
51.3%
@ 1.21-22.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
9.50
10Bet
7.50
Marathonbet
5.95
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.00
10Bet
5.25
Marathonbet
4.15
Away
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Handicap +1 (Wolfsberger AC)
Wolfsberger AC +1
75.6%
@ 2.01+30.9%
Draw +1
14.6%
@ 3.69-9.7%
Rapid Vienna -1
9.7%
@ 2.90-21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
2.10
Marathonbet
2.02
Betfair
2.00
10Bet
1.91
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
10Bet
3.65
Betfair
3.60
Away
10Bet
3.10
Marathonbet
2.88
Betfair
2.88
Bet365
2.75
Handicap +2 (Wolfsberger AC)
Wolfsberger AC +2
90.3%
@ 1.34+23.1%
Draw +2
6.9%
@ 5.14-10.7%
Rapid Vienna -2
2.9%
@ 5.86-12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.33
Betfair
1.33
10Bet
1.30
Draw
Marathonbet
5.30
10Bet
5.25
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Away
10Bet
6.25
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.70
Bet365
5.50
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Wolfsberger AC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.50
0.57
0.29
0.69
0.69
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
0.50
0.33
0.33
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.41
0.35
0.62
0.25
0.22
0.44
vs Weaker (9)
1.11
0.78
0.67
0.33
1.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapid Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rapid Vienna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.57
1.00
0.43
0.44
0.69
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.75
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (12)
0.67
0.58
0.83
0.67
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (14)
0.86
0.50
1.33
0.33
0.50
0.62
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolfsberger AC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
68.6%
@ 1.31-2.6%
Under 0.5
31.4%
@ 3.24+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Under
Bet365
3.40
10Bet
3.30
Betfair
3.30
William Hil
3.30
Marathonbet
3.15
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
33.3%
@ 2.43-5.0%
Under 1.5
66.7%
@ 1.50+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.52
Bet365
2.50
1xBet
2.44
Marathonbet
2.44
Betfair
2.40
Under
10Bet
1.55
Betano
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
12.6%
@ 5.82-3.3%
Under 2.5
87.4%
@ 1.10+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.75
1xBet
5.75
William Hil
5.50
Under
Betano
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Wolfsberger AC over/under 0.5 HT
Over
48.8%
@ 2.31+8.6%
Under
51.2%
@ 1.55-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.38
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.25
10Bet
2.25
Under
1xBet
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Betano
1.55
Marathonbet
1.50
Wolfsberger AC over/under 1.5 HT
Over
14.6%
@ 8.18+3.2%
Under
85.4%
@ 1.05-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.50
1xBet
8.50
10Bet
7.50
Betano
7.20
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
Wolfsberger AC over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.6%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid Vienna over/under 0.5 HT
Over
38.5%
@ 1.67-17.1%
Under
61.5%
@ 2.09+17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.75
Marathonbet
1.66
10Bet
1.65
1xBet
1.62
Under
1xBet
2.20
10Bet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.06
Betano
2.00
Rapid Vienna over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.0%
@ 4.36-12.3%
Under
91.0%
@ 1.18+12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.50
1xBet
4.50
Betano
4.45
10Bet
4.00
Under
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
Rapid Vienna over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.9%
@ 10.00-7.4%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.02+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.00
10Bet
10.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Wolfsberger AC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.90
0.57
0.64
0.50
1.12
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.41
1.00
0.62
0.75
0.22
1.22
vs Weaker (9)
0.78
0.67
0.33
0.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapid Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rapid Vienna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.70
0.93
0.36
0.88
1.00
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (12)
0.58
1.00
0.83
0.67
0.33
1.33
