PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Wolves vs Manchester City Result & Analysis

Date: 30/09/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
Wolves
Wolves
Vs
4%
13%
82%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Manchester City
Manchester City
England: Premier League
Referee: C Pawson
Match preview & prediction

The model sees Manchester City as the clear favourite, rating an 82% chance of victory against Wolves. That high probability reflects City’s strong away form, scoring 2.08 goals per game and conceding only 0.75 against weaker opponents, while Wolves struggle at home, averaging just one goal scored and conceding 0.86 to stronger teams. The expected total is 3.1 goals, with the most likely outcome a 0-2 scoreline for City, a 15.1% chance. The match result favoured by the model is an away win. Home win probability sits at 4%, draw 13%, and away win 82%. Suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards at 83.9%, Over 1.5 goals at 82.7%, Away win at 82.3% with a 13% edge, Under 25.5 fouls at 75.7%, Over 19.5 fouls at 71.6%, Over 2.5 cards at 70.4%, and Under 11.5 corners at 70.2%. Wolves entered the match on a three-game winning streak, while City had a two-game winning run, yet the model still favours City’s dominance on the road.

Results analysis

The Wolves’ 2-1 triumph over Manchester City shocked the pre-match favourite, the model’s pick of an away win at 82.3% probability. The Wolves, riding a three-game winning run, edged the title-hungry City, who had been on a two-game winning streak. The model’s prediction was wrong. The model’s selection of Under 5.5 cards (83.9%) missed, while Over 1.5 (82.7%) hit, and the model’s choice of Over 19.5 fouls (71.6%) also hit. The model’s pick of Over 2.5 cards (70.4%) hit, and Under 11.5 corners (70.2%) hit, whereas Under 25.5 fouls (75.7%) missed. The final score of 2-1 confirmed the home win.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Wolves win✓ Hit
4.3%
Avg Implied 11.6% · @ 8.34
Edge
-7.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
13.4%
Avg Implied 18.9% · @ 5.12
Edge
-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Manchester City win✗ Miss
82.3%
Avg Implied 69.5% · @ 1.39
Edge
+12.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

WolvesWolves

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W02L11D05L01L14L10W23L13L11DH·AST06/05A·MAN13/05H·EVE20/05A·ARS28/05A·MAN14/08H·BRI19/08A·EVE26/08A·CRY03/09H·LIV16/09A·LUT23/09
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.601.141.140.812.00
vs Stronger (14)0.641.571.000.860.292.29
vs Similar (16)1.251.621.291.431.221.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester CityManchester City

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D01L10W30W10W21W51W31W31W20WA·BRI24/05A·BRE28/05H·INT10/06A·BUR11/08H·NEW19/08A·SHE27/08H·FUL02/09A·WES16/09H·FK 19/09H·NOT23/09
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.500.603.000.402.000.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)2.620.623.200.401.671.00
vs Weaker (22)2.450.592.900.402.080.75
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolves) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%012%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.7%
Under 1.5
17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.8%
@ 1.68+3.8%
Under 2.5
39.2%
@ 2.23-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.5%
Under 3.5
61.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
37.2%
No
62.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
15.1%
0-3
13.3%
0-1
10.8%
0-4
8.8%
1-2
7.6%
1-3
6.7%
1-1
6.3%
0-0
4.9%
Wolves goals ↓
Manchester City goals →
01234
04.9%11%15%13%8.8%
11.6%6.3%7.6%6.7%4.4%
20.5%1.4%1.9%1.7%1.1%
30.1%0.2%0.3%0.3%0.2%
40.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Wolves goals (down), columns = Manchester City goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Manchester City
2.39
Arsenal
2.34
Liverpool
2.16
Aston Villa
1.79
Tottenham
1.74
Chelsea
1.66
Newcastle
1.58
Manchester United
1.58
West Ham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.29
Brighton
1.26
Bournemouth
1.26
Everton
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Wolves
1.21
Brentford
1.03
Nottingham Forest
0.95
Luton
0.68
Burnley
0.63
Sheffield United
0.42
Wolves is 1.18 points worse than Manchester City in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 2.39).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.53
Arsenal
2.39
Liverpool
2.26
Newcastle
2.24
Chelsea
2.03
Aston Villa
2.00
Tottenham
1.95
West Ham
1.58
Crystal Palace
1.50
Manchester United
1.50
Brentford
1.47
Fulham
1.45
Brighton
1.45
Bournemouth
1.42
Luton
1.37
Wolves
1.32
Nottingham Forest
1.29
Burnley
1.08
Everton
1.05
Sheffield United
0.92
Wolves is 1.21 goals worse than Manchester City in terms of goals scored per game (1.32 vs 2.53).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.76
Manchester City
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Everton
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.61
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.61
Brighton
1.63
Newcastle
1.63
Chelsea
1.66
Brentford
1.71
Wolves
1.71
Nottingham Forest
1.76
Bournemouth
1.76
West Ham
1.95
Burnley
2.05
Luton
2.24
Sheffield United
2.74
Wolves is 0.82 goals worse than Manchester City in terms of goals conceded per game (1.71 vs 0.89).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Tottenham
62%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
59%
Chelsea
58%
Aston Villa
53%
Newcastle
52%
Manchester United
51%
Fulham
50%
Burnley
47%
Brentford
45%
Bournemouth
45%
Crystal Palace
42%
Luton
42%
West Ham
41%
Nottingham Forest
40%
Everton
40%
Sheffield United
35%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

