Zeljeznicar Sarajevo vs Siroki Brijeg Result & Analysis

The model favours a home win, with a 50% chance, while a draw sits at 29% and an away victory at 21%. The expected total goals hover around 2.3, suggesting a modestly low-scoring affair. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.6% probability, reflecting the balanced nature of the contest.

Zeljeznicar Sarajevo, playing at home against an opponent of similar strength, averages 1.25 goals scored and 0.58 conceded. Siroki Brijeg, on the road, has a weaker offensive output of 0.92 goals per game and concedes 1.5. Recent form adds context: the home side is coming off a defeat, while the visitors are riding a two-game winning run.

The model’s selection list includes Under 3.5 with an 80% probability. Each selection is presented with its own chance: Under 3.5 80%. No other outcomes receive a win probability. The preview remains concise, neutral, and strictly based on the provided data.

The match finished 2-2, a draw that shocked the pre-match favourite, the model’s pick for a home win at 50 %. The prediction was wrong, as the game ended in a stalemate. The model also had an 80 % chance of an Under 3.5 total, yet that selection missed. The most likely scoreline was 1-1 at 13.6 %, followed by 1-0 at 13.4 % and 0-0 at 11.3 %. The final 2-2 result was not among the top probabilities. With home side Zeleznicar Sarajevo on a shaky run after a recent defeat and Siroki Brijeg riding a two-game winning streak, the outcome was a clear upset.