Yantra 2019's recent form has been concerning, with three consecutive defeats at home. However, their defensive numbers are relatively solid, conceding 0.89 goals on average at home against similar opponents. Montana, on the other hand, has shown some resilience away from home, scoring 0.5 goals on average against similar opponents, while conceding 1.3 goals. The model predicts a low-scoring match, with an expected total of 2 goals. The single most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 14.7%. The model's selection is the Away win, with a probability of 39%.
The model also suggests taking the Under 3.5 goals, which is the most likely outcome with a probability of 85.5%. The home win percentage is 28%, the draw percentage is 33%, and the away win percentage is 39%.
Results analysis
The upset of the day came when Yantra 2019, coming off a win, secured a 3-2 victory over Montana, extending their run of form. This result defied expectations, as the pre-match favourite, Montana, was predicted to win with a 39% probability. The model's selection, however, was an away win, which ultimately proved incorrect. The model's call was wrong. Meanwhile, the model's selection of under 3.5 goals was also incorrect, as the final score was 3-2. The model's selection of under 3.5 goals had an 85.5% probability of occurring, but it missed.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Yantra 2019 win✓ Hit
28.2%
Avg Implied 42.4% · @ 2.11
Edge
-14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.20
Betano
2.18
Unibet
2.16
Bet365
2.15
Dafabet
2.15
Draw✗ Miss
33.2%
Avg Implied 28.7% · @ 3.12
Edge
+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.30
Betfair
3.25
Pinnacle
3.22
Marathonbet
3.18
1xBet
3.18
Montana win✗ Miss
38.6%
Avg Implied 28.9% · @ 3.10
Edge
+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.31
BetVictor
3.30
Pinnacle
3.26
Marathonbet
3.24
10Bet
3.20
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Yantra 2019
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
0.87
1.36
0.79
1.38
0.94
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.36
0.88
1.36
0.73
1.36
1.00
vs Weaker (5)
1.40
0.80
1.33
1.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Montana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Montana
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.50
0.71
1.57
0.56
1.44
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
2.67
0.25
2.50
0.50
3.00
vs Similar (23)
0.65
1.17
0.90
1.20
0.46
1.15
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
2.00
-
-
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Yantra 2019) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
61.0%
@ 1.31-8.1%
Under 1.5
39.0%
@ 2.94+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Superbet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Under
Betfair
3.00
Pinnacle
2.96
1xBet
2.92
Marathonbet
2.92
Superbet
2.92
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
32.6%
@ 2.03-12.7%
Under 2.5
67.4%
@ 1.68+12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.15
Betfair
2.10
Marathonbet
2.07
Pinnacle
2.07
1xBet
2.07
Under
SBO
1.83
BetVictor
1.74
Superbet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
14.5%
@ 3.67-10.3%
Under 3.5
85.5%
@ 1.21+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.00
1xBet
3.72
Marathonbet
3.72
Unibet
3.50
Superbet
3.40
Under
Superbet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
41.2%
@ 1.82-9.1%
No
58.8%
@ 1.84+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
BetVictor
1.85
Betfair
1.85
Superbet
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.82
No
Superbet
1.88
Betfair
1.85
William Hil
1.85
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.83
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%@ 5.57+7.9%
0-0
14.7%@ 7.99+9.9%
0-1
13.5%@ 7.84+8.6%
1-0
10.8%@ 6.29+4.7%
0-2
8.2%@ 13.87+5.4%
1-2
7.4%@ 10.10+3.6%
2-1
6.1%@ 8.21+1.4%
2-0
5.5%@ 9.01+1.2%
Yantra 2019 goals ↓
Montana goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
13%
8.2%
3.0%
0.8%
1
11%
15%
7.4%
2.7%
0.8%
2
5.5%
6.1%
3.4%
1.2%
0.3%
3
1.7%
1.8%
1.0%
0.4%
0.1%
4
