WSG Wattens are the model’s pick for a home win, with a 37% chance, compared to 30% for a draw and 33% for TSV Hartberg. The expected total goals sit at 2.5, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.1% probability. Wattens average 1.25 goals scored and 1.5 conceded at home against similarly strong opponents, while Hartberg averages 1.17 scored and 1.0 conceded on the road versus similar teams. The model’s suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (98.9% with a 4% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.2% with a 3% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.2% with a 5% edge), Home under 3.5 goals (98.1% with an 8% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.3% with a 7% edge), Under 5.5 (96.5% with a 6% edge), and Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.1% with a 3% edge). Wattens are on a two-game winning streak, having beaten Austria Vienna 1-0, while Hartberg also enjoy a two-game winning run, having edged Ried 3-2.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
WSG Wattens win
38.0%
Avg Implied 42.9% · @ 2.15
Edge
-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
2.20
1xBet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.18
Bet365
2.15
William Hil
2.15
Draw
29.5%
Avg Implied 27.0% · @ 3.43
Edge
+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Betano
3.45
1xBet
3.44
Marathonbet
3.44
TSV Hartberg win
32.5%
Avg Implied 30.1% · @ 3.08
Edge
+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
3.15
William Hil
3.10
10Bet
3.10
Marathonbet
3.10
1xBet
3.10
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
WSG Wattens
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.33
1.43
1.23
1.38
1.41
1.47
vs Stronger (13)
1.08
1.00
1.20
1.20
1.00
0.88
vs Similar (16)
1.25
1.88
1.25
1.50
1.25
2.25
vs Weaker (1)
6.00
0.00
-
-
6.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (TSV Hartberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
TSV Hartberg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.20
1.19
1.62
1.14
0.71
vs Stronger (14)
1.00
1.50
1.14
2.57
0.86
0.43
vs Similar (15)
1.20
0.93
1.22
0.89
1.17
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
1.00
-
-
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
72.7%
@ 1.23-2.6%
Under 1.5
27.3%
@ 3.74+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
Under
Bet365
4.00
10Bet
3.80
Betano
3.65
Marathonbet
3.62
1xBet
3.62
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
45.8%
@ 1.79-6.9%
Under 2.5
54.2%
@ 2.00+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.79
Betano
1.78
Under
Bet365
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Betano
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
1xBet
1.99
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
24.4%
@ 2.90-7.5%
Under 3.5
75.6%
@ 1.36+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.00
Bet365
3.00
1xBet
2.83
Marathonbet
2.83
Betano
2.82
Under
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Both teams to score
Yes
52.2%
@ 1.63-4.4%
No
47.8%
@ 2.13+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
William Hil
1.65
1xBet
1.62
Betano
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
No
1xBet
2.16
Betano
2.15
William Hil
2.15
Marathonbet
2.13
10Bet
2.10
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.1%@ 6.41+7.0%
0-0
9.4%@ 11.29+5.4%
1-0
9.4%@ 8.33+4.0%
0-1
8.5%@ 10.14+4.0%
2-1
8.4%@ 8.54+3.1%
1-2
7.6%@ 10.32+3.2%
2-0
7.0%@ 10.68+2.8%
0-2
5.8%@ 15.71+2.9%
WSG Wattens goals ↓
TSV Hartberg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.4%
8.5%
5.8%
2.3%
0.7%
1
9.4%
14%
7.6%
3.0%
0.9%
2
7.0%
8.4%
5.0%
2.0%
0.6%
3
3.1%
3.7%
2.2%
0.9%
0.3%
4
1.0%
1.2%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = WSG Wattens goals (down), columns = TSV Hartberg goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Lask Linz
3.00
Red Bull Salzburg
2.60
Rapid Vienna
2.40
Sturm Graz
1.60
WSG Wattens
1.40
TSV Hartberg
1.20
Wolfsberger AC
1.00
Austria Lustenau
1.00
Grazer AK
0.80
Ried
0.80
Austria Vienna
0.60
SCR Altach
0.60
WSG Wattens is 0.20 points better than TSV Hartberg in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 1.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Rapid Vienna
3.00
Lask Linz
3.00
Red Bull Salzburg
2.80
WSG Wattens
1.40
Sturm Graz
1.20
Wolfsberger AC
1.20
Ried
1.20
TSV Hartberg
1.00
Austria Lustenau
1.00
SCR Altach
0.80
Austria Vienna
0.60
Grazer AK
0.40
WSG Wattens is 0.40 goals better than TSV Hartberg in terms of goals scored per game (1.40 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Lask Linz
0.40
Red Bull Salzburg
0.60
Sturm Graz
1.00
Wolfsberger AC
1.20
Rapid Vienna
1.40
WSG Wattens
1.40
TSV Hartberg
1.60
