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Zemun vs Radnički Sr. Mitrovica Result & Analysis

Date: 26/10/2024
Time: 12:00
Final 3-0
Zemun
Zemun
Vs
37%
34%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
Serbia: Prva Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zemun win✓ Hit
37.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
33.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica win✗ Miss
29.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ZemunZemun

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L03L10W11D14L11D02L11D30W22DH·MLA18/08A·SLO24/08H·FK 31/08A·SLO07/09H·DUB15/09A·SEM23/09H·MAC29/09A·RAD06/10H·BOR13/10A·GRA19/10
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.330.831.330.831.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.831.330.831.330.831.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnički Sr. Mitrovica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Radnički Sr. MitrovicaRadnički Sr. Mitrovica

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W23L00D02L01L00D00D00D42W01LH·FK 18/08A·SLO24/08H·DUB31/08A·SEM07/09H·MAC15/09A·RAD23/09H·BOR28/09A·GRA06/10H·OFK13/10H·FK 20/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.900.810.620.571.21
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.710.890.870.600.541.23
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Zemun) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%15%025%128%218%39%43%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
59.7%
Under 1.5
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
31.3%
Under 2.5
68.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
13.6%
Under 3.5
86.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
40.2%
No
59.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
15.4%
1-1
14.8%
1-0
13.6%
0-1
11.3%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
6.1%
0-2
5.7%
Zemun goals ↓
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica goals →
01234
015%11%5.7%1.7%0.4%
114%15%6.1%1.8%0.4%
27.9%7.1%3.2%1.0%0.2%
32.8%2.5%1.1%0.3%0.1%
40.7%0.7%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zemun goals (down), columns = Radnički Sr. Mitrovica goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Radnik Surdulica
2.11
Javor
1.86
Mladost Novi Sad
1.76
Macva
1.54
FK Vozdovac
1.49
Grafičar
1.43
OFK Vršac
1.32
Borac Cacak
1.30
Zemun
1.30
FK Trayal
1.24
Semendrija 1924
1.14
Dubočica
1.11
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
1.08
Sloven Ruma
1.05
Indjija
0.86
Sloboda Uzice
0.84
Zemun is 0.22 points better than Radnički Sr. Mitrovica in terms of average points per game (1.30 vs 1.08).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Radnik Surdulica
1.73
Grafičar
1.32
Borac Cacak
1.24
Zemun
1.24
Javor
1.19
Mladost Novi Sad
1.16
Dubočica
1.16
FK Trayal
1.14
Macva
1.08
FK Vozdovac
1.03
OFK Vršac
0.92
Indjija
0.89
Semendrija 1924
0.84
Sloven Ruma
0.84
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
0.78
Sloboda Uzice
0.62
Zemun is 0.46 goals better than Radnički Sr. Mitrovica in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 0.78).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Radnik Surdulica
0.51
Javor
0.68
FK Vozdovac
0.78
Mladost Novi Sad
0.84
Macva
0.89
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
0.95
OFK Vršac
1.05
Sloboda Uzice
1.14
Semendrija 1924
1.19
Sloven Ruma
1.19
Zemun
1.19
FK Trayal
1.19
Borac Cacak
1.32
Grafičar
1.32
Indjija
1.41
Dubočica
1.54
Zemun is 0.24 goals worse than Radnički Sr. Mitrovica in terms of goals conceded per game (1.19 vs 0.95).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ZemunZemun

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L01L10W01L01L01L01L00D10W11DH·MLA18/08A·SLO24/08H·FK 31/08A·SLO07/09H·DUB15/09A·SEM23/09H·MAC29/09A·RAD06/10H·BOR13/10A·GRA19/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.250.580.330.500.170.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.250.580.330.500.170.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %42% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnički Sr. Mitrovica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Radnički Sr. MitrovicaRadnički Sr. Mitrovica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D00D01L01L00D00D00D20W01LH·FK 18/08A·SLO24/08H·DUB31/08A·SEM07/09H·MAC15/09A·RAD23/09H·BOR28/09A·GRA06/10H·OFK13/10H·FK 20/10
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.330.430.310.310.360.57
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.320.390.330.270.310.54
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Zemun) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zemun over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zemun over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zemun over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ZemunZemun

