Zemun’s recent five matches have ended in five straight losses, a stark contrast to FK Crvena Zvezda’s two-game winning streak and a 4-0 triumph over Cukaricki. The model therefore names an away win as the clear favourite, assigning a 79 % probability to the away side’s victory, 15 % to a draw and 6 % to a home win. The expected total of 3.3 goals translates to an average of three goals, with the most likely scoreline 0-2 for the away team at 13.2 %. Zemun, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages two goals scored and two conceded, while Crvena Zvezda, on the road against a weaker side, averages 1.91 goals scored and 0.64 conceded. The model’s selections include Home under 3.5 goals (99.6 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (99.1 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (98.9 %), Away +2 handicap (98.4 %), Under 7.5 (98.1 % with a 7 % edge), Home under 2.5 goals (97.3 % with a 4 % edge), Under 6.5 (95.1 % with an 8 % edge) and Home under 1.5 HT goals (95.1 % with a 4 % edge).
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved accurate as FK Crvena Zvezda secured a 0-2 away victory, extending their recent win streak. The favourite was the away win, assigned a 78% probability, and the model’s call was correct. The final score matched the expected result, with the away side triumphing. Every suggested selection was settled: Home under 3.5 goals hit at 99.5%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.1%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.4%, Under 7.5 hit at 98.3%, Away +2 handicap hit at 98.2%, Home under 2.5 goals hit at 97.1%, Over 19.5 fouls hit at 96.3%, and Under 6.5 hit at 95.5%. The model’s array of choices performed consistently, confirming the predicted outcome.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Zemun win✗ Miss
6.7%
Avg Implied 3.4% · @ 27.11
Edge
+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
46.00
1xBet
38.00
Betfair
36.00
Bet365
34.00
Marathonbet
30.00
Draw✗ Miss
15.6%
Avg Implied 8.7% · @ 10.64
Edge
+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
13.50
Pinnacle
13.44
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
13.00
Marathonbet
12.50
FK Crvena Zvezda win✓ Hit
77.7%
Avg Implied 87.9% · @ 1.05
Edge
-10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.08
10Bet
1.06
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.06
BetVictor
1.05
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Zemun
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.20
1.60
0.93
1.00
1.47
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
2.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
1.30
1.19
1.54
0.85
1.07
1.50
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Crvena Zvezda) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Crvena Zvezda
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.37
0.80
2.72
0.72
1.83
0.92
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
0.50
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (28)
2.50
0.79
2.88
0.65
1.91
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Zemun) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.7%
@ 1.05-3.7%
Under 1.5
16.3%
@ 7.29+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Under
Betfair
8.50
Marathonbet
8.30
1xBet
8.30
10Bet
7.50
Bet365
7.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
62.2%
@ 1.24-11.4%
Under 2.5
37.8%
@ 3.46+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
Betfair
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.80
1xBet
3.58
Marathonbet
3.58
Superbet
3.55
10Bet
3.50
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.0%
@ 1.67-15.2%
Under 3.5
60.0%
@ 2.05+15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.80
10Bet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.67
Betfair
1.67
Under
Betfair
2.15
Pinnacle
2.14
Marathonbet
2.12
1xBet
2.12
Betano
2.10
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.0%
@ 2.46+7.7%
No
55.0%
@ 1.46-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
2.75
Betfair
2.55
10Bet
2.55
1xBet
2.51
Marathonbet
2.51
No
Unibet
1.55
Superbet
1.51
William Hil
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2 ✓
13.2%@ 6.60+6.4%
0-3
11.2%@ 5.66+3.3%
0-1
9.6%@ 10.99+5.5%
1-2
8.6%@ 13.24+5.2%
1-1
7.4%@ 23.12+5.5%
1-3
7.4%@ 11.84+3.6%
0-4
7.2%@ 6.42+0.1%
0-0
4.7%@ 29.74+3.2%
Zemun goals ↓
FK Crvena Zvezda goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.7%
