Wycombe’s recent home form shows a solid attack, averaging 1.58 goals per game, while conceding 1.17, suggesting they can keep the pressure on Milton King’s Dons who average 1.62 scored and 1.38 conceded away. The model projects a 52% chance of a Wycombe win, 24% draw, 25% away win, with the home side the clear favourite. The expected total of 3.3 goals points to a lively match, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1 at 10.6%. The single most likely total goals is 3, with a 22% probability. Suggested picks include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.2% (edge 4%), Under 7.5 at 98.0%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.0% (edge 3%), Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.8% (edge 5%), Away under 3.5 goals at 95.5% (edge 3%), Under 6.5 at 95.0%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 93.6% (edge 2%), and Away under 1.5 HT goals at 89.4% (edge 5%). The match is likely to feature a balanced contest with both sides testing each other’s defenses.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Wycombe win
51.7%
Avg Implied 40.9% · @ 2.27
Edge
+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.31
William Hil
2.30
Betano
2.30
10Bet
2.30
Unibet
2.30
Draw
23.8%
Avg Implied 27.0% · @ 3.45
Edge
-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.63
Betfair
3.60
Dafabet
3.55
BetVictor
3.50
1xBet
3.48
Milton Keynes Dons win
24.5%
Avg Implied 32.1% · @ 2.90
Edge
-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.00
BetVictor
3.00
Dafabet
2.95
Betano
2.92
Pinnacle
2.92
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Wycombe
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.57
1.80
1.07
1.27
2.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
1.41
1.67
1.58
1.17
1.27
2.07
vs Weaker (3)
2.67
0.67
2.67
0.67
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Milton Keynes Dons) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Milton Keynes Dons
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.07
1.53
0.73
1.73
1.40
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (16)
1.38
1.25
1.12
1.12
1.62
1.38
vs Weaker (12)
2.17
0.67
2.33
0.33
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Wycombe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
85.0%
@ 1.23+9.6%
Under 1.5
15.0%
@ 3.78-9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Unibet
1.23
Under
Betfair
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Pinnacle
3.98
10Bet
3.75
1xBet
3.72
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63.9%
@ 1.77+10.9%
Under 2.5
36.1%
@ 2.00-10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.80
Betano
1.80
Unibet
1.79
Pinnacle
1.78
Marathonbet
1.77
Under
Betfair
2.05
Bet365
2.05
Pinnacle
2.04
1xBet
2.01
Marathonbet
2.01
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
41.8%
@ 2.86+9.3%
Under 3.5
58.2%
@ 1.37-9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.00
Unibet
3.00
Pinnacle
2.91
Betfair
2.88
Betano
2.87
Under
Pinnacle
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
BetVictor
1.39
Both teams to score
Yes
64.1%
@ 1.61+6.6%
No
35.9%
@ 2.18-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.63
10Bet
1.62
Betano
1.62
William Hil
1.62
Bet365
1.62
No
Betfair
2.30
BetVictor
2.20
William Hil
2.20
Bet365
2.20
1xBet
2.19
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.6%@ 6.21+3.4%
2-1
9.5%@ 8.40+4.2%
2-0
7.2%@ 11.41+3.3%
1-2
6.4%@ 9.51+1.7%
1-0
6.4%@ 8.54+1.1%
2-2
6.3%@ 11.63+2.4%
3-1
6.3%@ 15.73+3.4%
3-0
4.8%@ 21.11+2.6%
Wycombe goals ↓
Milton Keynes Dons goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.7%
3.9%
3.2%
1.4%
0.5%
1
6.4%
11%
6.4%
2.8%
0.9%
2
7.2%
9.5%
6.3%
2.8%
0.9%
3
4.8%
6.3%
4.1%
1.8%
0.6%
4
2.3%
3.1%
2.0%
0.9%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Wycombe goals (down), columns = Milton Keynes Dons goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leicester
2.34
Stockport
1.69
Luton
1.61
Bradford
1.60
Plymouth
1.59
Oxford
1.58
Stevenage
1.56
Sheffield Weds
1.49
Huddersfield
1.46
Mansfield
1.41
Milton Keynes Dons
1.38
Reading
1.37
Wycombe
1.37
Blackpool
1.30
Doncaster
1.30
Barnsley
1.28
Wigan
1.22
Cambridge
1.21
Burton
1.17
