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Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Posušje Result & Analysis

Date: 28/03/2025
Time: 19:45
Final 3-2
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Vs
54%
30%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Posušje
Posušje
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo win✓ Hit
53.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Posušje win✗ Miss
16.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-824L41W60W01L00D81W11D11D31W32WA·SLO04/12H·GOŠ09/12H·VAR08/02A·ZRI16/02H·FK 22/02A·KRU25/02A·POS02/03H·BOR09/03H·KRU12/03A·RAD16/03
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.130.732.000.672.270.80
vs Stronger (5)0.601.201.001.330.001.00
vs Similar (9)1.780.561.800.401.750.75
vs Weaker (16)2.810.692.570.573.000.78
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Posušje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PosušjePosušje

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L12L00D13L00D12L02L11D01L11DH·GOŠ30/11H·ZRI03/12H·FK 07/12A·SLO15/12A·FAM09/02A·RAD15/02A·BOR23/02H·ZEL02/03A·SIR09/03H·VEL16/03
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.101.141.000.881.19
vs Stronger (9)0.441.330.251.250.601.40
vs Similar (20)1.201.051.441.001.001.09
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Zeljeznicar Sarajevo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%024%128%218%39%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
61.3%
Under 1.5
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
33.1%
Under 2.5
66.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
14.8%
Under 3.5
85.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
36.7%
No
63.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
17.0%
0-0
14.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
12.6%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
7.3%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
3.8%
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo goals ↓
Posušje goals →
01234
014%7.3%2.7%0.6%0.1%
117%13%3.8%0.8%0.1%
213%8.1%2.6%0.6%0.1%
35.8%3.7%1.2%0.3%0.0%
42.0%1.3%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zeljeznicar Sarajevo goals (down), columns = Posušje goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zrinjski
2.48
Borac Banja Luka
2.45
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.97
FK Sarajevo
1.97
Siroki Brijeg
1.39
Sloga Doboj
1.33
Velež
1.27
Radnik Bijeljina
1.21
Posušje
1.12
Igman Konjic
0.88
GOŠK Gabela
0.48
Sloboda Tuzla
0.30
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo is 0.85 points better than Posušje in terms of average points per game (1.97 vs 1.12).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Zrinjski
2.18
FK Sarajevo
1.79
Borac Banja Luka
1.76
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.67
Velež
1.36
Radnik Bijeljina
1.33
Siroki Brijeg
1.30
Posušje
1.09
Sloga Doboj
1.06
Igman Konjic
0.91
GOŠK Gabela
0.85
Sloboda Tuzla
0.64
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo is 0.58 goals better than Posušje in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 1.09).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Borac Banja Luka
0.39
Zrinjski
0.52
FK Sarajevo
0.73
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.15
Velež
1.18
Posušje
1.18
Sloga Doboj
1.36
Siroki Brijeg
1.39
Radnik Bijeljina
1.58
Igman Konjic
2.00
Sloboda Tuzla
2.15
GOŠK Gabela
2.30
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo is 0.03 goals better than Posušje in terms of goals conceded per game (1.15 vs 1.18).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L11D40W01L00D60W00D11D10W10WA·SLO04/12H·GOŠ09/12H·VAR08/02A·ZRI16/02H·FK 22/02A·KRU25/02A·POS02/03H·BOR09/03H·KRU12/03A·RAD16/03
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.270.870.270.670.27
vs Stronger (5)0.600.601.000.330.001.00
vs Similar (9)0.560.110.800.200.250.00
vs Weaker (16)0.940.250.860.291.000.22
Clean sheet %77% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Posušje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PosušjePosušje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L00D13L00D01L01L00D01L01LH·GOŠ30/11H·ZRI03/12H·FK 07/12A·SLO15/12A·FAM09/02A·RAD15/02A·BOR23/02H·ZEL02/03A·SIR09/03H·VEL16/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.500.360.430.380.56
vs Stronger (9)0.000.560.000.500.000.60
vs Similar (20)0.450.500.330.440.550.55
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Zeljeznicar Sarajevo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Posušje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Posušje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Posušje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D30W20W00D00D21W11D00D21W22DA·SLO04/12H·GOŠ09/12H·VAR08/02A·ZRI16/02H·FK 22/02A·KRU25/02A·POS02/03H·BOR09/03H·KRU12/03A·RAD16/03
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.471.130.401.600.53
vs Stronger (5)0.000.600.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (9)1.220.441.000.201.500.75
vs Weaker (16)1.880.441.710.292.000.56
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Posušje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PosušjePosušje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-111D11D00D00D00D11D01L11D00D10WH·GOŠ30/11H·ZRI03/12H·FK 07/12A·SLO15/12A·FAM09/02A·RAD15/02A·BOR23/02H·ZEL02/03A·SIR09/03H·VEL16/03
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.600.790.570.500.62
vs Stronger (9)0.440.780.250.750.600.80
vs Similar (20)0.750.551.110.560.450.55
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Zeljeznicar Sarajevo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Posušje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Posušje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Posušje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.585.2%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (33)
€9m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
RB (27)
€4m
SB (20)
€4m
VEL (23)
€3m
SD (24)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (16)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
RB (12)
€2m
ZS (7)
€2m
VEL (9)
€2m
SD (9)
€2m
SB (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
SB (7)
€1m
BBL (4)
€1m
VEL (5)
€0m
RB (4)
€0m
SD (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (13)
€4m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
RB (11)
€1m
VEL (9)
€1m
SD (11)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
ZS (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
ZS wins
3
Draws
2
POS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Posušje · H/A from ZS
DateH/AGameScore
02/03/25APosušje Vs ZS1-1
29/09/24HZS Vs Posušje1-0
19/04/24APosušje Vs ZS1-0
26/11/23HZS Vs Posušje1-1
19/08/23APosušje Vs ZS1-0
21/05/23HZS Vs Posušje3-0
19/11/22HZS Vs Posušje1-1
31/08/22APosušje Vs ZS1-2

Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/03/25ARadnik Bijeljina Vs ZS2-3
12/03/25HZS Vs Kruševo3-1
09/03/25HZS Vs Borac Banja Luka1-1
02/03/25APosušje Vs ZS1-1
25/02/25AKruševo Vs ZS1-8
22/02/25HZS Vs FK Sarajevo0-0
16/02/25AZrinjski Vs ZS1-0
08/02/25HZS Vs Vareš6-0
09/12/24HZS Vs GOŠK Gabela4-1
04/12/24ASloga Doboj Vs ZS4-2

PosušjePosušje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/03/25HPOS Vs Velež1-1
09/03/25ASiroki Brijeg Vs POS1-0
02/03/25HPOS Vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo1-1
23/02/25ABorac Banja Luka Vs POS2-0
15/02/25ARadnik Bijeljina Vs POS2-1
09/02/25AFamos Vojkovići Vs POS0-0
15/12/24ASloga Doboj Vs POS3-1
07/12/24HPOS Vs FK Sarajevo0-0
03/12/24HPOS Vs Zrinjski1-2
30/11/24HPOS Vs GOŠK Gabela1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDWW1.68
HomeWWDDW2.00
AwayLLWDW1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%58%42%
AVG goals2.482.082.85
Over 1.5 %68%58%77%
Over 2.5 %44%33%54%
Over 3.5 %18%17%19%
Scored1.581.541.62
Conceded0.900.541.23
BTTS34%33%35%
Clean Sheet40%50%31%
Corners---
Cards---
Posušje
Posušje
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 0 Wins / 4 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLD1.32
HomeLLDDD1.52
AwayLDLLL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%40%28%
AVG goals2.002.041.96
Over 1.5 %66%68%64%
Over 2.5 %28%28%28%
Over 3.5 %10%12%8%
Scored1.041.160.92
Conceded0.960.881.04
BTTS42%48%36%
Clean Sheet34%36%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ZrinjskiZrinjski3382
79%
2.5
7217+55
2.7
67%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4232.20.5
-
2Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka3381
79%
2.5
5813+45
2.2
64%
30%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5141.80.4
-
3FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo3365
55%
2.0
5924+35
2.5
73%
48%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.80.7
-
4Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo3365
61%
2.0
5538+17
2.8
76%
55%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.71.2
-
5Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg3346
39%
1.4
4346-3
2.7
73%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.31.4
-
6Sloga DobojSloga Doboj3344
39%
1.3
3545-10
2.4
67%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.11.4
-
7VeležVelež3342
30%
1.3
4539+6
2.5
70%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.41.2
-
8Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina3340
36%
1.2
4452-8
2.9
82%
48%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.31.6
-
9PosušjePosušje3337
30%
1.1
3639-3
2.3
73%
48%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
10Igman KonjicIgman Konjic3329
24%
0.9
3066-36
2.9
79%
61%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
11GOŠK GabelaGOŠK Gabela3316
12%
0.5
2876-48
3.2
88%
67%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.3
-
12Sloboda TuzlaSloboda Tuzla3310
3%
0.3
2171-50
2.8
76%
42%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.2
-
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →

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