WolvesWolves

For 3.6 · Against 6.8 · Total 10.4

🚩 Corners

180110442475378481771156118678151281811A·LUTH·LIVA·CRYA·EVEH·BRIA·MANA·ARSH·EVEA·MANH·AST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

1003133143463251233334471050656A·LUTH·LIVA·CRYA·EVEH·BRIA·MANA·ARSH·EVEA·MANH·AST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 9.9 · Total 23.4

⚠️ Fouls

2901712104121214101411101411818109920929142424252419281829A·LUTH·LIVA·CRYA·EVEH·BRIA·MANA·ARSH·EVEA·MANH·AST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Manchester CityManchester City

For 6.0 · Against 3.4 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

150661211445121356244315121215913311676H·NOTH·FK A·WESH·FULA·SHEH·NEWA·BURH·INTA·BREA·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 3.4 · Total 4.8

🟨 Cards

1104722232431512341211456361543H·NOTH·FK A·WESH·FULA·SHEH·NEWA·BURH·INTA·BREA·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.5 · Against 12.3 · Total 20.8

⚠️ Fouls

28051759117121221112118111117812111622141824132319282027H·NOTH·FK A·WESH·FULA·SHEH·NEWA·BURH·INTA·BREA·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

WolvesWolves

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.69.44.24.63.921.921.122.7
vs Stronger (21)11.811.512.03.53.83.319.119.418.9
vs Similar (29)8.710.07.54.85.14.423.922.325.5
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line46%54%38%60%58%62%56%54%58%
% under line54%46%62%40%42%38%44%46%42%
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester CityManchester City

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.29.29.23.73.83.620.020.219.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (9)8.78.29.24.73.85.823.624.822.0
vs Weaker (41)9.39.59.23.53.93.119.219.019.4
% over line52%50%54%54%50%58%34%38%29%
% under line48%50%46%46%50%42%66%62%71%
This opponent (Wolves) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
West Ham
11.1
Newcastle
10.9
Manchester United
10.9
Sheffield United
10.8
Everton
10.7
Luton
10.7
Bournemouth
10.6
Tottenham
10.5
Fulham
10.1
Brighton
10.1
Aston Villa
10.0
Arsenal
10.0
Wolves
10.0
Liverpool
10.0
Nottingham Forest
10.0
Brentford
10.0
Burnley
9.9
Chelsea
9.6
Crystal Palace
9.5
Manchester City
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Tottenham
4.5
Chelsea
4.5
Crystal Palace
4.3
Nottingham Forest
4.3
Sheffield United
4.3
Brighton
4.2
Wolves
4.2
Everton
4.2
Aston Villa
4.2
Burnley
4.0
Fulham
4.0
Newcastle
3.9
Luton
3.8
Manchester City
3.8
Arsenal
3.8
Bournemouth
3.6
Manchester United
3.6
Brentford
3.2
Liverpool
3.0
West Ham
2.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.8
Aston Villa
23.8
Chelsea
23.6
Luton
22.7
Nottingham Forest
22.4
Tottenham
22.3
Brighton
22.2
Fulham
22.2
Newcastle
22.0
Wolves
21.9
Bournemouth
21.3
Arsenal
21.0
Burnley
20.9
Everton
20.7
Liverpool
20.3
Sheffield United
20.2
Brentford
20.2
Manchester City
20.0
Manchester United
19.6
West Ham
19.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
53.6%
Under 9.5
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
49.3%
Under 3.5
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
55.4%
Under 21.5
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