vs Weaker (14)
1.21
0.50
1.17
0.17
1.25
0.75
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolfsberger AC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
76.9%
@ 1.18-2.0%
Under 0.5
23.1%
@ 4.42+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
Under
Betano
4.50
Bet365
4.50
1xBet
4.45
Marathonbet
4.45
William Hil
4.20
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
43.7%
@ 1.88-5.7%
Under 1.5
56.3%
@ 1.84+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.91
Marathonbet
1.90
1xBet
1.90
Betano
1.87
Bet365
1.83
Under
Betano
1.91
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.84
Bet365
1.83
William Hil
1.80
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
17.6%
@ 3.74-7.2%
Under 2.5
82.4%
@ 1.23+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.90
1xBet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.75
Betano
3.55
Under
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Wolfsberger AC over/under 0.5 2H
Over
54.7%
@ 1.92+6.3%
Under
45.3%
@ 1.80-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.99
1xBet
1.93
Betano
1.90
10Bet
1.85
Under
10Bet
1.85
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.71
Wolfsberger AC over/under 1.5 2H
Over
19.7%
@ 5.78+3.7%
Under
80.3%
@ 1.10-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.70
1xBet
5.70
10Bet
5.50
Betano
5.20
Under
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
Wolfsberger AC over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.6%
@ 14.00-2.2%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.01+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Rapid Vienna over/under 0.5 2H
Over
42.9%
@ 1.47-20.1%
Under
57.1%
@ 2.50+20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.46
Under
Betano
2.55
1xBet
2.50
10Bet
2.45
Rapid Vienna over/under 1.5 2H
Over
11.8%
@ 3.21-17.0%
Under
88.2%
@ 1.30+17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.24
Betano
3.15
1xBet
3.10
Under
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.30
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
Rapid Vienna over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.9%
@ 8.07-8.6%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.05+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
8.50
1xBet
8.50
Betano
7.20
Under
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+7.4%
Under 6.5
97.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+3.3%
Away under 3.5 goals
97.5%
1.07
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.09
Betfair
1.08
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
+11.2%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.1%
1.05
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
-
-
+8.6%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.2%
Under 5.5
94.1%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+4.6%
Home under 3.5 goals
91.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-3.1%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.0%
1.18
10Bet
1.20
Betano
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.16
-
+12.3%
Away under 2.5 goals
90.2%
1.31
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Betano
1.31
Betfair
1.30
+19.0%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.2%
1.30
Betano
1.33
1xBet
1.30
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
-
+17.0%
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.4%
1.10
Betano
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.07
+3.3%
Under 4.5
85.9%
1.15
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
+5.5%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
85.4%
1.05
Betano
1.07
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-3.2%
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.4%
1.23
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
+7.2%
Under 5.5 cards
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
80.4%
1.39
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.36
+13.8%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.3%
1.10
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
-
-3.7%
Home under 2.5 goals
77.6%
1.06
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Marathonbet
1.03
-10.3%
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.9%
1.18
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
-2.0%
Over 1.5
76.7%
1.19
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.16
-0.9%
Over 2.5 cards
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