9.6%
13%
11%
7.2%
1
2.0%
7.4%
8.6%
7.4%
4.7%
2
0.9%
2.2%
2.8%
2.4%
1.5%
3
0.2%
0.5%
0.6%
0.5%
0.3%
4
0.0%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zemun goals (down), columns = FK Crvena Zvezda goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.00
Vojvodina
2.14
IMT Novi Beograd
1.86
Radnicki 1923
1.67
Železničar Pančevo
1.60
Cukaricki
1.43
Mladost Lucani
1.43
Radnik Surdulica
1.33
FK Partizan
1.17
OFK Beograd
1.14
Novi Pazar
1.14
Macva
1.00
Radnicki NIS
0.83
Zemun
0.14
Zemun is 2.86 points worse than FK Crvena Zvezda in terms of average points per game (0.14 vs 3.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.20
Vojvodina
2.14
Železničar Pančevo
1.80
FK Partizan
1.67
IMT Novi Beograd
1.43
Cukaricki
1.29
Radnicki 1923
1.17
OFK Beograd
1.14
Radnik Surdulica
1.00
Mladost Lucani
1.00
Macva
0.71
Novi Pazar
0.71
Radnicki NIS
0.50
Zemun
0.29
Zemun is 2.91 goals worse than FK Crvena Zvezda in terms of goals scored per game (0.29 vs 3.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FK Crvena Zvezda
0.20
IMT Novi Beograd
0.57
Vojvodina
0.86
Mladost Lucani
0.86
Radnicki 1923
1.00
Železničar Pančevo
1.00
Radnicki NIS
1.00
Novi Pazar
1.14
Radnik Surdulica
1.50
FK Partizan
1.67
OFK Beograd
1.71
Cukaricki
1.71
Macva
1.86
Zemun
2.00
Zemun is 1.80 goals worse than FK Crvena Zvezda in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 0.20).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FK Partizan
63%
FK Crvena Zvezda
61%
Železničar Pančevo
61%
Radnicki 1923
58%
Radnicki NIS
55%
OFK Beograd
54%
IMT Novi Beograd
53%
Vojvodina
52%
Novi Pazar
49%
Radnik Surdulica
48%
Cukaricki
41%
Mladost Lucani
38%
Macva
38%
Zemun
37%
Zemun is 23.9 percentage points worse than FK Crvena Zvezda in terms of average possession (37% vs 61%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Zemun
For 3.2 · Against 5.3 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.5 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 15.7 · Total 26.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FK Crvena Zvezda
For 4.6 · Against 2.7 · Total 7.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 13.7 · Total 23.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Zemun
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
8.3
8.7
0.7
0.8
0.6
26.5
28.7
24.3
vs Stronger (2)
4.0
5.0
3.0
5.0
6.0
4.0
27.5
25.0
30.0
vs Similar (46)
10.8
10.0
11.5
0.5
0.6
0.5
26.0
30.5
21.5
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
50%
33%
67%
10%
12%
8%
83%
100%
67%
% under line
50%
67%
33%
90%
88%
92%
17%
0%
33%
This opponent (FK Crvena Zvezda) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Crvena Zvezda
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.4
10.1
3.4
3.1
3.7
24.3
22.4
26.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
9.8
12.0
8.3
4.2
5.5
3.3
25.8
31.0
22.3
vs Weaker (45)
9.7
9.1
10.4
3.3
2.9
3.8
24.1
21.7
27.1
% over line
52%
44%
62%
48%
38%
58%
65%
56%
76%
% under line
48%
56%
38%
52%
62%
42%
35%
44%
24%
This opponent (Zemun) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FK Crvena Zvezda
9.8
Mladost Lucani
9.5
Vojvodina
9.4
FK Partizan
9.2
Radnicki 1923
9.1
Radnik Surdulica
9.0
Cukaricki
9.0
Novi Pazar
9.0
OFK Beograd
8.8
IMT Novi Beograd
8.5
Zemun
8.5
Železničar Pančevo
8.5
Radnicki NIS
8.4
Macva
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Macva
5.9
Zemun
5.8
Radnicki 1923
5.6
Radnik Surdulica
5.3
Radnicki NIS
5.2
OFK Beograd
4.9
Cukaricki
4.8
Vojvodina
4.8
FK Partizan
4.7
Novi Pazar
4.7
IMT Novi Beograd
4.5
Železničar Pančevo
4.5
Mladost Lucani
4.2
FK Crvena Zvezda
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Radnicki 1923
30.4
Radnik Surdulica
30.4
IMT Novi Beograd
29.8
Radnicki NIS
29.3
OFK Beograd
29.1
Macva
28.9
Cukaricki
28.6
Železničar Pančevo
27.8
Vojvodina
26.9
Novi Pazar
26.7
Zemun
26.5
FK Partizan
25.9
Mladost Lucani
25.6
FK Crvena Zvezda
23.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
41.7%
@ 1.71-12.4%
Under 9.5
58.3%
@ 2.01+12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.72
10Bet
1.70
1xBet
1.70
Superbet
1.70
Under
Superbet
2.05
1xBet
2.03
Marathonbet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Betano
2.00
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
74.9%
Under 3.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
91.4%
Under 21.5
8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Zemun or Draw✗ Miss