Notts County
1.17
AFC Wimbledon
1.15
Peterboro
1.15
Leyton Orient
1.13
Bromley
1.08
Wycombe is 0.01 points worse than Milton Keynes Dons in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 1.38).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Leicester
2.24
Plymouth
1.63
Huddersfield
1.61
Stockport
1.53
Oxford
1.51
Wycombe
1.50
Barnsley
1.48
Luton
1.48
Sheffield Weds
1.42
Reading
1.39
Peterboro
1.39
Mansfield
1.35
Milton Keynes Dons
1.32
Leyton Orient
1.28
Bradford
1.21
Blackpool
1.17
Cambridge
1.15
Notts County
1.12
AFC Wimbledon
1.11
Doncaster
1.09
Burton
1.09
Wigan
1.07
Bromley
1.03
Stevenage
1.02
Wycombe is 0.18 goals better than Milton Keynes Dons in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.32).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.77
Stevenage
1.02
Mansfield
1.09
Bradford
1.10
Oxford
1.14
Sheffield Weds
1.21
Luton
1.22
Wycombe
1.26
Wigan
1.26
Stockport
1.27
Milton Keynes Dons
1.30
Reading
1.30
Burton
1.30
Plymouth
1.37
Huddersfield
1.39
Blackpool
1.41
Peterboro
1.48
Cambridge
1.49
Doncaster
1.50
Notts County
1.54
Leyton Orient
1.54
AFC Wimbledon
1.57
Barnsley
1.59
Bromley
1.67
Wycombe is 0.04 goals better than Milton Keynes Dons in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 1.30).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Luton
56%
Peterboro
55%
Stockport
55%
Wycombe
54%
Leyton Orient
52%
Barnsley
52%
Doncaster
50%
Reading
50%
Bradford
50%
Huddersfield
50%
Plymouth
48%
AFC Wimbledon
46%
Blackpool
46%
Burton
46%
Mansfield
46%
Wigan
45%
Stevenage
45%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Wycombe
For 6.6 · Against 4.8 · Total 11.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 12.7 · Total 23.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Milton Keynes Dons
For 4.3 · Against 6.0 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 10.2 · Total 20.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Wycombe
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.7
10.4
3.4
3.4
3.4
21.2
21.1
21.2
vs Stronger (1)
10.0
10.0
-
3.0
3.0
-
17.0
17.0
-
vs Similar (43)
10.1
9.7
10.4
3.5
3.3
3.6
21.3
21.4
21.2
vs Weaker (6)
9.8
9.7
10.0
3.0
4.0
2.0
21.0
20.7
21.3
% over line
56%
50%
62%
50%
44%
56%
42%
42%
42%
% under line
44%
50%
38%
50%
56%
44%
58%
58%
58%
This opponent (Milton Keynes Dons) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Milton Keynes Dons
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.0
9.2
3.5
3.7
3.4
22.9
23.1
22.6
vs Stronger (2)
11.5
13.0
10.0
4.0
3.0
5.0
19.5
15.0
24.0
vs Similar (27)
9.7
9.9
9.6
3.9
3.9
3.8
23.9
24.0
23.8
vs Weaker (21)
7.9
7.1
8.7
3.0
3.5
2.6
21.8
22.7
21.0
% over line
42%
42%
42%
54%
52%
56%
58%
54%
62%
% under line
58%
58%
58%
46%
48%
44%
42%
46%
38%
This opponent (Wycombe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Barnsley
11.7
Oxford
11.3
Plymouth
11.2
Leicester
11.0
Blackpool
10.6
Wigan
10.6
Luton
10.4
Burton
10.4
Bradford
10.3
Sheffield Weds
10.3
Huddersfield
10.2
Bromley
10.2
AFC Wimbledon
10.1
Wycombe
10.1
Peterboro
9.9
Doncaster
9.9
Stockport
9.8
Mansfield
9.7
Leyton Orient
9.7
Notts County
9.4
Reading
9.2
Milton Keynes Dons
9.2
Cambridge
9.0
Stevenage
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Plymouth
4.8
Notts County
4.4
Peterboro
4.2
Leyton Orient
4.1
Bradford
4.1
Huddersfield
4.1
Blackpool
3.9
Doncaster
3.8
Bromley
3.8
Stevenage
3.8
Mansfield
3.8
Luton
3.7
Leicester
3.7
Milton Keynes Dons
3.7
Wycombe
3.6
Burton
3.6
Reading
3.6
Barnsley
3.6
Oxford
3.5
AFC Wimbledon
3.3
Stockport
3.3
Wigan
3.2
Sheffield Weds
3.1
Cambridge
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Notts County
24.8
Plymouth
24.5
Bradford
24.4
Huddersfield
24.4
Stevenage
24.4
Luton
23.9
Leyton Orient
23.7
Wigan
23.3
AFC Wimbledon
23.2
Peterboro
23.2
Milton Keynes Dons
23.1
Blackpool
23.1
Doncaster
22.8
Reading
22.7
Burton
22.5
Oxford
22.4
Cambridge
22.4
Mansfield
22.3
Sheffield Weds
22.1
Leicester
22.0
Bromley
21.9
Wycombe
21.3
Stockport
20.8
Barnsley
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
52.1%
@ 1.72-1.9%
Under 9.5
47.9%
@ 2.02+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Unibet
1.58
Under
Betfair
2.25
Unibet
2.18
