This opponent (Wisla Krakow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wisla Krakow
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.27
0.73
2.43
0.86
2.12
0.62
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
2.00
1.20
3.00
1.50
1.33
1.00
vs Weaker (25)
2.32
0.64
2.33
0.75
2.31
0.54
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Zawisza Bydgoszcz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.7%
Under 1.5
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.4%
Under 2.5
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.6%
Under 3.5
73.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.3%
No
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.1%
0-2
6.4%
2-0
6.1%
Zawisza Bydgoszcz goals ↓
Wisla Krakow goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.6%
8.5%
6.4%
2.8%
0.9%
1
8.2%
14%
8.3%
3.7%
1.2%
2
6.1%
8.1%
5.3%
2.3%
0.8%
3
2.6%
3.5%
2.3%
1.0%
0.3%
4
0.8%
1.1%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zawisza Bydgoszcz goals (down), columns = Wisla Krakow goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Legia Warszawa
3.00
Ruch Chorzów
2.40
Olimpia Grudziądz
2.25
Pogon Szczecin
2.17
Stal Stalowa Wola
2.00
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
2.00
Hutnik Kraków
2.00
Jagiellonia
2.00
Wisla Krakow
2.00
Chojniczanka Chojnice
2.00
ŁKS Łódź
2.00
Polonia Bytom
2.00
Polonia Warszawa
2.00
Podbeskidzie
2.00
Slask Wroclaw
2.00
Korona Kielce
1.75
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.60
Resovia Rzeszów
1.50
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
1.50
ŁKS Łódź II
1.50
GKS Katowice
1.50
Radomiak Radom
1.50
Odra Opole
1.50
Warta Poznań
1.50
Zaglebie Lubin
1.33
Widzew Łódź
1.33
Arka Gdynia
1.00
Świt Skolwin
1.00
Górnik Łęczna
1.00
Piast Gliwice
1.00
Cracovia Krakow
1.00
Raków Częstochowa
1.00
Motor Lublin
1.00
Stal Mielec
1.00
Lechia Gdansk
1.00
Wieczysta Kraków
0.98
Flota Świnoujście
0.97
Łomża
0.97
Beskid
0.97
Goczałkowice Zdrój B
0.97
Korona Kielce II
0.97
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
0.97
Gryf Słupsk
0.97
Legia Warszawa II
0.97
Małapanew
0.97
Wikielec
0.97
Odra Bytom Odrzański
0.97
Miedź Legnica II
0.97
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
0.97
Polonia Środa
0.97
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
0.97
Avia Świdnik
0.50
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0.50
Miedz Legnica
0.50
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0.00
Kalisz
0.00
Olimpia Elbląg
0.00
Nieciecza
0.00
Jastrzębie
0.00
Wisła Puławy
0.00
Zagłębie Lubin II
0.00
Tychy 71
0.00
Znicz Pruszków
0.00
Gornik Zabrze
0.00
SKRA Częstochowa
0.00
Stal Rzeszów
0.00
Chrobry Głogów
0.00
Lech Poznan
0.00
Wisla Plock
0.00
Pogoń Siedlce
0.00
Zawisza Bydgoszcz is 1.02 points worse than Wisla Krakow in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Legia Warszawa
3.40
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
3.00
Hutnik Kraków
3.00
Stal Stalowa Wola
2.50
Olimpia Grudziądz
2.50
Wisla Krakow
2.50
Odra Opole
2.50
Jagiellonia
2.33
Pogon Szczecin
2.33
Olimpia Elbląg
2.00
Wisła Puławy
2.00
ŁKS Łódź II
2.00
Tychy 71
2.00
Znicz Pruszków
2.00
Zaglebie Lubin
2.00
Chojniczanka Chojnice
2.00
Cracovia Krakow
2.00
Polonia Bytom
2.00
Polonia Warszawa
2.00
Slask Wroclaw
2.00
Ruch Chorzów
1.80
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
1.67
Widzew Łódź
1.67
Resovia Rzeszów
1.50
Avia Świdnik
1.50
GKS Katowice
1.50
Korona Kielce
1.25
Wieczysta Kraków
1.21
Flota Świnoujście
1.20
Łomża
1.20
Beskid
1.20
Goczałkowice Zdrój B
1.20
Korona Kielce II
1.20
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
1.20
Gryf Słupsk
1.20
Legia Warszawa II
1.20
Małapanew
1.20
Wikielec
1.20
Odra Bytom Odrzański
1.20
Miedź Legnica II
1.20
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
1.20
Polonia Środa
1.20