22.3%
Avg Implied 11.3% · @ 8.53
Edge
+11.0%
7%
16%
78%
covers Zemun + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
10.00
1xBet
9.90
Betano
9.75
William Hil
9.00
Marathonbet
8.90
Zemun or FK Crvena Zvezda✓ Hit
84.4%
Avg Implied 93.7% · @ 1.03
Edge
-9.3%
7%
16%
78%
covers Zemun + FK Crvena Zvezda
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.04
William Hil
1.04
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Unibet
1.02
Draw or FK Crvena Zvezda✓ Hit
93.3%
Avg Implied 95.0% · @ 1.01
Edge
-1.7%
7%
16%
78%
covers Draw + FK Crvena Zvezda
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.02
Unibet
1.01
Betano
1.01
Betfair
1.01
1xBet
1.01
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Zemun over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
48.1%
@ 2.44+10.6%
Under
51.9%
@ 1.46-10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.75
Betano
2.72
10Bet
2.55
Pinnacle
2.53
1xBet
2.45
Under
Unibet
1.55
Superbet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
1xBet
1.46
Zemun over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
14.1%
@ 7.64+2.0%
Under
85.9%
@ 1.05-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.25
Bet365
9.00
Betano
8.50
Superbet
7.60
10Bet
7.00
Under
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.05
BetVictor
1.05
Zemun over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
2.9%
@ 20.83-1.7%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.01+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
29.00
Bet365
21.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
Zemun over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.5%
@ 90.00-99.5%
Under
99.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
90.00
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
92.2%
@ 1.01-0.6%
Under
7.8%
@ 13.00+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.01
Under
Bet365
13.00
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
72.4%
@ 1.12-10.7%
Under
27.6%
@ 5.49+10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Under
Bet365
6.50
Betano
5.60
Superbet
5.55
1xBet
5.30
10Bet
4.50
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
47.0%
@ 1.39-18.9%
Under
53.0%
@ 2.69+18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.59
Superbet
1.41
10Bet
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Betano
1.39
Under
Bet365
3.25
Betano
2.87
Marathonbet
2.79
10Bet
2.75
Superbet
2.72
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
25.4%
@ 1.94-21.6%
Under
74.6%
@ 1.72+21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.02
10Bet
2.00
Unibet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.99
1xBet
1.97
Under
Bet365
1.83
Betano
1.80
Marathonbet
1.76
Pinnacle
1.75
10Bet
1.73
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Zemun, so a minus line means Zemun give that many goals of a start and FK Crvena Zvezda receive them. At -1, Zemun must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Zemun win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Zemun)Actual: FK Crvena Zvezda
Zemun -2
0.3%
Draw -2
1.5%
FK Crvena Zvezda +2
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Zemun)Actual: FK Crvena Zvezda
Zemun -1
1.8%
Draw -1
4.9%
FK Crvena Zvezda +1
93.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Zemun)Actual: FK Crvena Zvezda
Zemun +1
22.3%
@ 6.12+8.1%
Draw +1
21.0%
@ 4.87+3.3%
FK Crvena Zvezda -1
56.7%
@ 1.27-11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
5.85
10Bet
5.50
Draw
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.10
Away
10Bet
1.35
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.18
Handicap +2 (Zemun)Actual: Draw
Zemun +2
43.3%
@ 3.46+17.9%
Draw +2
22.2%
@ 4.15+1.0%
FK Crvena Zvezda -2
34.4%
@ 1.66-18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
3.88
10Bet
3.85
Superbet
3.65
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.10
Draw
Marathonbet
4.60
10Bet
4.33
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.25
Betfair
4.00
Away
Betfair
1.83
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.64
10Bet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.57
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Zemun
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.60
0.87
0.40
0.53
0.80
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.74
0.56
0.92
0.31
0.57
0.79
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Crvena Zvezda) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Crvena Zvezda
