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Yverdon Sport vs Bellinzona Result & Analysis

Date: 21/04/2023
Time: 17:30
Final 1-2
Yverdon Sport
Yverdon Sport
Vs
66%
22%
12%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bellinzona
Bellinzona
Switzerland: Challenge League
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Yverdon Sport win✗ Miss
66.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bellinzona win✓ Hit
11.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Yverdon SportYverdon Sport

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W21W22D13L11D21W20W02L20W43WH·STA03/02A·FC 10/02H·FC 17/02A·FC 24/02H·FC 03/03A·NEU12/03H·FC 17/03A·LAU02/04H·NEU07/04A·FC 14/04
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.971.592.070.931.872.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.831.832.400.801.432.57
vs Weaker (17)2.061.411.891.002.251.88
Clean sheet %21% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Bellinzona) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BellinzonaBellinzona

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-603L02L11D02L01L12L11D02L10W16LA·FC 05/02H·FC 12/02A·LAU19/02A·FC 26/02H·STA05/03A·FC 12/03H·NEU19/03A·FC 31/03H·LAU07/04H·FC 16/04
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.931.202.000.791.86
vs Stronger (13)0.691.380.671.830.711.00
vs Similar (16)1.252.381.562.110.862.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Yverdon Sport) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%016%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.1%
Under 1.5
22.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.0%
Under 2.5
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.8%
Under 3.5
70.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.3%
No
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.9%
1-0
11.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
8.7%
0-0
7.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-0
4.4%
Yverdon Sport goals ↓
Bellinzona goals →
01234
07.3%3.8%1.8%0.4%0.1%
112%10%3.5%0.9%0.2%
213%9.6%3.5%0.9%0.2%
38.7%6.4%2.4%0.6%0.1%
44.4%3.2%1.2%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Yverdon Sport goals (down), columns = Bellinzona goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Yverdon Sport
1.83
Lausanne
1.69
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.67
FC Aarau
1.58
FC WIL 1900
1.56
FC Thun
1.36
FC Schaffhausen
1.22
Bellinzona
1.03
FC Vaduz
1.03
Neuchatel Xamax FC
0.67
Yverdon Sport is 0.81 points better than Bellinzona in terms of average points per game (1.83 vs 1.03).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.94
Yverdon Sport
1.78
FC Aarau
1.75
FC WIL 1900
1.72
FC Thun
1.72
Lausanne
1.61
FC Vaduz
1.50
FC Schaffhausen
1.42
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.17
Bellinzona
1.06
Yverdon Sport is 0.72 goals better than Bellinzona in terms of goals scored per game (1.78 vs 1.06).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lausanne
1.19
FC WIL 1900
1.44
Yverdon Sport
1.47
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.47
FC Thun
1.53
FC Vaduz
1.56
FC Aarau
1.58
FC Schaffhausen
1.64
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.81
Bellinzona
1.97
Yverdon Sport is 0.50 goals better than Bellinzona in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.97).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Yverdon SportYverdon Sport

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W00D01L10W00D10W01L10W13LH·STA03/02A·FC 10/02H·FC 17/02A·FC 24/02H·FC 03/03A·NEU12/03H·FC 17/03A·LAU02/04H·NEU07/04A·FC 14/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.660.760.790.430.531.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.750.671.000.200.571.00
vs Weaker (17)0.590.820.670.560.501.12
Clean sheet %48% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Bellinzona) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BellinzonaBellinzona

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D01L01L00D00D10W10W01L10W04LA·FC 05/02H·FC 12/02A·LAU19/02A·FC 26/02H·STA05/03A·FC 12/03H·NEU19/03A·FC 31/03H·LAU07/04H·FC 16/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.550.620.670.670.430.57
vs Stronger (13)0.310.310.330.170.290.43
vs Similar (16)0.750.880.891.000.570.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %59% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Yverdon Sport) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Yverdon Sport over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yverdon Sport over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yverdon Sport over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bellinzona over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bellinzona over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bellinzona over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Yverdon SportYverdon Sport

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D22D12L01L21W10W01L10W30WH·STA03/02A·FC 10/02H·FC 17/02A·FC 24/02H·FC 03/03A·NEU12/03H·FC 17/03A·LAU02/04H·NEU07/04A·FC 14/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.310.831.290.501.331.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.081.171.400.600.861.57
vs Weaker (17)1.470.591.220.441.750.75
Clean sheet %45% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Bellinzona) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BellinzonaBellinzona