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.94
Bet365
1.91
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
49.1%
Under 3.5
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
59.5%
Under 21.5
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Wycombe or Draw
75.5%
Avg Implied 67.7% · @ 1.37
Edge
+7.7%
52%
24%
25%
covers Wycombe + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.40
William Hil
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Wycombe or Milton Keynes Dons
76.2%
Avg Implied 73.0% · @ 1.27
Edge
+3.2%
52%
24%
25%
covers Wycombe + Milton Keynes Dons
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Draw or Milton Keynes Dons
48.3%
Avg Implied 59.3% · @ 1.57
Edge
-11.0%
52%
24%
25%
covers Draw + Milton Keynes Dons
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.59
10Bet
1.57
Betfair
1.57
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Wycombe over/under 0.5
Over
86.1%
@ 1.21+9.7%
Under
13.9%
@ 3.93-9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Unibet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Under
Pinnacle
4.11
BetVictor
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
4.00
Wycombe over/under 1.5
Over
58.7%
@ 2.08+13.9%
Under
41.3%
@ 1.69-13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.13
Betfair
2.10
Marathonbet
2.10
1xBet
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Under
Bet365
1.73
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
Pinnacle
1.70
Betano
1.70
Wycombe over/under 2.5
Over
31.6%
@ 4.46+10.8%
Under
68.4%
@ 1.17-10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.80
10Bet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.50
1xBet
4.50
BetVictor
4.50
Under
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Wycombe over/under 3.5
Over
13.8%
@ 9.62+4.0%
Under
86.2%
@ 1.05-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Milton Keynes Dons over/under 0.5
Over
73.3%
@ 1.29+1.3%
Under
26.7%
@ 3.31-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Unibet
1.28
Under
Betfair
3.60
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.38
BetVictor
3.30
Marathonbet
3.26
Milton Keynes Dons over/under 1.5
Over
38.0%
@ 2.45+0.1%
Under
62.0%
@ 1.50-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.50
1xBet
2.46
Marathonbet
2.46
Unibet
2.45
Under
Betano
1.52
Marathonbet
1.51
1xBet
1.51
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Milton Keynes Dons over/under 2.5
Over
14.7%
@ 5.63-1.7%
Under
85.3%
@ 1.11+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.75
Betfair
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Under
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Milton Keynes Dons over/under 3.5
Over
4.5%
@ 13.62-2.5%
Under
95.5%
@ 1.02+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
17.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Wycombe, so a minus line means Wycombe give that many goals of a start and Milton Keynes Dons receive them. At -1, Wycombe must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Wycombe win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Wycombe)
Wycombe -2
14.7%
@ 9.72+5.5%
Draw -2
15.9%
@ 6.40+2.0%
Milton Keynes Dons +2
69.4%
@ 1.17-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
11.00
Bet365
10.00
Unibet
9.00
Marathonbet
8.90
Draw
Marathonbet
6.60
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Unibet
6.00
Away
Bet365
1.20
Unibet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Handicap -1 (Wycombe)
Wycombe -1
30.6%
@ 4.29+9.7%
Draw -1
21.1%
@ 4.01-1.3%
Milton Keynes Dons +1
48.3%
@ 1.58-8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.33
10Bet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.20
Unibet
4.10
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
4.00
10Bet
3.90
Unibet
3.80
Away
Bet365
1.62
Marathonbet
1.59
10Bet
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Unibet
1.57
Handicap +1 (Wycombe)
Wycombe +1
75.5%
@ 1.37+10.3%
Draw +1
13.8%
@ 4.56-5.8%
Milton Keynes Dons -1
10.8%
@ 5.86-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Unibet
1.36
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.60
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.35
10Bet
4.33
Away
