The model predicts an away win for Brighton, with a 44% chance of victory, a 27% chance of a draw and a 29% chance of a Wolves win. The expected total of 2.8 goals points to a moderately high-scoring encounter, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 12.8% probability. Wolves, playing at home against a team of similar strength, average 1.36 goals scored and 1.55 conceded, while Brighton on the road average 2.08 scored and 1.62 conceded. The suggested selections are: Over 2.5 cards at 85.2%, Over 1.5 goals at 78.5%, Over 19.5 fouls at 73.8%, Under 25.5 fouls at 73.5% and Over 8.5 corners at 70.6%. The recent form shows Wolves on a three-game winning streak after a 4-1 win over Stoke, whereas Brighton are on a two-game winning run, having beaten Tromsø 4-0.
Results analysis
The Wolves’ 1-1 draw with Brighton was a shock, as the model had tipped an away win with a 44% chance. The pre-match favourite, the model’s selection, was wrong, and the final result was a stalemate. Wolves, on a three-game winning run, and Brighton, on a two-game winning streak, both kept the scoreline even. The model’s picks all hit: Over 2.5 cards at 85.2%, Over 1.5 goals at 78.5%, Over 19.5 fouls at 73.8%, Under 25.5 fouls at 73.5%, and Over 8.5 corners at 70.6%. The match delivered the expected total of two goals, with the most likely scoreline of 1-1 confirming the model’s odds.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Wolves win✗ Miss
28.9%
Avg Implied 27.4% · @ 3.46
Edge
+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.1%
Avg Implied 26.9% · @ 3.53
Edge
+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Brighton win✗ Miss
44.1%
Avg Implied 45.7% · @ 2.08
Edge
-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Wolves
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.47
1.40
1.60
1.07
1.33
vs Stronger (11)
0.91
1.64
1.50
1.75
0.57
1.57
vs Similar (19)
1.42
1.37
1.36
1.55
1.50
1.12
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brighton
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.13
1.37
1.64
1.29
2.56
1.44
vs Stronger (3)
2.33
1.67
2.50
1.50
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (25)
1.80
1.44
1.50
1.25
2.08
1.62
vs Weaker (2)
6.00
0.00
-
-
6.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.5%
Under 1.5
21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.7%
@ 1.77+0.4%
Under 2.5
46.3%
@ 2.02-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.5%
Under 3.5
68.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.8%
No
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.8%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
8.2%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
0-0
7.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-2
5.7%
Wolves goals ↓
Brighton goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.1%
8.2%
7.4%
3.9%
1.5%
1
6.2%
13%
9.2%
4.9%
1.9%
2
4.6%
7.3%
5.7%
3.0%
1.2%
3
1.9%
3.0%
2.4%
1.3%
0.5%
4
0.6%
0.9%
0.7%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Wolves goals (down), columns = Brighton goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Fulham
1.37
Chelsea
1.37
Newcastle
1.29
Everton
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Wolves is 0.87 points worse than Brighton in terms of average points per game (0.53 vs 1.39).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Tottenham
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Everton
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Wolves is 0.66 goals worse than Brighton in terms of goals scored per game (0.71 vs 1.37).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Manchester United
1.32
Everton
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Wolves is 0.58 goals worse than Brighton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.79 vs 1.21).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Wolves
For 5.4 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 10.1 · Total 23.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Brighton
For 4.7 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 10.9 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Wolves
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
8.9
10.5
3.7
3.7
3.8
24.1
23.3
24.9
vs Stronger (18)
10.6
10.4
10.7
4.4
4.4
4.3
