Wycombe and Plymouth face off in a finely balanced League One match on August 22. The recent form of both teams is worth noting, with Wycombe coming off a draw against Blackpool and Plymouth having just suffered a 1-3 defeat to Stockport. The model suggests a Home win as the most likely outcome, with a 38% chance of a Wycombe victory, 27% chance of a draw, and 35% chance of an away win.
The expected total goals stand at 2.9, with the most likely total being 2 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.6% probability. Wycombe has a record of scoring 1.11 goals and conceding 1.22 at home, particularly against similar opponents. Plymouth, meanwhile, has averaged 2.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded when playing away against similar opponents.
The model's selection for Over 1.5 goals has an 80.2% probability, with a 6% edge. The "Home or Away" selection has a 73% probability, with no edge. The home win percentage is 38%, the draw percentage is 27%, and the away win percentage is 35%.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Wycombe, failed to deliver, as the match finished 1-1, a draw that left the model’s Home win call wrong. The Pythia prediction had Wycombe as the favorite with a 40 % chance, but the result was a draw. The game saw every suggested pick hit: Under 7.5 goals (99 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.6 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.5 %), Under 6.5 (97.1 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (95.9 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (94.7 %), Home under 3.5 goals (94.3 %), and Away under 3.5 goals (93.6 %). Both sides entered the match coming off a draw, with Wycombe’s recent form showing a series of defeats and a draw, and Plymouth’s recent form a mix of losses and wins, yet neither side managed to break the deadlock.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Wycombe win✗ Miss
39.7%
Avg Implied 35.5% · @ 2.62
Edge
+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
2.75
Pinnacle
2.75
1xBet
2.70
Marathonbet
2.70
Superbet
2.70
Draw✓ Hit
27.4%
Avg Implied 27.8% · @ 3.35
Edge
-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.60
Pinnacle
3.54
Dafabet
3.45
BetVictor
3.40
10Bet
3.40
Plymouth win✗ Miss
32.8%
Avg Implied 36.6% · @ 2.54
Edge
-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
2.70
10Bet
2.66
Dafabet
2.60
Unibet
2.55
Pinnacle
2.55
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Wycombe
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.37
1.80
1.00
1.20
1.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.42
1.50
1.58
1.08
1.29
1.86
vs Weaker (4)
2.00
0.50
2.67
0.67
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Plymouth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Plymouth
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.97
1.13
1.75
1.38
2.21
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
2.07
1.21
1.86
1.86
2.29
0.57
vs Weaker (16)
1.88
1.06
1.67
1.00
2.14
1.14
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Wycombe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.5%
@ 1.25+3.8%
Under 1.5
21.5%
@ 3.68-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.26
BetVictor
1.26
Pinnacle
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
4.10
Betfair
3.80
Superbet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
888Sport
3.70
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.6%
@ 1.80+1.5%
Under 2.5
46.4%
@ 1.96-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.87
10Bet
1.85
SBO
1.83
Pinnacle
1.81
Bet365
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
2.06
Marathonbet
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Betano
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.4%
@ 2.91-0.6%
Under 3.5
68.6%
@ 1.37+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.10
10Bet
3.10
888Sport
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
2.97
Under
Pinnacle
1.41
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.38
BetVictor
1.37
Betfair
1.36
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.3%
@ 1.62+0.9%
No
41.7%
@ 2.17-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.65
Superbet
1.62
888Sport
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
No
888Sport
2.20
Betano
2.20
Bet365
2.20
William Hil
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.0%@ 6.17+5.7%
2-1
8.8%@ 9.04+3.8%
1-2
7.9%@ 9.01+2.9%
1-0
7.7%@ 8.93+2.6%
0-0
7.1%@ 10.03+2.6%
0-1
6.7%@ 8.93+1.7%
2-0
6.6%@ 12.94+3.1%
2-2
5.9%@ 11.68+2.0%
Wycombe goals ↓
Plymouth goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.1%
6.7%
5.3%
2.4%
0.8%
1
7.7%
13%
7.9%
3.5%
1.2%
2
6.6%
8.8%
5.9%
2.6%
0.9%
3
3.3%
4.4%
2.9%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.2%
1.6%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Wycombe goals (down), columns = Plymouth goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leicester
2.34
Stockport
1.69
Luton
1.61
Bradford
