The clash between Yelimay Semey and Kairat Almaty feels razor-thin, with the model favouring an away win. Home win odds sit at 33%, a draw at 28% and an away victory at 39%. The expected total of 2.7 goals points to a modestly low-scoring affair, and the most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.3% chance. Yelimay, playing at home against a team of similar strength, averages 1.43 goals scored and 1.43 conceded, while Kairat, on the road, manages only 0.33 goals scored and 0.67 conceded against comparable opposition. Recent form adds intrigue: Yelimay returns from a draw, whereas Kairat comes off a 0-3 defeat. The model’s selections lean heavily on low-goal outcomes: Under 7.5 (99.3%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.5%), Under 6.5 (97.8%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.6%), Home under 3.5 goals (95.6%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (95.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (94.4% with a 6% edge) and Under 5.5 (94.1% with a 4% edge). Each pick is presented with its exact probability, reflecting the model’s confidence in a tightly contested, low-scoring match.
Results analysis
The match saw Kairat Almaty extend their winning run, finishing 0-2 to secure the away victory. The model’s favourite was an away win with a 39% probability, and it proved correct. The predicted 2-goal total was spot on, and the most likely scoreline of 1-1 proved irrelevant as the game ended 0-2. Every suggested pick from the model hit: Under 7.5 (99.3%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.6%), Under 6.5 (97.8%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.2%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.3%), Home under 3.5 goals (95.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (94.4%) and Under 5.5 (94.1%). All selections performed as forecasted, confirming the model’s accuracy.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Yelimay Semey win✗ Miss
33.3%
Avg Implied 28.7% · @ 3.16
Edge
+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.46
Marathonbet
3.30
William Hil
3.20
Dafabet
3.15
Superbet
3.15
Draw✗ Miss
28.0%
Avg Implied 26.4% · @ 3.43
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.61
Dafabet
3.55
Superbet
3.55
Marathonbet
3.50
Betano
3.50
Kairat Almaty win✓ Hit
38.6%
Avg Implied 45.0% · @ 2.01
Edge
-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.05
10Bet
2.05
Bet365
2.05
Betano
2.05
Unibet
2.02
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Yelimay Semey
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.27
1.69
1.23
1.76
1.29
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
1.47
1.67
1.43
1.43
1.50
1.88
vs Weaker (15)
2.00
0.87
2.00
1.00
2.00
0.78
Clean sheet %
23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Kairat Almaty) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kairat Almaty
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.43
1.25
1.31
1.07
1.57
vs Stronger (13)
0.62
2.23
0.33
2.17
0.86
2.29
vs Similar (10)
0.80
0.80
1.00
0.86
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (7)
2.71
0.86
3.67
0.67
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Yelimay Semey) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.9%
@ 1.21+1.2%
Under 1.5
23.1%
@ 3.77-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.24
Unibet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Under
Betfair
4.33
1xBet
3.82
Marathonbet
3.80
10Bet
3.80
Unibet
3.75
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
51.4%
@ 1.76-1.6%
Under 2.5
48.6%
@ 1.98+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.76
Unibet
1.74
Under
1xBet
2.02
Betfair
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Marathonbet
1.99
Superbet
1.97
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.2%
@ 2.81-3.3%
Under 3.5
70.8%
@ 1.36+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.95
Betfair
2.88
1xBet
2.81
Marathonbet
2.81
Unibet
2.80
Under
Betfair
1.40
Unibet
1.37
Betano
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Superbet
1.36
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.6%
@ 1.62+0.1%
No
43.4%
@ 2.11-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.67
Superbet
1.65
10Bet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.62
1xBet
1.62
No
Betfair
2.25
1xBet
2.15
Superbet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.11
Unibet
2.10
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%@ 5.99+6.5%
1-2
8.6%@ 7.46+3.1%
0-1
8.1%@ 7.35+2.5%
2-1
7.9%@ 9.82+3.7%
0-0
7.7%@ 10.98+4.0%
1-0
7.3%@ 9.64+3.0%
0-2 ✓
6.6%@ 8.95+2.0%
2-2
5.6%@ 11.07+1.9%
Yelimay Semey goals ↓
Kairat Almaty goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.7%