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L02L00D10W13L10W01L11D20W11DH·MLA18/08A·SLO24/08H·FK 31/08A·SLO07/09H·DUB15/09A·SEM23/09H·MAC29/09A·RAD06/10H·BOR13/10A·GRA19/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.580.750.500.830.670.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.580.750.500.830.670.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnički Sr. Mitrovica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Radnički Sr. MitrovicaRadnički Sr. Mitrovica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L00D01L00D00D00D00D22D00DH·FK 18/08A·SLO24/08H·DUB31/08A·SEM07/09H·MAC15/09A·RAD23/09H·BOR28/09A·GRA06/10H·OFK13/10H·FK 20/10
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.470.500.310.210.64
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.390.500.530.330.230.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Zemun) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zemun over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zemun over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zemun over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.586.4%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Zemun · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Novak Petrušić20%
Đorđe Petrović14%
Ognjen Ilić0%
Milan Jokić0%
Vasilije Bakić0%
Marko Šarić0%
Mladen Živković0%
Dejan Parađina0%
Milan Spremo0%
Ivan Ostojić0%
Nemanja Belaković0%
Uroš Ljubomirac0%
Godswill Vadze0%
Aleksandar Kadijević0%
Nemanja Kalat0%
Dimitrije Tabakovic0%
Saša Knežević0%
Žarko Bogdanović0%
Andrej Milošević0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vasilije Bakić80%
Milan Jokić50%
Milan Spremo40%
Nemanja Belaković33%
Uroš Ljubomirac33%
Dejan Parađina20%
Aleksandar Kadijević20%
Novak Petrušić20%
Ognjen Ilić14%
Ivan Ostojić14%
Nemanja Kalat14%
Dimitrije Tabakovic14%
Marko Šarić0%
Mladen Živković0%
Godswill Vadze0%
Đorđe Petrović0%
Saša Knežević0%
Žarko Bogdanović0%
Andrej Milošević0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nemanja Belaković17%
Ognjen Ilić0%
Milan Jokić0%
Vasilije Bakić0%
Marko Šarić0%
Mladen Živković0%
Dejan Parađina0%
Milan Spremo0%
Ivan Ostojić0%
Uroš Ljubomirac0%
Godswill Vadze0%
Aleksandar Kadijević0%
Nemanja Kalat0%
Đorđe Petrović0%
Dimitrije Tabakovic0%
Saša Knežević0%
Žarko Bogdanović0%
Novak Petrušić0%
Andrej Milošević0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Saša Knežević17%
Đorđe Petrović14%
Dimitrije Tabakovic14%
Ognjen Ilić0%
Milan Jokić0%
Vasilije Bakić0%
Marko Šarić0%
Mladen Živković0%
Dejan Parađina0%
Milan Spremo0%
Ivan Ostojić0%
Nemanja Belaković0%
Uroš Ljubomirac0%
Godswill Vadze0%
Aleksandar Kadijević0%
Nemanja Kalat0%
Žarko Bogdanović0%
Novak Petrušić0%
Andrej Milošević0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (26)
€9m
JAV (21)
€5m
ZEM (22)
€5m
MAC (19)
€4m
GRA (19)
€4m
OV (22)
€4m
FV (20)
€3m
S1 (23)
€3m
BC (20)
€3m
DUB (17)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (10)
€3m
ZEM (9)
€2m
MAC (7)
€2m
JAV (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
GRA (8)
€1m
BC (10)
€1m
FV (9)
€1m
S1 (7)
€1m
DUB (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (5)
€2m
ZEM (5)
€1m
OV (4)
€1m
MAC (3)
€1m
JAV (2)
€1m
S1 (6)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
GRA (3)
€1m
BC (3)
€0m
DUB (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RS (11)
€4m
JAV (10)
€3m
GRA (8)
€2m
MAC (9)
€2m
OV (9)
€1m
S1 (10)
€1m
BC (7)
€1m
ZEM (8)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
DUB (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
ZEM wins
0
Draws
0
RSM wins

