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Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Radnik Bijeljina Result & Analysis

Date: 27/07/2025
Time: 19:00
Final 1-1
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Vs
62%
23%
15%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Radnik Bijeljina
Radnik Bijeljina
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo win✗ Miss
62.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
22.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina win✗ Miss
14.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-505L21W12L32W10W23L21W21W11D13LA·ZRI19/04H·BOR23/04A·FK 27/04H·SLO04/05H·SLO11/05A·SIR18/05H·VEL25/05A·RAD31/05H·KOP10/07A·KOP17/07
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.131.302.330.871.931.73
vs Stronger (4)0.752.001.501.000.003.00
vs Similar (13)1.771.312.140.711.332.00
vs Weaker (13)2.921.082.831.003.001.14
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Bijeljina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D23L32W21W11D50W05L10W11D12LH·SIR05/04A·VEL13/04A·SLO18/04H·POS22/04A·IGM26/04H·GOŠ04/05A·ZRI10/05H·BOR18/05A·FK 25/05H·ZEL31/05
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.571.921.081.121.94
vs Stronger (11)0.821.911.331.500.202.40
vs Similar (18)1.671.442.430.711.181.91
vs Weaker (1)5.000.00--5.000.00
Clean sheet %17% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Zeljeznicar Sarajevo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.9%
Under 1.5
21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.5%
Under 2.5
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.2%
Under 3.5
67.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.2%
No
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.3%
1-1 ✓
10.9%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.5%
0-0
6.7%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
4.3%
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo goals ↓
Radnik Bijeljina goals →
01234
06.7%4.0%2.2%0.6%0.1%
110%11%4.3%1.3%0.3%
211%9.9%4.3%1.3%0.3%
37.5%6.5%2.9%0.8%0.2%
43.7%3.3%1.4%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zeljeznicar Sarajevo goals (down), columns = Radnik Bijeljina goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.39
Zrinjski
1.97
FK Sarajevo
1.81
Velež
1.42
Siroki Brijeg
1.25
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.17
Radnik Bijeljina
0.97
Sloga Doboj
0.94
Posušje
0.94
Rudar Prijedor
0.83
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo is 0.19 points better than Radnik Bijeljina in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 0.97).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.11
FK Sarajevo
1.50
Zrinjski
1.33
Siroki Brijeg
1.03
Velež
1.00
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0.94
Rudar Prijedor
0.86
Radnik Bijeljina
0.75
Posušje
0.69
Sloga Doboj
0.58
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo is 0.19 goals better than Radnik Bijeljina in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 0.75).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Borac Banja Luka
0.56
Zrinjski
0.69
Velež
0.97
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.03
FK Sarajevo
1.03
Posušje
1.14
Radnik Bijeljina
1.25
Sloga Doboj
1.28
Siroki Brijeg
1.33
Rudar Prijedor
1.53
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo is 0.22 goals better than Radnik Bijeljina in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.25).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-505L00D01L11D00D02L10W21W01L13LA·ZRI19/04H·BOR23/04A·FK 27/04H·SLO04/05H·SLO11/05A·SIR18/05H·VEL25/05A·RAD31/05H·KOP10/07A·KOP17/07
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.701.000.270.731.13
vs Stronger (4)0.251.750.500.500.003.00
vs Similar (13)0.690.691.140.140.171.33
vs Weaker (13)1.230.381.000.331.430.43
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Bijeljina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W12L22D10W01L20W02L10W11D12LH·SIR05/04A·VEL13/04A·SLO18/04H·POS22/04A·IGM26/04H·GOŠ04/05A·ZRI10/05H·BOR18/05A·FK 25/05H·ZEL31/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.801.000.460.471.06
vs Stronger (11)0.451.000.670.830.201.20
vs Similar (18)0.780.721.290.140.451.09
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Zeljeznicar Sarajevo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W11D21W10W21W11D00D10W00DA·ZRI19/04H·BOR23/04A·FK 27/04H·SLO04/05H·SLO11/05A·SIR18/05H·VEL25/05A·RAD31/05H·KOP10/07A·KOP17/07
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.601.330.601.200.60
vs Stronger (4)0.500.251.000.500.000.00
vs Similar (13)1.080.621.000.571.170.67
vs Weaker (13)1.690.691.830.671.570.71
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Bijeljina) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D10W11D10W30W03L00D00D00DH·SIR05/04A·VEL13/04A·SLO18/04H·POS22/04A·IGM26/04H·GOŠ04/05A·ZRI10/05H·BOR18/05A·FK 25/05H·ZEL31/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.770.920.620.650.88
vs Stronger (11)0.360.910.670.670.001.20
vs Similar (18)0.890.721.140.570.730.82
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Zeljeznicar Sarajevo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (33)
€9m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
RB (27)
€4m
SB (20)
€4m
VEL (23)
€3m
SD (24)
€3m
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo and Radnik Bijeljina have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (16)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
RB (12)
€2m
ZS (7)
€2m
VEL (9)
€2m
SD (9)
€2m
SB (5)
€1m
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo and Radnik Bijeljina have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
SB (7)
€1m
BBL (4)
€1m
VEL (5)
€0m
RB (4)
€0m
SD (4)
€0m
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo's midfield is €1m more valuable than Radnik Bijeljina's (€1m vs €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (13)
€4m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
RB (11)
€1m
VEL (9)
€1m
SD (11)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
ZS (5)
€1m
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo and Radnik Bijeljina have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
3
ZS wins
0
Draws
0
RB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Radnik Bijeljina · H/A from ZS
DateH/AGameScore
31/05/25ARadnik Bijeljina Vs ZS1-2
16/03/25ARadnik Bijeljina Vs ZS2-3
25/10/24HZS Vs Radnik Bijeljina2-0

Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/07/25AKoper Vs ZS3-1
10/07/25HZS Vs Koper1-1
31/05/25ARadnik Bijeljina Vs ZS1-2
25/05/25HZS Vs Velež2-1
18/05/25ASiroki Brijeg Vs ZS3-2
11/05/25HZS Vs Sloga Doboj1-0
04/05/25HZS Vs Sloboda Tuzla3-2
27/04/25AFK Sarajevo Vs ZS2-1
23/04/25HZS Vs Borac Banja Luka2-1
19/04/25AZrinjski Vs ZS5-0

Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/05/25HRB Vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo1-2
25/05/25AFK Sarajevo Vs RB1-1
18/05/25HRB Vs Borac Banja Luka1-0
10/05/25AZrinjski Vs RB5-0
04/05/25HRB Vs GOŠK Gabela5-0
26/04/25AIgman Konjic Vs RB1-1
22/04/25HRB Vs Posušje2-1
18/04/25ASloboda Tuzla Vs RB2-3
13/04/25AVelež Vs RB3-2
05/04/25HRB Vs Siroki Brijeg1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDL2.02
HomeWWWWD2.36
AwayLLLWL1.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%72%52%
AVG goals2.862.643.08
Over 1.5 %74%72%76%
Over 2.5 %56%48%64%
Over 3.5 %28%28%28%
Scored1.861.881.84
Conceded1.000.761.24
BTTS48%52%44%
Clean Sheet38%40%36%
Corners---
Cards---
Radnik Bijeljina
Radnik Bijeljina
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDL1.23
HomeDWWWL1.81
AwayLWDLD0.74
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %37%56%21%
AVG goals2.973.062.89
Over 1.5 %83%81%84%
Over 2.5 %51%56%47%
Over 3.5 %31%31%32%
Scored1.431.881.05
Conceded1.541.191.84
BTTS54%62%47%
Clean Sheet17%25%11%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka3686
75%
2.4
7620+56
2.7
67%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5142.10.6
-
2ZrinjskiZrinjski3671
58%
2.0
4825+23
2.0
67%
36%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4231.30.7
-
3FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo3665
53%
1.8
5437+17
2.5
64%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.51.0
-
4VeležVelež3651
39%
1.4
3635+1
2.0
50%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.01.0
-
5Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg3645
31%
1.2
3748-11
2.4
64%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.01.3
-
6Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo3642
28%
1.2
3437-3
2.0
56%
33%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2110.91.0
-
7Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina3635
22%
1.0
2745-18
2.0
53%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2010.81.2
-
8PosušjePosušje3634
22%
0.9
2541-16
1.8
56%
22%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.1
-
9Sloga DobojSloga Doboj3634
22%
0.9
2146-25
1.9
53%
39%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2010.61.3
-
10Rudar PrijedorRudar Prijedor3630
19%
0.8
3155-24
2.4
61%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →

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