PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Wolves vs Leeds Result & Analysis

Date: 20/09/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 1-3
Wolves
Wolves
Vs
19%
26%
55%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Leeds
Leeds
England: Premier League
Referee: A Taylor

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wolves win✗ Miss
18.7%
Avg Implied 32.8% · @ 2.88
Edge
-14.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.4%
Avg Implied 30.6% · @ 3.08
Edge
-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Leeds win✓ Hit
54.8%
Avg Implied 36.6% · @ 2.58
Edge
+18.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

WolvesWolves

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W01L02L24L11D04L01L32W23L01LH·LEI26/04A·MAN02/05H·BRI10/05A·CRY20/05H·BRE25/05H·MAN16/08A·BOU23/08H·WES26/08H·EVE30/08A·NEW13/09
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.401.431.501.251.31
vs Stronger (12)1.081.581.601.400.711.71
vs Similar (18)1.501.281.331.561.671.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LeedsLeeds

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-621W10W60W40W21W10W05L11D00D01LH·PRE12/04A·OXF18/04H·STO21/04H·BRI28/04A·PLY03/05H·EVE18/08A·ARS23/08A·SHE26/08H·NEW30/08A·FUL13/09← ChampionshipPremier League →
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.830.802.270.531.401.07
vs Stronger (1)0.005.00--0.005.00
vs Similar (11)1.180.451.170.501.200.40
vs Weaker (18)2.330.783.000.561.671.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.9%
Under 1.5
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.5%
@ 2.30+6.6%
Under 2.5
52.5%
@ 1.59-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
25.8%
Under 3.5
74.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.2%
No
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
0-1
11.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.8%
0-3
6.0%
1-0
5.7%
1-3 ✓
5.4%
Wolves goals ↓
Leeds goals →
01234
08.8%12%11%6.0%2.5%
15.7%13%9.6%5.4%2.3%
23.0%5.1%4.3%2.4%1.0%
30.9%1.5%1.3%0.7%0.3%
40.2%0.3%0.3%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Wolves goals (down), columns = Leeds goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Fulham
1.37
Chelsea
1.37
Newcastle
1.29
Everton
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Wolves is 0.71 points worse than Leeds in terms of average points per game (0.53 vs 1.24).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Tottenham
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Everton
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Wolves is 0.58 goals worse than Leeds in terms of goals scored per game (0.71 vs 1.29).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Manchester United
1.32
Everton
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Wolves is 0.32 goals worse than Leeds in terms of goals conceded per game (1.79 vs 1.47).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

WolvesWolves

For 5.4 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.3

🚩 Corners

140410227384683107454421447111011101196A·NEWH·EVEH·WESA·BOUH·MANH·BREA·CRYH·BRIA·MANH·LEI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.2

🟨 Cards

70411215212212111145137333205A·NEWH·EVEH·WESA·BOUH·MANH·BREA·CRYH·BRIA·MANH·LEI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 10.8 · Total 22.6

⚠️ Fouls

2901710151016916131377981481211771727252529201622201824A·NEWH·EVEH·WESA·BOUH·MANH·BREA·CRYH·BRIA·MANH·LEI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LeedsLeeds

For 5.9 · Against 2.3 · Total 8.2

🚩 Corners

1203355812272711115152656109498126711A·FULH·NEWA·SHEA·ARSH·EVEA·PLYH·BRIH·STOA·OXFH·PRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.6

🟨 Cards

602111222221124213222241163A·FULH·NEWA·SHEA·ARSH·EVEA·PLYH·BRIH·STOA·OXFH·PRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.0 · Against 11.5 · Total 19.5

⚠️ Fouls

350152010157121186881664796164735251919142410162211A·FULH·NEWA·SHEA·ARSH·EVEA·PLYH·BRIH·STOA·OXFH·PRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