SCR Altach
1.60
Austria Lustenau
1.80
Austria Vienna
2.00
Ried
2.00
Grazer AK
2.60
WSG Wattens is 0.20 goals better than TSV Hartberg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 1.60).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
66%
Lask Linz
58%
Rapid Vienna
56%
Sturm Graz
55%
Ried
52%
Grazer AK
50%
SCR Altach
49%
Austria Vienna
45%
WSG Wattens
45%
TSV Hartberg
42%
Wolfsberger AC
42%
Austria Lustenau
41%
WSG Wattens is 2.8 percentage points better than TSV Hartberg in terms of average possession (45% vs 42%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
WSG Wattens
For 4.4 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 11.8 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
TSV Hartberg
For 3.1 · Against 8.6 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 8.7 · Total 20.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
WSG Wattens
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.1
10.2
3.6
3.6
3.6
22.4
20.9
23.8
vs Stronger (21)
10.8
11.7
9.9
3.2
3.0
3.5
20.5
18.9
22.3
vs Similar (28)
9.6
8.8
10.4
4.0
4.2
3.9
23.7
22.5
24.8
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
49%
55%
43%
54%
55%
54%
53%
45%
61%
% under line
51%
45%
57%
46%
45%
46%
47%
55%
39%
This opponent (TSV Hartberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
TSV Hartberg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
8.5
11.7
3.5
4.6
2.6
21.4
22.2
20.5
vs Stronger (20)
11.1
8.4
13.2
4.3
5.8
3.1
21.4
21.7
21.1
vs Similar (29)
9.3
8.5
10.3
3.1
3.8
2.5
21.4
22.5
20.0
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
50%
32%
68%
54%
77%
36%
50%
64%
36%
% under line
50%
68%
32%
46%
23%
64%
50%
36%
64%
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lask Linz
10.3
Austria Vienna
10.1
WSG Wattens
10.1
Sturm Graz
10.0
TSV Hartberg
9.9
Austria Lustenau
9.8
Wolfsberger AC
9.7
Rapid Vienna
9.6
Red Bull Salzburg
9.4
Grazer AK
9.1
Ried
8.9
SCR Altach
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
SCR Altach
5.0
Austria Lustenau
4.9
Sturm Graz
4.8
Wolfsberger AC
4.7
Ried
4.6
Grazer AK
4.6
TSV Hartberg
4.5
WSG Wattens
4.4
Austria Vienna
4.4
Rapid Vienna
4.2
Lask Linz
3.7
Red Bull Salzburg
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rapid Vienna
23.8
Sturm Graz
23.8
Grazer AK
23.3
Austria Lustenau
23.3
SCR Altach
23.0
Austria Vienna
22.9
Wolfsberger AC
22.6
Ried
22.4
WSG Wattens
22.3
TSV Hartberg
21.7
Lask Linz
21.0
Red Bull Salzburg
19.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
62.2%
Under 9.5
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
53.2%
Under 3.5
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
42.8%
Under 21.5
57.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
WSG Wattens or Draw
55.8%
Avg Implied 69.6% · @ 1.35
Edge
-13.9%
38%
29%
33%
covers WSG Wattens + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.37
10Bet
1.36
William Hil
1.36
Bet365
1.36
1xBet
1.34
WSG Wattens or TSV Hartberg
70.3%
Avg Implied 73.6% · @ 1.28
Edge
-3.3%
38%
29%
33%
covers WSG Wattens + TSV Hartberg
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Draw or TSV Hartberg
73.9%
Avg Implied 56.7% · @ 1.66
Edge
+17.1%
38%
29%
33%
covers Draw + TSV Hartberg
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.72
Betfair
1.67
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
WSG Wattens over/under 0.5
Over
63.5%
@ 1.20-13.6%
Under
36.5%
@ 4.05+13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Under
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Betano
4.00
1xBet
3.90
WSG Wattens over/under 1.5
Over
26.7%
@ 2.04-19.0%
Under
73.3%
@ 1.72+19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.10
10Bet
2.05
Marathonbet
2.05
1xBet
2.05
Bet365
2.00
Under
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.74
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.70
WSG Wattens over/under 2.5
Over
8.2%
@ 4.29-13.5%
Under
91.8%
@ 1.19+13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.33
1xBet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Under
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
WSG Wattens over/under 3.5
Over
1.9%
@ 9.56-8.0%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.05+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
9.70
1xBet
9.70
Betfair
9.50
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
TSV Hartberg over/under 0.5
Over
74.9%
@ 1.32+4.6%
Under
25.1%
@ 3.12-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.25
1xBet
3.14
Marathonbet
3.14
Betano
3.10
10Bet
3.10
TSV Hartberg over/under 1.5
Over
40.2%
@ 2.56+3.8%
Under
59.8%
@ 1.47-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
1xBet
2.58
Marathonbet
2.58
Betano
2.55
10Bet
2.55
Under
