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Yelimay Semey vs Aktobe Result & Analysis

Date: 16/06/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 2-2
Yelimay Semey
Yelimay Semey
Vs
30%
32%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Aktobe
Aktobe
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Yelimay Semey win✗ Miss
29.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
32.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aktobe win✗ Miss
37.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey

Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W21W11D21W10W21W11D02L11DA·FC 31/03H·KAI06/04H·SHA14/04H·ORD28/04A·ZHE04/05H·KYZ08/05H·SHA12/05H·KAI19/05A·AKT29/05A·KYZ02/06
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.030.832.000.622.071.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.561.332.000.751.201.80
vs Weaker (21)2.240.622.000.582.560.67
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Aktobe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AktobeAktobe

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W31W12L11D00D20W00D20W10WH·ATY07/04H·ZHE14/04A·KAI20/04A·ZHE28/04H·FC 04/05A·ORD08/05A·KYZ12/05H·ORD18/05H·YEL29/05A·TUR02/06
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.470.771.470.801.470.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.600.931.440.891.831.00
vs Weaker (15)1.330.601.500.671.220.56
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Yelimay Semey) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
63.4%
Under 1.5
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
35.1%
Under 2.5
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
16.2%
Under 3.5
83.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
43.5%
No
56.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%
0-0
13.6%
0-1
12.4%
1-0
10.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.8%
Yelimay Semey goals ↓
Aktobe goals →
01234
014%12%7.8%2.9%0.8%
111%15%7.6%2.8%0.8%
25.8%6.5%3.7%1.4%0.4%
31.9%2.1%1.2%0.5%0.1%
40.5%0.5%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Yelimay Semey goals (down), columns = Aktobe goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kairat Almaty
1.96
FC Astana
1.92
Aktobe
1.79
Ordabasy
1.75
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.62
Yelimay Semey
1.54
Atyrau
1.46
Kaisar
1.42
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.21
Zhenys
1.00
Zhetysu
0.96
Turan Turkistan
0.83
Shakhter Karagandy
0.42
Yelimay Semey is 0.25 points worse than Aktobe in terms of average points per game (1.54 vs 1.79).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Astana
1.62
Kairat Almaty
1.62
Aktobe
1.62
Ordabasy
1.50
Yelimay Semey
1.46
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.38
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.21
Atyrau
1.17
Kaisar
1.17
Zhenys
0.75
Zhetysu
0.71
Turan Turkistan
0.67
Shakhter Karagandy
0.50
Yelimay Semey is 0.17 goals worse than Aktobe in terms of goals scored per game (1.46 vs 1.62).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Astana
0.79
Atyrau
0.83
Kairat Almaty
0.88
FK Tobol Kostanay
0.96
Ordabasy
1.00
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.08
Aktobe
1.08
Kaisar
1.21
Yelimay Semey
1.33
Zhenys
1.33
Zhetysu
1.38
Turan Turkistan
1.62
Shakhter Karagandy
1.88
Yelimay Semey is 0.25 goals worse than Aktobe in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.08).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

AktobeAktobe

For 4.2 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

11065354446118810H·SEPA·SEPH·TORA·TOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.6

ðŸŸĻ Cards

80341233325321322443736583567H·ZHEA·OKZH·FC A·KYZH·ORDH·SEPA·SEPH·TORA·TOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 14.7 · Total 27.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

290121211181414242928H·SEPA·SEPH·TOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (41)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (9)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (32)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Aktobe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AktobeAktobe

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.510.78.31.41.41.327.026.029.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (25)10.010.79.01.92.21.627.026.029.0
vs Weaker (25)7.0-7.00.80.61.1---
% over line50%67%33%20%20%20%100%100%100%
% under line50%33%67%80%80%80%0%0%0%
This opponent (Yelimay Semey) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Kairat Almaty
11.0
Shakhter Karagandy
11.0
Aktobe
9.5
FK Tobol Kostanay
9.4
FC Astana
8.9
Kyzyl-Zhar
8.5
Ordabasy
8.3
Zhetysu
6.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Zhetysu
6.1
Aktobe
5.7
FK Tobol Kostanay
5.4
Ordabasy
5.1
Kaisar
5.0
Kairat Almaty
3.8
FC Astana
3.5
Kyzyl-Zhar
3.2
Shakhter Karagandy
2.3

