Wycombe are tipped to win, with a 54% chance of triumph, 26% for a draw and 19% for a Sheffield Weds victory. The model expects 2.6 goals overall, most likely a 2-goal match, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.6% probability. Wycombe’s home form shows they average 1.67 goals scored and 1.08 conceded against similar opposition, while Sheffield Weds, on the road, manage only 0.5 goals scored and concede 2.5 against comparable teams. The model’s picks include Under 7.5 (99.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.6% with a 7% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.6% with a 4% edge), Under 6.5 (98.3% with a 4% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.2% with a 6% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.7% with a 2% edge), Under 5.5 (95.2% with a 5% edge) and Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.6% with a 3% edge). Wycombe’s recent form after a 1-5 loss to Stockport contrasts with Sheffield Weds’ 7-2 win over Bromley, setting the stage for a likely home victory.
Results analysis
Wycombe’s winless streak at home ended in a shock 1-2 defeat to Sheffield Weds, extending the visitors’ two-game winning run. The pre-match favourite, Home win, had a 54% probability, but the model was wrong, as the actual result was an Away win. The model’s selections all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.5%, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.6%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.6%, Under 6.5 at 98.3%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 97.2%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 96.7%, Under 5.5 at 95.2%, and Away under 2.5 2H goals at 94.6%. The match delivered a low-scoring, tightly contested outcome that contradicted the model’s optimistic home-side prediction.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Wycombe win✗ Miss
54.5%
Avg Implied 35.1% · @ 2.67
Edge
+19.4%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.75
Pinnacle
2.75
Betano
2.72
BetVictor
2.70
Bet365
2.70
Draw✗ Miss
26.5%
Avg Implied 26.6% · @ 3.51
Edge
-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.79
Betfair
3.70
BetVictor
3.60
1xBet
3.55
Unibet
3.55
Sheffield Weds win✓ Hit
19.0%
Avg Implied 38.3% · @ 2.44
Edge
-19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.65
Unibet
2.50
Bet365
2.50
10Bet
2.46
1xBet
2.46
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Wycombe
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.53
1.87
1.00
1.27
2.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
1.44
1.63
1.67
1.08
1.27
2.07
vs Weaker (3)
2.67
0.67
2.67
0.67
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheffield Weds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sheffield Weds
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.73
0.94
1.38
0.43
2.14
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
1.60
0.33
1.83
0.25
1.25
vs Similar (20)
0.90
1.80
1.30
1.10
0.50
2.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Wycombe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.0%
@ 1.19-4.1%
Under 1.5
26.0%
@ 4.26+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.21
BetVictor
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Under
Pinnacle
4.66
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.45
Unibet
4.25
Marathonbet
4.20
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.7%
@ 1.64-9.4%
Under 2.5
52.3%
@ 2.18+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.68
10Bet
1.67
SBO
1.67
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
Under
Pinnacle
2.27
Bet365
2.25
Superbet
2.22
Betfair
2.20
Betano
2.20
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.0%
@ 2.57-10.3%
Under 3.5
74.0%
@ 1.46+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.80
Pinnacle
2.66
10Bet
2.65
Unibet
2.60
Betano
2.55
Under
Pinnacle
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.50
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.5%
@ 1.52-11.5%
No
50.5%
@ 2.38+11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.57
William Hil
1.53
Unibet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.52
1xBet
1.52
No
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.40
BetVictor
2.40
Superbet
2.40
Betfair
2.38
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%@ 6.56+5.8%
1-0
11.6%@ 10.21+7.2%
2-0
10.7%@ 14.44+7.5%
2-1
9.6%@ 9.30+4.8%
0-0
8.7%@ 12.65+5.2%
3-0
6.0%@ 27.26+4.3%
0-1
5.7%@ 9.80+1.1%
3-1
5.4%@ 17.80+2.9%
Wycombe goals ↓
Sheffield Weds goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.7%
5.7%
3.1%
0.9%
0.2%
1
12%
