PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs FK Sarajevo Result & Analysis

Date: 27/09/2025
Time: 16:30
Final 2-0
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Vs
46%
27%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FK Sarajevo
FK Sarajevo
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo win✓ Hit
46.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo win✗ Miss
27.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D13L11D10W11D10W20W00D32W01LH·KOP10/07A·KOP17/07H·RAD27/07A·POS03/08H·RUD09/08A·VEL15/08H·ZRI24/08A·SLO30/08H·BOR15/09A·SIR21/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.271.801.001.401.53
vs Stronger (6)1.331.672.001.000.003.00
vs Similar (13)1.081.311.400.800.881.62
vs Weaker (11)2.361.002.001.172.800.80
Clean sheet %27% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Sarajevo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-521W04L44D12L21W15L10W02L12L20WH·UNI24/07A·UNI31/07H·RAD03/08A·SLO09/08H·POS16/08A·BOR24/08H·RUD29/08A·ZRI10/09A·SIR14/09H·VEL20/09
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.131.500.811.211.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.731.640.801.000.672.17
vs Weaker (19)1.740.841.820.731.621.00
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Zeljeznicar Sarajevo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.5%
Under 1.5
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.1%
Under 2.5
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.7%
Under 3.5
67.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.5%
No
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-0 ✓
7.6%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
5.8%
0-1
5.8%
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo goals ↓
FK Sarajevo goals →
01234
06.7%5.8%4.3%1.8%0.5%
18.1%13%7.0%2.9%0.9%
27.6%9.4%5.8%2.4%0.7%
34.2%5.2%3.2%1.3%0.4%
41.7%2.1%1.3%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zeljeznicar Sarajevo goals (down), columns = FK Sarajevo goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.39
Zrinjski
1.97
FK Sarajevo
1.81
Velež
1.42
Siroki Brijeg
1.25
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.17
Radnik Bijeljina
0.97
Sloga Doboj
0.94
Posušje
0.94
Rudar Prijedor
0.83
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo is 0.64 points worse than FK Sarajevo in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.81).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.11
FK Sarajevo
1.50
Zrinjski
1.33
Siroki Brijeg
1.03
Velež
1.00
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0.94
Rudar Prijedor
0.86
Radnik Bijeljina
0.75
Posušje
0.69
Sloga Doboj
0.58
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo is 0.56 goals worse than FK Sarajevo in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Borac Banja Luka
0.56
Zrinjski
0.69
Velež
0.97
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.03
FK Sarajevo
1.03
Posušje
1.14
Radnik Bijeljina
1.25
Sloga Doboj
1.28
Siroki Brijeg
1.33
Rudar Prijedor
1.53
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo and FK Sarajevo are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.03).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L13L11D00D00D00D10W00D02L00DH·KOP10/07A·KOP17/07H·RAD27/07A·POS03/08H·RUD09/08A·VEL15/08H·ZRI24/08A·SLO30/08H·BOR15/09A·SIR21/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.700.730.400.671.00
vs Stronger (6)0.331.500.500.750.003.00
vs Similar (13)0.380.690.800.200.121.00
vs Weaker (11)1.270.270.830.331.800.20
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Sarajevo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D10W02L11D12L00D01L12L10WH·UNI24/07A·UNI31/07H·RAD03/08A·SLO09/08H·POS16/08A·BOR24/08H·RUD29/08A·ZRI10/09A·SIR14/09H·VEL20/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.530.620.310.640.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.550.640.600.400.500.83
vs Weaker (19)0.680.470.640.270.750.75
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Zeljeznicar Sarajevo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D00D10W11D10W10W00D30W01LH·KOP10/07A·KOP17/07H·RAD27/07A·POS03/08H·RUD09/08A·VEL15/08H·ZRI24/08A·SLO30/08H·BOR15/09A·SIR21/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.571.070.600.730.53
vs Stronger (6)1.000.171.500.250.000.00
vs Similar (13)0.690.620.600.600.750.62
vs Weaker (11)1.090.731.170.831.000.60
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Sarajevo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L04L34L10W10W03L10W01L00D10WH·UNI24/07A·UNI31/07H·RAD03/08A·SLO09/08H·POS16/08A·BOR24/08H·RUD29/08A·ZRI10/09A·SIR14/09H·VEL20/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.600.880.500.570.71
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.181.000.200.600.171.33
vs Weaker (19)1.050.371.180.450.880.25
Clean sheet %67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Zeljeznicar Sarajevo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (33)
€9m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
RB (27)
€4m
SB (20)
€4m
VEL (23)
€3m
SD (24)
€3m
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo's squad is €5m less valuable than FK Sarajevo's (€4m vs €9m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (16)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
RB (12)
€2m
ZS (7)
€2m
VEL (9)
€2m
SD (9)
€2m
SB (5)
€1m
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo's attack is €1m less valuable than FK Sarajevo's (€2m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
SB (7)
€1m
BBL (4)
€1m
VEL (5)
€0m
RB (4)
€0m
SD (4)
€0m
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo's midfield is €1m less valuable than FK Sarajevo's (€1m vs €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (13)
€4m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
RB (11)
€1m
VEL (9)
€1m
SD (11)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
ZS (5)
€1m
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo's defence is €2m less valuable than FK Sarajevo's (€1m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
ZS wins
5
Draws
2
FS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs FK Sarajevo · H/A from ZS
DateH/AGameScore
27/04/25AFK Sarajevo Vs ZS2-1
22/02/25HZS Vs FK Sarajevo0-0
25/09/24AFK Sarajevo Vs ZS1-1
14/04/24HZS Vs FK Sarajevo0-0
03/03/24HZS Vs FK Sarajevo3-0
08/10/23AFK Sarajevo Vs ZS3-0
12/05/23AFK Sarajevo Vs ZS2-2
08/03/23AFK Sarajevo Vs ZS0-0

Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/25ASiroki Brijeg Vs ZS1-0
15/09/25HZS Vs Borac Banja Luka3-2
30/08/25ASloga Doboj Vs ZS0-0
24/08/25HZS Vs Zrinjski2-0
15/08/25AVelež Vs ZS0-1
09/08/25HZS Vs Rudar Prijedor1-1
03/08/25APosušje Vs ZS0-1
27/07/25HZS Vs Radnik Bijeljina1-1
17/07/25AKoper Vs ZS3-1
10/07/25HZS Vs Koper1-1

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/09/25HFS Vs Velež2-0
14/09/25ASiroki Brijeg Vs FS2-1
10/09/25AZrinjski Vs FS2-0
29/08/25HFS Vs Rudar Prijedor1-0
24/08/25ABorac Banja Luka Vs FS5-1
16/08/25HFS Vs Posušje2-1
09/08/25ASloga Doboj Vs FS2-1
03/08/25HFS Vs Radnik Bijeljina4-4
31/07/25AUniversitatea Craiova Vs FS4-0
24/07/25HFS Vs Universitatea Craiova2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWL1.98
HomeDDDWW2.31
AwayLWWDL1.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%69%50%
AVG goals2.842.852.83
Over 1.5 %74%81%67%
Over 2.5 %52%50%54%
Over 3.5 %28%31%25%
Scored1.781.961.58
Conceded1.060.881.25
BTTS52%62%42%
Clean Sheet34%31%38%
Corners---
Cards---
FK Sarajevo
FK Sarajevo
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLW1.84
HomeWDWWW1.96
AwayLLLLL1.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%56%48%
AVG goals2.642.482.80
Over 1.5 %76%72%80%
Over 2.5 %48%44%52%
Over 3.5 %28%24%32%
Scored1.681.681.68
Conceded0.960.801.12
BTTS42%44%40%
Clean Sheet44%40%48%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka3686
75%
2.4
7620+56
2.7
67%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5142.10.6
-
2ZrinjskiZrinjski3671
58%
2.0
4825+23
2.0
67%
36%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4231.30.7
-
3FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo3665
53%
1.8
5437+17
2.5
64%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.51.0
-
4VeležVelež3651
39%
1.4
3635+1
2.0
50%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.01.0
-
5Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg3645
31%
1.2
3748-11
2.4
64%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.01.3
-
6Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo3642
28%
1.2
3437-3
2.0
56%
33%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2110.91.0
-
7Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina3635
22%
1.0
2745-18
2.0
53%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2010.81.2
-
8PosušjePosušje3634
22%
0.9
2541-16
1.8
56%
22%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.1
-
9Sloga DobojSloga Doboj3634
22%
0.9
2146-25
1.9
53%
39%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2010.61.3
-
10Rudar PrijedorRudar Prijedor3630
19%
0.8
3155-24
2.4
61%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →

← all matches