This high-scoring match between Yverdon Sport and FC Aarau in the Switzerland: Challenge League on August 23rd is set to be an exciting encounter. Recent form suggests that Yverdon Sport are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, having beaten SC Kriens 2-0 in their previous outing. Meanwhile, FC Aarau come into this match off the back of a win against Stade Nyonnais.
Yverdon Sport have struggled at home, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per match and conceding 2.2 against similar opponents. FC Aarau, on the other hand, have been scoring an average of 2 goals per match while conceding 1.5 against similar opponents away from home.
The model predicts a 40% chance of a home win, 23% chance of a draw, and 36% chance of an away win. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a probability of 9.5%. The expected total goals is 3.7, making this a high-scoring match. The model's selection for the match result is a home win.
The model's selections for this match are Over 1.5 (88.8%), BTTS Yes (71.3%), and Over 2.5 (70.7%). Home win is the favourite at 40%, with a 23% chance of a draw and a 36% chance of an away win.
Results analysis
The win extends Yverdon Sport’s two-game winning run, keeping the team on a positive trajectory at home. The model had picked a home win with a 41 % probability, and the outcome matched that forecast. The final score was 2-1, confirming the favoured result. The model’s selections performed strongly: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.2 %, Under 7.5 hit at 96.7 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.1 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 94.6 %, Under 6.5 hit at 92.2 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 91.6 %, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 89.5 %, and Away under 1.5 HT goals hit at 89.1 %. All eight picks settled in favour of the model’s predictions.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Yverdon Sport win✓ Hit
40.5%
Avg Implied 44.0% · @ 2.07
Edge
-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.18
Unibet
2.16
Betano
2.12
Superbet
2.12
888Sport
2.10
Draw✗ Miss
23.4%
Avg Implied 25.8% · @ 3.54
Edge
-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.80
BetVictor
3.70
Bet365
3.70
Betano
3.60
Betfair
3.60
FC Aarau win✗ Miss
36.0%
Avg Implied 30.2% · @ 3.02
Edge
+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.22
Bet365
3.20
BetVictor
3.10
1xBet
3.08
Superbet
3.05
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Yverdon Sport
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.07
1.43
1.80
1.47
2.33
1.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
1.17
2.00
0.67
2.00
1.67
2.00
vs Weaker (24)
2.29
1.29
2.08
1.33
2.50
1.25
Clean sheet %
30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Aarau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Aarau
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.90
1.47
1.93
1.07
1.87
1.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
1.71
1.47
1.62
1.12
1.78
1.78
vs Weaker (13)
2.15
1.46
2.29
1.00
2.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Yverdon Sport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.9%
@ 1.16+9.4%
Under 1.5
11.1%
@ 4.49-9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.18
Betano
1.18
888Sport
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Under
Pinnacle
4.82
BetVictor
4.80
Betfair
4.80
888Sport
4.60
Superbet
4.60
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
70.8%
@ 1.57+12.1%
Under 2.5
29.2%
@ 2.24-12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.65
Bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
1.60
888Sport
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Under
Pinnacle
2.35
Betano
2.30
Superbet
2.30
Bet365
2.25
888Sport
2.25
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
49.7%
@ 2.42+11.4%
Under 3.5
50.3%
@ 1.51-11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.60
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.47
888Sport
2.40
Betfair
2.40
Under
Pinnacle
1.55
Betano
1.55
Superbet
1.53
1xBet
1.51
BetVictor
1.51
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
71.3%
@ 1.50+9.7%
No
28.7%
@ 2.40-9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.54
Bet365
1.53
Betfair
1.50
888Sport
1.50
Betano
1.50
No
William Hil
2.45
BetVictor
2.45
Superbet
2.45
888Sport
2.45
Betano
2.42
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.5%@ 6.73+2.9%
2-1 ✓
8.1%@ 8.31+2.8%
1-2
7.6%@ 10.22+3.3%
2-2
7.2%@ 10.76+3.1%
3-1
5.1%@ 13.41+1.8%
2-0
4.6%@ 11.48+0.7%
3-2
4.5%@ 18.64+2.2%
1-3
4.5%@ 20.39+2.4%
Yverdon Sport goals ↓
