Yverdon Sport, riding a two-game winning streak, faces FC WIL 1900, who have struggled with three straight defeats. The model favours a home win, with a 59% chance, a draw at 22%, and an away win at 20%. The expected total is 3.5 goals, centring on a 3-goal outcome that carries a 22% probability. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 for Yverdon, with a 9.6% chance. Yverdon’s home form shows 2.09 goals scored and 1.45 conceded against weaker opposition, while FC WIL’s away form shows no goals scored or conceded against stronger opponents. The model’s selections include Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.3%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.9% with a 7% edge), Under 7.5 (97.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.1% with a 5% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (93.6% with a 4% edge), Under 6.5 (93.5% with a 4% edge), Away under 1.5 HT goals (92.8% with a 5% edge), and Home +2 handicap (91.7%).
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, a home win for Yverdon Sport, did not materialise as the match finished 1-1, a draw that left the model’s prediction wrong. The upset is underscored by Yverdon’s unbeaten run in their last five games, yet the scoreline matched the most likely 2-1 outcome only in probability, not reality. The model’s selection of a home win, with a 59% chance, proved incorrect. Every suggested pick was settled: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.2%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.0%, Under 7.5 hit at 97.4%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 96.1%, Under 6.5 hit at 93.5%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 92.9%, Home +2 handicap hit at 91.7%, and Away under 1.5 HT goals hit at 90.9%. The final 1-1 result left all these selections on the winning side.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Yverdon Sport win✗ Miss
58.5%
Avg Implied 56.7% · @ 1.61
Edge
+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.65
Unibet
1.65
10Bet
1.64
Pinnacle
1.63
Superbet
1.62
Draw✓ Hit
21.6%
Avg Implied 22.7% · @ 4.03
Edge
-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.35
Bet365
4.33
Dafabet
4.20
Betfair
4.20
Betano
4.15
FC WIL 1900 win✗ Miss
19.9%
Avg Implied 20.6% · @ 4.45
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
4.75
Pinnacle
4.70
Dafabet
4.70
1xBet
4.61
Betfair
4.60
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Yverdon Sport
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.07
1.47
1.80
1.53
2.33
1.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.29
1.86
1.00
1.75
1.67
2.00
vs Weaker (23)
2.30
1.35
2.09
1.45
2.50
1.25
Clean sheet %
27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (FC WIL 1900) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC WIL 1900
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.60
1.27
1.67
1.27
1.53
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.67
1.00
2.50
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
1.33
1.59
1.31
1.54
1.36
1.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Yverdon Sport) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.2%
@ 1.14+5.8%
Under 1.5
12.8%
@ 4.97-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
Under
Betfair
5.50
Pinnacle
5.30
BetVictor
5.25
Marathonbet
4.90
1xBet
4.90
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
67.8%
@ 1.50+6.1%
Under 2.5
32.2%
@ 2.41-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
Betano
1.52
BetVictor
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Under
Pinnacle
2.55
10Bet
2.50
Betano
2.45
Superbet
2.40
Betfair
2.40
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.2%
@ 2.23+4.7%
Under 3.5
53.8%
@ 1.59-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.31
Superbet
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Betano
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Under
10Bet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.62
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.58
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
64.8%
@ 1.53+4.9%
No
35.2%
@ 2.30-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.62
Betfair
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Betano
1.55
BetVictor
1.53
No
William Hil
2.40
10Bet
2.35
1xBet
2.34
Marathonbet
2.30
Betano
2.30
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.6%@ 7.55+3.7%
1-1 ✓
9.4%@ 7.65+3.7%
2-0
7.6%@ 8.98+2.7%
3-1
7.1%@ 10.62+3.0%
2-2
6.0%@ 12.03+2.4%
1-0
5.9%@ 8.99+1.0%
3-0
5.6%@ 12.80+2.2%
1-2
5.4%@ 13.22+2.1%
Yverdon Sport goals ↓