1.60
Plymouth
1.59
Oxford
1.58
Stevenage
1.56
Sheffield Weds
1.49
Huddersfield
1.46
Mansfield
1.41
Milton Keynes Dons
1.38
Reading
1.37
Wycombe
1.37
Blackpool
1.30
Doncaster
1.30
Barnsley
1.28
Wigan
1.22
Cambridge
1.21
Burton
1.17
Notts County
1.17
AFC Wimbledon
1.15
Peterboro
1.15
Leyton Orient
1.13
Bromley
1.08
Wycombe is 0.22 points worse than Plymouth in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 1.59).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Leicester
2.24
Plymouth
1.63
Huddersfield
1.61
Stockport
1.53
Oxford
1.51
Wycombe
1.50
Barnsley
1.48
Luton
1.48
Sheffield Weds
1.42
Reading
1.39
Peterboro
1.39
Mansfield
1.35
Milton Keynes Dons
1.32
Leyton Orient
1.28
Bradford
1.21
Blackpool
1.17
Cambridge
1.15
Notts County
1.12
AFC Wimbledon
1.11
Doncaster
1.09
Burton
1.09
Wigan
1.07
Bromley
1.03
Stevenage
1.02
Wycombe is 0.13 goals worse than Plymouth in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.63).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.77
Stevenage
1.02
Mansfield
1.09
Bradford
1.10
Oxford
1.14
Sheffield Weds
1.21
Luton
1.22
Wycombe
1.26
Wigan
1.26
Stockport
1.27
Milton Keynes Dons
1.30
Reading
1.30
Burton
1.30
Plymouth
1.37
Huddersfield
1.39
Blackpool
1.41
Peterboro
1.48
Cambridge
1.49
Doncaster
1.50
Notts County
1.54
Leyton Orient
1.54
AFC Wimbledon
1.57
Barnsley
1.59
Bromley
1.67
Wycombe is 0.11 goals better than Plymouth in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 1.37).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Luton
56%
Peterboro
55%
Stockport
55%
Wycombe
54%
Leyton Orient
52%
Barnsley
52%
Doncaster
50%
Reading
50%
Bradford
50%
Huddersfield
50%
Plymouth
48%
AFC Wimbledon
46%
Blackpool
46%
Burton
46%
Mansfield
46%
Wigan
45%
Stevenage
45%
Wycombe is 6.1 percentage points better than Plymouth in terms of average possession (54% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Wycombe
For 7.6 · Against 4.8 · Total 12.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 11.9 · Total 22.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Plymouth
For 6.8 · Against 4.2 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 12.2 · Total 24.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Wycombe
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.9
10.3
3.5
3.5
3.4
21.2
20.7
21.7
vs Stronger (1)
10.0
10.0
-
3.0
3.0
-
17.0
17.0
-
vs Similar (43)
10.1
9.9
10.3
3.6
3.5
3.6
21.3
20.9
21.8
vs Weaker (6)
9.8
9.7
10.0
3.0
4.0
2.0
21.0
20.7
21.3
% over line
54%
50%
58%
52%
48%
56%
42%
38%
46%
% under line
46%
50%
42%
48%
52%
44%
58%
62%
54%
This opponent (Plymouth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Plymouth
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.3
11.1
11.6
4.8
4.7
4.9
24.3
23.6
25.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
11.2
10.8
11.6
4.5
4.2
4.8
23.7
23.8
23.5
vs Weaker (23)
11.5
11.4
11.5
5.2
5.2
5.1
25.0
23.3
26.9
% over line
73%
64%
83%
74%
76%
72%
67%
60%
75%
% under line
27%
36%
17%
26%
24%
28%
33%
40%
25%
This opponent (Wycombe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Plymouth
11.4
Oxford
11.3
Leicester
11.0
Barnsley
10.9
Wigan
10.7
Blackpool
10.5
Huddersfield
10.5
Bromley
10.5
Sheffield Weds
10.3
Luton
10.3
Burton
10.3
Wycombe
10.2
Peterboro
10.2
Bradford
10.2
Doncaster
10.0
Stockport
9.8
AFC Wimbledon
9.7
Leyton Orient
9.7
Mansfield
9.7
Reading
9.3
Notts County
9.3
Cambridge
9.2
Milton Keynes Dons
9.1
Stevenage
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Plymouth
4.9
Notts County
4.3
Peterboro
4.3
Huddersfield
4.1
Bradford
4.1
Leyton Orient
4.0
Doncaster
3.9
Stevenage
3.8
Milton Keynes Dons
3.7
Bromley
3.7
Wycombe
3.7
Blackpool
3.7
Leicester
3.7
Mansfield
3.7
Luton
3.6
Reading
3.6
Burton
3.6
Barnsley
3.5
Oxford
3.4
Stockport
3.3
AFC Wimbledon
3.1
Wigan
3.1
Cambridge
3.1
Sheffield Weds
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bradford
24.6
Notts County
24.4
Plymouth
24.4
Stevenage
24.4
Huddersfield
24.3
Peterboro
23.9
Luton
23.8
Milton Keynes Dons
23.6
Blackpool
23.5
Wigan
23.3
Leyton Orient
23.2
AFC Wimbledon
23.0
Doncaster
22.6
Cambridge
22.6
Reading
22.6
Mansfield
22.1
Leicester
22.0
Sheffield Weds
22.0
Burton
21.9
Oxford
21.9
Bromley
21.9
Wycombe
21.4
Stockport
21.0
Barnsley
20.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
59.4%
@ 1.61+1.8%
Under 9.5
40.6%
@ 2.19-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.78
10Bet
1.77
Unibet
1.61
Betfair
1.60
Pinnacle
1.59
Under
Marathonbet
2.34
Betano
2.32
Pinnacle
2.29
Superbet
2.27
1xBet
2.20
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
59.3%
Under 3.5
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
64.0%
Under 21.5
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Wycombe or Draw✓ Hit
62.3%
Avg Implied 63.3% · @ 1.47
Edge
-1.0%
40%
27%
33%
covers Wycombe + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.55
Betfair
1.50
Marathonbet
1.50
William Hil
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Wycombe or Plymouth✗ Miss
73.0%
