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Železničar Pančevo vs RAD Result & Analysis

Date: 08/10/2022
Time: 13:00
Final 4-1
Železničar Pančevo
Železničar Pančevo
Vs
42%
28%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
RAD
RAD
Serbia: Prva Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Železničar Pančevo win✓ Hit
42.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
RAD win✗ Miss
29.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Železničar PančevoŽelezničar Pančevo

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W10W20W13L22D30W14L41W00D00DA·PRO08/08H·FK 14/08A·JED20/08H·GRA27/08A·SLO31/08H·RAD05/09A·IND12/09H·MET18/09A·RAD24/09A·LOZ02/10
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.361.091.801.201.001.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)1.001.501.003.001.000.00
vs Weaker (9)1.441.002.000.751.001.20
Clean sheet %55% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (RAD) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RADRAD

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L11D20W00D00D02L11D52W11D23LH·GRA14/08A·SLO20/08H·RAD27/08A·IND31/08H·MET04/09A·RAD10/09H·MAC19/09A·LOZ24/09H·OFK28/09H·IMT02/10
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.081.251.001.431.201.00
vs Stronger (2)1.003.001.003.00--
vs Similar (10)1.100.901.000.801.201.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Železničar Pančevo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%016%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.2%
Under 1.5
24.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
49.1%
Under 2.5
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
27.3%
Under 3.5
72.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.4%
No
45.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.0%
0-0
8.4%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
0-1
7.2%
2-2
5.3%
Železničar Pančevo goals ↓
RAD goals →
01234
08.4%7.2%4.9%1.9%0.6%
19.2%14%7.2%2.8%0.8%
27.6%9.0%5.3%2.1%0.6%
33.7%4.4%2.6%1.0%0.3%
41.4%1.6%0.9%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Železničar Pančevo goals (down), columns = RAD goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
IMT Novi Beograd
2.03
Železničar Pančevo
1.84
Grafičar
1.62
Indjija
1.46
Proleter Novi SAD
1.43
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.43
Jedinstvo Ub
1.43
Sloboda Uzice
1.38
OFK Vršac
1.30
Metalac GM
1.30
Macva
1.30
Radnički Novi Beograd
1.22
Loznica
1.11
FK Trayal
1.08
RFK Novi Sad
1.00
FK Zlatibor
0.89
RAD
0.81
Železničar Pančevo is 1.03 points better than RAD in terms of average points per game (1.84 vs 0.81).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Grafičar
1.76
Železničar Pančevo
1.70
IMT Novi Beograd
1.70
RFK Novi Sad
1.43
Indjija
1.24
Jedinstvo Ub
1.22
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.16
Metalac GM
1.14
Sloboda Uzice
1.14
Proleter Novi SAD
1.13
Loznica
1.08
OFK Vršac
1.05
RAD
1.00
Macva
1.00
FK Trayal
1.00
FK Zlatibor
0.97
Radnički Novi Beograd
0.86
Železničar Pančevo is 0.70 goals better than RAD in terms of goals scored per game (1.70 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Železničar Pančevo
0.95
Indjija
0.95
IMT Novi Beograd
0.97
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.03
Jedinstvo Ub
1.03
Proleter Novi SAD
1.03
Macva
1.08
Sloboda Uzice
1.11
OFK Vršac
1.14
Metalac GM
1.14
Grafičar
1.24
FK Trayal
1.24
Radnički Novi Beograd
1.35
FK Zlatibor
1.46
Loznica
1.46
RAD
1.70
RFK Novi Sad
2.86
Železničar Pančevo is 0.76 goals better than RAD in terms of goals conceded per game (0.95 vs 1.70).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Železničar PančevoŽelezničar Pančevo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W00D02L02L20W02L21W00D00DA·PRO08/08H·FK 14/08A·JED20/08H·GRA27/08A·SLO31/08H·RAD05/09A·IND12/09H·MET18/09A·RAD24/09A·LOZ02/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.550.731.000.800.170.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)0.501.000.002.001.000.00
vs Weaker (9)0.560.671.250.500.000.80
Clean sheet %55% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (RAD) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RADRAD