FC WIL 1900 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.9%
3.0%
2.4%
1.0%
0.3%
1
5.9%
9.4%
5.4%
2.3%
0.7%
2
7.6%
9.6%
6.0%
2.5%
0.8%
3
5.6%
7.1%
4.5%
1.9%
0.6%
4
3.1%
4.0%
2.5%
1.1%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Yverdon Sport goals (down), columns = FC WIL 1900 goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
2.33
Yverdon Sport
2.00
SC Kriens
1.67
FC Winterthur
1.50
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
Étoile Carouge
1.33
FC Aarau
1.33
FC WIL 1900
0.83
Rapperswil
0.67
Stade Nyonnais
0.33
Yverdon Sport is 1.17 points better than FC WIL 1900 in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 0.83).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Winterthur
2.00
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.83
SC Kriens
1.67
Yverdon Sport
1.67
FC WIL 1900
1.50
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
Rapperswil
1.33
FC Aarau
1.33
Étoile Carouge
1.00
Stade Nyonnais
0.67
Yverdon Sport is 0.17 goals better than FC WIL 1900 in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
0.50
SC Kriens
1.00
Yverdon Sport
1.00
Étoile Carouge
1.00
FC Winterthur
1.17
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
FC Aarau
1.67
Stade Nyonnais
1.83
Rapperswil
2.17
FC WIL 1900
2.67
Yverdon Sport is 1.67 goals better than FC WIL 1900 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 2.67).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Yverdon Sport or Draw✓ Hit
80.1%
Avg Implied 79.2% · @ 1.16
Edge
+0.9%
59%
22%
20%
covers Yverdon Sport + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Yverdon Sport or FC WIL 1900✗ Miss
78.4%
Avg Implied 77.7% · @ 1.18
Edge
+0.7%
59%
22%
20%
covers Yverdon Sport + FC WIL 1900
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Draw or FC WIL 1900✓ Hit
41.5%
Avg Implied 43.1% · @ 2.13
Edge
-1.6%
59%
22%
20%
covers Draw + FC WIL 1900
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.25
Betfair
2.25
BetVictor
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Superbet
2.17
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Yverdon Sport over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
89.3%
@ 1.09+4.4%
Under
10.7%
@ 6.12-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Under
1xBet
6.90
Superbet
6.20
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Betano
5.90
Yverdon Sport over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
65.3%
@ 1.52+4.3%
Under
34.7%
@ 2.37-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.55
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
Superbet
1.52
Under
Pinnacle
2.51
Betfair
2.50
Betano
2.40
Bet365
2.38
Marathonbet
2.38
Yverdon Sport over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
38.6%
@ 2.60+2.8%
Under
61.4%
@ 1.45-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.67
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.60
Marathonbet
2.58
Under
1xBet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.45
Betano
1.45
Superbet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Yverdon Sport over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
18.7%
@ 5.05+0.3%
Under
81.3%
@ 1.14-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.00
Betano
4.90
1xBet
4.80
Under
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
FC WIL 1900 over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
71.7%
@ 1.37+4.2%
Under
28.3%
@ 2.85-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.43
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.37
Betfair
1.36
Under
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
2.98
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.88
Marathonbet
2.84
FC WIL 1900 over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
35.9%
@ 2.76+2.5%
Under
64.1%
@ 1.39-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.94
Betfair
2.88
Superbet
2.82
1xBet
2.80
Marathonbet
2.80
Under
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.40
10Bet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Unibet
1.38
FC WIL 1900 over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.4%
@ 6.71-0.4%
Under
86.6%
@ 1.07+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.50
Marathonbet
6.95
Superbet
6.80
Bet365
6.50
1xBet
6.40
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
FC WIL 1900 over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.9%
@ 11.00-4.6%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.02+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.00
Bet365
11.00
Under
Bet365
1.02
Betano
