Arsenal’s recent unbeaten run and the Wolves’ struggle at home against stronger opponents make the model’s pick of an away win unsurprising. The Premier League model assigns a 67% chance to an Arsenal victory, a 20% chance of a draw, and only 13% to a Wolves win, reflecting the home side’s average of 1.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded versus stronger teams. Arsenal, on the other hand, averages 2.0 goals scored and just 1.0 conceded on the road against weaker opposition, giving them a clear edge. The expected total of 3.2 goals points to a moderately high-scoring affair, with the most likely total of three goals carrying a 22% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 0-2 for Arsenal, with a 10.6% chance, a result that aligns with the Wolves’ defensive frailties and Arsenal’s attacking potency. Suggested picks include Over 1.5 goals at 83.8%, Over 2.5 cards at 82.7%, Under 25.5 fouls at 76.3%, Over 19.5 fouls at 70.9%, Over 8.5 corners at 70.7%, and Under 5.5 cards at 70.1%. All probabilities are presented as percentages.
Results analysis
The Wolves’ 0-1 loss to Arsenal kept the away side’s unbeaten run alive, extending their five-match streak. The model had tipped an away win with a 67% probability, and that call proved correct. The predicted total of 3.2 goals fell far short of the single-goal affair. Over 1.5 goals missed, while Over 2.5 cards hit. Under 25.5 fouls missed, but Over 19.5 fouls hit. Over 8.5 corners missed, and Under 5.5 cards hit. Each probability - 83.8% for Over 1.5, 82.7% for Over 2.5 cards, 76.3% for Under 25.5 fouls, 70.9% for Over 19.5 fouls, 70.7% for Over 8.5 corners, and 70.1% for Under 5.5 cards - was presented once. The final score of 0-1 matched the actual result, confirming the model’s prediction.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Wolves win✗ Miss
12.9%
Avg Implied 16.4% · @ 5.87
Edge
-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.0%
Avg Implied 23.6% · @ 4.07
Edge
-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Arsenal win✓ Hit
67.0%
Avg Implied 60.0% · @ 1.60
Edge
+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Wolves
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
2.23
1.36
2.00
1.44
2.44
vs Stronger (12)
1.00
2.67
1.40
2.40
0.71
2.86
vs Similar (18)
1.67
1.94
1.33
1.78
2.00
2.11
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arsenal
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.10
0.93
2.18
0.82
2.00
1.08
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.88
1.00
1.75
0.75
2.00
1.25
vs Weaker (22)
2.18
0.91
2.31
0.85
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolves) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
83.8%
Under 1.5
16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
62.1%
@ 1.91+11.8%
Under 2.5
37.9%
@ 1.93-11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.8%
Under 3.5
60.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.0%
No
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.4%
0-1 ✓
8.4%
0-3
8.0%
1-3
7.4%
0-0
4.9%
0-4
4.6%
Wolves goals ↓
Arsenal goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.9%
8.4%
11%
8.0%
4.6%
1
2.9%
9.4%
9.8%
7.4%
4.2%
2
1.7%
4.0%
4.5%
3.4%
2.0%
3
0.5%
1.2%
1.4%
1.1%
0.6%
4
0.1%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Wolves goals (down), columns = Arsenal goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Wolves is 0.84 points worse than Arsenal in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 1.95).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Wolves is 0.39 goals worse than Arsenal in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 1.82).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Wolves is 0.92 goals worse than Arsenal in terms of goals conceded per game (1.82 vs 0.89).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Wolves
For 3.7 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 10.4 · Total 23.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Arsenal
For 6.4 · Against 2.1 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 10.4 · Total 20.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Wolves