FC Aarau goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.4%
3.7%
4.1%
2.4%
1.1%
1
4.0%
9.5%
7.6%
4.5%
2.0%
2
4.6%
8.1%
7.2%
4.3%
1.9%
3
2.9%
5.1%
4.5%
2.7%
1.2%
4
1.4%
2.4%
2.1%
1.3%
0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Yverdon Sport goals (down), columns = FC Aarau goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
2.33
Yverdon Sport
2.00
SC Kriens
1.67
FC Winterthur
1.50
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
Étoile Carouge
1.33
FC Aarau
1.33
FC WIL 1900
0.83
Rapperswil
0.67
Stade Nyonnais
0.33
Yverdon Sport is 0.67 points better than FC Aarau in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Winterthur
2.00
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.83
SC Kriens
1.67
Yverdon Sport
1.67
FC WIL 1900
1.50
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
Rapperswil
1.33
FC Aarau
1.33
Étoile Carouge
1.00
Stade Nyonnais
0.67
Yverdon Sport is 0.33 goals better than FC Aarau in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
0.50
SC Kriens
1.00
Yverdon Sport
1.00
Étoile Carouge
1.00
FC Winterthur
1.17
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
FC Aarau
1.67
Stade Nyonnais
1.83
Rapperswil
2.17
FC WIL 1900
2.67
Yverdon Sport is 0.67 goals better than FC Aarau in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Yverdon Sport or Draw✓ Hit
64.0%
Avg Implied 69.6% · @ 1.33
Edge
-5.7%
41%
23%
36%
covers Yverdon Sport + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.39
Bet365
1.36
888Sport
1.36
William Hil
1.36
Betfair
1.33
Yverdon Sport or FC Aarau✓ Hit
76.6%
Avg Implied 74.1% · @ 1.25
Edge
+2.4%
41%
23%
36%
covers Yverdon Sport + FC Aarau
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.29
888Sport
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.26
Betfair
1.25
Draw or FC Aarau✗ Miss
59.5%
Avg Implied 56.2% · @ 1.64
Edge
+3.2%
41%
23%
36%
covers Draw + FC Aarau
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.72
BetVictor
1.67
Betfair
1.67
Bet365
1.67
William Hil
1.65
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Yverdon Sport over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
84.8%
@ 1.16+4.7%
Under
15.2%
@ 4.67-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Under
Betfair
5.00
1xBet
4.75
Superbet
4.60
Betano
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Yverdon Sport over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
56.2%
@ 1.81+5.1%
Under
43.8%
@ 1.89-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.89
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.82
Superbet
1.82
Under
Betfair
2.00
Pinnacle
1.97
Betano
1.93
Marathonbet
1.92
1xBet
1.90
Yverdon Sport over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
29.2%
@ 3.47+2.5%
Under
70.8%
@ 1.27-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
Pinnacle
3.57
Betfair
3.50
Superbet
3.45
Betano
3.40
Under
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
Yverdon Sport over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
12.3%
@ 7.28-0.5%
Under
87.7%
@ 1.07+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
7.50
Betano
6.80
1xBet
6.80
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
FC Aarau over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.0%
@ 1.25+9.1%
Under
17.0%
@ 3.56-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.27
1xBet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
Under
Bet365
3.75
Pinnacle
3.65
Superbet
3.60
Betano
3.55
Betfair
3.50
FC Aarau over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
52.9%
@ 2.25+11.8%
Under
47.1%
@ 1.58-11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.40
Marathonbet
2.27
Unibet
2.25
Betfair
2.25
1xBet
2.25
Under
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.61
1xBet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
FC Aarau over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
26.2%
@ 4.97+7.5%
Under
73.8%
@ 1.14-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
5.30
Marathonbet
5.00
Superbet
4.80
Betano
4.70
Under
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.13
1xBet
1.12
FC Aarau over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.5%
@ 9.42+0.5%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.04-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
10.00
Betano
9.25
Bet365
9.00
Under
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Yverdon Sport, so a minus line means Yverdon Sport give that many goals of a start and FC Aarau receive them. At -1, Yverdon Sport must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Yverdon Sport win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Yverdon Sport)Actual: FC Aarau