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Yverdon Sport, so a minus line means Yverdon Sport give that many goals of a start and FC WIL 1900 receive them. At -1, Yverdon Sport must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Yverdon Sport win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Yverdon Sport)Actual: FC WIL 1900
Yverdon Sport -2
19.6%
@ 4.39-0.2%
Draw -2
17.7%
@ 4.49-1.6%
FC WIL 1900 +2
62.7%
@ 1.43+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.55
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.00
Draw
Marathonbet
4.80
Bet365
4.75
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
3.90
Away
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.44
Marathonbet
1.42
Unibet
1.34
Handicap -1 (Yverdon Sport)Actual: FC WIL 1900
Yverdon Sport -1
37.3%
@ 2.52+2.8%
Draw -1
21.2%
@ 3.63-2.8%
FC WIL 1900 +1
41.5%
@ 2.10+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.65
Bet365
2.62
Betfair
2.50
Marathonbet
2.49
Unibet
2.35
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.65
10Bet
3.60
Unibet
3.15
Away
Betfair
2.20
10Bet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.12
Bet365
2.10
Unibet
1.94
Handicap +1 (Yverdon Sport)Actual: Yverdon Sport
Yverdon Sport +1
80.1%
@ 1.17+5.7%
Draw +1
11.6%
@ 5.55-4.0%
FC WIL 1900 -1
8.3%
@ 8.62-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.13
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
4.60
Away
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
6.25
Handicap +2 (Yverdon Sport)Actual: Yverdon Sport
Yverdon Sport +2
91.7%
@ 1.05+2.0%
Draw +2
5.6%
@ 15.00-0.6%
FC WIL 1900 -2
2.7%
@ 23.00-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.05
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Away
Bet365
23.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Yverdon Sport
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.70
0.73
0.60
1.00
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.86
0.86
0.75
0.50
1.00
1.33
vs Weaker (23)
0.87
0.65
0.73
0.64
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (FC WIL 1900) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC WIL 1900
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.80
0.73
0.73
0.60
0.87
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.67
0.85
0.69
0.77
0.64
0.93
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Yverdon Sport) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
74.9%
@ 1.24+0.7%
Under 0.5
25.1%
@ 3.59-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.80
William Hil
3.75
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.70
Superbet
3.55
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
42.9%
@ 2.18+0.4%
Under 1.5
57.1%
@ 1.61-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.26
Betano
2.25
1xBet
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Bet365
2.20
Under
Pinnacle
1.64
Bet365
1.62
William Hil
1.62
Superbet
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.8%
@ 4.77-1.6%
Under 2.5
82.2%
@ 1.15+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.20
BetVictor
5.00
William Hil
4.75
Marathonbet
4.75
1xBet
4.75
Under
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.16
BetVictor
1.14
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Yverdon Sport over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
62.2%
@ 1.56+2.3%
Under
37.8%
@ 2.32-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.54
Superbet
1.54
Under
Pinnacle
2.45
Superbet
2.32
1xBet
2.30
Betano
2.22
Yverdon Sport over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
25.5%
@ 3.62+0.1%
Under
74.5%
@ 1.23-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.65
1xBet
3.60
Betano
3.60
Under
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
Yverdon Sport over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.1%
@ 9.00-3.2%
Under
92.9%
@ 1.03+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
FC WIL 1900 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
34.7%
@ 2.31-5.6%
Under
65.3%
@ 1.56+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.43
Superbet
2.32
Betano
2.30
Marathonbet
2.28
1xBet
2.20
Under
1xBet
1.60
Superbet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.55
Betano
1.55
Marathonbet
1.53
FC WIL 1900 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.1%
@ 7.43-3.3%
Under
90.9%
@ 1.05+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.30
1xBet
7.40
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
FC WIL 1900 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Yverdon Sport
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.77
1.07
0.93
1.33
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.43