WolvesWolves

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L10W03L00D01L00D00D10W00DH·AST06/05A·MAN13/05H·EVE20/05A·ARS28/05A·MAN14/08H·BRI19/08A·EVE26/08A·CRY03/09H·LIV16/09A·LUT23/09
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.530.570.140.250.88
vs Stronger (14)0.430.430.710.000.140.86
vs Similar (16)0.380.620.430.290.330.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester CityManchester City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D00D20W10W00D21W01L01L20WA·BRI24/05A·BRE28/05H·INT10/06A·BUR11/08H·NEW19/08A·SHE27/08H·FUL02/09A·WES16/09H·FK 19/09H·NOT23/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.271.400.200.930.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.880.381.200.200.330.67
vs Weaker (22)1.270.231.500.201.080.25
Clean sheet %73% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolves) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Wolves over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

WolvesWolves

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L01L02L01L13L10W23L03L11DH·AST06/05A·MAN13/05H·EVE20/05A·ARS28/05A·MAN14/08H·BRI19/08A·EVE26/08A·CRY03/09H·LIV16/09A·LUT23/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.070.571.000.561.12
vs Stronger (14)0.211.140.290.860.141.43
vs Similar (16)0.881.000.861.140.890.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester City) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester CityManchester City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L10W10W00D21W30W30W30W00DA·BRI24/05A·BRE28/05H·INT10/06A·BUR11/08H·NEW19/08A·SHE27/08H·FUL02/09A·WES16/09H·FK 19/09H·NOT23/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.330.331.600.201.070.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.750.252.000.201.330.33
vs Weaker (22)1.180.361.400.201.000.50
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Wolves) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Wolves over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wolves over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards83.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.582.7%-------✓ Hit
Away win82.3%1.39-----+12.7%✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls75.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls71.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards70.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners70.2%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Wolves
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Hee-Chan Hwang38%
Matheus Cunha28%
Saša Kalajdžić18%
Pablo Sarabia13%
Mario Lemina11%
Pedro Neto10%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde9%
Rayan Aït Nouri6%
Max Kilman5%
Craig Dawson4%
Matt Doherty3%
João Gomes3%
Toti Gomes3%
Nélson Semedo0%
José Sá0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Fábio Silva0%
Santiago Bueno0%
Tommy Doyle0%
Boubacar Traoré0%
Tawanda Chirewa0%
Hugo Bueno0%
Nathan Fraser0%
Leon Chiwome0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
João Gomes32%
Mario Lemina31%
Matheus Cunha28%
Craig Dawson28%
Nélson Semedo28%
Fábio Silva25%
Rayan Aït Nouri21%
Hee-Chan Hwang21%
Pedro Neto20%
Toti Gomes20%
Max Kilman18%
Pablo Sarabia17%
Boubacar Traoré17%
Nathan Fraser14%
Tawanda Chirewa12%
Saša Kalajdžić9%
Santiago Bueno8%
Tommy Doyle8%
Matt Doherty7%
Hugo Bueno5%
José Sá3%
Daniel Bentley0%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde0%
Leon Chiwome0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pedro Neto40%
Pablo Sarabia23%
Matheus Cunha22%