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.3
9.8
4.2
4.7
3.8
23.0
21.7
24.2
vs Stronger (20)
9.9
11.0
9.2
4.7
5.8
4.0
22.9
21.6
23.7
vs Similar (30)
10.1
9.9
10.5
3.9
4.1
3.7
23.1
21.8
24.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
57%
52%
62%
62%
75%
50%
64%
61%
67%
% under line
43%
48%
38%
38%
25%
50%
36%
39%
33%
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arsenal
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.2
9.3
3.6
3.3
4.0
21.8
21.3
22.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
8.9
7.0
10.6
3.4
2.9
4.0
23.2
25.0
21.6
vs Weaker (36)
9.4
10.0
8.7
3.7
3.5
3.9
21.2
20.1
22.6
% over line
53%
50%
57%
52%
50%
55%
47%
33%
62%
% under line
47%
50%
43%
48%
50%
45%
53%
67%
38%
This opponent (Wolves) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.9
Bournemouth
11.9
Manchester United
11.2
Brentford
11.1
Southampton
11.0
Manchester City
11.0
Liverpool
10.8
Everton
10.7
Ipswich
10.6
Newcastle
10.6
Nottingham Forest
10.5
Fulham
10.4
Aston Villa
10.3
Crystal Palace
10.2
Chelsea
10.1
Wolves
10.0
Brighton
10.0
West Ham
9.9
Leicester
9.8
Arsenal
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aston Villa
5.0
Chelsea
4.9
Brighton
4.7
Newcastle
4.7
Bournemouth
4.6
Southampton
4.6
Wolves
4.6
Nottingham Forest
4.3
Liverpool
4.3
Tottenham
4.3
Fulham
4.1
Manchester United
4.1
Arsenal
4.0
Leicester
4.0
Crystal Palace
4.0
West Ham
3.9
Brentford
3.9
Ipswich
3.8
Everton
3.6
Manchester City
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Aston Villa
23.9
Tottenham
23.9
Bournemouth
23.3
Wolves
23.3
Newcastle
23.2
Crystal Palace
23.1
Chelsea
23.1
Southampton
23.0
Brighton
22.9
Ipswich
22.7
Arsenal
22.0
Everton
21.8
Nottingham Forest
21.7
Leicester
21.5
Liverpool
21.3
West Ham
21.2
Fulham
20.8
Manchester United
20.5
Brentford
19.7
Manchester City
17.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
58.7%
Under 9.5
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
65.9%
Under 3.5
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
54.6%
Under 21.5
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Wolves
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.17
0.57
0.93
0.81
1.38
vs Stronger (12)
0.58
1.17
0.80
0.80
0.43
1.43
vs Similar (18)
0.78
1.17
0.44
1.00
1.11
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arsenal
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.40
0.94
0.24
1.31
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
1.12
0.38
1.00
0.25
1.25
0.50
vs Weaker (22)
1.09
0.41
0.92
0.23
1.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolves) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Wolves over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Wolves
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.07
0.79
1.07
0.62
1.06
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
1.50
0.60
1.60
0.29
1.43
vs Similar (18)
0.89
0.78
0.89
0.78
0.89
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arsenal
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.53
1.24
0.59
0.69
0.46
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (8)
0.75
0.62
0.75
0.50
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (22)
1.09
0.50
1.38
0.62
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolves) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Wolves over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Wolves
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Matheus Cunha44%
Jørgen Strand Larsen32%
Marshall Munetsi12%
Rayan Aït Nouri12%
Gonçalo Guedes12%
Pablo Sarabia11%
Rodrigo Gomes11%
João Gomes10%
Hee-Chan Hwang8%
Matt Doherty6%
Emmanuel Agbadou6%
Mario Lemina5%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde5%
Tommy Doyle4%
Nélson Semedo0%
José Sá0%
Daniel Podence0%
Sam Johnstone0%
Craig Dawson0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Toti Gomes0%
Santiago Bueno0%
Boubacar Traoré0%
Yerson Mosquera0%
André0%
Carlos Forbs0%
Alfie Pond0%
Nasser Djiga0%
Pedro Lima0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yerson Mosquera40%
João Gomes28%
Nélson Semedo24%
Mario Lemina21%