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
10Bet
1.45
TSV Hartberg over/under 2.5
Over
16.2%
@ 6.12+1.0%
Under
83.8%
@ 1.10-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
1xBet
6.25
Marathonbet
6.25
Betfair
6.00
10Bet
6.00
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
TSV Hartberg over/under 3.5
Over
5.2%
@ 16.17-0.8%
Under
94.8%
@ 1.02+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
19.00
Bet365
19.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to WSG Wattens, so a minus line means WSG Wattens give that many goals of a start and TSV Hartberg receive them. At -1, WSG Wattens must win by two or more to land; a one-goal WSG Wattens win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (WSG Wattens)
WSG Wattens -2
2.8%
@ 9.07-7.1%
Draw -2
7.2%
@ 6.21-7.3%
TSV Hartberg +2
90.0%
@ 1.20+14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.50
10Bet
8.50
Marathonbet
8.30
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.35
Betfair
6.00
10Bet
6.00
Away
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
Handicap -1 (WSG Wattens)
WSG Wattens -1
10.0%
@ 3.93-12.7%
Draw -1
16.1%
@ 3.85-7.2%
TSV Hartberg +1
73.9%
@ 1.66+19.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.98
Betfair
3.75
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.84
10Bet
3.80
Betfair
3.75
Away
Betfair
1.67
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
Handicap +1 (WSG Wattens)
WSG Wattens +1
55.8%
@ 1.35-11.2%
Draw +1
22.5%
@ 4.83+3.8%
TSV Hartberg -1
21.7%
@ 6.31+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.34
Betfair
1.33
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
10Bet
4.50
Away
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Marathonbet
6.25
10Bet
6.00
Handicap +2 (WSG Wattens)
WSG Wattens +2
78.3%
@ 1.09-6.4%
Draw +2
13.6%
@ 9.75+4.1%
TSV Hartberg -2
8.1%
@ 16.00+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.08
Draw
Betfair
10.00
Bet365
9.50
Away
Bet365
17.00
Betfair
15.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
WSG Wattens
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.77
0.62
0.85
0.41
0.71
vs Stronger (13)
0.15
0.69
0.40
0.80
0.00
0.62
vs Similar (16)
0.69
0.88
0.75
0.88
0.62
0.88
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (TSV Hartberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
TSV Hartberg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.40
0.69
0.62
0.57
0.14
vs Stronger (14)
0.64
0.43
0.71
0.86
0.57
0.00
vs Similar (15)
0.53
0.33
0.67
0.44
0.33
0.17
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
69.5%
@ 1.33-0.3%
Under 0.5
30.5%
@ 3.09+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
Marathonbet
1.33
William Hil
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
10Bet
3.10
William Hil
3.10
1xBet
3.02
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
32.8%
@ 2.58-3.1%
Under 1.5
67.2%
@ 1.45+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.67
Bet365
2.62
Betfair
2.60
William Hil
2.60
1xBet
2.57
Under
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.45
Betfair
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
10.3%
@ 6.32-4.4%
Under 2.5
89.7%
@ 1.09+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.00
William Hil
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.05
1xBet
6.05
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Betfair
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
WSG Wattens over/under 0.5 HT
Over
42.0%
@ 1.85-7.7%
Under
58.0%
@ 1.83+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.90
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.83
10Bet
1.83
Under
10Bet
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
WSG Wattens over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.0%
@ 5.33-7.4%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.12+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.60
1xBet
5.50
Betano
5.20
10Bet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
WSG Wattens over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.8%
@ 13.00-5.4%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.01+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
TSV Hartberg over/under 0.5 HT
Over
45.1%
@ 2.17+2.2%
Under
54.9%
@ 1.63-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.22
1xBet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.14
10Bet
2.10
Under
10Bet
1.65
1xBet
1.62
Betano
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
TSV Hartberg over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.9%
@ 7.03-3.3%
Under
90.1%
@ 1.07+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.40
Betano
6.70
10Bet
6.50
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