24.1
24.4
23.7
vs Similar (32)
9.0
8.0
10.3
3.4
3.3
3.4
24.1
22.7
25.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
56%
50%
62%
52%
52%
52%
73%
71%
76%
% under line
44%
50%
38%
48%
48%
48%
27%
29%
24%
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brighton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.0
10.3
4.0
3.8
4.2
23.4
24.3
22.5
vs Stronger (8)
8.3
5.5
12.0
3.9
3.2
5.0
23.9
25.0
22.3
vs Similar (40)
10.0
9.9
10.1
4.1
3.9
4.3
23.3
24.2
22.6
vs Weaker (2)
10.0
-
10.0
2.0
-
2.0
22.5
-
22.5
% over line
61%
52%
70%
60%
52%
68%
61%
71%
52%
% under line
39%
48%
30%
40%
48%
32%
39%
29%
48%
This opponent (Wolves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.0
Tottenham
11.0
Brentford
10.6
Liverpool
10.5
Bournemouth
10.5
Nottingham Forest
10.4
Aston Villa
10.3
West Ham
10.3
Crystal Palace
10.0
Fulham
9.9
Everton
9.8
Sunderland
9.7
Brighton
9.7
Manchester City
9.6
Leeds
9.6
Wolves
9.6
Arsenal
9.6
Chelsea
9.4
Manchester United
9.4
Burnley
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
5.0
Nottingham Forest
4.7
Chelsea
4.5
Brighton
4.5
Newcastle
4.4
Sunderland
4.4
Crystal Palace
4.3
Manchester United
4.2
Aston Villa
4.2
Wolves
4.2
Brentford
3.9
Fulham
3.8
Tottenham
3.8
Liverpool
3.8
Arsenal
3.7
Everton
3.6
Manchester City
3.6
Burnley
3.5
West Ham
3.4
Leeds
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Wolves
24.3
Bournemouth
24.1
Brighton
23.2
Aston Villa
23.1
Tottenham
22.9
Newcastle
22.7
Sunderland
22.7
Chelsea
22.2
Burnley
22.1
Leeds
22.0
West Ham
22.0
Manchester United
21.8
Nottingham Forest
21.7
Arsenal
21.6
Everton
21.5
Fulham
21.5
Crystal Palace
21.1
Liverpool
20.6
Brentford
19.1
Manchester City
17.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
58.6%
Under 9.5
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
69.7%
Under 3.5
30.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
58.0%
Under 21.5
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Wolves
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.83
0.73
0.87
0.53
0.80
vs Stronger (11)
0.36
0.73
0.75
0.50
0.14
0.86
vs Similar (19)
0.79
0.89
0.73
1.00
0.88
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brighton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.70
0.79
0.57
0.88
0.81
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.67
0.50
1.50
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (25)
0.72
0.64
0.83
0.42
0.62
0.85
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
0.00
-
-
2.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Wolves over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Wolves
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.63
0.67
0.73
0.53
0.53
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
0.91
0.75
1.25
0.43
0.71
vs Similar (19)
0.63
0.47
0.64
0.55
0.62
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brighton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.67
0.86
0.71
1.69
0.62
vs Stronger (3)
1.67
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (25)
1.08
0.80
0.67
0.83
1.46
0.77
vs Weaker (2)
3.50
0.00
-
-
3.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Wolves over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Wolves
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tom Edozie33%
Rodrigo Gomes19%
Tolu Arokodare16%
Marshall Munetsi13%
Adam Armstrong12%
Santiago Bueno12%
Jørgen Strand Larsen12%
Mateus Mané10%
Hwang Hee-chan10%
Jhon Arias8%
Ladislav Krejčí6%
David Møller Wolfe4%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde3%
Hugo Bueno3%
André3%
João Gomes2%
Ki-Jana Hoever0%
Angel Gomes0%
José Sá0%
Matt Doherty0%
Sam Johnstone0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Toti Gomes0%
Emmanuel Agbadou0%
Yerson Mosquera0%
Jackson Tchatchoua0%
Fer López0%
Pedro Lima0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yerson Mosquera42%
André38%
João Gomes29%
Matt Doherty27%
Hwang Hee-chan19%
Adam Armstrong19%
Santiago Bueno18%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde16%
Ladislav Krejčí16%
Marshall Munetsi13%
Emmanuel Agbadou12%
Toti Gomes9%
José Sá8%
Jackson Tchatchoua8%
Fer López8%
Hugo Bueno8%
Angel Gomes8%
Jørgen Strand Larsen8%
Jhon Arias4%
David Møller Wolfe4%
Rodrigo Gomes4%
Tolu Arokodare3%
Ki-Jana Hoever0%