8.1%
6.6%
3.1%
1.1%
1
7.3%
13%
8.6%
4.1%
1.5%
2
5.6%
7.9%
5.6%
2.7%
1.0%
3
2.4%
3.5%
2.5%
1.2%
0.4%
4
0.8%
1.1%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Yelimay Semey goals (down), columns = Kairat Almaty goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Kairat Almaty
3.00
FC Astana
2.60
Ordabasy
2.50
Okzhetpes
1.80
Irtysh
1.80
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.80
Zhenys
1.75
Aktobe
1.67
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.60
Kaspiy
1.50
Yelimay Semey
1.00
Ulytau
0.80
Kaisar
0.40
Atyrau
0.33
Zhetysu
0.20
Altay (Kazakhstan)
0.17
Yelimay Semey is 2.00 points worse than Kairat Almaty in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 3.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Ordabasy
2.67
Kairat Almaty
2.50
FC Astana
2.40
Okzhetpes
2.20
Aktobe
1.83
Zhenys
1.75
Kaspiy
1.67
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.60
Irtysh
1.60
Kaisar
1.40
Ulytau
1.20
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.20
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.17
Yelimay Semey
1.17
Atyrau
0.83
Zhetysu
0.60
Yelimay Semey is 1.33 goals worse than Kairat Almaty in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 2.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ordabasy
0.67
Kairat Almaty
0.75
Zhenys
1.00
FC Astana
1.00
FK Tobol Kostanay
1.00
Okzhetpes
1.40
Yelimay Semey
1.50
Kaspiy
1.50
Kyzyl-Zhar
1.60
Ulytau
1.60
Aktobe
1.67
Irtysh
1.80
Atyrau
1.83
Kaisar
2.00
Zhetysu
2.80
Altay (Kazakhstan)
3.00
Yelimay Semey is 0.75 goals worse than Kairat Almaty in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 0.75).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Yelimay Semey
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Kairat Almaty
For 2.8 · Against 6.5 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 13.0 · Total 23.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Yelimay Semey
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (29)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Kairat Almaty) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kairat Almaty
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
9.6
11.1
1.3
1.0
1.5
26.1
23.6
28.6
vs Stronger (13)
10.2
8.8
11.1
4.0
2.3
5.4
26.8
24.2
28.6
vs Similar (21)
11.5
11.5
-
0.6
1.1
0.0
22.0
22.0
-
vs Weaker (16)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
71%
57%
86%
16%
12%
20%
71%
57%
86%
% under line
29%
43%
14%
84%
88%
80%
29%
43%
14%
This opponent (Yelimay Semey) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Okzhetpes
13.0
Kairat Almaty
10.4
FK Tobol Kostanay
10.0
Aktobe
9.5
FC Astana
8.8
Kyzyl-Zhar
8.5
Ordabasy
8.3
Zhetysu
6.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Zhetysu
6.1
FK Tobol Kostanay
5.6
Ordabasy
5.1
Aktobe
5.1
Kaisar
5.0
Kairat Almaty
4.4
FC Astana
4.0
Kyzyl-Zhar
3.2
Okzhetpes
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ordabasy
30.0
FK Tobol Kostanay
28.7
Aktobe
27.0
Kairat Almaty
26.1
FC Astana
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
Under
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Yelimay Semey or Draw✗ Miss
61.4%
Avg Implied 54.6% · @ 1.68
Edge
+6.8%
33%
28%
39%
covers Yelimay Semey + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.75
Betfair
1.73
Betano
1.72
William Hil
1.70
Marathonbet
1.70
Yelimay Semey or Kairat Almaty✓ Hit
72.0%
Avg Implied 73.8% · @ 1.24
Edge
-1.8%
33%
28%
39%
covers Yelimay Semey + Kairat Almaty
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
1xBet
1.26
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.24
Draw or Kairat Almaty✓ Hit
66.7%
Avg Implied 71.6% · @ 1.28
Edge
-5.0%
33%
28%
39%
covers Draw + Kairat Almaty
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.33
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Superbet
1.29
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Yelimay Semey over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
72.9%
@ 1.36+5.7%
Under
27.1%
@ 2.79-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.44
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Superbet
1.32
Under
Marathonbet
2.98
10Bet
2.95
1xBet
2.93
Superbet
2.90
Betano
2.62
Yelimay Semey over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
37.6%
@ 2.58+2.2%
Under
62.4%
@ 1.42-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.68
1xBet
2.68
Betano
2.57
Superbet
2.55
10Bet
2.55
Under
Betano
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Superbet
1.42
Unibet
1.41
1xBet
1.40
Yelimay Semey over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.5%
@ 6.47+0.5%
Under
85.5%
@ 1.05-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.95
Marathonbet
6.90
Superbet