0.4%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Yantra 2019 goals (down), columns = Montana goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Vihren
2.14
CSKA Sofia II
2.00
Fratria
2.00
Yantra 2019
1.86
Montana
1.57
Beroe
1.57
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.57
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.57
Marek
1.43
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.43
Nesebar
1.43
Rilski Sportist
1.29
Ludogorets II
1.14
Hebar 1918
1.14
Spartak Pleven
1.00
Sportist Svoge
0.86
Dobrudzha
0.71
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.00
Yantra 2019 is 0.29 points better than Montana in terms of average points per game (1.86 vs 1.57).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
CSKA Sofia II
2.14
Vihren
2.14
Nesebar
1.86
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.86
Montana
1.71
Hebar 1918
1.71
Beroe
1.29
Fratria
1.29
Yantra 2019
1.29
Marek
1.00
Spartak Pleven
1.00
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
1.00
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.00
Dobrudzha
1.00
Rilski Sportist
1.00
Ludogorets II
0.71
Sportist Svoge
0.57
Pirin Blagoevgrad
0.43
Yantra 2019 is 0.43 goals worse than Montana in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 1.71).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Fratria
0.57
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
0.57
Marek
0.86
Beroe
0.86
Sportist Svoge
0.86
CSKA Sofia II
1.00
Yantra 2019
1.00
Rilski Sportist
1.00
Vihren
1.00
Montana
1.14
Ludogorets II
1.14
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
1.29
Dobrudzha
1.43
Nesebar
1.43
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
1.57
Hebar 1918
1.86
Spartak Pleven
2.00
Pirin Blagoevgrad
3.43
Yantra 2019 is 0.14 goals better than Montana in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.14).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Yantra 2019
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.47
0.64
0.29
0.62
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.72
0.48
0.73
0.27
0.71
0.64
vs Weaker (5)
0.20
0.40
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Montana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Montana
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.73
0.36
1.00
0.38
0.50
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
1.83
0.00
2.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (23)
0.39
0.43
0.50
0.60
0.31
0.31
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Yantra 2019) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Yantra 2019 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yantra 2019 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yantra 2019 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montana over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montana over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montana over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Yantra 2019
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.40
0.71
0.50
0.75
0.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.64
0.40
0.64
0.45
0.64
0.36
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
0.40
1.00
0.67
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Montana) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Montana
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.77
0.36
0.57
0.19
0.94
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
0.83
0.25
0.50
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (23)
0.26
0.74
0.40
0.60
0.15
0.85
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Yantra 2019) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Yantra 2019 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yantra 2019 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yantra 2019 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montana over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montana over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montana over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
85.5%
1.21
Superbet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