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.80
10Bet
5.75
Unibet
5.75
Handicap +2 (Wycombe)
Wycombe +2
89.2%
@ 1.10+6.7%
Draw +2
7.1%
@ 8.33-3.7%
Milton Keynes Dons -2
3.6%
@ 13.67-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
Draw
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.50
Unibet
7.50
Away
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
14.00
Unibet
12.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Wycombe
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.73
0.80
0.67
0.53
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.59
0.74
0.67
0.67
0.53
0.80
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.67
1.33
0.67
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Milton Keynes Dons) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Milton Keynes Dons
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.37
1.07
0.27
1.13
0.47
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (16)
0.94
0.31
0.88
0.38
1.00
0.25
vs Weaker (12)
1.50
0.25
1.50
0.17
1.50
0.33
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Wycombe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
72.9%
@ 1.33+2.9%
Under 0.5
27.1%
@ 3.11-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Under
Betfair
3.30
William Hil
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.23
10Bet
3.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
41.6%
@ 2.56+5.4%
Under 1.5
58.4%
@ 1.46-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.70
Pinnacle
2.62
Bet365
2.62
1xBet
2.59
Marathonbet
2.59
Under
William Hil
1.50
10Bet
1.48
BetVictor
1.47
Pinnacle
1.46
Betfair
1.45
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
16.8%
@ 6.44+2.4%
Under 2.5
83.2%
@ 1.08-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.50
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.10
1xBet
6.10
Under
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Betano
1.11
BetVictor
1.07
Betfair
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Wycombe over/under 0.5 HT
Over
59.7%
@ 1.89+10.8%
Under
40.3%
@ 1.81-10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.95
Pinnacle
1.90
Marathonbet
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Unibet
1.87
Under
Pinnacle
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Unibet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
1xBet
1.80
Wycombe over/under 1.5 HT
Over
20.3%
@ 5.59+3.8%
Under
79.7%
@ 1.11-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.85
Marathonbet
5.85
Betano
5.40
10Bet
5.25
Under
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Wycombe over/under 2.5 HT
Over
7.0%
@ 14.12+0.3%
Under
93.0%
@ 1.01-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Milton Keynes Dons over/under 0.5 HT
Over
38.6%
@ 2.09-5.6%
Under
61.4%
@ 1.66+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.15
Pinnacle
2.12
Marathonbet
2.08
Unibet
2.08
1xBet
2.08
Under
10Bet
1.70
Pinnacle
1.66
1xBet
1.65
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
Milton Keynes Dons over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.0%
@ 6.80-4.6%
Under
91.0%
@ 1.07+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.10
1xBet
7.10
Betano
6.50
10Bet
6.50
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Milton Keynes Dons over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.2%
@ 17.75-4.2%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.01+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Betano
12.50
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Wycombe
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.83
1.00
0.40
0.73
1.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.81
0.93
0.92
0.50
0.73
1.27
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.00
1.33
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Milton Keynes Dons) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Milton Keynes Dons
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.70
0.47
0.47
0.60
0.93
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.44
0.94
0.25
0.75
0.62
1.12
vs Weaker (12)
0.67
0.42
0.83
0.17
0.50
0.67
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Wycombe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
81.8%