Sam Johnstone0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Tom Edozie0%
Pedro Lima0%
Mateus Mané0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Hwang Hee-chan13%
Adam Armstrong12%
David Møller Wolfe12%
Fer López8%
Jørgen Strand Larsen8%
João Gomes7%
Marshall Munetsi7%
Sam Johnstone6%
Emmanuel Agbadou6%
Jackson Tchatchoua6%
Tolu Arokodare5%
Hugo Bueno5%
Jhon Arias4%
Mateus Mané3%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde3%
Ladislav Krejčí3%
Santiago Bueno3%
Ki-Jana Hoever0%
Angel Gomes0%
José Sá0%
Matt Doherty0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Toti Gomes0%
Yerson Mosquera0%
André0%
Rodrigo Gomes0%
Tom Edozie0%
Pedro Lima0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tolu Arokodare18%
Mateus Mané13%
Jørgen Strand Larsen12%
Rodrigo Gomes11%
Adam Armstrong6%
Jhon Arias4%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde3%
Hwang Hee-chan3%
Yerson Mosquera3%
Ladislav Krejčí3%
Ki-Jana Hoever0%
Angel Gomes0%
José Sá0%
Marshall Munetsi0%
Matt Doherty0%
Sam Johnstone0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Toti Gomes0%
Emmanuel Agbadou0%
Santiago Bueno0%
João Gomes0%
David Møller Wolfe0%
André0%
Hugo Bueno0%
Jackson Tchatchoua0%
Tom Edozie0%
Fer López0%
Pedro Lima0%
Brighton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Danny Welbeck28%
Matt O'Riley17%
Stefanos Tzimas17%
Harry Howell17%
Diego Gómez16%
Brajan Gruda15%
Jack Hinshelwood13%
Yasin Ayari12%
Kaoru Mitoma11%
Tom Watson10%
Georginio Rutter9%
Yankuba Minteh8%
Charalampos Kostoulas8%
Maxim De Cuyper6%
Olivier Boscagli6%
Jan Paul van Hecke5%
Pascal Groß5%
James Milner5%
Joël Veltman4%
Mats Wieffer4%
Lewis Dunk3%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu2%
Jason Steele0%
Solly March0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Diego Coppola0%
Carlos Baleba0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Diego Coppola33%
Lewis Dunk32%
Mats Wieffer29%
Diego Gómez27%
Jan Paul van Hecke25%
Carlos Baleba20%
Kaoru Mitoma19%
Joël Veltman18%
Olivier Boscagli18%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu17%
Danny Welbeck12%
Charalampos Kostoulas12%
Brajan Gruda10%
Tom Watson10%
Pascal Groß10%
James Milner9%
Stefanos Tzimas8%
Yankuba Minteh8%
Bart Verbruggen8%
Maxim De Cuyper6%
Georginio Rutter6%
Yasin Ayari3%
Jason Steele0%
Solly March0%
Matt O'Riley0%
Jack Hinshelwood0%
Harry Howell0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Diego Coppola22%
Stefanos Tzimas17%
Harry Howell17%
Brajan Gruda15%
Pascal Groß14%
Yankuba Minteh11%
Mats Wieffer11%
Jack Hinshelwood10%
Tom Watson10%
Yasin Ayari9%
Georginio Rutter9%
Jan Paul van Hecke8%
Maxim De Cuyper6%
Olivier Boscagli6%
Danny Welbeck5%
James Milner5%
Charalampos Kostoulas4%
Kaoru Mitoma4%
Joël Veltman4%
Diego Gómez3%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Solly March0%
Matt O'Riley0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Carlos Baleba0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Matt O'Riley17%
Danny Welbeck15%
Yasin Ayari12%
Diego Gómez11%
Kaoru Mitoma7%
Jack Hinshelwood7%
Georginio Rutter6%
Brajan Gruda5%
Charalampos Kostoulas4%
Lewis Dunk3%
Jan Paul van Hecke2%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu2%
James Milner0%
Joël Veltman0%
Jason Steele0%
Pascal Groß0%
Solly March0%
Olivier Boscagli0%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Maxim De Cuyper0%
Tom Watson0%
Diego Coppola0%
Stefanos Tzimas0%
Carlos Baleba0%
Yankuba Minteh0%
Harry Howell0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Wolves's squad is €346m less valuable than Brighton's (€273m vs €620m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Wolves's attack is €111m less valuable than Brighton's (€79m vs €190m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Wolves's midfield is €102m less valuable than Brighton's (€79m vs €180m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Wolves's defence is €133m less valuable than Brighton's (€116m vs €249m).
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Arsenal
Manchester City
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Liverpool
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Brentford
Chelsea
Fulham
Newcastle
Everton
Leeds
Crystal Palace
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham
West Ham
Burnley