Wolves vs West Ham Result & Analysis

Defensive solidity will shape the match, with Wolves conceding 1.38 goals per game at home and West Ham only 1.15 on the road. The model favours an away win, giving West Ham a 51% chance, Wolves a 19% chance and a draw 30%. The expected total is 2.2 goals, centring on a 2-goal outcome. The single most likely score is 0-1 for West Ham, a 14.7% probability. Wolves have scored an average of 1.0 goal at home against similar opposition, while West Ham have netted 1.92 away. Suggested picks include Under 25.5 fouls at 98.2%, Under 23.5 fouls at 95.2%, Under 21.5 fouls at 88.9%, Under 3.5 goals at 82.2%, Over 8.5 corners at 81.8%, Under 19.5 fouls at 77.8%, Under 5.5 cards at 74.4% and Over 2.5 cards at 79.7%. Wolves are on a three-game winning run, while West Ham return from a draw.

The Wolves’ 1-0 win was a shock, extending their three-game winning streak and denying the model’s favourite, West Ham, the victory it had predicted with a 51% chance. The pre-match pick of an away win was wrong. The final score of 1-0 gave the home side the actual result. The model’s selections all performed: Under 25.5 fouls hit at 98.2%, Under 23.5 fouls at 95.2%, Under 21.5 fouls at 88.9%, Under 3.5 goals at 82.2%, Over 8.5 corners at 81.8%, Under 19.5 fouls at 77.8%, Under 5.5 cards at 74.4%, while Over 2.5 cards missed at 79.7%. The Wolves’ home form, with an average of one goal scored and 1.38 conceded, proved decisive.