5.55
Under
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
Yelimay Semey over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.4%
Under
95.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kairat Almaty over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
75.9%
@ 1.16-2.2%
Under
24.1%
@ 4.13+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.14
Under
1xBet
4.55
10Bet
3.95
Superbet
3.90
Kairat Almaty over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
41.6%
@ 1.91-6.4%
Under
58.4%
@ 1.76+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.95
10Bet
1.93
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.90
1xBet
1.89
Under
1xBet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.80
Superbet
1.77
Betano
1.75
10Bet
1.73
Kairat Almaty over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.2%
@ 3.84-6.4%
Under
82.8%
@ 1.19+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.92
1xBet
3.90
Superbet
3.70
Under
1xBet
1.19
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.18
Kairat Almaty over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.6%
@ 7.80-6.1%
Under
94.4%
@ 1.04+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.80
Under
1xBet
1.04
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Yelimay Semey, so a minus line means Yelimay Semey give that many goals of a start and Kairat Almaty receive them. At -1, Yelimay Semey must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Yelimay Semey win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Yelimay Semey)Actual: Kairat Almaty
Yelimay Semey -2
5.3%
Draw -2
9.9%
Kairat Almaty +2
84.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Yelimay Semey)Actual: Kairat Almaty
Yelimay Semey -1
15.2%
@ 6.35+1.6%
Draw -1
18.1%
@ 4.65-0.5%
Kairat Almaty +1
66.7%
@ 1.27-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
7.50
10Bet
6.25
Unibet
5.30
Draw
Marathonbet
5.20
10Bet
4.75
Unibet
4.00
Away
10Bet
1.33
Unibet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Handicap +1 (Yelimay Semey)Actual: Kairat Almaty
Yelimay Semey +1
61.4%
@ 1.71+10.9%
Draw +1
19.8%
@ 3.56-4.5%
Kairat Almaty -1
18.8%
@ 3.43-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.85
Betfair
1.73
Marathonbet
1.70
Unibet
1.57
Draw
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
10Bet
3.55
Unibet
3.20
Away
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.58
10Bet
3.35
Unibet
3.20
Handicap +2 (Yelimay Semey)Actual: Draw
Yelimay Semey +2
81.2%
@ 1.23+11.6%
Draw +2
11.8%
@ 5.05-5.2%
Kairat Almaty -2
7.0%
@ 6.40-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
Draw
Marathonbet
6.00
Unibet
4.10
Away
Marathonbet
7.80
Unibet
5.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Yelimay Semey
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.67
0.69
0.54
0.71
0.76
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
0.27
0.93
0.00
0.86
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (15)
1.13
0.40
1.50
0.17
0.89
0.56
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Kairat Almaty) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kairat Almaty
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.67
0.69
0.56
0.50
0.79
vs Stronger (13)
0.08
1.08
0.00
1.00
0.14
1.14
vs Similar (10)
0.50
0.40
0.57
0.43
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (7)
1.71
0.29
2.33
0.00
1.25
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Yelimay Semey) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
71.3%
@ 1.31+1.1%
Under 0.5
28.7%
@ 3.07-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
Superbet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Under
Betfair
3.20
10Bet
3.20
1xBet
3.08
Marathonbet
3.02
William Hil
3.00
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
34.7%
@ 2.50-1.9%
Under 1.5
65.3%
@ 1.44+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.60
Marathonbet
2.56
1xBet
2.56
Betfair
2.50
Superbet
2.47
Under
Betfair
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Superbet
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Unibet
1.43
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.6%
@ 6.00-1.7%
Under 2.5
86.4%
@ 1.08+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.35
1xBet
6.30
William Hil
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Superbet
5.35
Under
William Hil
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Yelimay Semey over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
39.6%
@ 2.18-2.3%
Under
60.4%
@ 1.58+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.22
1xBet
2.21
Marathonbet
2.21
Superbet
2.20
Unibet
2.06
Under
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.58
Unibet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.56
