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Yantra 2019 vs Marek Result & Analysis

Date: 20/05/2024
Time: 12:00
Final 1-2
Yantra 2019
Yantra 2019
Vs
39%
32%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Marek
Marek
Bulgaria: Second League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Yantra 2019’s defensive record at home shows they concede 1.5 goals on average, while their opponents in similar strength matches average 1.67 goals scored, suggesting a tight encounter. The model favours a home win, with a 39% probability, followed by a 32% chance of a draw and 29% for an away win. The expected total is 2.2 goals, centring on a 2-goal outcome with a 28% share. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.6% probability. Yantra’s home form indicates they will score around 1.67 goals and allow 1.5, whereas Marek, playing away, averages 0.64 goals scored and 1.21 conceded against similar opposition. The model’s selection is Under 3.5 goals, with an 82.3% probability. All figures are presented once and only once.

Results analysis

The upset came early, with Yantra 2019’s home advantage not enough to secure the pre-match favourite. The model had tipped a Home win with a 39% probability, but the match finished 1-2 in favour of Marek, so that call was wrong. The final score of 1-2 matched the actual result of an Away win. The model’s other selection, Under 3.5 goals, proved correct, hitting with an 82.3% probability. Yantra’s recent form, a draw after a string of defeats, and Marek’s draw-heavy run, left both sides vulnerable. The game ended with a 1-2 scoreline, confirming the model’s prediction for the total goals was off, yet its under-goals pick hit.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Yantra 2019 win✗ Miss
39.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
31.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Marek win✓ Hit
28.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Yantra 2019Yantra 2019

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W02L01L21W12L12L12L00D00D11DA·SEP04/03H·DOB09/03A·STR16/03H·MON01/04A·CHE06/04H·LIT13/04A·LUD21/04H·SPA27/04A·CSK02/05H·SPO12/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.071.531.270.730.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)1.201.241.671.500.771.00
vs Weaker (5)0.800.201.000.330.500.00
Clean sheet %27% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Marek) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MarekMarek

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L21W00D10W00D11D10W11D13L21WA·LIT02/03H·SPA08/03A·LUD15/03H·MAR30/03A·SPA06/04H·DUN13/04A·CSK22/04H·SEP26/04A·SPO03/05H·DOB13/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.831.470.530.671.13
vs Stronger (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
vs Similar (28)1.110.891.570.570.641.21
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Yantra 2019) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%022%128%220%311%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.5%
Under 1.5
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
37.3%
Under 2.5
62.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.7%
Under 3.5
82.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.1%
No
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.6%
0-0
12.6%
1-0
12.1%
0-1
9.8%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
8.0%
1-2 ✓
6.6%
0-2
5.5%
Yantra 2019 goals ↓
Marek goals →
01234
013%9.8%5.5%1.8%0.4%
112%15%6.6%2.2%0.5%
28.1%8.0%3.9%1.3%0.3%
33.2%3.2%1.6%0.5%0.1%
41.0%1.0%0.5%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Yantra 2019 goals (down), columns = Marek goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Spartak Varna
2.12
Septemvri Sofia
1.91
Marek
1.79
Montana
1.68
Strumska Slava
1.50
Dobrudzha
1.47
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
1.47
Yantra 2019
1.38
Dunav Ruse
1.35
Spartak Pleven
1.32
Litex
1.32
Ludogorets II
1.29
Belasitsa
1.26
Sportist Svoge
1.18
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.12
Chernomorets Balchik
1.06
Maritsa Plovdiv
0.88
Bdin
0.65
Yantra 2019 is 0.41 points worse than Marek in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 1.79).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Spartak Varna
1.76
Septemvri Sofia
1.35
Montana
1.35
Dobrudzha
1.26
Yantra 2019
1.15
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
1.15
Ludogorets II
1.15
Belasitsa
1.09
Marek
1.06
Chernomorets Balchik
1.06
Sportist Svoge
1.06
Strumska Slava
1.00
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
0.97
Maritsa Plovdiv
0.91
Dunav Ruse
0.88
Litex
0.88
Spartak Pleven
0.85
Bdin
0.56
Yantra 2019 is 0.09 goals better than Marek in terms of goals scored per game (1.15 vs 1.06).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Marek
0.76
Septemvri Sofia
0.76
Spartak Varna
0.82
Strumska Slava
0.82
Montana
0.91
Spartak Pleven
0.94
Belasitsa
0.97
Dobrudzha
1.00
Dunav Ruse
1.06
CSKA 1948 Sofia II
1.06
Litex
1.06
Yantra 2019
1.09
Ludogorets II
1.15
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.21
Sportist Svoge
1.32
Chernomorets Balchik
1.44
Bdin
1.47
Maritsa Plovdiv
1.65
Yantra 2019 is 0.32 goals worse than Marek in terms of goals conceded per game (1.09 vs 0.76).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Yantra 2019Yantra 2019