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.40
1.22
0.22
1.17
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (28)
1.25
0.39
1.29
0.18
1.18
0.73
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Zemun) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
76.9%
@ 1.14-3.5%
Under 0.5
23.1%
@ 4.66+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Under
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
4.95
1xBet
4.95
Superbet
4.90
10Bet
4.75
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
36.1%
@ 1.76-16.1%
Under 1.5
63.9%
@ 1.92+16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.85
Betano
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Pinnacle
1.79
Marathonbet
1.78
Under
William Hil
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Superbet
1.97
Pinnacle
1.96
10Bet
1.95
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
15.3%
@ 3.27-12.6%
Under 2.5
84.7%
@ 1.26+12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
Betano
3.40
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.34
William Hil
3.30
Under
Superbet
1.29
Betfair
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zemun over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
31.7%
@ 4.52+11.3%
Under
68.3%
@ 1.16-11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.75
Marathonbet
4.70
Betano
4.70
Superbet
4.25
1xBet
4.20
Under
1xBet
1.19
Superbet
1.18
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
Zemun over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.4%
@ 19.67+0.5%
Under
94.6%
@ 1.01-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
22.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Zemun over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.9%
@ 90.00-99.1%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
90.00
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
61.6%
@ 1.21-15.1%
Under
38.4%
@ 3.99+15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.20
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Under
Superbet
4.10
1xBet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Betano
3.75
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
24.7%
@ 1.98-22.0%
Under
75.3%
@ 1.74+22.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.02
Marathonbet
2.00
1xBet
1.98
Pinnacle
1.98
Superbet
1.95
Under
Superbet
1.76
10Bet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.75
1xBet
1.74
Betano
1.72
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.0%
@ 3.96-13.3%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.20+13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.00
1xBet
4.00
Betano
3.95
Superbet
3.90
Under
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Zemun
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.60
0.73
0.53
0.47
0.67
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (27)
0.56
0.63
0.62
0.54
0.50
0.71
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Crvena Zvezda) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Crvena Zvezda
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.40
1.50
0.50
0.67
0.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (28)
1.25
0.39
1.59
0.47
0.73
0.27
Clean sheet %
73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Zemun) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
81.4%
@ 1.09-4.3%
Under 0.5
18.6%
@ 6.56+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Under
1xBet
7.30
Bet365
7.00
Superbet
6.60
10Bet
6.25
Betano
6.20
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
52.8%
@ 1.46-10.5%
Under 1.5
47.2%
@ 2.52+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.57
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.45
Superbet
1.45
Betano
1.44
Under
Betano
2.62
1xBet
2.59
Marathonbet
2.59
Superbet
2.55
10Bet
2.55
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
27.4%
@ 2.40-11.0%
Under 2.5
72.6%
@ 1.50+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.62
Bet365
2.50
Superbet
2.42
10Bet
2.40
Marathonbet
2.31
Under
Betano
1.57
Marathonbet
1.51
1xBet
1.51
10Bet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zemun over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
33.4%
@ 3.76+8.8%
Under
66.6%
@ 1.23-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.95
Betano
3.85
Marathonbet
3.84
1xBet
3.65
Superbet
3.50
Under
Superbet
1.26
1xBet
1.25
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