13%
5.2%
1.6%
0.4%
2
11%
9.6%
4.3%
1.3%
0.3%
3
6.0%
5.4%
2.4%
0.7%
0.2%
4
2.5%
2.3%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Wycombe goals (down), columns = Sheffield Weds goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leicester
2.34
Stockport
1.69
Luton
1.61
Bradford
1.60
Plymouth
1.59
Oxford
1.58
Stevenage
1.56
Sheffield Weds
1.49
Huddersfield
1.46
Mansfield
1.41
Milton Keynes Dons
1.38
Reading
1.37
Wycombe
1.37
Blackpool
1.30
Doncaster
1.30
Barnsley
1.28
Wigan
1.22
Cambridge
1.21
Burton
1.17
Notts County
1.17
AFC Wimbledon
1.15
Peterboro
1.15
Leyton Orient
1.13
Bromley
1.08
Wycombe is 0.12 points worse than Sheffield Weds in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 1.49).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Leicester
2.24
Plymouth
1.63
Huddersfield
1.61
Stockport
1.53
Oxford
1.51
Wycombe
1.50
Barnsley
1.48
Luton
1.48
Sheffield Weds
1.42
Reading
1.39
Peterboro
1.39
Mansfield
1.35
Milton Keynes Dons
1.32
Leyton Orient
1.28
Bradford
1.21
Blackpool
1.17
Cambridge
1.15
Notts County
1.12
AFC Wimbledon
1.11
Doncaster
1.09
Burton
1.09
Wigan
1.07
Bromley
1.03
Stevenage
1.02
Wycombe is 0.08 goals better than Sheffield Weds in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.42).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.77
Stevenage
1.02
Mansfield
1.09
Bradford
1.10
Oxford
1.14
Sheffield Weds
1.21
Luton
1.22
Wycombe
1.26
Wigan
1.26
Stockport
1.27
Milton Keynes Dons
1.30
Reading
1.30
Burton
1.30
Plymouth
1.37
Huddersfield
1.39
Blackpool
1.41
Peterboro
1.48
Cambridge
1.49
Doncaster
1.50
Notts County
1.54
Leyton Orient
1.54
AFC Wimbledon
1.57
Barnsley
1.59
Bromley
1.67
Wycombe is 0.05 goals worse than Sheffield Weds in terms of goals conceded per game (1.26 vs 1.21).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Luton
56%
Peterboro
55%
Stockport
55%
Wycombe
54%
Leyton Orient
52%
Barnsley
52%
Doncaster
50%
Reading
50%
Bradford
50%
Huddersfield
50%
Plymouth
48%
AFC Wimbledon
46%
Blackpool
46%
Burton
46%
Mansfield
46%
Wigan
45%
Stevenage
45%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Wycombe
For 7.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 12.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 11.8 · Total 22.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Sheffield Weds
For 4.6 · Against 5.3 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.8 · Against 11.7 · Total 25.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Wycombe
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.6
10.3
3.3
3.4
3.3
21.2
20.9
21.4
vs Stronger (1)
10.0
10.0
-
3.0
3.0
-
17.0
17.0
-
vs Similar (43)
10.0
9.6
10.4
3.4
3.3
3.5
21.3
21.2
21.4
vs Weaker (6)
9.8
9.7
10.0
3.0
4.0
2.0
21.0
20.7
21.3
% over line
54%
48%
60%
50%
46%
54%
42%
39%
44%
% under line
46%
52%
40%
50%
54%
46%
58%
61%
56%
This opponent (Sheffield Weds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sheffield Weds
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.3
10.1
3.0
2.9
3.1
22.1
21.4
23.0
vs Stronger (16)
10.4
11.5
8.5
2.6
2.0
3.5
19.9
17.5
23.8
vs Similar (33)
10.2
9.8
10.7
3.2
3.4
3.0
23.0
23.4
22.6
vs Weaker (1)
7.0
7.0
-
3.0
3.0
-
27.0
27.0
-
% over line
50%
50%
50%
40%
36%
45%
54%
54%
55%
% under line
50%
50%
50%
60%
64%
55%
46%
46%
45%
This opponent (Wycombe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Barnsley
11.4
Oxford
11.3
Plymouth
11.1
Leicester
10.8
Wigan
10.6
Luton
10.5
Blackpool
10.4
Bromley
10.4
Huddersfield
10.3
Burton
10.2
Bradford
10.2
Sheffield Weds
10.2
Wycombe
10.1
Peterboro
10.1
AFC Wimbledon
10.1
Doncaster
10.0
Stockport
9.9
Mansfield
9.8
Leyton Orient
9.7
Notts County
9.4
Reading
9.3
Milton Keynes Dons
9.2
Cambridge
8.9
Stevenage
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Plymouth
4.9
Notts County
4.4
Peterboro
4.2
Leyton Orient
4.1
Bradford
4.1
Huddersfield
4.0
Mansfield
3.8
Stevenage
3.8
Doncaster
3.8
Luton
3.8
Leicester
3.8
Blackpool
3.8
Wycombe
3.7
Bromley
3.7
Milton Keynes Dons
3.7
Burton
3.6
Reading
3.6
Barnsley
3.5
Oxford
3.4
AFC Wimbledon
3.3
Stockport
3.3
Wigan
3.2
Sheffield Weds
3.1
Cambridge
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Notts County
24.9
Plymouth
24.6
Bradford
24.5
Stevenage
24.5
Huddersfield
24.4
Luton
24.0
Leyton Orient
23.5
Peterboro
23.4
Wigan
23.4
Blackpool
23.3
Milton Keynes Dons
23.0
AFC Wimbledon
23.0
Doncaster
22.6
Burton
22.5
Cambridge
22.5
Oxford
22.5
Reading
22.4
Mansfield
22.2
Leicester
22.2
Sheffield Weds
22.1
Bromley
21.7
Wycombe
21.1
Stockport
20.8
Barnsley
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
53.4%
@ 1.52-7.4%
Under 9.5
46.6%