1.00
0.25
1.25
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (23)
1.43
0.70
1.36
0.82
1.50
0.58
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (FC WIL 1900) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC WIL 1900
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.80
0.53
0.93
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.33
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.67
0.74
0.62
0.77
0.71
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Yverdon Sport) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
82.2%
@ 1.13+0.5%
Under 0.5
17.8%
@ 5.04-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Under
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.05
1xBet
5.05
Superbet
4.85
Betano
4.75
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
50.9%
@ 1.70-3.6%
Under 1.5
49.1%
@ 2.04+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.70
10Bet
1.67
Under
10Bet
2.10
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
22.3%
@ 3.15-6.9%
Under 2.5
77.7%
@ 1.30+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.20
1xBet
3.08
Marathonbet
3.08
Betano
3.00
Under
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Yverdon Sport over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
70.8%
@ 1.38+3.5%
Under
29.2%
@ 2.82-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.40
1xBet
1.37
Betano
1.36
Under
Betano
2.87
1xBet
2.85
Superbet
2.75
Yverdon Sport over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
32.7%
@ 2.69-1.6%
Under
67.3%
@ 1.40+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.75
1xBet
2.70
Marathonbet
2.67
Betano
2.62
Under
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
Superbet
1.39
Yverdon Sport over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.3%
@ 6.20-3.5%
Under
88.7%
@ 1.08+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.80
Betano
5.60
Under
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.06
FC WIL 1900 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
40.8%
@ 1.91-7.8%
Under
59.2%
@ 1.79+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.95
Betano
1.90
Marathonbet
1.89
1xBet
1.88
Under
1xBet
1.82
Betano
1.82
Superbet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
FC WIL 1900 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.6%
@ 5.40-5.4%
Under
88.4%
@ 1.11+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.80
1xBet
5.40
Betano
5.00
Under
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
FC WIL 1900 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 10.00-7.3%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.02+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.0%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+7.3%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.1%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
93.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
92.9%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
91.7%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.9%
1.05
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
-
-
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
89.3%
1.09
Bet365
1.11
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
88.7%
1.08
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.06
-
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.4%
1.11
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
-
-
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
87.2%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Pinnacle
1.16
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
+5.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
86.6%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
85.8%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
-0.8%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
82.2%
1.13
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
+0.5%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
82.2%
1.15
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.16
BetVictor
1.14
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
81.3%
1.14
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
-
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
80.1%
1.16
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
80.1%
1.17
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.13
-
-
-
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
78.4%
1.18
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Superbet
1.19
+0.7%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
77.7%
1.30
Betano
1.34
Superbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