Yverdon Sport -2
10.0%
@ 7.43-1.9%
Draw -2
12.4%
@ 5.92-2.7%
FC Aarau +2
77.6%
@ 1.22+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
7.50
Marathonbet
6.80
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.75
Away
Marathonbet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Handicap -1 (Yverdon Sport)Actual: Draw
Yverdon Sport -1
22.4%
@ 3.55-2.0%
Draw -1
18.1%
@ 3.88-4.1%
FC Aarau +1
59.5%
@ 1.62+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.50
Unibet
3.35
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.86
Unibet
3.35
Away
Bet365
1.67
Betfair
1.67
Marathonbet
1.63
Unibet
1.52
Handicap +1 (Yverdon Sport)Actual: Yverdon Sport
Yverdon Sport +1
64.0%
@ 1.31-1.0%
Draw +1
17.0%
@ 4.52-1.9%
FC Aarau -1
19.0%
@ 5.30+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.36
Unibet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
Unibet
3.75
Away
Marathonbet
5.80
Bet365
5.50
Unibet
4.60
Handicap +2 (Yverdon Sport)Actual: Yverdon Sport
Yverdon Sport +2
81.0%
@ 1.10-0.9%
Draw +2
10.9%
@ 8.50+0.3%
FC Aarau -2
8.1%
@ 12.00+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.10
Draw
Bet365
8.50
Away
Bet365
12.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Yverdon Sport
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.70
0.73
0.60
1.00
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.67
1.00
0.33
0.67
1.00
1.33
vs Weaker (24)
0.92
0.62
0.83
0.58
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Aarau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Aarau
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.80
1.00
0.47
0.93
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.88
0.71
0.75
0.38
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (13)
1.08
0.92
1.29
0.57
0.83
1.33
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Yverdon Sport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
73.6%
@ 1.27+0.8%
Under 0.5
26.4%
@ 3.38-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
Under
Betfair
3.60
Bet365
3.50
William Hil
3.50
BetVictor
3.50
Superbet
3.40
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
40.9%
@ 2.28+0.4%
Under 1.5
59.1%
@ 1.55-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.37
Betano
2.35
Unibet
2.33
1xBet
2.28
Marathonbet
2.28
Under
Pinnacle
1.59
Betfair
1.57
Superbet
1.57
William Hil
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.6%
@ 5.06-2.6%
Under 2.5
84.4%
@ 1.13+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.40
William Hil
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.95
Under
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Yverdon Sport over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
55.5%
@ 1.74+2.3%
Under
44.5%
@ 1.99-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
1xBet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
Under
Pinnacle
2.08
1xBet
2.00
Superbet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.95
Betano
1.93
Yverdon Sport over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
19.1%
@ 4.77-0.3%
Under
80.9%
@ 1.15+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.20
Marathonbet
4.65
Betano
4.45
Under
Betano
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Yverdon Sport over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.9%
@ 9.50-5.9%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.03+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.03
FC Aarau over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
43.7%
@ 2.00-2.6%
Under
56.3%
@ 1.72+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.09
Betano
2.02
Marathonbet
2.00
Superbet
1.97
1xBet
1.91
Under
Superbet
1.74
1xBet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.72
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.69
FC Aarau over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.9%
@ 6.12-4.2%
Under
89.1%
@ 1.08+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Marathonbet
6.25
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
FC Aarau over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 10.75-6.8%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.02+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Yverdon Sport
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.73
1.07
0.87
1.33
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
0.50
1.00
0.33
1.33
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (24)
1.38
0.67
1.25
0.75
1.50
0.58
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Aarau) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Aarau
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.67
0.93
0.60
0.93
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.82
0.76