@ 2.36+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.60
Unibet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.53
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.50
Under
Betano
2.50
Pinnacle
2.42
Superbet
2.42
Marathonbet
2.41
1xBet
2.31
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
47.3%
Under 3.5
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
63.9%
Under 21.5
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Wycombe or Draw✗ Miss
81.0%
Avg Implied 61.4% · @ 1.52
Edge
+19.6%
54%
26%
19%
covers Wycombe + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.53
Superbet
1.53
William Hil
1.53
10Bet
1.53
Wycombe or Sheffield Weds✓ Hit
73.5%
Avg Implied 73.3% · @ 1.27
Edge
+0.2%
54%
26%
19%
covers Wycombe + Sheffield Weds
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Draw or Sheffield Weds✓ Hit
45.5%
Avg Implied 65.3% · @ 1.43
Edge
-19.8%
54%
26%
19%
covers Draw + Sheffield Weds
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.46
1xBet
1.46
10Bet
1.45
William Hil
1.44
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Wycombe over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
81.3%
@ 1.23+5.9%
Under
18.7%
@ 3.78-5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.27
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.24
10Bet
1.22
Under
Bet365
4.00
Pinnacle
3.98
1xBet
3.84
Superbet
3.80
Betfair
3.80
Wycombe over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
50.0%
@ 2.15+6.6%
Under
50.0%
@ 1.65-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.27
Betfair
2.25
BetVictor
2.15
Superbet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.14
Under
1xBet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.67
Pinnacle
1.66
Wycombe over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
23.7%
@ 4.66+3.7%
Under
76.3%
@ 1.16-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.20
BetVictor
4.80
Marathonbet
4.70
1xBet
4.70
Superbet
4.60
Under
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Wycombe over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.0%
@ 11.00+0.4%
Under
91.0%
@ 1.04-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
11.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Sheffield Weds over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
59.5%
@ 1.20-17.8%
Under
40.5%
@ 4.08+17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Betfair
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Under
Pinnacle
4.36
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.20
BetVictor
4.10
1xBet
4.05
Sheffield Weds over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
22.9%
@ 2.03-23.0%
Under
77.1%
@ 1.73+23.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
1xBet
2.08
10Bet
2.05
Unibet
2.02
Under
Superbet
1.76
Pinnacle
1.76
Betano
1.75
BetVictor
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Sheffield Weds over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.3%
@ 4.32-15.2%
Under
93.7%
@ 1.19+15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
1xBet
4.45
Marathonbet
4.45
Pinnacle
4.41
10Bet
4.33
Under
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Sheffield Weds over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 9.40-8.7%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.05+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
Superbet
9.20
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Wycombe, so a minus line means Wycombe give that many goals of a start and Sheffield Weds receive them. At -1, Wycombe must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Wycombe win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Wycombe)Actual: Sheffield Weds
Wycombe -2
13.4%
@ 10.55+5.0%
Draw -2
17.2%
@ 7.02+4.5%
Sheffield Weds +2
69.5%
@ 1.12-9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
13.00
Superbet
10.00
Unibet
10.00
Marathonbet
6.75
Draw
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.10
Unibet
7.00
Marathonbet
5.00
Away
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Unibet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Handicap -1 (Wycombe)Actual: Sheffield Weds
Wycombe -1
30.5%
@ 5.08+12.9%
Draw -1
23.9%
@ 4.38+3.5%
Sheffield Weds +1
45.5%
@ 1.45-16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.00
Unibet
4.90
Marathonbet
4.90
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Superbet
4.30
Away
Superbet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.46
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Unibet
1.44
Handicap +1 (Wycombe)Actual: Draw
Wycombe +1
81.0%
@ 1.52+22.2%
Draw +1
12.4%
@ 4.22-8.8%
Sheffield Weds -1
6.7%