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W00D00D00D00D11D21W00D02LH·GRA14/08A·SLO20/08H·RAD27/08A·IND31/08H·MET04/09A·RAD10/09H·MAC19/09A·LOZ24/09H·OFK28/09H·IMT02/10
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.420.330.290.430.600.20
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (10)0.500.200.400.200.600.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %75% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Železničar Pančevo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Železničar Pančevo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Železničar Pančevo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Železničar Pančevo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RAD over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RAD over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RAD over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Železničar PančevoŽelezničar Pančevo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D20W11D20W10W12L20W00D00DA·PRO08/08H·FK 14/08A·JED20/08H·GRA27/08A·SLO31/08H·RAD05/09A·IND12/09H·MET18/09A·RAD24/09A·LOZ02/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.820.360.800.400.830.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (2)0.500.501.001.000.000.00
vs Weaker (9)0.890.330.750.251.000.40
Clean sheet %73% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (RAD) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RADRAD

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L01L20W00D00D02L00D31W11D21WH·GRA14/08A·SLO20/08H·RAD27/08A·IND31/08H·MET04/09A·RAD10/09H·MAC19/09A·LOZ24/09H·OFK28/09H·IMT02/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.920.711.000.600.80
vs Stronger (2)1.002.001.002.00--
vs Similar (10)0.600.700.600.600.600.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %42% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Železničar Pančevo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Železničar Pančevo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Železničar Pančevo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Železničar Pančevo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RAD over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RAD over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
RAD over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.572.7%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Železničar Pančevo · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Janko Jevremović40%
Kwaku Karikari25%
Nikola Đuričić20%
Aleksa Kuljanin20%
Nikola Jovanović20%
Simão Pedro20%
Zoran Popović0%
Mirko Milikić0%
Mamane Amadou Sabo0%
David Ankeye0%
Kristian Šekularac0%
Nemanja Vidojević0%
Uroš Tegeltija0%
Davorin Tošić0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mamane Amadou Sabo60%
Uroš Tegeltija50%
Nemanja Vidojević20%
Aleksa Kuljanin20%
Nikola Jovanović20%
Simão Pedro20%
Zoran Popović0%
Mirko Milikić0%
Nikola Đuričić0%
David Ankeye0%
Kristian Šekularac0%
Kwaku Karikari0%
Janko Jevremović0%
Davorin Tošić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Simão Pedro40%
Kwaku Karikari25%
Uroš Tegeltija25%
Janko Jevremović20%
Aleksa Kuljanin20%
Zoran Popović0%
Mirko Milikić0%
Nikola Đuričić0%
Mamane Amadou Sabo0%
David Ankeye0%
Kristian Šekularac0%
Nemanja Vidojević0%
Nikola Jovanović0%
Davorin Tošić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikola Jovanović40%
Kwaku Karikari25%
Simão Pedro20%
Zoran Popović0%
Mirko Milikić0%
Nikola Đuričić0%
Mamane Amadou Sabo0%
David Ankeye0%
Kristian Šekularac0%
Nemanja Vidojević0%
Uroš Tegeltija0%
Janko Jevremović0%
Aleksa Kuljanin0%
Davorin Tošić0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽP (24)
€13m
INB (23)
€12m
MAC (19)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
OV (22)
€4m
LOZ (23)
€3m
JU (20)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽP (9)
€7m
INB (8)
€4m
MAC (7)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
GRA (8)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
LOZ (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
INB (3)
€4m
ŽP (4)
€1m
LOZ (5)
€1m
OV (4)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
JU (2)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŽP (11)
€6m
INB (12)
€4m
GRA (8)
€2m
LOZ (9)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
JU (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
ŽP wins
0
Draws
0
RAD wins