TSV Hartberg over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.8%
@ 19.25-3.2%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.01+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Betano
12.50
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
WSG Wattens
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.67
0.62
0.54
1.00
0.76
vs Stronger (13)
0.92
0.31
0.80
0.40
1.00
0.25
vs Similar (16)
0.56
1.00
0.50
0.62
0.62
1.38
vs Weaker (1)
4.00
0.00
-
-
4.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (TSV Hartberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
TSV Hartberg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.80
0.50
1.00
0.57
0.57
vs Stronger (14)
0.36
1.07
0.43
1.71
0.29
0.43
vs Similar (15)
0.67
0.60
0.56
0.44
0.83
0.83
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (WSG Wattens) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
75.4%
@ 1.20-2.1%
Under 0.5
24.6%
@ 4.13+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Under
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.20
1xBet
4.05
Marathonbet
4.05
William Hil
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
40.5%
@ 1.97-6.9%
Under 1.5
59.5%
@ 1.77+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
2.01
Betano
1.95
William Hil
1.95
Bet365
1.91
Under
Betano
1.82
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
William Hil
1.75
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
17.3%
@ 4.03-5.7%
Under 2.5
82.7%
@ 1.21+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.15
1xBet
4.15
William Hil
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.85
Under
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
WSG Wattens over/under 0.5 2H
Over
51.6%
@ 1.60-6.4%
Under
48.4%
@ 2.21+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.62
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Under
Betano
2.27
1xBet
2.22
10Bet
2.15
WSG Wattens over/under 1.5 2H
Over
15.4%
@ 3.89-8.3%
Under
84.6%
@ 1.21+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.05
10Bet
4.00
1xBet
3.80
Betano
3.70
Under
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
WSG Wattens over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.7%
@ 9.25-7.4%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.04+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
TSV Hartberg over/under 0.5 2H
Over
49.9%
@ 1.83-0.7%
Under
50.1%
@ 1.87+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.83
10Bet
1.83
Betano
1.82
Under
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.85
10Bet
1.85
TSV Hartberg over/under 1.5 2H
Over
15.7%
@ 5.09-2.4%
Under
84.3%
@ 1.13+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.35
1xBet
5.20
10Bet
5.00
Betano
4.80
Under
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
TSV Hartberg over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.9%
@ 12.75-3.5%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.02+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+3.9%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.2%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+3.2%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+5.4%
Home under 3.5 goals
98.1%
1.05
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
-
-
+8.0%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.3%
1.04
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
-
-
-
+7.4%
Under 5.5
96.5%
1.05
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.04
-
-
+6.2%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.5%
Away under 3.5 goals
94.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
+0.8%
Home under 2.5 goals
91.8%
1.19
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
+13.5%
Under 4.5
90.5%
1.12
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
+7.9%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.1%
1.07
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
-
+3.3%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
90.0%
1.12
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
-
+7.4%
Away +2 handicap
90.0%
1.20
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
-
+14.5%
Under 2.5 HT goals
89.7%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Betfair
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
+4.4%
Under 25.5 fouls
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
84.6%
1.21
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
-
+8.3%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.3%
1.13
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
-
+2.4%
Away under 2.5 goals
83.8%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
-1.0%
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.7%
1.21
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