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L01L10W02L01L02L01L01L00D12LA·FC 05/02H·FC 12/02A·LAU19/02A·FC 26/02H·STA05/03A·FC 12/03H·NEU19/03A·FC 31/03H·LAU07/04H·FC 16/04
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.451.310.531.330.361.29
vs Stronger (13)0.381.080.331.670.430.57
vs Similar (16)0.501.500.671.110.292.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %34% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Yverdon Sport) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Yverdon Sport over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yverdon Sport over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Yverdon Sport over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bellinzona over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bellinzona over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bellinzona over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.570.2%-------✓ Hit

ðŸŽ― 13. Player market rates

Yverdon Sport · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi33%
Boris CÃĐspedes25%
Antonio Marchesano24%
Marley AkÃĐ21%
Cristiano Piccini20%
Ronaldo Tavares17%
Mitchy Ntelo15%
Moussa Baradji15%
Hugo Komano11%
Varol Tasar11%
William Le Pogam7%
Mauro Rodrigues4%
Fode Sylla4%
Mateusz Łęgowski3%
Christian Marques3%
Haithem Loucif0%
Cristian NÃšÃąez0%
Paul Bernardoni0%
Niklas Gunnarsson0%
Dimitrije Kamenović0%
Anthony Sauthier0%
Vegard Kongsro0%
Magnus GrÃļdem0%
Mohamed Tijani0%
Ricardo Azevedo Alves0%
Dexter Lembikisa0%
Jesse Hautier0%
Gonçalo Esteves0%
Djibril Diop0%
Dion Kacuri0%
Franco GonzÃĄlez0%
Jason Gnakpa0%
Ahmedin Avdic0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cristiano Piccini60%
Dimitrije Kamenović50%
Boris CÃĐspedes42%
Mohamed Tijani33%
Moussa Baradji26%
Mateusz Łęgowski24%
Cristian NÃšÃąez20%
Vegard Kongsro20%
Christian Marques19%
Dion Kacuri19%
Anthony Sauthier18%
Ronaldo Tavares17%
Varol Tasar17%
Ricardo Azevedo Alves17%
Jason Gnakpa15%
Hugo Komano14%
Fode Sylla14%
William Le Pogam14%
Antonio Marchesano12%
Marley AkÃĐ12%
Niklas Gunnarsson9%
Paul Bernardoni8%
Mauro Rodrigues7%
Haithem Loucif0%
Magnus GrÃļdem0%
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi0%
Mitchy Ntelo0%
Dexter Lembikisa0%
Jesse Hautier0%
Gonçalo Esteves0%
Djibril Diop0%
Franco GonzÃĄlez0%
Ahmedin Avdic0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Antonio Marchesano18%
Ricardo Azevedo Alves17%
Franco GonzÃĄlez14%
Moussa Baradji11%
Marley AkÃĐ9%
Mauro Rodrigues7%
Mateusz Łęgowski7%
Dion Kacuri6%
Anthony Sauthier6%
Varol Tasar6%
Boris CÃĐspedes4%
Fode Sylla4%
Christian Marques3%
Cristiano Piccini0%
Haithem Loucif0%
Cristian NÃšÃąez0%
Paul Bernardoni0%
Niklas Gunnarsson0%
Ronaldo Tavares0%
Dimitrije Kamenović0%
William Le Pogam0%
Vegard Kongsro0%
Magnus GrÃļdem0%
Mohamed Tijani0%
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi0%
Hugo Komano0%
Mitchy Ntelo0%
Dexter Lembikisa0%
Jesse Hautier0%
Gonçalo Esteves0%
Djibril Diop0%
Jason Gnakpa0%
Ahmedin Avdic0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi67%
Cristiano Piccini20%
Varol Tasar17%
Antonio Marchesano12%
Marley AkÃĐ12%
Moussa Baradji11%
Hugo Komano6%
Fode Sylla4%
Anthony Sauthier3%
Haithem Loucif0%
Cristian NÃšÃąez0%
Paul Bernardoni0%
Niklas Gunnarsson0%
Ronaldo Tavares0%
Dimitrije Kamenović0%
Mauro Rodrigues0%
William Le Pogam0%
Boris CÃĐspedes0%
Vegard Kongsro0%
Magnus GrÃļdem0%
Mohamed Tijani0%
Christian Marques0%
Ricardo Azevedo Alves0%
Mitchy Ntelo0%
Dexter Lembikisa0%
Mateusz Łęgowski0%
Jesse Hautier0%
Gonçalo Esteves0%
Djibril Diop0%
Dion Kacuri0%
Franco GonzÃĄlez0%
Jason Gnakpa0%
Ahmedin Avdic0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAU (23)
€27m
FT (25)
€17m
SL (24)
€6m
FV (26)
€6m
FA (23)
€6m
YS (22)
€5m
NXF (26)
€5m
BEL (34)
€5m
FW1 (26)
€5m
Yverdon Sport and Bellinzona have a similar squad value (both €5m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAU (8)
€9m
FT (7)
€4m
SL (9)
€3m
YS (10)
€3m
FV (9)
€2m
NXF (10)
€2m
FA (6)
€2m
BEL (11)
€2m
FW1 (9)
€1m
Yverdon Sport and Bellinzona have a similar attack value (both €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAU (5)
€5m
FT (8)
€5m
FV (8)
€2m
FW1 (7)
€2m
BEL (8)
€1m
SL (5)
€1m
NXF (5)
€1m
FA (4)
€1m
YS (3)
€1m
Yverdon Sport and Bellinzona have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAU (10)
€13m
FT (10)
€8m
FA (13)
€3m
SL (10)
€2m
BEL (15)
€2m
YS (9)
€2m
NXF (11)
€2m
FV (9)
€2m
FW1 (10)
€2m
Yverdon Sport and Bellinzona have a similar defence value (both €2m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
2
YS wins
0
Draws
1
BEL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Yverdon Sport vs Bellinzona · H/A from YS
DateH/AGameScore
29/01/23ABellinzona Vs YS0-2
22/10/22ABellinzona Vs YS1-2
02/09/22HYS Vs Bellinzona0-1