WolvesWolves

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.79.310.13.83.93.724.423.425.4
vs Stronger (19)10.210.49.94.34.44.124.724.424.9
vs Similar (31)9.38.510.33.53.53.424.222.825.8
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line60%57%64%52%54%50%78%74%82%
% under line40%43%36%48%46%50%22%26%18%
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LeedsLeeds

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.910.79.13.02.83.322.121.422.8
vs Stronger (1)4.0-4.02.0-2.019.0-19.0
vs Similar (18)9.910.29.63.53.53.523.422.424.5
vs Weaker (31)10.111.09.22.82.33.321.420.822.1
% over line56%71%42%30%19%42%56%54%58%
% under line44%29%58%70%81%58%44%46%42%
This opponent (Wolves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.1
Tottenham
11.1
Bournemouth
10.8
Brentford
10.7
Liverpool
10.6
Aston Villa
10.4
Nottingham Forest
10.3
Everton
10.1
Fulham
10.1
West Ham
10.0
Crystal Palace
9.9
Leeds
9.8
Manchester City
9.8
Sunderland
9.7
Wolves
9.7
Chelsea
9.7
Brighton
9.6
Manchester United
9.5
Arsenal
9.3
Burnley
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
5.1
Nottingham Forest
4.6
Newcastle
4.5
Chelsea
4.4
Brighton
4.4
Sunderland
4.4
Aston Villa
4.3
Wolves
4.3
Crystal Palace
4.2
Manchester United
4.2
Tottenham
4.0
Liverpool
3.9
Brentford
3.9
Fulham
3.8
Burnley
3.7
Manchester City
3.7
Arsenal
3.7
Everton
3.6
West Ham
3.5
Leeds
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bournemouth
24.5
Wolves
24.4
Tottenham
23.6
Sunderland
23.0
Newcastle
23.0
Brighton
22.9
Aston Villa
22.8
Burnley
22.8
Leeds
22.2
Chelsea
22.1
West Ham
22.0
Manchester United
21.7
Everton
21.5
Fulham
21.5
Arsenal
21.5
Nottingham Forest
21.3
Crystal Palace
21.2
Liverpool
20.7
Brentford
18.9
Manchester City
17.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
56.7%
Under 9.5
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.6%
Under 3.5
60.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
52.0%
Under 21.5
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

WolvesWolves

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L01L12L01L02L01L10W12L01LH·LEI26/04A·MAN02/05H·BRI10/05A·CRY20/05H·BRE25/05H·MAN16/08A·BOU23/08H·WES26/08H·EVE30/08A·NEW13/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.800.640.710.750.88
vs Stronger (12)0.420.830.600.400.291.14
vs Similar (18)0.890.780.670.891.110.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LeedsLeeds

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W10W50W10W01L00D02L00D00D00DH·PRE12/04A·OXF18/04H·STO21/04H·BRI28/04A·PLY03/05H·EVE18/08A·ARS23/08A·SHE26/08H·NEW30/08A·FUL13/09← ChampionshipPremier League →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.401.000.270.600.53
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (11)0.450.270.330.330.600.20
vs Weaker (18)1.060.391.440.220.670.56
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Wolves over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

WolvesWolves

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D01L12L10W02L00D22D11D00DH·LEI26/04A·MAN02/05H·BRI10/05A·CRY20/05H·BRE25/05H·MAN16/08A·BOU23/08H·WES26/08H·EVE30/08A·NEW13/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.600.790.790.500.44
vs Stronger (12)0.670.751.001.000.430.57
vs Similar (18)0.610.500.670.670.560.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LeedsLeeds