Hee-Chan Hwang10%
Toti Gomes9%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde5%
Craig Dawson4%
Rayan Aït Nouri3%
João Gomes3%
José Sá3%
Mario Lemina3%
Nélson Semedo3%
Saša Kalajdžić0%
Matt Doherty0%
Max Kilman0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Fábio Silva0%
Santiago Bueno0%
Tommy Doyle0%
Boubacar Traoré0%
Tawanda Chirewa0%
Hugo Bueno0%
Nathan Fraser0%
Leon Chiwome0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Matheus Cunha31%
Pablo Sarabia17%
Hee-Chan Hwang14%
Pedro Neto10%
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde5%
Tommy Doyle4%
João Gomes3%
Nélson Semedo0%
José Sá0%
Saša Kalajdžić0%
Matt Doherty0%
Max Kilman0%
Mario Lemina0%
Craig Dawson0%
Daniel Bentley0%
Rayan Aït Nouri0%
Toti Gomes0%
Fábio Silva0%
Santiago Bueno0%
Boubacar Traoré0%
Tawanda Chirewa0%
Hugo Bueno0%
Nathan Fraser0%
Leon Chiwome0%
Manchester City
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Erling Haaland52%
Phil Foden40%
Julián Álvarez33%
Kevin De Bruyne25%
Rodri21%
Bernardo Silva17%
Kalvin Phillips12%
Joško Gvardiol12%
Jérémy Doku11%
Oscar Bobb11%
Jack Grealish11%
Manuel Akanji11%
Rico Lewis9%
Nathan Aké6%
John Stones5%
Mateo Kovačić3%
Sergio Gómez0%
Rúben Dias0%
Ederson0%
Kyle Walker0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Matheus Nunes0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jack Grealish25%
Rodri24%
Bernardo Silva22%
Manuel Akanji13%
Ederson12%
Kalvin Phillips12%
Joško Gvardiol12%
Mateo Kovačić11%
Kevin De Bruyne10%
John Stones9%
Jérémy Doku8%
Kyle Walker5%
Rúben Dias5%
Phil Foden5%
Julián Álvarez5%
Rico Lewis4%
Erling Haaland2%
Sergio Gómez0%
Nathan Aké0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Matheus Nunes0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kevin De Bruyne50%
Phil Foden23%
Rodri21%
Julián Álvarez21%
Bernardo Silva17%
Jérémy Doku17%
Erling Haaland15%
Rico Lewis13%
Matheus Nunes12%
Jack Grealish11%
Sergio Gómez9%
Kyle Walker8%
Joško Gvardiol6%
Nathan Aké6%
Oscar Bobb6%
John Stones5%
Manuel Akanji0%
Rúben Dias0%
Ederson0%
Mateo Kovačić0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Erling Haaland57%
Phil Foden37%
Kevin De Bruyne35%
Julián Álvarez26%
Rodri19%
Matheus Nunes12%
Jérémy Doku8%
Joško Gvardiol6%
Bernardo Silva5%
Jack Grealish4%
Mateo Kovačić3%
Rúben Dias3%
Manuel Akanji0%
Sergio Gómez0%
Ederson0%
John Stones0%
Kyle Walker0%
Nathan Aké0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Stefan Ortega0%
Oscar Bobb0%
Rico Lewis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
LUT (26)
€29m
Wolves's squad is €1052m less valuable than Manchester City's (€273m vs €1326m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
SHU (9)
€29m
LUT (10)
€13m
Wolves's attack is €556m less valuable than Manchester City's (€79m vs €635m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
SHU (5)
€32m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
LUT (6)
€4m
Wolves's midfield is €81m less valuable than Manchester City's (€79m vs €160m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SHU (13)
€49m
BUR (11)
€37m
LUT (10)
€12m
Wolves's defence is €415m less valuable than Manchester City's (€116m vs €531m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
0
WOL wins
0
Draws
6
MC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Wolves vs Manchester City · H/A from WOL
DateH/AGameScore
22/01/23AManchester City Vs WOL3-0
17/09/22HWOL Vs Manchester City0-3
11/05/22HWOL Vs Manchester City1-5
11/12/21AManchester City Vs WOL1-0
02/03/21AManchester City Vs WOL4-1
21/09/20HWOL Vs Manchester City1-3