Yverdon SportYverdon Sport

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/04/23AFC Schaffhausen Vs YS3-4
07/04/23HYS Vs Neuchatel Xamax FC2-0
02/04/23ALausanne Vs YS2-0
17/03/23HYS Vs FC Schaffhausen2-0
12/03/23ANeuchatel Xamax FC Vs YS1-2
03/03/23HYS Vs FC WIL 19001-1
24/02/23AFC Thun Vs YS3-1
17/02/23HYS Vs FC Vaduz2-2
10/02/23AFC Aarau Vs YS1-2
03/02/23HYS Vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy1-0

BellinzonaBellinzona

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/04/23HBEL Vs FC Vaduz1-6
07/04/23HBEL Vs Lausanne1-0
31/03/23AFC Thun Vs BEL2-0
19/03/23HBEL Vs Neuchatel Xamax FC1-1
12/03/23AFC Vaduz Vs BEL2-1
05/03/23HBEL Vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy0-1
26/02/23AFC Aarau Vs BEL2-0
19/02/23ALausanne Vs BEL1-1
12/02/23HBEL Vs FC Schaffhausen0-2
05/02/23AFC WIL 1900 Vs BEL3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Yverdon Sport
Yverdon Sport
Switzerland: Challenge League
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWW1.90
HomeWDDWW2.14
AwayWLWLW1.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %59%64%53%
AVG goals3.553.004.07
Over 1.5 %93%86%100%
Over 2.5 %76%64%87%
Over 3.5 %55%50%60%
Scored1.972.071.87
Conceded1.590.932.20
BTTS66%57%73%
Clean Sheet21%36%7%
Corners---
Cards---
Bellinzona
Bellinzona
Switzerland: Challenge League
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWL0.97
HomeLLDWL1.07
AwayLDLLL0.86
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%33%21%
AVG goals2.933.202.64
Over 1.5 %79%80%79%
Over 2.5 %48%53%43%
Over 3.5 %34%47%21%
Scored1.001.200.79
Conceded1.932.001.86
BTTS52%53%50%
Clean Sheet17%20%14%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Yverdon SportYverdon Sport3666
56%
1.8
6453+11
3.2
86%
67%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3121.81.5
-
2LausanneLausanne3661
47%
1.7
5843+15
2.8
75%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
27
95131.61.2
-
3Stade Lausanne-OuchyStade Lausanne-Ouchy3660
47%
1.7
7053+17
3.4
86%
67%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.91.5
-
4FC AarauFC Aarau3657
42%
1.6
6357+6
3.3
81%
64%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.81.6
-
5FC WIL 1900FC WIL 19003656
44%
1.6
6252+10
3.2
83%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.71.4
-
6FC ThunFC Thun3649
33%
1.4
6255+7
3.2
89%
64%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
17
4581.71.5
-
7FC SchaffhausenFC Schaffhausen3644
33%
1.2
5159-8
3.1
83%
50%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
8FC VaduzFC Vaduz3637
19%
1.0
5456-2
3.1
81%
50%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.51.6
-
9BellinzonaBellinzona3637
31%
1.0
3871-33
3.0
81%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.12.0
-
10Neuchatel Xamax FCNeuchatel Xamax FC3624
11%
0.7
4265-23
3.0
89%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.21.8
-
Switzerland: Challenge League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Challenge League stats & trends →

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