Zemun over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.6%
@ 16.42+1.8%
Under
92.4%
@ 1.01-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Superbet
16.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Zemun over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.6%
@ 70.00-98.4%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
70.00
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
73.6%
@ 1.12-9.0%
Under
26.4%
@ 5.31+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Under
10Bet
5.50
Superbet
5.35
1xBet
5.30
Betano
5.10
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
44.9%
@ 1.59-13.3%
Under
55.1%
@ 2.22+13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.65
10Bet
1.60
1xBet
1.58
Marathonbet
1.56
Betano
1.55
Under
Betano
2.30
1xBet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.21
10Bet
2.20
Superbet
2.12
FK Crvena Zvezda over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.6%
@ 2.78-18.7%
Under
85.4%
@ 1.38+18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.95
10Bet
2.85
Marathonbet
2.78
1xBet
2.70
Betano
2.62
Under
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.40
10Bet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Superbet
1.35
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 3.5 goals
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.3%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
+8.0%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
97.1%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
95.5%
1.07
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.07
BetVictor
1.03
+10.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
94.6%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
-0.5%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
93.3%
1.01
William Hil
1.02
Unibet
1.01
Betano
1.01
Betfair
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-1.7%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
92.4%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-1.8%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
92.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.6%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
90.0%
1.20
Betano
1.21
Superbet
1.21
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
-
+13.3%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
89.4%
1.18
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
+12.7%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
85.9%
1.05
10Bet
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.05
BetVictor
1.05
-2.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
85.4%
1.38
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.40
10Bet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Superbet
1.35
+18.7%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
84.7%
1.26
Superbet
1.29
Betfair
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.27
+12.6%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
84.4%
1.03
Betano
1.04
William Hil
1.04
Betfair
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Unibet
1.02
-9.3%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.7%
1.05
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
-3.7%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.4%
1.09
William Hil
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
-4.3%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
80.0%
1.38
Superbet
1.45
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
-
-
+13.8%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
77.9%
1.45
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.47
1xBet
1.46
Marathonbet
1.46
+15.1%
✓ Hit
Away win
77.7%
1.05
Dafabet
1.08
10Bet
1.06
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.06
BetVictor
1.05
-10.2%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
76.9%
1.14
Betano
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
-3.5%
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 2H goals
73.6%
1.12
Betano
1.13
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
-
-9.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
72.6%
1.50
Betano
1.57
Marathonbet
1.51
1xBet
1.51
10Bet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
+11.0%
✓ Hit
Away over 1.5 goals
72.4%
1.12
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Bet365
1.10
-10.7%
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
70.2%
1.62
Superbet
1.68
1xBet
1.62