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D00D00D11D01L00D00D00D00D11DA·SEP04/03H·DOB09/03A·STR16/03H·MON01/04A·CHE06/04H·LIT13/04A·LUD21/04H·SPA27/04A·CSK02/05H·SPO12/05
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.330.800.400.130.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.440.360.830.420.080.31
vs Weaker (5)0.600.200.670.330.500.00
Clean sheet %70% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Marek) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MarekMarek

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W10W00D00D00D10W00D10W10W11DA·LIT02/03H·SPA08/03A·LUD15/03H·MAR30/03A·SPA06/04H·DUN13/04A·CSK22/04H·SEP26/04A·SPO03/05H·DOB13/05
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.200.400.070.400.33
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.430.210.430.070.430.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %90% (+55pp vs league)
This opponent (Yantra 2019) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Yantra 2019 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yantra 2019 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yantra 2019 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marek over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marek over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marek over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Yantra 2019Yantra 2019

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L01L10W11D12L12L00D00D00DA·SEP04/03H·DOB09/03A·STR16/03H·MON01/04A·CHE06/04H·LIT13/04A·LUD21/04H·SPA27/04A·CSK02/05H·SPO12/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.730.730.870.600.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.760.880.831.080.690.69
vs Weaker (5)0.200.000.330.000.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Marek) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MarekMarek

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L11D00D10W00D01L10W01L03L10WA·LIT02/03H·SPA08/03A·LUD15/03H·MAR30/03A·SPA06/04H·DUN13/04A·CSK22/04H·SEP26/04A·SPO03/05H·DOB13/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.631.070.470.270.80
vs Stronger (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.680.681.140.500.210.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Yantra 2019) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Yantra 2019 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yantra 2019 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yantra 2019 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marek over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marek over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marek over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.582.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SV (22)
€6m
DR (22)
€4m
SS (20)
€3m
Y2 (18)
€3m
C1B (19)
€2m
MON (17)
€2m
MAR (19)
€2m
SP (19)
€1m
DOB (10)
€1m
LI (13)
€1m
SS (12)
€1m
Yantra 2019's squad is €1m more valuable than Marek's (€3m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SV (7)
€2m
DR (6)
€1m
Y2 (6)
€1m
SS (8)
€1m
MON (8)
€1m
C1B (4)
€1m
SP (8)
€1m
LI (6)
€1m
DOB (5)
€0m
MAR (4)
€0m
SS (5)
€0m
Yantra 2019 and Marek have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DR (5)
€1m
SV (4)
€1m
SS (4)
€1m
C1B (6)
€1m
MAR (6)
€1m
DOB (3)
€0m
Y2 (2)
€0m
MON (3)
€0m
SP (5)
€0m
LI (3)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
Yantra 2019 and Marek have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SV (11)
€3m
DR (11)
€2m
SS (8)
€2m
Y2 (10)
€2m
MAR (9)
€1m
C1B (9)
€1m
MON (6)
€1m
SP (6)
€0m
LI (4)
€0m
DOB (2)
€0m
SS (3)
€0m
Yantra 2019 and Marek have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
Y2 wins
1
Draws
0
MAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Yantra 2019 vs Marek · H/A from Y2
DateH/AGameScore
03/11/23AMarek Vs Y21-1