Avg Implied 72.4% · @ 1.29
Edge
+0.6%
40%
27%
33%
covers Wycombe + Plymouth
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Draw or Plymouth✓ Hit
64.7%
Avg Implied 64.3% · @ 1.45
Edge
+0.4%
40%
27%
33%
covers Draw + Plymouth
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.50
SBO
1.44
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Wycombe over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
76.1%
@ 1.26+2.2%
Under
23.9%
@ 3.56-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.27
1xBet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.76
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.60
888Sport
3.60
Superbet
3.55
Wycombe over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
41.9%
@ 2.29+1.1%
Under
58.1%
@ 1.58-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.40
Pinnacle
2.40
Marathonbet
2.33
1xBet
2.33
BetVictor
2.30
Under
888Sport
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Wycombe over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.4%
@ 5.10-0.8%
Under
82.6%
@ 1.14+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
Marathonbet
5.20
1xBet
5.20
Superbet
5.15
Under
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
888Sport
1.15
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Wycombe over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.7%
@ 11.70-2.4%
Under
94.3%
@ 1.03+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
13.00
888Sport
13.00
1xBet
10.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Plymouth over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
77.4%
@ 1.26+3.4%
Under
22.6%
@ 3.56-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Under
Pinnacle
3.95
Betfair
3.80
1xBet
3.64
Superbet
3.60
Betano
3.60
Plymouth over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
43.7%
@ 2.26+2.5%
Under
56.3%
@ 1.58-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.38
10Bet
2.35
888Sport
2.30
Pinnacle
2.29
Betfair
2.25
Under
Pinnacle
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.64
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.60
Plymouth over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
18.7%
@ 5.09+0.5%
Under
81.3%
@ 1.14-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
5.10
Under
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Plymouth over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.4%
@ 12.75-1.1%
Under
93.6%
@ 1.03+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
888Sport
15.00
Superbet
12.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Bet365
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Wycombe, so a minus line means Wycombe give that many goals of a start and Plymouth receive them. At -1, Wycombe must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Wycombe win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Wycombe)Actual: Plymouth
Wycombe -2
6.3%
@ 10.60-2.0%
Draw -2
10.7%
@ 6.87-2.2%
Plymouth +2
83.0%
@ 1.12+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
13.00
Bet365
12.00
Superbet
11.00
Unibet
10.00
Marathonbet
7.00
Draw
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
7.50
Superbet
7.10
Unibet
6.75
Marathonbet
5.00
Away
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Handicap -1 (Wycombe)Actual: Plymouth
Wycombe -1
17.0%
@ 5.01-0.9%
Draw -1
18.3%
@ 4.26-2.7%
Plymouth +1
64.7%
@ 1.47+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.05
10Bet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
4.80
Draw
Betfair
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.33
Superbet
4.25
Unibet
4.00
Away
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Superbet
1.49
Unibet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.43
Handicap +1 (Wycombe)Actual: Wycombe
Wycombe +1
62.3%
@ 1.48+2.0%
Draw +1
19.1%
@ 4.25-2.0%
Plymouth -1
18.6%
@ 4.81+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Marathonbet
1.50
10Bet
1.45
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.33
Superbet
4.20
10Bet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.15
Away
10Bet
5.25
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
4.90
Superbet
4.65
Marathonbet
4.55
Handicap +2 (Wycombe)Actual: Wycombe
Wycombe +2
81.4%
@ 1.14+2.7%
Draw +2
11.5%
@ 7.02-1.3%
Plymouth -2
7.2%
@ 10.46-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Unibet
1.13
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Betfair
7.00
Unibet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.90
Superbet
6.70
Away
Bet365
12.00
Betfair
11.00
Unibet
10.50
Superbet
9.70
Marathonbet
9.10
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Wycombe
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.60
0.87
0.53
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.62
0.62
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.71
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.50
1.33
0.67
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Plymouth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Plymouth