Head-to-head

Zemun vs Radnički Sr. Mitrovica · H/A from ZEM
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

ZemunZemun

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/10/24AGrafičar Vs ZEM2-2
13/10/24HZEM Vs Borac Cacak3-0
06/10/24ARadnik Surdulica Vs ZEM1-1
29/09/24HZEM Vs Macva0-2
23/09/24ASemendrija 1924 Vs ZEM1-1
15/09/24HZEM Vs Dubočica1-4
07/09/24ASloven Ruma Vs ZEM1-1
31/08/24HZEM Vs FK Trayal1-0
24/08/24ASloboda Uzice Vs ZEM3-0
18/08/24HZEM Vs Mladost Novi Sad0-2

Radnički Sr. MitrovicaRadnički Sr. Mitrovica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/10/24HRSM Vs FK Vozdovac0-1
13/10/24HRSM Vs OFK Vršac4-2
06/10/24AGrafičar Vs RSM0-0
28/09/24HRSM Vs Borac Cacak0-0
23/09/24ARadnik Surdulica Vs RSM0-0
15/09/24HRSM Vs Macva0-1
07/09/24ASemendrija 1924 Vs RSM2-0
31/08/24HRSM Vs Dubočica0-0
24/08/24ASloven Ruma Vs RSM3-2
18/08/24HRSM Vs FK Trayal1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Zemun
Zemun
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDWD1.00
HomeLWLLW1.17
AwayLDDDD0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %17%33%0%
AVG goals2.172.172.17
Over 1.5 %75%67%83%
Over 2.5 %33%33%33%
Over 3.5 %17%17%17%
Scored0.830.830.83
Conceded1.331.331.33
BTTS42%17%67%
Clean Sheet33%50%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
Radnički Sr. Mitrovica
Serbia: Prva Liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDWL1.26
HomeDLDWL1.62
AwayDLLDD0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%42%17%
AVG goals1.681.501.88
Over 1.5 %42%35%50%
Over 2.5 %18%15%21%
Over 3.5 %12%8%17%
Scored0.800.920.67
Conceded0.880.581.21
BTTS32%31%33%
Clean Sheet40%50%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Radnik SurdulicaRadnik Surdulica3778
62%
2.1
6419+45
2.2
70%
41%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3241.70.5
-
2JavorJavor3769
51%
1.9
4425+19
1.9
59%
32%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2131.20.7
-
3Mladost Novi SadMladost Novi Sad3765
46%
1.8
4331+12
2.0
59%
35%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.20.8
-
4MacvaMacva3757
43%
1.5
4033+7
2.0
51%
32%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.10.9
-
5FK VozdovacFK Vozdovac3755
38%
1.5
3829+9
1.8
51%
24%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.00.8
-
6GrafičarGrafičar3753
35%
1.4
4949+0
2.6
84%
46%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.31.3
-
7OFK VršacOFK Vršac3749
35%
1.3
3439-5
2.0
57%
30%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1110.91.1
-
8ZemunZemun3748
30%
1.3
4644+2
2.4
73%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2111.21.2
-
9Borac CacakBorac Cacak3748
35%
1.3
4649-3
2.6
78%
49%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.21.3
-
10FK TrayalFK Trayal3746
32%
1.2
4244-2
2.3
70%
43%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
11Semendrija 1924Semendrija 19243742
27%
1.1
3144-13
2.0
62%
32%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.81.2
-
12DubočicaDubočica3741
27%
1.1
4357-14
2.7
81%
49%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.21.5
-
13Radnički Sr. MitrovicaRadnički Sr. Mitrovica3740
22%
1.1
2935-6
1.7
51%
22%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.9
-
14Sloven RumaSloven Ruma3739
22%
1.1
3144-13
2.0
54%
30%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.2
-
15IndjijaIndjija3732
19%
0.9
3352-19
2.3
68%
43%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
16Sloboda UziceSloboda Uzice3731
19%
0.8
2342-19
1.8
57%
16%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.1
-
Serbia: Prva Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Serbia: Prva Liga stats & trends →

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