Yantra 2019Yantra 2019

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/05/24HY2 Vs Sportist Svoge1-1
02/05/24ACSKA 1948 Sofia II Vs Y20-0
27/04/24HY2 Vs Spartak Pleven0-0
21/04/24ALudogorets II Vs Y22-1
13/04/24HY2 Vs Litex1-2
06/04/24AChernomorets Balchik Vs Y22-1
01/04/24HY2 Vs Montana2-1
16/03/24AStrumska Slava Vs Y21-0
09/03/24HY2 Vs Dobrudzha0-2
04/03/24ASeptemvri Sofia Vs Y21-2

MarekMarek

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/05/24HMAR Vs Dobrudzha2-1
03/05/24ASportist Svoge Vs MAR3-1
26/04/24HMAR Vs Septemvri Sofia1-1
22/04/24ACSKA 1948 Sofia II Vs MAR0-1
13/04/24HMAR Vs Dunav Ruse1-1
06/04/24ASpartak Pleven Vs MAR0-0
30/03/24HMAR Vs Maritsa Plovdiv1-0
15/03/24ALudogorets II Vs MAR0-0
08/03/24HMAR Vs Spartak Varna2-1
02/03/24ALitex Vs MAR2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Yantra 2019
Yantra 2019
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDD1.48
HomeLWLDD1.69
AwayWLLLD1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%50%29%
AVG goals2.182.811.50
Over 1.5 %64%81%46%
Over 2.5 %44%58%29%
Over 3.5 %18%31%4%
Scored1.141.540.71
Conceded1.041.270.79
BTTS46%65%25%
Clean Sheet34%19%50%
Corners---
Cards---
Marek
Marek
Bulgaria: Second League
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLW1.78
HomeWWDDW2.25
AwayLDDWL1.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %47%62%31%
AVG goals1.841.881.81
Over 1.5 %50%56%44%
Over 2.5 %28%25%31%
Over 3.5 %16%12%19%
Scored1.061.380.75
Conceded0.780.501.06
BTTS38%50%25%
Clean Sheet59%50%69%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna3472
68%
2.1
6028+32
2.6
79%
50%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.80.8
-
2Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia3465
56%
1.9
4626+20
2.1
74%
38%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.40.8
-
3MarekMarek3461
47%
1.8
3626+10
1.8
50%
29%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.10.8
-
4MontanaMontana3457
47%
1.7
4631+15
2.3
68%
35%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.40.9
-
5Strumska SlavaStrumska Slava3451
41%
1.5
3428+6
1.8
53%
21%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.8
-
6DobrudzhaDobrudzha3450
41%
1.5
4334+9
2.3
68%
32%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.0
-
7CSKA 1948 Sofia IICSKA 1948 Sofia II3450
38%
1.5
3936+3
2.2
65%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
8Yantra 2019Yantra 20193447
35%
1.4
3937+2
2.2
71%
47%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.11.1
-
9Dunav RuseDunav Ruse3446
35%
1.4
3036-6
1.9
71%
24%
6%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.91.1
-
10Spartak PlevenSpartak Pleven3445
38%
1.3
2932-3
1.8
53%
26%
6%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1000.90.9
-
11LitexLitex3445
35%
1.3
3036-6
1.9
56%
38%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.1
-
12Ludogorets IILudogorets II3444
32%
1.3
3939+0
2.3
68%
38%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.11.1
-
13BelasitsaBelasitsa3443
35%
1.3
3733+4
2.1
65%
29%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.0
-
14Sportist SvogeSportist Svoge3440
29%
1.2
3645-9
2.4
71%
35%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.3
-
15Chernomorets 1919 BurgasChernomorets 1919 Burgas3438
26%
1.1
3341-8
2.2
68%
35%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.01.2
-
16Chernomorets BalchikChernomorets Balchik3436
29%
1.1
3649-13
2.5
76%
47%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
17Maritsa PlovdivMaritsa Plovdiv3430
26%
0.9
3156-25
2.6
65%
41%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.6
-
18BdinBdin3422
15%
0.6
1950-31
2.0
47%
26%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.5
-
Bulgaria: Second League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: Second League stats & trends →

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