+5.7%
Under 5.5 cards
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
78.3%
1.09
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.08
-
-
-
-6.4%
Under 3.5
75.6%
1.36
Betano
1.39
10Bet
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
+7.5%
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.4%
1.20
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
-2.1%
Away over 0.5 goals
74.9%
1.32
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
+4.6%
Draw or Away
73.9%
1.66
Betano
1.72
Betfair
1.67
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
+17.1%
Away +1 handicap
73.9%
1.66
Betfair
1.67
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
-
+19.9%
Over 8.5 corners
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 goals
73.3%
1.72
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.74
Bet365
1.73
10Bet
1.70
+19.0%
Under 23.5 fouls
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
72.7%
1.23
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
-2.6%
Home or Away
70.3%
1.28
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
-3.3%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
WSG Wattens
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
M. Olakigbe40%
Marc Striednig25%
Husein Balić20%
Nikolai Frederiksen20%
Drew Murray20%
D. Gugganig0%
Murat Satin0%
Nemanja Čelić0%
Thomas Goiginger0%
Lukas Hinterseer0%
M. Boras0%
D. Kubatta0%
S. Hamzić0%
Raphael Gschösser0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Raphael Gschösser50%
Drew Murray40%
Marc Striednig25%
Nemanja Čelić20%
M. Olakigbe20%
D. Gugganig0%
Murat Satin0%
Thomas Goiginger0%
Husein Balić0%
Lukas Hinterseer0%
Nikolai Frederiksen0%
M. Boras0%
D. Kubatta0%
S. Hamzić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Raphael Gschösser25%
Thomas Goiginger20%
M. Boras20%
M. Olakigbe20%
D. Gugganig0%
Murat Satin0%
Nemanja Čelić0%
Husein Balić0%
Lukas Hinterseer0%
Nikolai Frederiksen0%
D. Kubatta0%
S. Hamzić0%
Drew Murray0%
Marc Striednig0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikolai Frederiksen40%
Husein Balić20%
Lukas Hinterseer20%
D. Gugganig0%
Murat Satin0%
Nemanja Čelić0%
Thomas Goiginger0%
M. Boras0%
M. Olakigbe0%
D. Kubatta0%
S. Hamzić0%
Drew Murray0%
Marc Striednig0%
Raphael Gschösser0%
TSV Hartberg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Benjamin Markuš20%
Angelo Gattermayer20%
Marco Hoffmann20%
Tobias Kainz0%
Youba Diarra0%
Paul Komposch0%
Ármin Pécsi0%
Jed Drew0%
Fabian Wilfinger0%
Oliver Lukić0%
Habib Anas Coulibaly0%
Konstantin Schopp0%
Agustín Urrutia0%
Nikolaus Feldhofer0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Angelo Gattermayer40%
Konstantin Schopp25%
Youba Diarra20%
Fabian Wilfinger20%
Habib Anas Coulibaly20%
Nikolaus Feldhofer20%
Tobias Kainz0%
Benjamin Markuš0%
Paul Komposch0%
Ármin Pécsi0%
Marco Hoffmann0%
Jed Drew0%
Oliver Lukić0%
Agustín Urrutia0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tobias Kainz20%
Marco Hoffmann20%
Fabian Wilfinger20%
Youba Diarra0%
Benjamin Markuš0%
Paul Komposch0%
Angelo Gattermayer0%
Ármin Pécsi0%
Jed Drew0%
Oliver Lukić0%
Habib Anas Coulibaly0%
Konstantin Schopp0%
Agustín Urrutia0%
Nikolaus Feldhofer0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marco Hoffmann20%
Tobias Kainz0%
Youba Diarra0%
Benjamin Markuš0%
Paul Komposch0%
Angelo Gattermayer0%
Ármin Pécsi0%
Jed Drew0%
Fabian Wilfinger0%
Oliver Lukić0%
Habib Anas Coulibaly0%
Konstantin Schopp0%
Agustín Urrutia0%
Nikolaus Feldhofer0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (31)
€105m
SG (26)
€52m
RV (33)
€46m
LL (22)
€44m
AV (30)
€23m
WA (28)
€12m
TH (27)
€10m
GA (23)
€9m
SA (23)
€9m
RIE (24)
€7m
WW (22)
€7m
AL (22)
€5m
WSG Wattens's squad is €3m less valuable than TSV Hartberg's (€7m vs €10m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€47m
SG (11)
€26m
RV (11)
€16m
LL (5)
€13m
AV (11)
€9m
SA (9)
€4m
WA (9)
€3m
WW (7)
€3m
TH (9)
€3m
AL (10)
€2m
RIE (7)
€2m
GA (7)
€2m
WSG Wattens and TSV Hartberg have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (6)
€29m
SG (4)
€14m
LL (6)
€11m
RV (6)
€10m
AV (5)
€7m
WA (5)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
RIE (8)
€3m
WW (7)
€2m
SA (3)
€1m
GA (3)
€1m
AL (3)
€1m
WSG Wattens's midfield is €1m less valuable than TSV Hartberg's (€2m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (14)
€29m
LL (11)
€20m
RV (16)
€19m
SG (11)
€13m
AV (14)
€7m
WA (14)
€6m
GA (13)
€6m
TH (11)
€5m
SA (11)
€4m
WW (8)
€3m
RIE (9)
€3m
AL (9)
€2m
WSG Wattens's defence is €2m less valuable than TSV Hartberg's (€3m vs €5m).
Austria: Bundesliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
Rapid Vienna
Sturm Graz
Wolfsberger AC
Austria Lustenau
Ried
Grazer AK
SCR Altach
Austria Vienna