@ 4.45-13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.54
10Bet
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Marathonbet
1.51
Bet365
1.50
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.30
Superbet
4.20
Betfair
4.20
Unibet
4.10
Away
Marathonbet
4.55
10Bet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.40
Handicap +2 (Wycombe)Actual: Wycombe
Wycombe +2
93.3%
@ 1.16+16.8%
Draw +2
5.0%
@ 6.46-8.7%
Sheffield Weds -2
1.7%
@ 9.05-8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Unibet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Betfair
7.00
Unibet
6.50
Superbet
6.40
Marathonbet
4.90
Away
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
10.00
Unibet
9.50
Superbet
8.50
Marathonbet
6.25
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Wycombe
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.70
0.87
0.60
0.53
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.63
0.70
0.75
0.58
0.53
0.80
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.67
1.33
0.67
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheffield Weds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sheffield Weds
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.73
0.38
0.31
0.21
1.21
vs Stronger (10)
0.10
1.00
0.17
0.83
0.00
1.25
vs Similar (20)
0.40
0.60
0.50
0.00
0.30
1.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Wycombe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
70.5%
@ 1.30-1.2%
Under 0.5
29.5%
@ 3.30+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.50
William Hil
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
Superbet
3.35
Betfair
3.30
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
38.1%
@ 2.38-1.1%
Under 1.5
61.9%
@ 1.53+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.47
Pinnacle
2.45
Betfair
2.40
1xBet
2.39
Marathonbet
2.39
Under
Superbet
1.56
Pinnacle
1.55
10Bet
1.55
BetVictor
1.53
William Hil
1.53
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
14.6%
@ 5.56-2.1%
Under 2.5
85.4%
@ 1.11+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
BetVictor
6.00
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.45
Marathonbet
5.45
Under
Superbet
1.14
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.12
Betfair
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Wycombe over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
41.6%
@ 1.94-6.3%
Under
58.4%
@ 1.78+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.00
Pinnacle
1.98
Superbet
1.95
1xBet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.92
Under
Pinnacle
1.83
10Bet
1.80
Unibet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.77
1xBet
1.77
Wycombe over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.8%
@ 5.78-5.1%
Under
89.2%
@ 1.10+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.05
Marathonbet
6.05
Betano
5.70
Superbet
5.60
10Bet
5.50
Under
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Wycombe over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 16.25-4.5%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.01+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
19.00
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Sheffield Weds over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
51.3%
@ 1.87+1.7%
Under
48.7%
@ 1.84-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.91
Pinnacle
1.89
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.87
Unibet
1.87
Under
Pinnacle
1.91
Superbet
1.87
10Bet
1.85
Betano
1.83
Marathonbet
1.81
Sheffield Weds over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
19.8%
@ 5.41+2.7%
Under
80.2%
@ 1.11-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.75
Marathonbet
5.75
10Bet
5.25
Betano
5.20
Superbet
5.10
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Sheffield Weds over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.3%
@ 14.75-3.2%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.01+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
17.00
Superbet
16.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Wycombe
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.83
1.00
0.40
0.73
1.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.81
0.93
0.92
0.50
0.73
1.27
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.00
1.33
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Sheffield Weds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sheffield Weds
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
1.00
0.56
1.06
0.21
0.93
vs Stronger (10)
0.20
0.60
0.17
1.00
0.25
0.00
vs Similar (20)
0.50
1.20
0.80
1.10
0.20
1.30