@ 1.20+4.2%
Under 0.5
18.2%
@ 4.16-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
Under
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.15
Marathonbet
4.15
Betano
4.15
William Hil
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
48.8%
@ 1.97+1.4%
Under 1.5
51.2%
@ 1.77-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.00
Unibet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.97
1xBet
1.97
Betano
1.95
Under
Betano
1.82
Bet365
1.80
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.78
William Hil
1.75
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
22.5%
@ 4.02-0.6%
Under 2.5
77.5%
@ 1.21+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.20
Marathonbet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
1xBet
4.00
Betano
3.90
Under
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Wycombe over/under 0.5 2H
Over
64.4%
@ 1.65+8.3%
Under
35.6%
@ 2.11-8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.68
10Bet
1.65
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.62
Under
Betano
2.15
1xBet
2.15
10Bet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.03
Wycombe over/under 1.5 2H
Over
30.4%
@ 4.08+7.7%
Under
69.6%
@ 1.20-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.15
1xBet
4.00
Betano
3.85
Under
Betano
1.23
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Wycombe over/under 2.5 2H
Over
8.4%
@ 10.00-1.0%
Under
91.6%
@ 1.03+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
11.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Milton Keynes Dons over/under 0.5 2H
Over
43.6%
@ 1.76-8.9%
Under
56.4%
@ 1.95+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.77
1xBet
1.77
10Bet
1.77
Betano
1.75
Under
Betano
2.00
1xBet
1.94
10Bet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.92
Milton Keynes Dons over/under 1.5 2H
Over
12.5%
@ 4.84-6.6%
Under
87.5%
@ 1.14+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.00
10Bet
5.00
1xBet
4.80
Betano
4.55
Under
Betano
1.18
Marathonbet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Milton Keynes Dons over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.2%
@ 12.62-5.3%
Under
97.8%
@ 1.02+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+4.2%
Under 7.5
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+5.3%
Away under 3.5 goals
95.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+2.5%
Under 6.5
95.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-0.0%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
93.0%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
-0.3%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
91.6%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+1.0%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.0%
1.07
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-
+4.6%
Home +2 handicap
89.2%
1.10
Bet365
1.12
Unibet
1.09
Betfair
1.08
-
-
+6.7%
Under 5.5
88.4%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
-2.4%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.5%
1.14
Betano
1.18
Marathonbet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
-
+6.6%
Home under 3.5 goals
86.2%
1.05
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-4.0%
Home over 0.5 goals
86.1%
1.21
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Unibet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
+9.7%
Away under 2.5 goals
85.3%
1.11
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.11
BetVictor
1.11
Betfair
1.11
+1.7%
Over 1.5
85.0%
1.23
Betano
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Unibet
1.23
+9.6%
Under 5.5 cards
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
83.2%
1.08
Bet365
1.11
William Hil
1.11
Betano
1.11
BetVictor
1.07
Betfair
1.07
-2.4%
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.8%
1.20
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
+4.2%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
79.7%
1.11
Betano
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
-
-3.8%
Under 2.5 2H goals
77.5%
1.21
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.22
William Hil
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
+0.6%
Under 4.5
76.4%
1.12
Pinnacle
1.15