73.7%
1.04
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
-
-
-
-16.0%
Home or Away
73.0%
1.25
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
-2.4%
Under 3.5
70.9%
1.43
Betano
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.40
1xBet
1.40
+6.2%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Wolfsberger AC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
G. Vrioni60%
F. Wohlmuth20%
A. Schwarz20%
Lukas Gütlbauer0%
T. Schriebl0%
R. Behounek0%
Nicolas Wimmer0%
M. Pink0%
R. Renner0%
Donis Avdijaj0%
Marco Sulzner0%
Otar Mamageishvili0%
Sankara Karamoko0%
P. Verhounig0%
Marco Schabauer0%
Cheick Mamadou Diabate0%
Emmanuel Agyemang0%
Matteo Kitz0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marco Sulzner40%
Otar Mamageishvili40%
T. Schriebl33%
Cheick Mamadou Diabate33%
Nicolas Wimmer25%
Marco Schabauer25%
R. Behounek20%
R. Renner20%
F. Wohlmuth20%
Lukas Gütlbauer0%
M. Pink0%
G. Vrioni0%
Donis Avdijaj0%
Sankara Karamoko0%
A. Schwarz0%
P. Verhounig0%
Emmanuel Agyemang0%
Matteo Kitz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Donis Avdijaj60%
F. Wohlmuth20%
Lukas Gütlbauer0%
T. Schriebl0%
R. Behounek0%
Nicolas Wimmer0%
M. Pink0%
R. Renner0%
G. Vrioni0%
Marco Sulzner0%
Otar Mamageishvili0%
Sankara Karamoko0%
A. Schwarz0%
P. Verhounig0%
Marco Schabauer0%
Cheick Mamadou Diabate0%
Emmanuel Agyemang0%
Matteo Kitz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
G. Vrioni20%
Lukas Gütlbauer0%
T. Schriebl0%
R. Behounek0%
Nicolas Wimmer0%
M. Pink0%
R. Renner0%
Donis Avdijaj0%
F. Wohlmuth0%
Marco Sulzner0%
Otar Mamageishvili0%
Sankara Karamoko0%
A. Schwarz0%
P. Verhounig0%
Marco Schabauer0%
Cheick Mamadou Diabate0%
Emmanuel Agyemang0%
Matteo Kitz0%
Rapid Vienna
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Petter Nosakhare Dahl33%
Ercan Kara29%
Nenad Cvetković25%
Yusuf Demir25%
Moulaye Haïdara25%
M. Tilio22%
L. Schaub20%
J. Horn14%
Bendegúz Bolla12%
S. Raux-Yao11%
M. Seidl11%
Tonni Adamsen11%
Nikolaus Wurmbrand11%
Jonas Auer0%
Niklas Hedl0%
Nicolas Bajlicz0%
Jakob Schöller0%
Romeo Amane0%
Eaden Roka0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Bendegúz Bolla38%
Romeo Amane33%
Jakob Schöller25%
L. Schaub20%
Nenad Cvetković12%
M. Seidl11%
Nicolas Bajlicz11%
Petter Nosakhare Dahl11%
Nikolaus Wurmbrand11%
J. Horn0%
Jonas Auer0%
M. Tilio0%
Ercan Kara0%
S. Raux-Yao0%
Yusuf Demir0%
Niklas Hedl0%
Tonni Adamsen0%
Moulaye Haïdara0%
Eaden Roka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
M. Seidl33%
Tonni Adamsen22%
Nicolas Bajlicz22%
Romeo Amane17%
J. Horn14%
Bendegúz Bolla12%
Yusuf Demir12%
Moulaye Haïdara12%
M. Tilio11%
Niklas Hedl11%
Nikolaus Wurmbrand11%
L. Schaub0%
Nenad Cvetković0%
Jonas Auer0%
Ercan Kara0%
S. Raux-Yao0%
Jakob Schöller0%
Petter Nosakhare Dahl0%
Eaden Roka0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yusuf Demir62%
Ercan Kara57%
Tonni Adamsen22%
Petter Nosakhare Dahl22%
L. Schaub20%
Moulaye Haïdara12%
M. Tilio11%
M. Seidl11%
Nikolaus Wurmbrand11%
J. Horn0%
Bendegúz Bolla0%
Nenad Cvetković0%
Jonas Auer0%
S. Raux-Yao0%
Niklas Hedl0%
Nicolas Bajlicz0%
Jakob Schöller0%
Romeo Amane0%
Eaden Roka0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (31)
€105m
SG (26)
€52m
RV (33)
€46m
LL (22)
€44m
AV (30)
€23m
WA (28)
€12m
TH (27)
€10m
GA (23)
€9m
SA (23)
€9m
RIE (24)
€7m
WW (22)
€7m
AL (22)
€5m
Wolfsberger AC's squad is €33m less valuable than Rapid Vienna's (€12m vs €46m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€47m
SG (11)
€26m
RV (11)
€16m
LL (5)
€13m
AV (11)
€9m
SA (9)
€4m
WA (9)
€3m
WW (7)
€3m
TH (9)
€3m
AL (10)
€2m
RIE (7)
€2m
GA (7)
€2m
Wolfsberger AC's attack is €13m less valuable than Rapid Vienna's (€3m vs €16m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (6)
€29m
SG (4)
€14m
LL (6)
€11m
RV (6)
€10m
AV (5)
€7m
WA (5)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
RIE (8)
€3m
WW (7)
€2m
SA (3)
€1m
GA (3)
€1m
AL (3)
€1m
Wolfsberger AC's midfield is €7m less valuable than Rapid Vienna's (€3m vs €10m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (14)
€29m
LL (11)
€20m
RV (16)
€19m
SG (11)
€13m
AV (14)
€7m
WA (14)
€6m
GA (13)
€6m
TH (11)
€5m
SA (11)
€4m
WW (8)
€3m
RIE (9)
€3m
AL (9)
€2m
Wolfsberger AC's defence is €13m less valuable than Rapid Vienna's (€6m vs €19m).
Austria: Bundesliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
Sturm Graz
WSG Wattens
TSV Hartberg
Austria Lustenau
Ried
Grazer AK
SCR Altach
Austria Vienna