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
1.20
Nieciecza
1.00
Arka Gdynia
1.00
Zagłębie Lubin II
1.00
Świt Skolwin
1.00
Górnik Łęczna
1.00
Piast Gliwice
1.00
SKRA Częstochowa
1.00
Motor Lublin
1.00
ŁKS Łódź
1.00
Stal Mielec
1.00
Podbeskidzie
1.00
Lechia Gdansk
1.00
Chrobry Głogów
1.00
Puszcza Niepołomice
0.80
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
0.50
Miedz Legnica
0.50
Radomiak Radom
0.50
Warta Poznań
0.50
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
0.00
Kalisz
0.00
Jastrzębie
0.00
Gornik Zabrze
0.00
Raków Częstochowa
0.00
Stal Rzeszów
0.00
Lech Poznan
0.00
Wisla Plock
0.00
Pogoń Siedlce
0.00
Zawisza Bydgoszcz is 1.30 goals worse than Wisla Krakow in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 2.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Raków Częstochowa
0.00
Podbeskidzie
0.00
Slask Wroclaw
0.50
Odra Opole
0.50
Zaglebie Sosnowiec
1.00
Arka Gdynia
1.00
Świt Skolwin
1.00
Górnik Łęczna
1.00
Piast Gliwice
1.00
Gornik Zabrze
1.00
Motor Lublin
1.00
Korona Kielce
1.00
ŁKS Łódź
1.00
Stal Mielec
1.00
Polonia Bytom
1.00
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki
1.00
Lechia Gdansk
1.00
Miedz Legnica
1.00
Lech Poznan
1.00
Wisla Plock
1.00
Legia Warszawa
1.00
Puszcza Niepołomice
1.00
Pogon Szczecin
1.17
Ruch Chorzów
1.20
Kotwica Kołobrzeg
1.33
Jagiellonia
1.33
Zaglebie Lubin
1.33
Widzew Łódź
1.33
Stal Stalowa Wola
1.50
Resovia Rzeszów
1.50
Hutnik Kraków
1.50
GKS Katowice
1.50
Polonia Warszawa
1.50
Radomiak Radom
1.50
Warta Poznań
1.50
Wieczysta Kraków
1.64
Flota Świnoujście
1.66
Łomża
1.66
Beskid
1.66
Goczałkowice Zdrój B
1.66
Korona Kielce II
1.66
Rekord Bielsko-Biała
1.66
Gryf Słupsk
1.66
Legia Warszawa II
1.66
Małapanew
1.66
Wikielec
1.66
Odra Bytom Odrzański
1.66
Miedź Legnica II
1.66
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
1.66
Polonia Środa
1.66
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
1.66
Olimpia Grudziądz
1.75
Kalisz
2.00
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
2.00
Nieciecza
2.00
Jastrzębie
2.00
ŁKS Łódź II
2.00
Wisla Krakow
2.00
SKRA Częstochowa
2.00
Cracovia Krakow
2.00
Chrobry Głogów
2.00
Pogoń Siedlce
2.00
Chojniczanka Chojnice
2.33
Avia Świdnik
2.50
Wisła Puławy
3.00
Znicz Pruszków
3.00
Stal Rzeszów
3.00
Olimpia Elbląg
4.00
Zagłębie Lubin II
4.00
Tychy 71
4.00
Zawisza Bydgoszcz is 0.34 goals better than Wisla Krakow in terms of goals conceded per game (1.66 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Zawisza Bydgoszcz or Draw✓ Hit
63.6%
Avg Implied -
35%
29%
36%
covers Zawisza Bydgoszcz + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Zawisza Bydgoszcz or Wisla Krakow✓ Hit
71.2%
Avg Implied -
35%
29%
36%
covers Zawisza Bydgoszcz + Wisla Krakow
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Wisla Krakow✗ Miss
65.3%
Avg Implied -
35%
29%
36%
covers Draw + Wisla Krakow
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Zawisza Bydgoszcz over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
72.4%
Under
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zawisza Bydgoszcz over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
36.8%
Under
63.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zawisza Bydgoszcz over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
14.0%
Under
86.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zawisza Bydgoszcz over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
4.2%
Under
95.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wisla Krakow over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
73.4%
Under
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wisla Krakow over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
38.1%
Under
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wisla Krakow over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.8%
Under