Head-to-head

Železničar Pančevo vs RAD · H/A from ŽP
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Železničar PančevoŽelezničar Pančevo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/10/22ALoznica Vs ŽP0-0
24/09/22ARadnički Sr. Mitrovica Vs ŽP0-0
18/09/22HŽP Vs Metalac GM4-1
12/09/22AIndjija Vs ŽP4-1
05/09/22HŽP Vs Radnički Novi Beograd3-0
31/08/22ASloboda Uzice Vs ŽP2-2
27/08/22HŽP Vs Grafičar1-3
20/08/22AJedinstvo Ub Vs ŽP0-2
14/08/22HŽP Vs FK Trayal1-0
08/08/22AProleter Novi SAD Vs ŽP0-1

RADRAD

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/10/22HRAD Vs IMT Novi Beograd2-3
28/09/22HRAD Vs OFK Vršac1-1
24/09/22ALoznica Vs RAD2-5
19/09/22HRAD Vs Macva1-1
10/09/22ARadnički Sr. Mitrovica Vs RAD2-0
04/09/22HRAD Vs Metalac GM0-0
31/08/22AIndjija Vs RAD0-0
27/08/22HRAD Vs Radnički Novi Beograd2-0
20/08/22ASloboda Uzice Vs RAD1-1
14/08/22HRAD Vs Grafičar0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Železničar Pančevo
Železničar Pančevo
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDD1.64
HomeLWLWW1.80
AwayWDLDD1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %45%60%33%
AVG goals2.453.002.00
Over 1.5 %64%80%50%
Over 2.5 %45%60%33%
Over 3.5 %36%40%33%
Scored1.361.801.00
Conceded1.091.201.00
BTTS36%40%33%
Clean Sheet55%40%67%
Corners---
Cards---
RAD
RAD
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWDL1.00
HomeWDDDL0.86
AwayDDDLW1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %17%14%20%
AVG goals2.332.432.20
Over 1.5 %75%86%60%
Over 2.5 %33%43%20%
Over 3.5 %17%14%20%
Scored1.081.001.20
Conceded1.251.431.00
BTTS50%57%40%
Clean Sheet33%29%40%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1IMT Novi BeogradIMT Novi Beograd3775
59%
2.0
6336+27
2.7
68%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
4441.71.0
-
2Železničar PančevoŽelezničar Pančevo3768
54%
1.8
6335+28
2.6
65%
46%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
7161.70.9
-
3GrafičarGrafičar3760
46%
1.6
6546+19
3.0
84%
57%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.2
-
4IndjijaIndjija3754
35%
1.5
4635+11
2.2
62%
35%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.9
-
5Jedinstvo UbJedinstvo Ub3753
38%
1.4
4538+7
2.2
70%
32%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.0
-
6Radnički Sr. MitrovicaRadnički Sr. Mitrovica3753
35%
1.4
4338+5
2.2
62%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
7Sloboda UziceSloboda Uzice3751
30%
1.4
4241+1
2.2
59%
43%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
8Metalac GMMetalac GM3748
32%
1.3
4242+0
2.3
65%
30%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
9OFK VršacOFK Vršac3748
35%
1.3
3942-3
2.2
57%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.11.1
-
10MacvaMacva3748
30%
1.3
3740-3
2.1
65%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.01.1
-
11Radnički Novi BeogradRadnički Novi Beograd3745
35%
1.2
3250-18
2.2
70%
41%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
12Proleter Novi SADProleter Novi SAD3043
40%
1.4
3431+3
2.2
60%
30%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.0
-
13LoznicaLoznica3741
27%
1.1
4054-14
2.5
68%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.11.5
-
14FK TrayalFK Trayal3740
27%
1.1
3746-9
2.2
65%
46%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.2
-
15FK ZlatiborFK Zlatibor3733
19%
0.9
3654-18
2.4
70%
41%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
16RADRAD3730
14%
0.8
3763-26
2.7
78%
49%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
17RFK Novi SadRFK Novi Sad77
29%
1.0
1020-10
4.3
100%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.9
-
Serbia: Prva Liga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Prva Liga stats & trends →

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