1xBet
1.20
+10.3%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Montana · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Boris Dimitrov18%
Philip Ejike15%
Jorginho Soares8%
Ivan Kokonov6%
Ivaylo Markov0%
Vladislav Tsekov0%
Dimitar Burov0%
Anton Tungarov0%
Aleksandar Todorov0%
David Malembana0%
Angelos Tsingaras0%
Vajebah Sakor0%
Tomás Azevedo0%
Márcio Rosa0%
David Carmona0%
Albin Linnér0%
Vasil Simeonov0%
Nikola Borisov0%
Joel Berhane0%
Kostadin Iliev0%
Martin Mihaylov0%
Umaro Baldé0%
Ilias Iliadis0%
Viktor Dobrev0%
Christopher Acheampong0%
Petar Andreev0%
Solomon James0%
Ibrahim Beji Muhammad0%
Petar Atanasov0%
Kaloyan Strinski0%
Vitinho0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joel Berhane50%
Kaloyan Strinski40%
Christopher Acheampong36%
Vitinho25%
Kostadin Iliev23%
Martin Mihaylov22%
Tomás Azevedo21%
David Carmona17%
Petar Atanasov17%
Márcio Rosa15%
Solomon James14%
Boris Dimitrov14%
Vladislav Tsekov12%
Nikola Borisov12%
Ivaylo Markov10%
Philip Ejike10%
Ilias Iliadis9%
Anton Tungarov9%
Vajebah Sakor8%
Vasil Simeonov8%
Angelos Tsingaras8%
Dimitar Burov6%
Ivan Kokonov0%
Aleksandar Todorov0%
David Malembana0%
Albin Linnér0%
Umaro Baldé0%
Viktor Dobrev0%
Jorginho Soares0%
Petar Andreev0%
Ibrahim Beji Muhammad0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
David Malembana20%
Solomon James14%
Martin Mihaylov11%
Boris Dimitrov5%
Anton Tungarov4%
Ivaylo Markov0%
Vladislav Tsekov0%
Ivan Kokonov0%
Dimitar Burov0%
Aleksandar Todorov0%
Angelos Tsingaras0%
Vajebah Sakor0%
Tomás Azevedo0%
Márcio Rosa0%
David Carmona0%
Albin Linnér0%
Vasil Simeonov0%
Nikola Borisov0%
Joel Berhane0%
Kostadin Iliev0%
Umaro Baldé0%
Ilias Iliadis0%
Viktor Dobrev0%
Jorginho Soares0%
Christopher Acheampong0%
Petar Andreev0%
Philip Ejike0%
Ibrahim Beji Muhammad0%
Petar Atanasov0%
Kaloyan Strinski0%
Vitinho0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
David Malembana20%
Philip Ejike15%
Umaro Baldé11%
Kaloyan Strinski10%
Boris Dimitrov9%
Anton Tungarov4%
Ivaylo Markov0%
Vladislav Tsekov0%
Ivan Kokonov0%
Dimitar Burov0%
Aleksandar Todorov0%
Angelos Tsingaras0%
Vajebah Sakor0%
Tomás Azevedo0%
Márcio Rosa0%
David Carmona0%
Albin Linnér0%
Vasil Simeonov0%
Nikola Borisov0%
Joel Berhane0%
Kostadin Iliev0%
Martin Mihaylov0%
Ilias Iliadis0%
Viktor Dobrev0%
Jorginho Soares0%
Christopher Acheampong0%
Petar Andreev0%
Solomon James0%
Ibrahim Beji Muhammad0%
Petar Atanasov0%
Vitinho0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRA (22)
€3m
Y2 (18)
€3m
H1 (19)
€3m
VIH (18)
€2m
EVT (23)
€2m
C1B (19)
€2m
CSI (20)
€2m
PB (17)
€2m
MON (17)
€2m
MAR (19)
€2m
BER (13)
€2m
LGO (15)
€1m
SP (19)
€1m
DOB (10)
€1m
LI (13)
€1m
SS (12)
€1m
Yantra 2019's squad is €1m more valuable than Montana's (€3m vs €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
H1 (8)
€2m
VIH (9)
€1m
Y2 (6)
€1m
EVT (12)
€1m
FRA (6)
€1m
MON (8)
€1m
C1B (4)
€1m
BER (5)
€1m
CSI (8)
€1m
SP (8)
€1m
LI (6)
€1m
DOB (5)
€0m
PB (5)
€0m
MAR (4)
€0m
SS (5)
€0m
LGO (4)
€0m
Yantra 2019 and Montana have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRA (4)
€1m
C1B (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
VIH (3)
€1m
MAR (6)
€1m
EVT (3)
€0m
LGO (3)
€0m
DOB (3)
€0m
CSI (3)
€0m
Y2 (2)
€0m
MON (3)
€0m
SP (5)
€0m
LI (3)
€0m
H1 (2)
€0m
BER (2)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
Yantra 2019 and Montana have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
Y2 (10)
€2m
FRA (12)
€1m
H1 (9)
€1m
EVT (8)
€1m
CSI (9)
€1m
BER (6)
€1m
MAR (9)
€1m
LGO (8)
€1m
C1B (9)
€1m
VIH (6)
€1m
MON (6)
€1m
PB (6)
€1m
SP (6)
€0m
LI (4)
€0m
DOB (2)
€0m
SS (3)
€0m
Yantra 2019 and Montana have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Bulgaria: Second League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bulgaria: Second League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Vihren
CSKA Sofia II
Fratria
Beroe
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas
Etar Veliko Tarnovo
Nesebar
Marek
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
Rilski Sportist
Hebar 1918
Ludogorets II
Spartak Pleven
Sportist Svoge
Dobrudzha
Pirin Blagoevgrad