Yelimay Semey 2 vs Aktobe Jas Result & Analysis

Yelimay Semey 2 are coming off a win, having beaten Sport Academy Kairat 1-0, and look to build on that momentum against Aktobe Jas. However, the stats suggest a high-scoring match is on the cards, with an expected total of 3.2 goals and a most likely total of 3 goals. The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, occurring 11% of the time.

Aktobe Jas have struggled on the road, conceding an average of 2.53 goals per game against stronger opponents, while scoring just 1.4 goals. Yelimay Semey 2 have been solid at home, scoring an average of 2 goals per game against weaker opponents. The model's selection is a home win, with a 55% chance of success.

The model's selection for the match is a home win, with a 55% chance of success. The model's selection for the total goals is Over 1.5, occurring 83.5% of the time. The home side's home win percentage is 55%, the draw percentage is 24%, and the away side's away win percentage is 21%.

The upset came early as Yelimay Semey 2, the pre-match favourite, failed to convert its 55 % chance of victory. The final score was 2-5, giving Aktobe Jas an away win. The model’s call was wrong, and the match ended in a shock. The suggested picks varied: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.2 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.9 %, Away under 1.5 HT goals hit at 94.3 %, and Home over 0.5 goals hit at 86.3 %. The other selections - Away under 3.5 goals, Home +2 handicap, Under 2.5 HT goals, and Away under 2.5 goals - missed, with probabilities of 96.8 %, 91.2 %, 89.6 %, and 88.3 % respectively. The match was a stark reminder that even high-probability picks can falter.