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.67
0.62
0.81
1.21
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
1.00
0.57
0.71
1.00
1.29
0.14
vs Weaker (16)
0.81
0.75
0.56
0.67
1.14
0.86
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Wycombe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.1%
@ 1.35+3.1%
Under 0.5
27.9%
@ 3.00-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Marathonbet
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Superbet
1.35
Under
Pinnacle
3.26
Betfair
3.20
Superbet
3.05
William Hil
3.00
10Bet
3.00
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
39.0%
@ 2.59+3.1%
Under 1.5
61.0%
@ 1.45-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.67
Betano
2.67
William Hil
2.62
Unibet
2.60
Betfair
2.60
Under
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
BetVictor
1.45
Betano
1.45
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.8%
@ 6.37-0.8%
Under 2.5
86.2%
@ 1.08+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
7.50
Betfair
7.00
William Hil
6.50
Superbet
6.10
1xBet
5.85
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
William Hil
1.10
BetVictor
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Wycombe over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
51.8%
@ 2.01+5.7%
Under
48.2%
@ 1.72-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.07
Betano
2.07
Marathonbet
2.02
1xBet
2.02
Superbet
2.00
Under
10Bet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.76
Unibet
1.72
Superbet
1.72
Betano
1.70
Wycombe over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
15.2%
@ 6.08+0.0%
Under
84.8%
@ 1.09-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.40
Marathonbet
6.40
Superbet
6.10
Betano
6.00
10Bet
5.50
Under
10Bet
1.11
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
Wycombe over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 17.33-3.0%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.01+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
21.00
10Bet
19.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Plymouth over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
49.9%
@ 1.99+3.3%
Under
50.1%
@ 1.74-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.02
Pinnacle
2.02
Superbet
2.00
Unibet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.97
Under
Pinnacle
1.80
10Bet
1.75
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
Plymouth over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.9%
@ 5.92-3.7%
Under
88.1%
@ 1.09+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.05
1xBet
6.05
10Bet
6.00
Superbet
5.80
Betano
5.70
Under
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Plymouth over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 17.25-3.2%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.01+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Superbet
19.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Wycombe
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.77
0.93
0.47
0.73
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.81
0.88
0.83
0.58
0.79
1.14
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
0.00
1.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Plymouth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Plymouth
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.47
1.12
0.56
1.00
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
1.07
0.64
1.14
0.86
1.00
0.43
vs Weaker (16)
1.06
0.31
1.11
0.33
1.00
0.29
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Wycombe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.6%
Under 0.5
19.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
50.0%
Under 1.5
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
21.3%
Under 2.5
78.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Wycombe over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
56.2%
Under
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wycombe over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
18.7%
Under
81.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wycombe over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.3%
Under
94.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Plymouth over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
51.8%
Under
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Plymouth over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
17.5%
Under
82.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Plymouth over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.1%
Under
95.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
97.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.3%
1.03
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Superbet
1.02
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
93.6%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.4%
1.04
Betano
1.06
888Sport
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.1%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.10
