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Yassy Turkistan vs Ekibastuz Result & Analysis

Date: 25/09/2025
Time: 11:00
Final 1-2
Yassy Turkistan
Yassy Turkistan
Vs
29%
27%
44%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ekibastuz
Ekibastuz
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Yassy Turkistan win✗ Miss
29.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz win✓ Hit
43.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-711D16L02L13L11D06L04L07L10W16LH·AKT03/07A·SPO11/07H·AKA17/07A·ZHE25/07H·AKA01/08A·TAR08/08H·KAS15/08A·SD 28/08H·KHA11/09A·IRT19/09
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
3.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.703.270.562.440.864.21
vs Stronger (10)0.604.400.603.600.605.20
vs Similar (20)0.752.700.551.911.003.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-18pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekibastuz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W13L52W23L04L15L13L21W01L13LH·KHA10/07H·ALT17/07A·AKT24/07H·SPO31/07A·SHA08/08H·AKA14/08A·ZHE22/08H·AKA28/08A·TAR12/09H·KAS18/09
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.632.032.132.001.132.07
vs Stronger (1)0.004.00--0.004.00
vs Similar (27)1.521.932.071.930.921.92
vs Weaker (2)4.002.503.003.005.002.00
Clean sheet %23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Yassy Turkistan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.1%
Under 1.5
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.6%
Under 2.5
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.2%
Under 3.5
67.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.5%
No
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
1-2 ✓
9.2%
0-1
7.9%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
7.3%
0-0
6.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-2
5.8%
Yassy Turkistan goals ↓
Ekibastuz goals →
01234
06.9%7.9%7.3%3.9%1.5%
16.1%13%9.2%4.9%1.9%
24.6%7.3%5.8%3.1%1.2%
31.9%3.1%2.5%1.3%0.5%
40.6%1.0%0.8%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Yassy Turkistan goals (down), columns = Ekibastuz goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kaspiy
2.62
Irtysh
2.35
Altay (Kazakhstan)
2.08
Shakhter Karagandy
2.00
Zhetisay
1.62
Sport Academy Kairat
1.54
Akademiya Ontustik
1.50
Taraz
1.35
AKAS
1.27
Ekibastuz
1.08
SD Family
0.88
Khan Tengri
0.69
Aktobe Jas
0.52
Yassy Turkistan
0.39
Yassy Turkistan is 0.69 points worse than Ekibastuz in terms of average points per game (0.39 vs 1.08).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kaspiy
2.85
Irtysh
2.73
Shakhter Karagandy
2.32
Sport Academy Kairat
2.23
Altay (Kazakhstan)
2.04
Zhetisay
1.69
Akademiya Ontustik
1.69
Taraz
1.65
AKAS
1.62
Ekibastuz
1.38
SD Family
1.27
Aktobe Jas
1.24
Khan Tengri
1.04
Yassy Turkistan
0.70
Yassy Turkistan is 0.69 goals worse than Ekibastuz in terms of goals scored per game (0.70 vs 1.38).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Irtysh
0.77
Altay (Kazakhstan)
0.92
Kaspiy
1.04
Zhetisay
1.35
Shakhter Karagandy
1.36
Taraz
1.46
AKAS
1.50
Sport Academy Kairat
1.62
Akademiya Ontustik
1.69
Khan Tengri
2.12
Ekibastuz
2.31
Aktobe Jas
2.60
SD Family
2.88
Yassy Turkistan
3.09
Yassy Turkistan is 0.78 goals worse than Ekibastuz in terms of goals conceded per game (3.09 vs 2.31).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W12L01L01L10W02L00D03L00D13LH·AKT03/07A·SPO11/07H·AKA17/07A·ZHE25/07H·AKA01/08A·TAR08/08H·KAS15/08A·SD 28/08H·KHA11/09A·IRT19/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.401.330.441.000.361.71
vs Stronger (10)0.401.700.401.400.402.00
vs Similar (20)0.401.150.450.820.331.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekibastuz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L21W21W02L02L11D10W00D01LH·KHA10/07H·ALT17/07A·AKT24/07H·SPO31/07A·SHA08/08H·AKA14/08A·ZHE22/08H·AKA28/08A·TAR12/09H·KAS18/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.800.930.670.400.93
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (27)0.560.780.790.640.310.92
vs Weaker (2)2.501.003.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Yassy Turkistan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Yassy Turkistan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yassy Turkistan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yassy Turkistan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L04L01L12L01L04L04L04L10W03LH·AKT03/07A·SPO11/07H·AKA17/07A·ZHE25/07H·AKA01/08A·TAR08/08H·KAS15/08A·SD 28/08H·KHA11/09A·IRT19/09
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.331.900.121.440.572.43
vs Stronger (10)0.202.700.202.200.203.20
vs Similar (20)0.401.500.091.090.782.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekibastuz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D12L31W02L02L13L02L11D01L12LH·KHA10/07H·ALT17/07A·AKT24/07H·SPO31/07A·SHA08/08H·AKA14/08A·ZHE22/08H·AKA28/08A·TAR12/09H·KAS18/09
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.271.071.400.731.13
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (27)0.891.191.141.360.621.00
vs Weaker (2)1.501.500.002.003.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Yassy Turkistan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Yassy Turkistan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yassy Turkistan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yassy Turkistan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IRT (26)
€4m
KAS (23)
€4m
A( (20)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
A( (8)
€1m
IRT (6)
€1m
KAS (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAS (8)
€2m
IRT (7)
€1m
A( (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
IRT (13)
€2m
KAS (11)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
YT wins
4
Draws
3
EKI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Yassy Turkistan vs Ekibastuz · H/A from YT
DateH/AGameScore
26/06/25AEkibastuz Vs YT1-1
05/09/24AEkibastuz Vs YT3-0
09/05/24HYT Vs Ekibastuz0-3
15/03/24AEkibastuz Vs YT1-1
24/08/23AEkibastuz Vs YT2-2
15/05/23HYT Vs Ekibastuz4-3
30/09/22HYT Vs Ekibastuz1-2
25/06/22AEkibastuz Vs YT3-3

Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/09/25AIrtysh Vs YT6-1
11/09/25HYT Vs Khan Tengri1-0
28/08/25ASD Family Vs YT7-0
15/08/25HYT Vs Kaspiy0-4
08/08/25ATaraz Vs YT6-0
01/08/25HYT Vs Akademiya Ontustik1-1
25/07/25AZhetisay Vs YT3-1
17/07/25HYT Vs AKAS0-2
11/07/25ASport Academy Kairat Vs YT6-1
03/07/25HYT Vs Aktobe Jas1-1

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/09/25HEKI Vs Kaspiy1-3
12/09/25ATaraz Vs EKI1-0
28/08/25HEKI Vs Akademiya Ontustik2-1
22/08/25AZhetisay Vs EKI3-1
14/08/25HEKI Vs AKAS1-5
08/08/25AShakhter Karagandy Vs EKI4-0
31/07/25HEKI Vs Sport Academy Kairat2-3
24/07/25AAktobe Jas Vs EKI2-5
17/07/25HEKI Vs Altay (Kazakhstan)1-3
10/07/25HEKI Vs Khan Tengri2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Yassy Turkistan
Yassy Turkistan
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWL0.56
HomeDLDLW0.85
AwayLLLLL0.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %12%19%4%
AVG goals3.602.734.54
Over 1.5 %90%81%100%
Over 2.5 %64%46%83%
Over 3.5 %44%23%67%
Scored0.800.770.83
Conceded2.801.963.71
BTTS54%46%62%
Clean Sheet10%19%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Ekibastuz
Ekibastuz
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLL1.46
HomeLLLWL1.76
AwayWWLLL1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%52%36%
AVG goals3.503.683.32
Over 1.5 %86%92%80%
Over 2.5 %74%76%72%
Over 3.5 %40%48%32%
Scored1.702.041.36
Conceded1.801.641.96
BTTS60%68%52%
Clean Sheet24%24%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KaspiyKaspiy2668
85%
2.6
7427+47
3.9
88%
81%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1212.81.0
-
2IrtyshIrtysh2661
73%
2.3
7120+51
3.5
77%
58%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1122.70.8
-
3Altay (Kazakhstan)Altay (Kazakhstan)2552
64%
2.1
5123+28
3.0
84%
64%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.00.9
-
4Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy2550
60%
2.0
5834+24
3.7
96%
80%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.4
-
5ZhetisayZhetisay2642
50%
1.6
4435+9
3.0
77%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.3
-
6Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat2640
46%
1.5
5842+16
3.8
85%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.6
-
7Akademiya OntustikAkademiya Ontustik2639
46%
1.5
4444+0
3.4
88%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.7
-
8TarazTaraz2635
38%
1.3
4338+5
3.1
88%
58%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.5
-
9AKASAKAS2633
38%
1.3
4239+3
3.1
88%
62%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.5
-
10EkibastuzEkibastuz2628
31%
1.1
3660-24
3.7
81%
69%
58%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.3
-
11SD FamilySD Family2623
27%
0.9
3375-42
4.2
85%
69%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.9
-
12Khan TengriKhan Tengri2618
19%
0.7
2755-28
3.2
85%
54%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.1
-
13Aktobe JasAktobe Jas2513
8%
0.5
3165-34
3.8
92%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.6
-
14Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan239
9%
0.4
1671-55
3.8
83%
65%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.73.1
-
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →

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