0.88
0.75
0.78
0.78
vs Weaker (13)
1.08
0.54
1.00
0.43
1.17
0.67
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Yverdon Sport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.3%
@ 1.15-0.1%
Under 0.5
19.7%
@ 4.68+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Under
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.65
Marathonbet
4.60
1xBet
4.60
Betano
4.55
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
49.2%
@ 1.77-3.0%
Under 1.5
50.8%
@ 1.94+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
Marathonbet
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Superbet
1.77
Betano
1.72
Under
Betano
2.00
Superbet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.92
1xBet
1.92
Bet365
1.91
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
25.6%
@ 3.30-2.3%
Under 2.5
74.4%
@ 1.28+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.35
1xBet
3.28
Marathonbet
3.28
Betano
3.10
Under
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Yverdon Sport over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
62.1%
@ 1.51+0.7%
Under
37.9%
@ 2.40-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.53
1xBet
1.50
Betano
1.50
Under
1xBet
2.42
Betano
2.42
Superbet
2.35
Yverdon Sport over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
25.9%
@ 3.28-2.1%
Under
74.1%
@ 1.28+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.30
Betano
3.20
Under
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
Yverdon Sport over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
8.4%
@ 8.10-3.0%
Under
91.6%
@ 1.04+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.10
Betano
7.10
Under
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.02
FC Aarau over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
49.2%
@ 1.69-5.2%
Under
50.8%
@ 2.02+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.70
Superbet
1.68
Betano
1.67
Under
Betano
2.07
Superbet
2.05
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
FC Aarau over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.6%
@ 4.33-5.6%
Under
84.4%
@ 1.17+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.50
1xBet
4.50
Betano
4.00
Under
Betano
1.20
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
FC Aarau over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.4%
@ 8.75-5.3%
Under
94.6%
@ 1.04+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.04
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.2%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.8%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.1%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
94.6%
1.04
Betano
1.04
-
-
-
-
+5.3%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
92.2%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
91.6%
1.04
Betano
1.06
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
+3.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
89.5%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.03
-
-
-0.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.1%
1.08
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
-
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
88.9%
1.16
Unibet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.18
Betano
1.18
888Sport
1.17
Bet365
1.17
+9.4%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
88.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
87.7%
1.07
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
-
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
84.8%
1.16
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.4%
1.17
Betano
1.20
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
-
-
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
84.4%
1.13
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
83.6%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Betfair
1.05
BetVictor
1.04
-4.2%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
83.0%
1.25
Betano
1.27
Pinnacle
1.27
1xBet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
+9.1%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
81.0%
1.10
Bet365
1.10
-
-
-
-
-0.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
80.9%
1.15
Betano
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
-
-
+0.3%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.3%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
77.6%
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Bet365
1.22
-
-
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
76.6%
1.25
William Hil
1.29
888Sport
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.26
Betfair
1.25
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
74.4%
1.28