Toti Gomes21%
André19%
Carlos Forbs18%
Matt Doherty17%
Rayan Aït Nouri17%
Emmanuel Agbadou17%
Pablo Sarabia14%
Jørgen Strand Larsen13%
Craig Dawson12%
Matheus Cunha11%
Santiago Bueno9%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde8%
Tommy Doyle8%
José Sá7%
Gonçalo Guedes3%
Daniel Podence0%
Marshall Munetsi0%
Sam Johnstone0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Hee-Chan Hwang0%
Boubacar Traoré0%
Rodrigo Gomes0%
Alfie Pond0%
Nasser Djiga0%
Pedro Lima0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniel Podence33%
Pedro Lima17%
Mario Lemina16%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde15%
Gonçalo Guedes15%
Rayan Aït Nouri15%
Matheus Cunha14%
Nélson Semedo14%
Jørgen Strand Larsen13%
Pablo Sarabia7%
Marshall Munetsi6%
Matt Doherty6%
João Gomes5%
Hee-Chan Hwang4%
Tommy Doyle4%
Toti Gomes3%
Santiago Bueno3%
José Sá0%
Sam Johnstone0%
Craig Dawson0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Emmanuel Agbadou0%
Boubacar Traoré0%
Yerson Mosquera0%
André0%
Carlos Forbs0%
Rodrigo Gomes0%
Alfie Pond0%
Nasser Djiga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Matheus Cunha39%
Jørgen Strand Larsen16%
Marshall Munetsi12%
Mario Lemina11%
Gonçalo Guedes9%
João Gomes5%
Toti Gomes3%
Santiago Bueno3%
Rayan Aït Nouri2%
Nélson Semedo0%
José Sá0%
Daniel Podence0%
Pablo Sarabia0%
Matt Doherty0%
Sam Johnstone0%
Craig Dawson0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde0%
Hee-Chan Hwang0%
Emmanuel Agbadou0%
Tommy Doyle0%
Boubacar Traoré0%
Yerson Mosquera0%
André0%
Carlos Forbs0%
Rodrigo Gomes0%
Alfie Pond0%
Nasser Djiga0%
Pedro Lima0%
Arsenal
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kai Havertz42%
Bukayo Saka30%
Ethan Nwaneri22%
Gabriel Martinelli20%
Mikel Merino18%
Leandro Trossard16%
Declan Rice15%
Gabriel Jesus15%
Gabriel Magalhães12%
Martin Ødegaard11%
Riccardo Calafiori10%
Thomas Partey8%
Kieran Tierney5%
Oleksandr Zinchenko4%
Jurriën Timber4%
William Saliba4%
Jorginho4%
Raheem Sterling4%
Jakub Kiwior3%
Myles Lewis-Skelly3%
David Raya0%
Ben White0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Riccardo Calafiori24%
Kai Havertz19%
Jurriën Timber19%
Gabriel Jesus19%
Jorginho19%
Raheem Sterling18%
Declan Rice17%
Myles Lewis-Skelly15%
Gabriel Magalhães14%
Bukayo Saka14%
Thomas Partey13%
Ben White12%
David Raya9%
Mikel Merino9%
Martin Ødegaard9%
Oleksandr Zinchenko9%
Leandro Trossard7%
Jakub Kiwior7%
William Saliba6%
Gabriel Martinelli6%
Ethan Nwaneri3%
Kieran Tierney0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bukayo Saka30%
Martin Ødegaard22%
Declan Rice17%
Raheem Sterling14%
Leandro Trossard14%
Kai Havertz11%
Gabriel Martinelli10%
Mikel Merino9%
Jurriën Timber8%
Ben White8%
Gabriel Jesus7%
Riccardo Calafiori7%
Ethan Nwaneri5%
Oleksandr Zinchenko4%
Thomas Partey4%
Jakub Kiwior3%
Myles Lewis-Skelly3%
Gabriel Magalhães2%
Kieran Tierney0%
Jorginho0%
David Raya0%
William Saliba0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bukayo Saka30%
Kai Havertz28%
Gabriel Jesus15%
Raheem Sterling14%
Leandro Trossard14%
Gabriel Martinelli10%
Martin Ødegaard9%
Ethan Nwaneri8%
Declan Rice8%
Gabriel Magalhães5%
Riccardo Calafiori3%
Mikel Merino2%
Jurriën Timber2%
Thomas Partey0%
Oleksandr Zinchenko0%
Kieran Tierney0%
Jorginho0%
David Raya0%
Ben White0%
William Saliba0%
Jakub Kiwior0%
Myles Lewis-Skelly0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Wolves's squad is €1133m less valuable than Arsenal's (€273m vs €1406m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Wolves's attack is €529m less valuable than Arsenal's (€79m vs €608m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Wolves's midfield is €211m less valuable than Arsenal's (€79m vs €290m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Wolves's defence is €393m less valuable than Arsenal's (€116m vs €508m).
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Liverpool
Manchester City
Chelsea
Newcastle
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Brighton
Bournemouth
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Everton
West Ham
Manchester United
Tottenham
Leicester
Ipswich
Southampton