1xBet
1.56
Yelimay Semey over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.6%
@ 8.40-0.3%
Under
89.4%
@ 1.03+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.40
1xBet
8.40
Under
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Yelimay Semey over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kairat Almaty over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
54.4%
@ 1.80+3.6%
Under
45.6%
@ 1.86-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
Superbet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Unibet
1.77
Under
Superbet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Betano
1.83
Unibet
1.82
Kairat Almaty over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
17.1%
@ 5.35+0.1%
Under
82.9%
@ 1.10-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.35
1xBet
5.35
Under
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Kairat Almaty over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.7%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Yelimay Semey
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.60
1.00
0.69
1.06
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
1.20
0.73
1.43
0.57
1.00
0.88
vs Weaker (15)
0.87
0.47
0.50
0.83
1.11
0.22
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Kairat Almaty) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kairat Almaty
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.77
0.56
0.75
0.57
0.79
vs Stronger (13)
0.54
1.15
0.33
1.17
0.71
1.14
vs Similar (10)
0.30
0.40
0.43
0.43
0.00
0.33
vs Weaker (7)
1.00
0.57
1.33
0.67
0.75
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Yelimay Semey) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
78.3%
@ 1.18+0.7%
Under 0.5
21.7%
@ 4.06-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
Under
1xBet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.20
William Hil
4.00
Superbet
3.85
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
46.4%
@ 1.95-0.7%
Under 1.5
53.6%
@ 1.74+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.05
Superbet
1.97
1xBet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.95
William Hil
1.95
Under
Marathonbet
1.75
Betano
1.75
William Hil
1.75
1xBet
1.75
Superbet
1.74
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
20.1%
@ 4.03-2.6%
Under 2.5
79.9%
@ 1.18+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.20
Marathonbet
4.05
1xBet
4.05
Superbet
3.80
Under
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Yelimay Semey over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
46.6%
@ 1.85-3.1%
Under
53.4%
@ 1.83+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.83
Under
1xBet
1.87
Superbet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.80
Yelimay Semey over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.0%
@ 5.50-3.6%
Under
87.0%
@ 1.09+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.80
1xBet
5.20
Under
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
Yelimay Semey over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.8%
Under
97.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kairat Almaty over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
57.7%
@ 1.56-1.1%
Under
42.3%
@ 2.23+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.57
1xBet
1.56
Under
1xBet
2.27
Superbet
2.20
Kairat Almaty over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
23.4%
@ 3.72-1.2%
Under
76.6%
@ 1.22+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.74
1xBet
3.70
Under
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
Kairat Almaty over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.2%
@ 9.30-3.7%
Under
93.8%
@ 1.02+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.30
Under
1xBet
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
94.4%
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
-
-
-
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.1%
1.04
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
-
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
93.8%
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.4%
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
87.0%
1.09
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
-
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.4%
1.08
William Hil
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
85.8%
1.11
Betfair
1.14
Unibet
1.12
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.09
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
85.5%
1.05
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
-
-
-0.5%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
84.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
82.9%
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