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
74.1%
1.28
Betano
1.30
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
-
-
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
73.8%
1.14
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Betfair
1.13
1xBet
1.12
-7.5%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.6%
1.27
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.26
+0.8%
✓ Hit
BTTS Yes
71.3%
1.50
Unibet
1.54
Bet365
1.53
Betfair
1.50
888Sport
1.50
Betano
1.50
+9.7%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
70.8%
1.57
Unibet
1.65
Bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
1.60
888Sport
1.57
Betfair
1.57
+12.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
70.8%
1.27
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
-2.5%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Yverdon Sport · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi33%
Boris Céspedes25%
Antonio Marchesano24%
Marley Aké21%
Cristiano Piccini20%
Ronaldo Tavares17%
Mitchy Ntelo15%
Moussa Baradji15%
Hugo Komano11%
Varol Tasar11%
William Le Pogam7%
Mauro Rodrigues4%
Fode Sylla4%
Mateusz Łęgowski3%
Christian Marques3%
Haithem Loucif0%
Cristian Núñez0%
Paul Bernardoni0%
Niklas Gunnarsson0%
Dimitrije Kamenović0%
Anthony Sauthier0%
Vegard Kongsro0%
Magnus Grødem0%
Mohamed Tijani0%
Ricardo Azevedo Alves0%
Dexter Lembikisa0%
Jesse Hautier0%
Gonçalo Esteves0%
Djibril Diop0%
Dion Kacuri0%
Franco González0%
Jason Gnakpa0%
Ahmedin Avdic0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cristiano Piccini60%
Dimitrije Kamenović50%
Boris Céspedes42%
Mohamed Tijani33%
Moussa Baradji26%
Mateusz Łęgowski24%
Cristian Núñez20%
Vegard Kongsro20%
Christian Marques19%
Dion Kacuri19%
Anthony Sauthier18%
Ronaldo Tavares17%
Varol Tasar17%
Ricardo Azevedo Alves17%
Jason Gnakpa15%
Hugo Komano14%
Fode Sylla14%
William Le Pogam14%
Antonio Marchesano12%
Marley Aké12%
Niklas Gunnarsson9%
Paul Bernardoni8%
Mauro Rodrigues7%
Haithem Loucif0%
Magnus Grødem0%
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi0%
Mitchy Ntelo0%
Dexter Lembikisa0%
Jesse Hautier0%
Gonçalo Esteves0%
Djibril Diop0%
Franco González0%
Ahmedin Avdic0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Antonio Marchesano18%
Ricardo Azevedo Alves17%
Franco González14%
Moussa Baradji11%
Marley Aké9%
Mauro Rodrigues7%
Mateusz Łęgowski7%
Dion Kacuri6%
Anthony Sauthier6%
Varol Tasar6%
Boris Céspedes4%
Fode Sylla4%
Christian Marques3%
Cristiano Piccini0%
Haithem Loucif0%
Cristian Núñez0%
Paul Bernardoni0%
Niklas Gunnarsson0%
Ronaldo Tavares0%
Dimitrije Kamenović0%
William Le Pogam0%
Vegard Kongsro0%
Magnus Grødem0%
Mohamed Tijani0%
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi0%
Hugo Komano0%
Mitchy Ntelo0%
Dexter Lembikisa0%
Jesse Hautier0%
Gonçalo Esteves0%
Djibril Diop0%
Jason Gnakpa0%
Ahmedin Avdic0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi67%
Cristiano Piccini20%
Varol Tasar17%
Antonio Marchesano12%
Marley Aké12%
Moussa Baradji11%
Hugo Komano6%
Fode Sylla4%
Anthony Sauthier3%
Haithem Loucif0%
Cristian Núñez0%
Paul Bernardoni0%
Niklas Gunnarsson0%
Ronaldo Tavares0%
Dimitrije Kamenović0%
Mauro Rodrigues0%
William Le Pogam0%
Boris Céspedes0%
Vegard Kongsro0%
Magnus Grødem0%
Mohamed Tijani0%
Christian Marques0%
Ricardo Azevedo Alves0%
Mitchy Ntelo0%
Dexter Lembikisa0%
Mateusz Łęgowski0%
Jesse Hautier0%
Gonçalo Esteves0%
Djibril Diop0%
Dion Kacuri0%
Franco González0%
Jason Gnakpa0%
Ahmedin Avdic0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (25)
€6m
SL (24)
€6m
FA (23)
€6m
YS (22)
€5m
NXF (26)
€5m
FW1 (26)
€5m
RAP (24)
€4m
ÉC (23)
€4m
SN (21)
€3m
SK (16)
€3m
Yverdon Sport and FC Aarau have a similar squad value (both €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SL (9)
€3m
YS (10)
€3m
FW (9)
€2m
NXF (10)
€2m
FA (6)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
FW1 (9)
€1m
ÉC (6)
€1m
RAP (8)
€1m
SK (5)
€0m
Yverdon Sport and FC Aarau have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (7)
€2m
FW1 (7)
€2m
RAP (6)
€2m
SL (5)
€1m
NXF (5)
€1m
ÉC (5)
€1m
FA (4)
€1m
SK (3)
€1m
YS (3)
€1m
SN (3)
€0m
Yverdon Sport and FC Aarau have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€3m
SL (10)
€2m
FW (9)
€2m
YS (9)
€2m
NXF (11)
€2m
ÉC (12)
€2m
SK (8)
€2m
RAP (10)
€2m
FW1 (10)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
Yverdon Sport and FC Aarau have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Switzerland: Challenge League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Challenge League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
SC Kriens
FC Winterthur
Neuchatel Xamax FC
Étoile Carouge
FC WIL 1900
Rapperswil
Stade Nyonnais