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Wycombe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
80.5%
@ 1.17+1.1%
Under 0.5
19.5%
@ 4.52-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Under
Betano
4.60
Superbet
4.60
1xBet
4.55
Marathonbet
4.55
Bet365
4.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
45.6%
@ 1.85-4.8%
Under 1.5
54.4%
@ 1.87+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Superbet
1.85
Unibet
1.85
William Hil
1.85
Under
Betano
1.95
Superbet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.88
1xBet
1.88
William Hil
1.85
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
20.9%
@ 3.61-4.9%
Under 2.5
79.1%
@ 1.25+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
William Hil
3.70
Superbet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.58
1xBet
3.58
Under
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.23
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Wycombe over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
47.8%
@ 1.65-8.2%
Under
52.2%
@ 2.10+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.66
10Bet
1.65
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Under
Betano
2.15
Superbet
2.10
1xBet
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.06
Wycombe over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.2%
@ 4.16-8.0%
Under
85.8%
@ 1.19+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.25
1xBet
4.25
10Bet
4.20
Superbet
4.15
Betano
3.95
Under
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Wycombe over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.8%
@ 10.75-5.9%
Under
97.2%
@ 1.03+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
10Bet
11.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
Sheffield Weds over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
56.3%
@ 1.61-1.1%
Under
43.7%
@ 2.17+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.64
10Bet
1.62
1xBet
1.61
Superbet
1.60
Betano
1.60
Under
Betano
2.27
Superbet
2.20
10Bet
2.15
1xBet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.10
Sheffield Weds over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
20.7%
@ 3.95-2.8%
Under
79.3%
@ 1.21+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.10
Marathonbet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Superbet
3.85
Betano
3.70
Under
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
Sheffield Weds over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.4%
@ 9.50-4.4%
Under
94.6%
@ 1.04+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
10.00
Superbet
10.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.6%
1.05
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
-
-
+8.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.2%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
10Bet
1.02
-
-
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.2%
1.04
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.04
BetVictor
1.03
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
94.6%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
-
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
93.7%
1.19
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.18
+15.2%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
93.3%
1.16
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Unibet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
+16.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
91.0%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.03
-
-
-0.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.2%
1.10
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.11
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
88.0%
1.17
Betano
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
+8.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
85.8%
1.19
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
+8.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.4%
1.11
Superbet
1.14
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.12
Betfair
1.11
+2.1%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
81.3%
1.23
Marathonbet
1.27
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.24
10Bet
1.22
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
81.0%
1.52
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.53
Superbet
1.53
William Hil
1.53
10Bet
1.53
+19.6%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.5%
1.17
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
+1.1%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
80.2%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
-2.7%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
79.3%
1.21