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.59
-
+13.4%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Zemun
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Novak Petrušić20%
Đorđe Petrović14%
Ognjen Ilić0%
Milan Jokić0%
Vasilije Bakić0%
Marko Šarić0%
Mladen Živković0%
Dejan Parađina0%
Milan Spremo0%
Ivan Ostojić0%
Nemanja Belaković0%
Uroš Ljubomirac0%
Godswill Vadze0%
Aleksandar Kadijević0%
Nemanja Kalat0%
Dimitrije Tabakovic0%
Saša Knežević0%
Žarko Bogdanović0%
Andrej Milošević0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vasilije Bakić80%
Milan Jokić50%
Milan Spremo40%
Nemanja Belaković33%
Uroš Ljubomirac33%
Dejan Parađina20%
Aleksandar Kadijević20%
Novak Petrušić20%
Ognjen Ilić14%
Ivan Ostojić14%
Nemanja Kalat14%
Dimitrije Tabakovic14%
Marko Šarić0%
Mladen Živković0%
Godswill Vadze0%
Đorđe Petrović0%
Saša Knežević0%
Žarko Bogdanović0%
Andrej Milošević0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nemanja Belaković17%
Ognjen Ilić0%
Milan Jokić0%
Vasilije Bakić0%
Marko Šarić0%
Mladen Živković0%
Dejan Parađina0%
Milan Spremo0%
Ivan Ostojić0%
Uroš Ljubomirac0%
Godswill Vadze0%
Aleksandar Kadijević0%
Nemanja Kalat0%
Đorđe Petrović0%
Dimitrije Tabakovic0%
Saša Knežević0%
Žarko Bogdanović0%
Novak Petrušić0%
Andrej Milošević0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Saša Knežević17%
Đorđe Petrović14%
Dimitrije Tabakovic14%
Ognjen Ilić0%
Milan Jokić0%
Vasilije Bakić0%
Marko Šarić0%
Mladen Živković0%
Dejan Parađina0%
Milan Spremo0%
Ivan Ostojić0%
Nemanja Belaković0%
Uroš Ljubomirac0%
Godswill Vadze0%
Aleksandar Kadijević0%
Nemanja Kalat0%
Žarko Bogdanović0%
Novak Petrušić0%
Andrej Milošević0%
FK Crvena Zvezda
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vasilije Kostov67%
Dimitrije Šarić67%
Mirko Ivanić25%
Loizos Loizou25%
Aleksandar Katai20%
Mohammad Abu Fani20%
Nair Tiknizyan0%
Timi Max Elšnik0%
Matheus0%
Strahinja Eraković0%
Muhammed-Cham Saračević0%
Young-woo Seol0%
Stefan Gudelj0%
Matej Strika0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Strahinja Eraković67%
Matej Strika67%
Timi Max Elšnik25%
Loizos Loizou25%
Stefan Gudelj25%
Mohammad Abu Fani20%
Mirko Ivanić0%
Nair Tiknizyan0%
Matheus0%
Aleksandar Katai0%
Muhammed-Cham Saračević0%
Young-woo Seol0%
Vasilije Kostov0%
Dimitrije Šarić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aleksandar Katai60%
Mohammad Abu Fani40%
Vasilije Kostov33%
Mirko Ivanić25%
Nair Tiknizyan0%
Timi Max Elšnik0%
Matheus0%
Loizos Loizou0%
Strahinja Eraković0%
Muhammed-Cham Saračević0%
Young-woo Seol0%
Stefan Gudelj0%
Dimitrije Šarić0%
Matej Strika0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aleksandar Katai80%
Mirko Ivanić75%
Vasilije Kostov67%
Dimitrije Šarić33%
Loizos Loizou25%
Mohammad Abu Fani20%
Nair Tiknizyan0%
Timi Max Elšnik0%
Matheus0%
Strahinja Eraković0%
Muhammed-Cham Saračević0%
Young-woo Seol0%
Stefan Gudelj0%
Matej Strika0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (32)
€115m
FP (30)
€48m
VOJ (29)
€30m
OB (28)
€18m
ŽP (24)
€13m
INB (23)
€12m
RN (26)
€11m
NP (21)
€10m
CUK (23)
€10m
R1 (26)
€9m
RS (26)
€9m
ML (28)
€8m
ZEM (22)
€5m
MAC (19)
€4m
Zemun's squad is €111m less valuable than FK Crvena Zvezda's (€5m vs €115m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€62m
FP (15)
€24m
VOJ (15)
€13m
ŽP (9)
€7m
OB (10)
€6m
RN (11)
€4m
ML (10)
€4m
R1 (10)
€4m
CUK (8)
€4m
INB (8)
€4m
NP (9)
€3m
RS (10)
€3m
ZEM (9)
€2m
MAC (7)
€2m
Zemun's attack is €59m less valuable than FK Crvena Zvezda's (€2m vs €62m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (6)
€21m
FP (2)
€11m
VOJ (4)
€7m
OB (8)
€4m
INB (3)
€4m
R1 (6)
€3m
NP (3)
€2m
CUK (5)
€2m
RS (5)
€2m
ZEM (5)
€1m
ML (6)
€1m
ŽP (4)
€1m
RN (3)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
Zemun's midfield is €20m less valuable than FK Crvena Zvezda's (€1m vs €21m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FCZ (13)
€33m
FP (13)
€14m
VOJ (10)
€9m
OB (10)
€8m
ŽP (11)
€6m
RN (12)
€5m
NP (9)
€5m
RS (11)
€4m
INB (12)
€4m
CUK (10)
€3m
R1 (10)
€3m
ML (12)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
ZEM (8)
€1m
Zemun's defence is €32m less valuable than FK Crvena Zvezda's (€1m vs €33m).
Serbia: Super Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Super Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Vojvodina
IMT Novi Beograd
Mladost Lucani
Radnicki 1923
Cukaricki
Železničar Pančevo
Radnik Surdulica
Novi Pazar
OFK Beograd
FK Partizan
Macva
Radnicki NIS