-
-0.1%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
82.8%
1.19
1xBet
1.19
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.18
-
-
+6.4%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
81.2%
1.23
Unibet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
-
-
-
+11.6%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.9%
1.18
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.3%
1.18
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.18
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
-
+0.7%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
76.9%
1.21
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.24
Unibet
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.20
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
76.6%
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.21
-
-
-
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
75.9%
1.16
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.14
-
-
-2.2%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
72.9%
1.36
Unibet
1.44
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Superbet
1.32
+5.7%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
72.0%
1.24
William Hil
1.30
1xBet
1.26
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.24
-1.8%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.3%
1.31
William Hil
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
Superbet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
70.8%
1.36
Betfair
1.40
Unibet
1.37
Betano
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Superbet
1.36
+3.3%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Kairat Almaty · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Adilet Sadybekov20%
Olzhas Baibek20%
Ofri Arad14%
Dastan Satpaev14%
Edmilson11%
Jorginho9%
Ricardinho9%
Aleksandr Martynovich0%
Valeriy Gromyko0%
Giorgi Zaria0%
Egor Sorokin0%
Dan Glazer0%
Luís Mata0%
Erkin Tapalov0%
Jug Stanojev0%
Aleksandr Shirobokov0%
Temirlan Anarbekov0%
Damir Kasabulat0%
Aleksandr Mrynskiy0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dastan Satpaev71%
Ofri Arad29%
Jorginho27%
Adilet Sadybekov20%
Valeriy Gromyko18%
Aleksandr Mrynskiy18%
Giorgi Zaria17%
Aleksandr Martynovich12%
Dan Glazer12%
Egor Sorokin9%
Erkin Tapalov9%
Ricardinho9%
Luís Mata0%
Jug Stanojev0%
Aleksandr Shirobokov0%
Temirlan Anarbekov0%
Edmilson0%
Damir Kasabulat0%
Olzhas Baibek0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aleksandr Shirobokov25%
Giorgi Zaria17%
Valeriy Gromyko9%
Ricardinho9%
Aleksandr Mrynskiy9%
Aleksandr Martynovich0%
Egor Sorokin0%
Dan Glazer0%
Luís Mata0%
Ofri Arad0%
Erkin Tapalov0%
Jug Stanojev0%
Jorginho0%
Temirlan Anarbekov0%
Edmilson0%
Adilet Sadybekov0%
Damir Kasabulat0%
Olzhas Baibek0%
Dastan Satpaev0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Valeriy Gromyko18%
Dastan Satpaev14%
Luís Mata11%
Edmilson11%
Jorginho9%
Aleksandr Martynovich0%
Giorgi Zaria0%
Egor Sorokin0%
Dan Glazer0%
Ofri Arad0%
Erkin Tapalov0%
Jug Stanojev0%
Aleksandr Shirobokov0%
Temirlan Anarbekov0%
Ricardinho0%
Adilet Sadybekov0%
Damir Kasabulat0%
Aleksandr Mrynskiy0%
Olzhas Baibek0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (22)
€10m
FA (25)
€10m
AKT (25)
€10m
KA (24)
€10m
FTK (23)
€9m
YS (23)
€8m
OKZ (23)
€5m
ATY (20)
€4m
KYZ (26)
€4m
KAI (25)
€4m
IRT (26)
€4m
KAS (23)
€4m
ZHE (18)
€4m
A( (20)
€3m
ZHE (21)
€3m
ULY (20)
€3m
Yelimay Semey's squad is €2m less valuable than Kairat Almaty's (€8m vs €10m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AKT (12)
€5m
KA (9)
€4m
YS (11)
€4m
FTK (7)
€3m
ORD (8)
€3m
FA (9)
€3m
OKZ (8)
€2m
KAI (11)
€2m
KYZ (9)
€2m
ATY (7)
€2m
ZHE (6)
€2m
ULY (7)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
IRT (6)
€1m
ZHE (8)
€1m
KAS (4)
€1m
Yelimay Semey and Kairat Almaty have a similar attack value (both €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ORD (4)
€3m
FA (3)
€2m
KA (5)
€2m
FTK (5)
€2m
AKT (4)
€2m
KAS (8)
€2m
OKZ (6)
€1m
KYZ (7)
€1m
ATY (5)
€1m
IRT (7)
€1m
KAI (4)
€1m
ULY (6)
€1m
A( (4)
€1m
ZHE (3)
€0m
YS (2)
€0m
ZHE (3)
€0m
Yelimay Semey's midfield is €2m less valuable than Kairat Almaty's (€0m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€5m
ORD (10)
€4m
FTK (11)
€4m
KA (10)
€4m
YS (10)
€3m
AKT (9)
€3m
IRT (13)
€2m
ATY (8)
€2m
KAI (10)
€2m
ZHE (10)
€2m
ZHE (9)
€2m
KYZ (10)
€1m
KAS (11)
€1m
OKZ (9)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
ULY (7)
€1m
Yelimay Semey and Kairat Almaty have a similar defence value (both €3m).
Kazakhstan: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Ordabasy
FC Astana
Aktobe
Okzhetpes
Kaspiy
FK Tobol Kostanay
Irtysh
Kyzyl-Zhar
Zhenys
Ulytau
Kaisar
Atyrau
Altay (Kazakhstan)
Zhetysu