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.2%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.10
William Hil
1.10
BetVictor
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
84.8%
1.09
10Bet
1.11
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
-0.0%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
83.0%
1.12
Bet365
1.14
Unibet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
82.9%
1.12
Pinnacle
1.16
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
888Sport
1.13
Superbet
1.13
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
82.6%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
888Sport
1.15
Superbet
1.14
10Bet
1.13
+0.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
81.4%
1.14
Superbet
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
Unibet
1.13
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
81.3%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
-0.5%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.5%
1.25
10Bet
1.28
Betano
1.26
BetVictor
1.26
Pinnacle
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
77.4%
1.26
888Sport
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
76.1%
1.26
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Pinnacle
1.27
1xBet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
73.0%
1.29
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
+0.6%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.1%
1.35
Betano
1.40
Marathonbet
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Superbet
1.35
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
71.3%
1.32
Unibet
1.38
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.34
Betfair
1.33
1xBet
1.28
+2.3%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Wycombe
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
C. Woodrow50%
Ewan Henderson25%
C. Taylor25%
Steve Cook0%
J. Scowen0%
Fred Onyedinma0%
J. Grimmer0%
A. Morley0%
D. Harvie0%
Conor Hazard0%
Junior Quitirna0%
C. Boyd-Munce0%
E. Tezgel0%
Silko Thomas0%
Samuel Parker0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ewan Henderson75%
Fred Onyedinma25%
Steve Cook0%
J. Scowen0%
C. Woodrow0%
J. Grimmer0%
A. Morley0%
D. Harvie0%
Conor Hazard0%
Junior Quitirna0%
C. Boyd-Munce0%
E. Tezgel0%
Silko Thomas0%
C. Taylor0%
Samuel Parker0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ewan Henderson25%
Silko Thomas25%
Steve Cook0%
J. Scowen0%
Fred Onyedinma0%
C. Woodrow0%
J. Grimmer0%
A. Morley0%
D. Harvie0%
Conor Hazard0%
Junior Quitirna0%
C. Boyd-Munce0%
E. Tezgel0%
C. Taylor0%
Samuel Parker0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ewan Henderson25%
D. Harvie25%
Steve Cook0%
J. Scowen0%
Fred Onyedinma0%
C. Woodrow0%
J. Grimmer0%
A. Morley0%
Conor Hazard0%
Junior Quitirna0%
C. Boyd-Munce0%
E. Tezgel0%
Silko Thomas0%
C. Taylor0%
Samuel Parker0%
Plymouth
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Julio Pleguezuelo25%
Alex Hartridge25%
Will Evans20%
Xavier Amaechi20%
H. White20%
Aribim Pepple20%
M. Ross0%
W. Harding0%
Ronan Curtis0%
Tyreeq Bakinson0%
M. Sorinola0%
C. Watts0%
Bradley Ibrahim0%
A. Mitchell0%
Murphy Cooper0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Xavier Amaechi40%
Bradley Ibrahim25%
W. Harding20%
Will Evans20%
Julio Pleguezuelo0%
M. Ross0%
Alex Hartridge0%
Ronan Curtis0%
Tyreeq Bakinson0%
M. Sorinola0%
H. White0%
Aribim Pepple0%
C. Watts0%
A. Mitchell0%
Murphy Cooper0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
H. White40%
Tyreeq Bakinson33%
Bradley Ibrahim25%
Julio Pleguezuelo0%
M. Ross0%
Alex Hartridge0%
W. Harding0%
Ronan Curtis0%
Will Evans0%
Xavier Amaechi0%
M. Sorinola0%
Aribim Pepple0%
C. Watts0%
A. Mitchell0%
Murphy Cooper0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ronan Curtis25%
Will Evans20%
Aribim Pepple20%
Julio Pleguezuelo0%
M. Ross0%
Alex Hartridge0%
W. Harding0%
Tyreeq Bakinson0%
Xavier Amaechi0%
M. Sorinola0%
H. White0%
C. Watts0%
Bradley Ibrahim0%
A. Mitchell0%
Murphy Cooper0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (22)
€69m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
BRO (19)
€4m
Wycombe's squad is €3m less valuable than Plymouth's (€10m vs €13m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (7)
€20m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
Wycombe's attack is €2m less valuable than Plymouth's (€3m vs €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (4)
€13m
MKD (6)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
Wycombe and Plymouth have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (11)
€36m
LUT (10)
€12m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
Wycombe's defence is €1m less valuable than Plymouth's (€5m vs €6m).
England: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Huddersfield
Sheffield Weds
Blackpool
Burton
Barnsley
Cambridge
Luton
Leyton Orient
Stockport
Notts County
Bradford
Mansfield
Leicester
Reading
Oxford
Peterboro
AFC Wimbledon
Bromley
Doncaster
Stevenage
Wigan
Milton Keynes Dons