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
-6.8%
Home or Away
76.2%
1.27
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
1xBet
1.28
+3.2%
Home or Draw
75.5%
1.37
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
10Bet
1.40
William Hil
1.40
1xBet
1.38
+7.7%
Home +1 handicap
75.5%
1.37
10Bet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Unibet
1.36
+10.3%
Over 19.5 fouls
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
73.3%
1.29
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Unibet
1.28
+1.3%
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.9%
1.33
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.35
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
+2.9%
Under 25.5 fouls
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
71.5%
1.37
Unibet
1.48
Betfair
1.44
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Betano
1.31
+4.2%
Over 2.5 cards
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5 cards
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Wycombe
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
C. Woodrow50%
Ewan Henderson25%
C. Taylor25%
Steve Cook0%
J. Scowen0%
Fred Onyedinma0%
J. Grimmer0%
A. Morley0%
D. Harvie0%
Conor Hazard0%
Junior Quitirna0%
C. Boyd-Munce0%
E. Tezgel0%
Silko Thomas0%
Samuel Parker0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ewan Henderson75%
Fred Onyedinma25%
Steve Cook0%
J. Scowen0%
C. Woodrow0%
J. Grimmer0%
A. Morley0%
D. Harvie0%
Conor Hazard0%
Junior Quitirna0%
C. Boyd-Munce0%
E. Tezgel0%
Silko Thomas0%
C. Taylor0%
Samuel Parker0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ewan Henderson25%
Silko Thomas25%
Steve Cook0%
J. Scowen0%
Fred Onyedinma0%
C. Woodrow0%
J. Grimmer0%
A. Morley0%
D. Harvie0%
Conor Hazard0%
Junior Quitirna0%
C. Boyd-Munce0%
E. Tezgel0%
C. Taylor0%
Samuel Parker0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ewan Henderson25%
D. Harvie25%
Steve Cook0%
J. Scowen0%
Fred Onyedinma0%
C. Woodrow0%
J. Grimmer0%
A. Morley0%
Conor Hazard0%
Junior Quitirna0%
C. Boyd-Munce0%
E. Tezgel0%
Silko Thomas0%
C. Taylor0%
Samuel Parker0%
Milton Keynes Dons
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
A. Collins50%
Ryan Wintle25%
G. Jones0%
Charlie Goode0%
M. Ekpiteta0%
S. Nombe0%
C. Paterson0%
B. Wiles0%
Craig McGillivray0%
Curtis Nelson0%
D. Barlaser0%
Ryan Barnett0%
Cohen Bramall0%
S. Silvera0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
A. Collins25%
Charlie Goode25%
G. Jones0%
Ryan Wintle0%
M. Ekpiteta0%
S. Nombe0%
C. Paterson0%
B. Wiles0%
Craig McGillivray0%
Curtis Nelson0%
D. Barlaser0%
Ryan Barnett0%
Cohen Bramall0%
S. Silvera0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
B. Wiles25%
G. Jones0%
A. Collins0%
Ryan Wintle0%
Charlie Goode0%
M. Ekpiteta0%
S. Nombe0%
C. Paterson0%
Craig McGillivray0%
Curtis Nelson0%
D. Barlaser0%
Ryan Barnett0%
Cohen Bramall0%
S. Silvera0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
A. Collins25%
Charlie Goode25%
G. Jones0%
Ryan Wintle0%
M. Ekpiteta0%
S. Nombe0%
C. Paterson0%
B. Wiles0%
Craig McGillivray0%
Curtis Nelson0%
D. Barlaser0%
Ryan Barnett0%
Cohen Bramall0%
S. Silvera0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (22)
€69m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
BRO (19)
€4m
Wycombe's squad is €5m less valuable than Milton Keynes Dons's (€10m vs €15m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (7)
€20m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
Wycombe's attack is €2m less valuable than Milton Keynes Dons's (€3m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (4)
€13m
MKD (6)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
Wycombe's midfield is €5m less valuable than Milton Keynes Dons's (€2m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (11)
€36m
LUT (10)
€12m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
Wycombe's defence is €2m more valuable than Milton Keynes Dons's (€5m vs €3m).
England: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Huddersfield
Sheffield Weds
Blackpool
Burton
Barnsley
Cambridge
Luton
Leyton Orient
Stockport
Notts County
Bradford
Mansfield
Leicester
Reading
Oxford
Plymouth
Peterboro
AFC Wimbledon
Bromley
Doncaster
Stevenage
Wigan