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FK Tobol Kostanay
30.9
Ordabasy
30.0
Aktobe
27.0
FC Astana
25.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
32.2%
Under 9.5
67.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
53.3%
Under 3.5
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D11D00D00D10W00D02L00DA·FC 31/03H·KAI06/04H·SHA14/04H·ORD28/04A·ZHE04/05H·KYZ08/05H·SHA12/05H·KAI19/05A·AKT29/05A·KYZ02/06
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.370.620.250.930.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.780.890.750.500.801.20
vs Weaker (21)0.760.140.580.171.000.11
Clean sheet %70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Aktobe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AktobeAktobe

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W10W01L01L00D00D00D20W00DH·ATY07/04H·ZHE14/04A·KAI20/04A·ZHE28/04H·FC 04/05A·ORD08/05A·KYZ12/05H·ORD18/05H·YEL29/05A·TUR02/06
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.400.870.470.470.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.670.530.670.560.670.50
vs Weaker (15)0.670.271.170.330.330.22
Clean sheet %70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Yelimay Semey) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Yelimay Semey over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yelimay Semey over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yelimay Semey over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W21W00D21W10W11D11D00D11DA·FC 31/03H·KAI06/04H·SHA14/04H·ORD28/04A·ZHE04/05H·KYZ08/05H·SHA12/05H·KAI19/05A·AKT29/05A·KYZ02/06
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.471.380.381.140.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.780.441.250.250.400.60
vs Weaker (21)1.480.481.420.421.560.56
Clean sheet %60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Aktobe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AktobeAktobe

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D21W11D10W00D20W00D00D10WH·ATY07/04H·ZHE14/04A·KAI20/04A·ZHE28/04H·FC 04/05A·ORD08/05A·KYZ12/05H·ORD18/05H·YEL29/05A·TUR02/06
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.370.600.331.000.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.930.400.780.331.170.50
vs Weaker (15)0.670.330.330.330.890.33
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Yelimay Semey) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Yelimay Semey over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yelimay Semey over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yelimay Semey over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aktobe over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 11.5 corners86.5%--------
Under 3.583.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards81.1%--------
Under 10.5 corners78.5%--------
Over 2.5 cards73.6%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (22)
€10m
FA (25)
€10m
AKT (25)
€10m
KA (24)
€10m
FTK (23)
€9m
YS (23)
€8m
ATY (20)
€4m
KYZ (26)
€4m
KAI (25)
€4m
ZHE (18)
€4m
ZHE (21)
€3m
Yelimay Semey's squad is €2m less valuable than Aktobe's (€8m vs €10m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AKT (12)
€5m
KA (9)
€4m
YS (11)
€4m
FTK (7)
€3m
ORD (8)
€3m
FA (9)
€3m
KAI (11)
€2m
KYZ (9)
€2m
ATY (7)
€2m
ZHE (6)
€2m
ZHE (8)
€1m
Yelimay Semey's attack is €1m less valuable than Aktobe's (€4m vs €5m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (4)
€3m
FA (3)
€2m
KA (5)
€2m
FTK (5)
€2m
AKT (4)
€2m
KYZ (7)
€1m
ATY (5)
€1m
KAI (4)
€1m
ZHE (3)
€0m
YS (2)
€0m
ZHE (3)
€0m
Yelimay Semey's midfield is €2m less valuable than Aktobe's (€0m vs €2m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€5m
ORD (10)
€4m
FTK (11)
€4m
KA (10)
€4m
YS (10)
€3m
AKT (9)
€3m
ATY (8)
€2m
KAI (10)
€2m
ZHE (10)
€2m
ZHE (9)
€2m
KYZ (10)
€1m
Yelimay Semey and Aktobe have a similar defence value (both €3m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
YS wins
0
Draws
1
AKT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Yelimay Semey vs Aktobe · H/A from YS
DateH/AGameScore
29/05/24AAktobe Vs YS2-0

Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/06/24AKyzyl-Zhar Vs YS1-1
29/05/24AAktobe Vs YS2-0
19/05/24HYS Vs Kairat Almaty1-1
12/05/24HYS Vs Shakhter Karagandy2-1
08/05/24HYS Vs Kyzyl-Zhar1-0
04/05/24AZhenys Vs YS1-2
28/04/24HYS Vs Ordabasy1-1
14/04/24HYS Vs Shakhter Karagandy2-1
06/04/24HYS Vs Kaisar1-0
31/03/24AFC Astana Vs YS0-1

AktobeAktobe

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/06/24ATuran Turkistan Vs AKT0-1
29/05/24HAKT Vs Yelimay Semey2-0
18/05/24HAKT Vs Ordabasy0-0
12/05/24AKyzyl-Zhar Vs AKT0-2
08/05/24AOrdabasy Vs AKT0-0
04/05/24HAKT Vs FC Astana1-1
28/04/24AZhetysu Vs AKT2-1
20/04/24AKairat Almaty Vs AKT1-3
14/04/24HAKT Vs Zhetysu1-0
07/04/24HAKT Vs Atyrau1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Yelimay Semey
Yelimay Semey
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLD2.45
HomeWDWWD2.71
AwayLWWLD2.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %75%86%63%
AVG goals2.982.953.00
Over 1.5 %80%71%89%
Over 2.5 %57%57%58%
Over 3.5 %32%29%37%
Scored2.252.382.11
Conceded0.720.570.89
BTTS50%48%53%
Clean Sheet48%52%42%
Corners---
Cards---
Aktobe
Aktobe
Kazakhstan: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWW1.86
HomeDWDDW2.08
AwayWLDWW1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%60%40%
AVG goals2.562.722.40
Over 1.5 %72%76%68%
Over 2.5 %46%48%44%
Over 3.5 %32%32%32%
Scored1.681.921.44
Conceded0.880.800.96
BTTS58%52%64%
Clean Sheet38%44%32%
Corners9.5010.678.33
Cards5.675.835.50

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Kairat AlmatyKairat Almaty2447
58%
2.0
3921+18
2.5
62%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.60.9
-
2FC AstanaFC Astana2446
58%
1.9
3919+20
2.4
67%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3251.60.8
-
3AktobeAktobe2443
50%
1.8
3926+13
2.7
88%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
5231.61.1
-
4OrdabasyOrdabasy2442
50%
1.8
3624+12
2.5
71%
46%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3341.51.0
-
5FK Tobol KostanayFK Tobol Kostanay2439
46%
1.6
3323+10
2.3
62%
42%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3241.41.0
-
6Yelimay SemeyYelimay Semey2437
42%
1.5
3532+3
2.8
79%
58%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4031.51.3
-
7AtyrauAtyrau2435
38%
1.5
2820+8
2.0
58%
29%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.20.8
-
8KaisarKaisar2434
38%
1.4
2829-1
2.4
62%
42%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.21.2
-
9Kyzyl-ZharKyzyl-Zhar2429
33%
1.2
2926+3
2.3
67%
38%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.21.1
-
10ZhenysZhenys2424
25%
1.0
1832-14
2.1
62%
38%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2020.81.3
-
11ZhetysuZhetysu2423
21%
1.0
1733-16
2.1
62%
42%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1020.71.4
-
12Turan TurkistanTuran Turkistan2420
21%
0.8
1639-23
2.3
67%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.6
-
13Shakhter KaragandyShakhter Karagandy2410
8%
0.4
1245-33
2.4
58%
46%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.9
-
14FK AksuFK Aksu00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Kazakhstan: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: Premier League stats & trends →

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