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D10W30W20W10W03L11D00D01LH·PRE12/04A·OXF18/04H·STO21/04H·BRI28/04A·PLY03/05H·EVE18/08A·ARS23/08A·SHE26/08H·NEW30/08A·FUL13/09← ChampionshipPremier League →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.401.270.270.800.53
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (11)0.730.180.830.170.600.20
vs Weaker (18)1.280.391.560.331.000.44
Clean sheet %73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolves) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Wolves over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards89.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls78.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards78.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.574.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.573.9%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Wolves
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tom Edozie33%
Rodrigo Gomes19%
Tolu Arokodare16%
Marshall Munetsi13%
Adam Armstrong12%
Santiago Bueno12%
Jørgen Strand Larsen12%
Mateus Mané10%
Hwang Hee-chan10%
Jhon Arias8%
Ladislav Krejčí6%
David Møller Wolfe4%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde3%
Hugo Bueno3%
André3%
João Gomes2%
Ki-Jana Hoever0%
Angel Gomes0%
José Sá0%
Matt Doherty0%
Sam Johnstone0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Toti Gomes0%
Emmanuel Agbadou0%
Yerson Mosquera0%
Jackson Tchatchoua0%
Fer López0%
Pedro Lima0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yerson Mosquera42%
André38%
João Gomes29%
Matt Doherty27%
Hwang Hee-chan19%
Adam Armstrong19%
Santiago Bueno18%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde16%
Ladislav Krejčí16%
Marshall Munetsi13%
Emmanuel Agbadou12%
Toti Gomes9%
José Sá8%
Jackson Tchatchoua8%
Fer López8%
Hugo Bueno8%
Angel Gomes8%
Jørgen Strand Larsen8%
Jhon Arias4%
David Møller Wolfe4%
Rodrigo Gomes4%
Tolu Arokodare3%
Ki-Jana Hoever0%
Sam Johnstone0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Tom Edozie0%
Pedro Lima0%
Mateus Mané0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Hwang Hee-chan13%
Adam Armstrong12%
David Møller Wolfe12%
Fer López8%
Jørgen Strand Larsen8%
João Gomes7%
Marshall Munetsi7%
Sam Johnstone6%
Emmanuel Agbadou6%
Jackson Tchatchoua6%
Tolu Arokodare5%
Hugo Bueno5%
Jhon Arias4%
Mateus Mané3%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde3%
Ladislav Krejčí3%
Santiago Bueno3%
Ki-Jana Hoever0%
Angel Gomes0%
José Sá0%
Matt Doherty0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Toti Gomes0%
Yerson Mosquera0%
André0%
Rodrigo Gomes0%
Tom Edozie0%
Pedro Lima0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tolu Arokodare18%
Mateus Mané13%
Jørgen Strand Larsen12%
Rodrigo Gomes11%
Adam Armstrong6%
Jhon Arias4%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde3%
Hwang Hee-chan3%
Yerson Mosquera3%
Ladislav Krejčí3%
Ki-Jana Hoever0%
Angel Gomes0%
José Sá0%
Marshall Munetsi0%
Matt Doherty0%
Sam Johnstone0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Toti Gomes0%
Emmanuel Agbadou0%
Santiago Bueno0%
João Gomes0%
David Møller Wolfe0%
André0%
Hugo Bueno0%
Jackson Tchatchoua0%
Tom Edozie0%
Fer López0%
Pedro Lima0%
Leeds
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dominic Calvert-Lewin36%
Noah Okafor21%
Lukas Nmecha19%
Anton Stach15%
Ao Tanaka12%
Sean Longstaff11%
James Justin9%
Brenden Aaronson7%
Joe Rodon5%
Jayden Bogle5%
Joël Piroe5%
Wilfried Gnonto3%
Jaka Bijol3%
Gabriel Gudmundsson3%
Ethan Ampadu2%
Sebastiaan Bornauw0%
Karl Darlow0%
Jack Harrison0%
Sam Byram0%
Daniel James0%
Pascal Struijk0%
Lucas Perri0%
Ilia Gruev0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ethan Ampadu30%
Facundo Buonanotte25%
Jayden Bogle21%
Pascal Struijk16%
Gabriel Gudmundsson14%
Jaka Bijol13%
James Justin12%
Ilia Gruev12%
Sean Longstaff11%
Wilfried Gnonto10%
Lucas Perri10%
Noah Okafor9%
Anton Stach9%
Joe Rodon8%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin8%
Jack Harrison8%
Brenden Aaronson7%
Ao Tanaka6%
Sebastiaan Bornauw6%
Lukas Nmecha5%
Karl Darlow4%
Joël Piroe0%
Sam Byram0%
Daniel James0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Brenden Aaronson12%
Jaka Bijol10%
Noah Okafor9%
Anton Stach9%
Lukas Nmecha8%
Ilia Gruev8%
Sean Longstaff7%
Wilfried Gnonto7%
Jayden Bogle5%
James Justin3%
Gabriel Gudmundsson3%
Pascal Struijk3%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin3%
Ethan Ampadu2%
Joël Piroe0%
Sebastiaan Bornauw0%
Karl Darlow0%
Jack Harrison0%
Sam Byram0%
Joe Rodon0%
Daniel James0%
Ao Tanaka0%
Lucas Perri0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dominic Calvert-Lewin31%
Anton Stach9%
Lukas Nmecha8%
Joël Piroe5%
Sean Longstaff4%
Ao Tanaka3%
Noah Okafor3%
James Justin3%
Gabriel Gudmundsson3%
Pascal Struijk3%
Joe Rodon3%
Brenden Aaronson2%
Jaka Bijol0%
Sebastiaan Bornauw0%
Ethan Ampadu0%
Karl Darlow0%
Jack Harrison0%
Jayden Bogle0%
Sam Byram0%
Daniel James0%
Lucas Perri0%
Ilia Gruev0%
Wilfried Gnonto0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Wolves's squad is €154m less valuable than Leeds's (€273m vs €427m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Wolves's attack is €87m less valuable than Leeds's (€79m vs €166m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Wolves's midfield is €19m less valuable than Leeds's (€79m vs €98m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Wolves's defence is €48m less valuable than Leeds's (€116m vs €163m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
2
WOL wins
1
Draws
3
LEE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Wolves vs Leeds · H/A from WOL
DateH/AGameScore
18/03/23HWOL Vs Leeds2-4
06/08/22ALeeds Vs WOL2-1
18/03/22HWOL Vs Leeds2-3
23/10/21ALeeds Vs WOL1-1
19/02/21HWOL Vs Leeds1-0
19/10/20ALeeds Vs WOL0-1

