This opponent (Siroki Brijeg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Siroki Brijeg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.30
1.50
1.44
1.71
1.14
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
2.33
2.00
2.33
0.00
2.33
vs Similar (21)
1.43
1.14
1.42
1.25
1.44
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
4.00
0.33
1.00
1.00
5.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Zeljeznicar Sarajevo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
89.5%
Under 1.5
10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
72.0%
Under 2.5
28.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
51.3%
Under 3.5
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
72.3%
No
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
1-3
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
2-3
4.6%
3-2
4.5%
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo goals ↓
Siroki Brijeg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.2%
3.7%
4.3%
2.7%
1.3%
1
3.6%
9.2%
7.9%
4.9%
2.3%
2
4.1%
7.7%
7.3%
4.6%
2.2%
3
2.5%
4.7%
4.5%
2.8%
1.3%
4
1.2%
2.2%
2.1%
1.3%
0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zeljeznicar Sarajevo goals (down), columns = Siroki Brijeg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
2.50
Borac Banja Luka
2.50
FK Sarajevo
2.12
Siroki Brijeg
2.00
Posušje
2.00
Zrinjski
1.75
Igman Konjic
1.50
Radnik Bijeljina
1.50
Čelik
1.50
Zvijezda Gradačac
1.50
Vareš
1.50
Velež
1.50
Famos Vojkovići
1.00
Gornji Rahić
1.00
Rudar Prijedor
1.00
Sloboda Tuzla
1.00
Kruševo
1.00
Sloga Doboj
0.50
GOŠK Gabela
0.50
Zvijezda 09
0.00
Laktaši
0.00
Slavija
0.00
Stupčanica Olovo
0.00
Žepce
0.00
Mladost Solina
0.00
Kozara Gradiška
0.00
Famos-SAŠK
0.00
Troglav Livno
0.00
Sloboda Novi Grad
0.00
Bratstvo Gračanica
0.00
Svatovac Poljice
0.00
Leotar
0.00
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo is 0.50 points better than Siroki Brijeg in terms of average points per game (2.50 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
3.50
Radnik Bijeljina
3.00
Siroki Brijeg
2.25
Slavija
2.00
Kozara Gradiška
2.00
Borac Banja Luka
1.83
FK Sarajevo
1.75
Famos Vojkovići
1.50
Vareš
1.50
Posušje
1.50
Kruševo
1.25
Velež
1.25
Zvijezda 09
1.00
Zrinjski
1.00
Igman Konjic
1.00
Stupčanica Olovo
1.00
Žepce
1.00
Čelik
1.00
Zvijezda Gradačac
1.00
Rudar Prijedor
1.00
Sloboda Tuzla
1.00
Sloga Doboj
0.50
GOŠK Gabela
0.50
Laktaši
0.00
Gornji Rahić
0.00
Mladost Solina
0.00
Famos-SAŠK
0.00
Troglav Livno
0.00
Sloboda Novi Grad
0.00
Bratstvo Gračanica
0.00
Svatovac Poljice
0.00
Leotar
0.00
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo is 1.25 goals better than Siroki Brijeg in terms of goals scored per game (3.50 vs 2.25).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Gornji Rahić
0.00
Posušje
0.00
Igman Konjic
0.50
FK Sarajevo
0.50
Borac Banja Luka
0.50
Zrinjski
0.75
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0.83
Siroki Brijeg
0.88
Radnik Bijeljina
1.00
Rudar Prijedor
1.00
Sloboda Tuzla
1.00
GOŠK Gabela
1.00
Velež
1.25
Zvijezda Gradačac
1.50
Sloga Doboj
1.50
Famos Vojkovići
1.75
Zvijezda 09
2.00
Laktaši
2.00
Stupčanica Olovo
2.00
Žepce
2.00
Mladost Solina
2.00
Čelik
2.00
Sloboda Novi Grad
2.00
Svatovac Poljice
2.00
Kozara Gradiška
3.00
Famos-SAŠK
3.00
Kruševo
3.00
Leotar
3.00
Vareš
4.00
Slavija
5.00
Bratstvo Gračanica
5.00
Troglav Livno
9.00
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo is 0.04 goals better than Siroki Brijeg in terms of goals conceded per game (0.83 vs 0.88).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo or Draw✓ Hit
60.8%
Avg Implied -
38%
23%
39%
covers Zeljeznicar Sarajevo + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo or Siroki Brijeg✓ Hit
76.8%
Avg Implied -
38%
23%
39%
covers Zeljeznicar Sarajevo + Siroki Brijeg
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Siroki Brijeg✗ Miss
62.4%
Avg Implied -
38%
23%
39%
covers Draw + Siroki Brijeg
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
84.2%
Under
15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
55.1%
Under
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
28.2%
Under
71.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
11.6%
Under
88.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siroki Brijeg over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
84.9%
Under
15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siroki Brijeg over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
56.3%
Under
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siroki Brijeg over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
29.3%
Under
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siroki Brijeg over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
12.3%
Under
87.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Zeljeznicar Sarajevo, so a minus line means Zeljeznicar Sarajevo give that many goals of a start and Siroki Brijeg receive them. At -1, Zeljeznicar Sarajevo must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Zeljeznicar Sarajevo win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap +1 (Zeljeznicar Sarajevo)Actual: Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo +1
60.8%
Draw +1
17.7%
Siroki Brijeg -1
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Zeljeznicar Sarajevo)Actual: Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo +2
78.4%
Draw +2
11.9%
Siroki Brijeg -2
9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.33
0.93
0.27
0.60
0.40
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (11)
0.64
0.27
1.00
0.17
0.20
0.40
vs Weaker (15)
1.00
0.27
1.00
0.29
1.00
0.25
Clean sheet %
73% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Siroki Brijeg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Siroki Brijeg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.53
0.88
0.56
0.86
0.50
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.17
1.00
1.33
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.81
0.38
0.92
0.33
0.67
0.44
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
0.33
0.00
1.00
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Zeljeznicar Sarajevo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siroki Brijeg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siroki Brijeg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siroki Brijeg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.60
1.20
0.60
1.40
0.60
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (11)
1.09
0.64
1.00
0.50
1.20
0.80
vs Weaker (15)
1.80
0.60
1.71
0.57
1.88
0.62
Clean sheet %
57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Siroki Brijeg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Siroki Brijeg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.77
0.62
0.88
0.86
0.64
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
1.17
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (21)
0.62
0.76
0.50
0.92
0.78
0.56
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Zeljeznicar Sarajevo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siroki Brijeg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siroki Brijeg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siroki Brijeg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
91.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
89.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
79.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
BTTS Yes
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (33)
€9m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
RB (27)
€4m
ČEL (26)
€4m
SB (20)
€4m
VEL (23)
€3m
SD (24)
€3m
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo and Siroki Brijeg have a similar squad value (both €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (16)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
RB (12)
€2m
ZS (7)
€2m
VEL (9)
€2m
SD (9)
€2m
ČEL (7)
€1m
SB (5)
€1m
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo and Siroki Brijeg have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
SB (7)
€1m
ČEL (8)
€1m
BBL (4)
€1m
VEL (5)
€0m
RB (4)
€0m
SD (4)
€0m
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo and Siroki Brijeg have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (13)
€4m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
RB (11)
€1m
ČEL (11)
€1m
VEL (9)
€1m
SD (11)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
ZS (5)
€1m
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo and Siroki Brijeg have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Zrinjski
Borac Banja Luka
FK Sarajevo
Sloga Doboj
Velež
Radnik Bijeljina
Posušje
Igman Konjic
GOŠK Gabela
Sloboda Tuzla