WolvesWolves

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/09/23ALuton Vs WOL1-1
16/09/23HWOL Vs Liverpool1-3
03/09/23ACrystal Palace Vs WOL3-2
26/08/23AEverton Vs WOL0-1
19/08/23HWOL Vs Brighton1-4
14/08/23AManchester United Vs WOL1-0
28/05/23AArsenal Vs WOL5-0
20/05/23HWOL Vs Everton1-1
13/05/23AManchester United Vs WOL2-0
06/05/23HWOL Vs Aston Villa1-0

Manchester CityManchester City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/09/23HMC Vs Nottingham Forest2-0
19/09/23HMC Vs FK Crvena Zvezda3-1
16/09/23AWest Ham Vs MC1-3
02/09/23HMC Vs Fulham5-1
27/08/23ASheffield United Vs MC1-2
19/08/23HMC Vs Newcastle1-0
11/08/23ABurnley Vs MC0-3
10/06/23HMC Vs Inter1-0
28/05/23ABrentford Vs MC1-0
24/05/23ABrighton Vs MC1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Wolves
Wolves
England: Premier League
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLD0.94
HomeWWDLL1.29
AwayLLWLD0.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%38%12%
AVG goals2.542.462.62
Over 1.5 %72%62%81%
Over 2.5 %44%38%50%
Over 3.5 %22%25%19%
Scored0.840.960.73
Conceded1.701.501.88
BTTS44%33%54%
Clean Sheet24%42%8%
Corners10.0010.629.42
Cards4.244.583.92
Manchester City
Manchester City
England: Premier League
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW2.38
HomeWWWWW2.81
AwayDLWWW1.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %74%92%54%
AVG goals3.083.772.33
Over 1.5 %78%88%67%
Over 2.5 %62%77%46%
Over 3.5 %38%54%21%
Scored2.383.081.62
Conceded0.700.690.71
BTTS54%54%54%
Clean Sheet40%46%33%
Corners9.209.239.17
Cards3.804.003.58

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City3891
74%
2.4
9634+62
3.4
84%
63%
47%
10.9
61%
3.8
50%
18.6
26%
1326
6351605312.50.9
66%
2ArsenalArsenal3889
74%
2.3
9129+62
3.2
79%
63%
42%
9.7
50%
3.8
53%
21.0
42%
1406
6082905082.40.8
59%
3LiverpoolLiverpool3882
63%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
92%
66%
47%
11.6
71%
4.3
53%
22.5
53%
980
5182012602.31.1
61%
4Aston VillaAston Villa3868
53%
1.8
7661+15
3.6
87%
71%
58%
10.4
58%
5.0
74%
23.6
66%
536
2201601562.01.6
53%
5TottenhamTottenham3866
53%
1.7
7461+13
3.6
97%
79%
45%
12.4
76%
5.1
74%
25.1
87%
920
2502823881.91.6
62%
6ChelseaChelsea3863
47%
1.7
7763+14
3.7
89%
71%
55%
10.4
58%
5.4
95%
23.9
63%
1407
6142785142.01.7
58%
7NewcastleNewcastle3860
47%
1.6
8562+23
3.9
84%
71%
61%
10.2
53%
4.6
63%
22.8
58%
568
2341242102.21.6
52%
8Manchester UnitedManchester United3860
47%
1.6
5758-1
3.0
79%
63%
34%
13.3
79%
4.4
68%
19.7
32%
929
4322362611.51.5
51%
9West HamWest Ham3852
37%
1.4
6074-14
3.5
95%
68%
53%
10.4
53%
3.9
61%
21.0
47%
274
84481411.61.9
41%
10Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3849
34%
1.3
5758-1
3.0
82%
55%
42%
9.9
58%
3.9
61%
23.6
63%
505
229931821.51.5
42%
11BrightonBrighton3848
32%
1.3
5562-7
3.1
87%
61%
39%
9.8
55%
5.0
76%
23.0
63%
620
1901802491.41.6
60%
12EvertonEverton3848
34%
1.3
4051-11
2.4
74%
42%
21%
11.1
61%
3.8
45%
21.8
55%
459
1741621231.11.3
40%
13BournemouthBournemouth3848
34%
1.3
5467-13
3.2
89%
71%
42%
11.8
74%
4.3
71%
23.7
63%
573
2851061821.41.8
45%
14FulhamFulham3847
34%
1.2
5561-6
3.1
79%
63%
39%
10.6
50%
3.8
47%
20.2
39%
329
178281231.41.6
50%
15WolvesWolves3846
34%
1.2
5065-15
3.0
84%
63%
29%
10.1
53%
4.9
76%
23.6
68%
273
79791161.31.7
-
16BrentfordBrentford3839
26%
1.0
5665-9
3.2
82%
66%
42%
10.6
63%
4.3
63%
21.5
50%
565
2281282091.51.7
45%
17Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3836
24%
0.9
4967-18
3.1
87%
55%
39%
10.4
63%
4.2
61%
21.3
53%
551
263522361.31.8
40%
18LutonLuton3826
16%
0.7
5285-33
3.6
89%
71%
45%
11.3
71%
3.8
53%
24.0
61%
29
134121.42.2
42%
19BurnleyBurnley3824
13%
0.6
4178-37
3.1
92%
61%
37%
10.9
66%
4.3
66%
20.9
39%
115
708371.12.1
47%
20Sheffield UnitedSheffield United3816
8%
0.4
35104-69
3.7
89%
71%
55%
10.9
61%
4.0
50%
19.8
39%
110
2932490.92.7
35%
England: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

← all matches