74.9%
1.24
Betano
1.28
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
10Bet
1.25
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
74.5%
1.23
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
-
-
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
72.7%
1.22
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
-3.1%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
71.7%
1.37
1xBet
1.43
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Pinnacle
1.37
Betfair
1.36
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 2H goals
70.8%
1.38
Superbet
1.40
1xBet
1.37
Betano
1.36
-
-
+3.5%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Yverdon Sport · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi33%
Boris Céspedes25%
Antonio Marchesano24%
Marley Aké21%
Cristiano Piccini20%
Ronaldo Tavares17%
Mitchy Ntelo15%
Moussa Baradji15%
Hugo Komano11%
Varol Tasar11%
William Le Pogam7%
Mauro Rodrigues4%
Fode Sylla4%
Mateusz Łęgowski3%
Christian Marques3%
Haithem Loucif0%
Cristian Núñez0%
Paul Bernardoni0%
Niklas Gunnarsson0%
Dimitrije Kamenović0%
Anthony Sauthier0%
Vegard Kongsro0%
Magnus Grødem0%
Mohamed Tijani0%
Ricardo Azevedo Alves0%
Dexter Lembikisa0%
Jesse Hautier0%
Gonçalo Esteves0%
Djibril Diop0%
Dion Kacuri0%
Franco González0%
Jason Gnakpa0%
Ahmedin Avdic0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cristiano Piccini60%
Dimitrije Kamenović50%
Boris Céspedes42%
Mohamed Tijani33%
Moussa Baradji26%
Mateusz Łęgowski24%
Cristian Núñez20%
Vegard Kongsro20%
Christian Marques19%
Dion Kacuri19%
Anthony Sauthier18%
Ronaldo Tavares17%
Varol Tasar17%
Ricardo Azevedo Alves17%
Jason Gnakpa15%
Hugo Komano14%
Fode Sylla14%
William Le Pogam14%
Antonio Marchesano12%
Marley Aké12%
Niklas Gunnarsson9%
Paul Bernardoni8%
Mauro Rodrigues7%
Haithem Loucif0%
Magnus Grødem0%
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi0%
Mitchy Ntelo0%
Dexter Lembikisa0%
Jesse Hautier0%
Gonçalo Esteves0%
Djibril Diop0%
Franco González0%
Ahmedin Avdic0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Antonio Marchesano18%
Ricardo Azevedo Alves17%
Franco González14%
Moussa Baradji11%
Marley Aké9%
Mauro Rodrigues7%
Mateusz Łęgowski7%
Dion Kacuri6%
Anthony Sauthier6%
Varol Tasar6%
Boris Céspedes4%
Fode Sylla4%
Christian Marques3%
Cristiano Piccini0%
Haithem Loucif0%
Cristian Núñez0%
Paul Bernardoni0%
Niklas Gunnarsson0%
Ronaldo Tavares0%
Dimitrije Kamenović0%
William Le Pogam0%
Vegard Kongsro0%
Magnus Grødem0%
Mohamed Tijani0%
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi0%
Hugo Komano0%
Mitchy Ntelo0%
Dexter Lembikisa0%
Jesse Hautier0%
Gonçalo Esteves0%
Djibril Diop0%
Jason Gnakpa0%
Ahmedin Avdic0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi67%
Cristiano Piccini20%
Varol Tasar17%
Antonio Marchesano12%
Marley Aké12%
Moussa Baradji11%
Hugo Komano6%
Fode Sylla4%
Anthony Sauthier3%
Haithem Loucif0%
Cristian Núñez0%
Paul Bernardoni0%
Niklas Gunnarsson0%
Ronaldo Tavares0%
Dimitrije Kamenović0%
Mauro Rodrigues0%
William Le Pogam0%
Boris Céspedes0%
Vegard Kongsro0%
Magnus Grødem0%
Mohamed Tijani0%
Christian Marques0%
Ricardo Azevedo Alves0%
Mitchy Ntelo0%
Dexter Lembikisa0%
Mateusz Łęgowski0%
Jesse Hautier0%
Gonçalo Esteves0%
Djibril Diop0%
Dion Kacuri0%
Franco González0%
Jason Gnakpa0%
Ahmedin Avdic0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (25)
€6m
SL (24)
€6m
FA (23)
€6m
YS (22)
€5m
NXF (26)
€5m
FW1 (26)
€5m
RAP (24)
€4m
ÉC (23)
€4m
SN (21)
€3m
SK (16)
€3m
Yverdon Sport and FC WIL 1900 have a similar squad value (both €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SL (9)
€3m
YS (10)
€3m
FW (9)
€2m
NXF (10)
€2m
FA (6)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
FW1 (9)
€1m
ÉC (6)
€1m
RAP (8)
€1m
SK (5)
€0m
Yverdon Sport's attack is €1m more valuable than FC WIL 1900's (€3m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (7)
€2m
FW1 (7)
€2m
RAP (6)
€2m
SL (5)
€1m
NXF (5)
€1m
ÉC (5)
€1m
FA (4)
€1m
SK (3)
€1m
YS (3)
€1m
SN (3)
€0m
Yverdon Sport's midfield is €1m less valuable than FC WIL 1900's (€1m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€3m
SL (10)
€2m
FW (9)
€2m
YS (9)
€2m
NXF (11)
€2m
ÉC (12)
€2m
SK (8)
€2m
RAP (10)
€2m
FW1 (10)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
Yverdon Sport and FC WIL 1900 have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Switzerland: Challenge League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Challenge League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
SC Kriens
FC Winterthur
Neuchatel Xamax FC
Étoile Carouge
FC Aarau
Rapperswil
Stade Nyonnais