85.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wisla Krakow over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.5%
Under
95.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Zawisza Bydgoszcz, so a minus line means Zawisza Bydgoszcz give that many goals of a start and Wisla Krakow receive them. At -1, Zawisza Bydgoszcz must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Zawisza Bydgoszcz win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Wisla Krakow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wisla Krakow
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.40
1.50
0.50
0.94
0.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
0.80
0.80
1.50
1.00
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (25)
1.28
0.32
1.50
0.42
1.08
0.23
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Zawisza Bydgoszcz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zawisza Bydgoszcz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zawisza Bydgoszcz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zawisza Bydgoszcz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wisla Krakow over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wisla Krakow over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wisla Krakow over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.50
0.00
2.50
0.00
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
-
-
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
100% (+74pp vs league)
This opponent (Wisla Krakow) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Wisla Krakow
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.33
0.93
0.36
1.19
0.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
1.20
0.40
1.50
0.50
1.00
0.33
vs Weaker (25)
1.04
0.32
0.83
0.33
1.23
0.31
Clean sheet %
70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Zawisza Bydgoszcz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zawisza Bydgoszcz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zawisza Bydgoszcz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zawisza Bydgoszcz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wisla Krakow over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wisla Krakow over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wisla Krakow over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 3.5 goals
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Wisla Krakow · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jordi Sánchez83%
Marko Božić33%
Elie Youan20%
Ángel Rodado17%
Julius Ertlthaler0%
Frederico Duarte0%
Julian Lelieveld0%
Alan Uryga0%
James Igbekeme0%
Raoul Giger0%
Rafał Mikulec0%
Maxence Maisonneuve0%
Kacper Duda0%
Marcel Łubik0%
Jakub Krzyżanowski0%
Maciej Kuziemka0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Maxence Maisonneuve60%
Alan Uryga33%
Kacper Duda33%
Julius Ertlthaler17%
Jordi Sánchez17%
Marko Božić17%
Elie Youan0%
Frederico Duarte0%
Julian Lelieveld0%
James Igbekeme0%
Raoul Giger0%
Rafał Mikulec0%
Ángel Rodado0%
Marcel Łubik0%
Jakub Krzyżanowski0%
Maciej Kuziemka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rafał Mikulec33%
Raoul Giger25%
Maxence Maisonneuve20%
Julius Ertlthaler17%
Alan Uryga17%
Marko Božić17%
Ángel Rodado17%
Elie Youan0%
Frederico Duarte0%
Julian Lelieveld0%
James Igbekeme0%
Jordi Sánchez0%
Kacper Duda0%
Marcel Łubik0%
Jakub Krzyżanowski0%
Maciej Kuziemka0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jordi Sánchez50%
Marko Božić33%
Ángel Rodado33%
Julius Ertlthaler0%
Elie Youan0%
Frederico Duarte0%
Julian Lelieveld0%
Alan Uryga0%
James Igbekeme0%
Raoul Giger0%
Rafał Mikulec0%
Maxence Maisonneuve0%
Kacper Duda0%
Marcel Łubik0%
Jakub Krzyżanowski0%
Maciej Kuziemka0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Poland: I Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Poland: I Liga stats & trends →