WolvesWolves

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/09/25ANewcastle Vs WOL1-0
30/08/25HWOL Vs Everton2-3
26/08/25HWOL Vs West Ham3-2
23/08/25ABournemouth Vs WOL1-0
16/08/25HWOL Vs Manchester City0-4
25/05/25HWOL Vs Brentford1-1
20/05/25ACrystal Palace Vs WOL4-2
10/05/25HWOL Vs Brighton0-2
02/05/25AManchester City Vs WOL1-0
26/04/25HWOL Vs Leicester3-0

LeedsLeeds

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/09/25AFulham Vs LEE1-0
30/08/25HLEE Vs Newcastle0-0
26/08/25ASheffield Weds Vs LEE1-1
23/08/25AArsenal Vs LEE5-0
18/08/25HLEE Vs Everton1-0
03/05/25APlymouth Vs LEE1-2
28/04/25HLEE Vs Bristol City4-0
21/04/25HLEE Vs Stoke6-0
18/04/25AOxford Vs LEE0-1
12/04/25HLEE Vs Preston2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Wolves
Wolves
England: Premier League
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLL1.10
HomeLDLWL1.12
AwayWLLLL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%33%31%
AVG goals3.183.293.08
Over 1.5 %86%92%81%
Over 2.5 %62%62%62%
Over 3.5 %34%33%35%
Scored1.381.461.31
Conceded1.801.831.77
BTTS58%58%58%
Clean Sheet20%25%15%
Corners9.699.2610.14
Cards4.204.044.36
Leeds
Leeds
England: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDDL2.06
HomeWWWWD2.46
AwayWWLDL1.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%77%42%
AVG goals2.582.732.42
Over 1.5 %74%85%62%
Over 2.5 %42%50%33%
Over 3.5 %26%23%29%
Scored1.862.311.38
Conceded0.720.421.04
BTTS34%27%42%
Clean Sheet52%65%38%
Corners9.9210.719.12
Cards3.173.003.33