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.1%
1.25
Betano
1.30
Superbet
1.26
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.23
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
76.3%
1.16
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Unibet
1.16
-3.7%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
74.0%
1.46
Pinnacle
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.50
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.48
+10.3%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.0%
1.19
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.21
BetVictor
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
-4.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
73.5%
1.27
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.28
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.5%
1.30
Betano
1.35
1xBet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
-1.2%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.4%
1.53
Superbet
1.63
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
Marathonbet
1.53
1xBet
1.51
+10.0%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Wycombe
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
C. Woodrow50%
Ewan Henderson25%
C. Taylor25%
Steve Cook0%
J. Scowen0%
Fred Onyedinma0%
J. Grimmer0%
A. Morley0%
D. Harvie0%
Conor Hazard0%
Junior Quitirna0%
C. Boyd-Munce0%
E. Tezgel0%
Silko Thomas0%
Samuel Parker0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ewan Henderson75%
Fred Onyedinma25%
Steve Cook0%
J. Scowen0%
C. Woodrow0%
J. Grimmer0%
A. Morley0%
D. Harvie0%
Conor Hazard0%
Junior Quitirna0%
C. Boyd-Munce0%
E. Tezgel0%
Silko Thomas0%
C. Taylor0%
Samuel Parker0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ewan Henderson25%
Silko Thomas25%
Steve Cook0%
J. Scowen0%
Fred Onyedinma0%
C. Woodrow0%
J. Grimmer0%
A. Morley0%
D. Harvie0%
Conor Hazard0%
Junior Quitirna0%
C. Boyd-Munce0%
E. Tezgel0%
C. Taylor0%
Samuel Parker0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ewan Henderson25%
D. Harvie25%
Steve Cook0%
J. Scowen0%
Fred Onyedinma0%
C. Woodrow0%
J. Grimmer0%
A. Morley0%
Conor Hazard0%
Junior Quitirna0%
C. Boyd-Munce0%
E. Tezgel0%
Silko Thomas0%
C. Taylor0%
Samuel Parker0%
Sheffield Weds
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
J. Lowe60%
Louie Barry40%
C. Slattery25%
Mason Paul James Burstow20%
G. Otegbayo20%
Ricardo Santos0%
Y. Valery0%
Liam Cooper0%
B. Bannan0%
L. Palmer0%
Joe Lumley0%
B. Mitchell0%
R. James0%
Max Lowe0%
Sil Swinkels0%
K. Morrison0%
Harry Gray0%
Jarvis Thornton0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
C. Slattery50%
Jarvis Thornton33%
B. Mitchell25%
B. Bannan20%
Ricardo Santos0%
Y. Valery0%
Liam Cooper0%
L. Palmer0%
Joe Lumley0%
J. Lowe0%
R. James0%
Max Lowe0%
Louie Barry0%
Sil Swinkels0%
Mason Paul James Burstow0%
K. Morrison0%
G. Otegbayo0%
Harry Gray0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
B. Bannan40%
C. Slattery25%
K. Morrison25%
J. Lowe20%
Louie Barry20%
Mason Paul James Burstow20%
Ricardo Santos0%
Y. Valery0%
Liam Cooper0%
L. Palmer0%
Joe Lumley0%
B. Mitchell0%
R. James0%
Max Lowe0%
Sil Swinkels0%
G. Otegbayo0%
Harry Gray0%
Jarvis Thornton0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
J. Lowe60%
C. Slattery25%
K. Morrison25%
Louie Barry20%
Mason Paul James Burstow20%
Ricardo Santos0%
Y. Valery0%
Liam Cooper0%
B. Bannan0%
L. Palmer0%
Joe Lumley0%
B. Mitchell0%
R. James0%
Max Lowe0%
Sil Swinkels0%
G. Otegbayo0%
Harry Gray0%
Jarvis Thornton0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (22)
€69m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
BRO (19)
€4m
Wycombe's squad is €11m less valuable than Sheffield Weds's (€10m vs €21m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (7)
€20m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
Wycombe's attack is €5m less valuable than Sheffield Weds's (€3m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (4)
€13m
MKD (6)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
Wycombe's midfield is €4m less valuable than Sheffield Weds's (€2m vs €6m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (11)
€36m
LUT (10)
€12m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
Wycombe's defence is €3m less valuable than Sheffield Weds's (€5m vs €8m).
England: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →
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Huddersfield
Blackpool
Burton
Barnsley
Cambridge
Luton
Leyton Orient
Stockport
Notts County
Bradford
Mansfield
Leicester
Reading
Oxford
Plymouth
Peterboro
AFC Wimbledon
Bromley
Doncaster
Stevenage
Wigan
Milton Keynes Dons