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ArsenalArsenal3885
68%
2.2
7127+44
2.6
71%
53%
24%
9.1
42%
3.2
47%
21.3
47%
1406
6082905081.90.7
56%
2Manchester CityManchester City3878
61%
2.1
7735+42
2.9
87%
63%
21%
10.3
58%
3.9
63%
20.9
42%
1326
6351605312.00.9
60%
3Manchester UnitedManchester United3871
53%
1.9
6950+19
3.1
84%
63%
37%
9.7
53%
3.8
58%
21.2
47%
929
4322362611.81.3
52%
4Aston VillaAston Villa3865
50%
1.7
5649+7
2.8
74%
53%
29%
10.2
68%
3.9
61%
23.0
63%
536
2201601561.51.3
53%
5LiverpoolLiverpool3860
45%
1.6
6353+10
3.1
84%
61%
29%
10.5
55%
3.6
50%
20.7
37%
980
5182012601.71.4
59%
6BournemouthBournemouth3857
34%
1.5
5854+4
2.9
76%
55%
42%
10.9
63%
4.3
63%
22.5
53%
573
2851061821.51.4
50%
7SunderlandSunderland3854
37%
1.4
4248-6
2.4
71%
45%
18%
9.0
45%
4.1
55%
22.1
58%
392
1571101251.11.3
45%
8BrightonBrighton3853
37%
1.4
5246+6
2.6
82%
50%
18%
9.7
58%
4.3
63%
22.0
55%
620
1901802491.41.2
53%
9BrentfordBrentford3853
37%
1.4
5552+3
2.8
82%
53%
37%
10.2
63%
3.7
53%
19.6
34%
565
2281282091.41.4
47%
10ChelseaChelsea3852
37%
1.4
5852+6
2.9
87%
66%
32%
10.4
68%
4.7
71%
23.4
68%
1407
6142785141.51.4
57%
11FulhamFulham3852
39%
1.4
4751-4
2.6
71%
50%
24%
10.5
66%
3.8
58%
20.8
39%
329
178281231.21.3
51%
12NewcastleNewcastle3849
37%
1.3
5355-2
2.8
76%
63%
34%
11.0
61%
4.2
61%
22.1
53%
568
2341242101.41.4
52%
13EvertonEverton3849
34%
1.3
4750-3
2.6
76%
45%
21%
9.4
42%
3.7
47%
21.7
58%
459
1741621231.21.3
44%
14LeedsLeeds3847
29%
1.2
4956-7
2.8
74%
55%
37%
9.5
53%
3.4
42%
21.7
47%
427
166981631.31.5
46%
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3845
29%
1.2
4151-10
2.4
71%
55%
21%
9.4
47%
3.7
63%
20.2
37%
505
229931821.11.3
45%
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3844
29%
1.2
4851-3
2.6
82%
53%
26%
10.1
58%
3.3
42%
22.2
53%
551
263522361.31.3
46%
17TottenhamTottenham3841
26%
1.1
4857-9
2.8
82%
63%
26%
10.2
50%
4.7
71%
22.3
58%
920
2502823881.31.5
50%
18West HamWest Ham3839
26%
1.0
4665-19
2.9
87%
61%
29%
11.0
66%
3.8
55%
21.7
47%
274
84481411.21.7
42%
19BurnleyBurnley3822
11%
0.6
3875-37
3.0
84%
50%
39%
9.6
53%
2.9
39%
19.5
37%
115
708371.02.0
42%
20WolvesWolves3820
8%
0.5
2768-41
2.5
79%
45%
24%
9.4
58%
3.8
58%
23.8
66%
273
79791160.71.8
-
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

← all matches