Zenit’s dominant home form and the model’s 71% chance of a home win make them clear favourites, especially against Akhmat’s weaker away record. The model picks a 2-0 victory as the most likely score, with a 14.1% probability, and expects 2.8 total goals, centring on a 2-goal total at 25%. Zenit averages 1.93 goals scored and only 0.57 conceded at home versus weaker opponents, while Akhmat struggles away, scoring 0.71 and conceding 1.43 against stronger teams. The model’s suggested picks reflect this imbalance: Away under 3.5 goals99.6%, Under 7.599.2%, Under 6.597.6%, Home +2 handicap97.5%, Away under 2.5 goals97.2%, Under 5.593.7%, Home or Draw90.8%, and Home +1 handicap90.8%. The probabilities for the match outcome are 71%home win, 20% draw, and 9% away win. Zenit’s recent win over Fakel and Akhmat’s draw against Krylia Sovetov add context, but the venue advantage and scoring edge keep Zenit firmly ahead.
Results analysis
Zenit’s victory over Akhmat extended their winning streak, with the 3-0 final score confirming the model’s prediction that a home win would be achieved. The model had identified Zenit as the favourite with a 71% probability, and that call proved correct. The most likely scoreline of 2-0 was close, but the match finished 3-0. Every suggested selection hit: Away under 3.5 goals at 99.6%, Under 7.5 at 99.2%, Under 6.5 at 97.6%, Home +2 handicap at 97.5%, Away under 2.5 goals at 97.2%, Under 5.5 at 93.7%, Home or Draw at 90.8%, and Home +1 handicap also at 90.8%. The model’s choices performed exceptionally well.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Zenit win✓ Hit
70.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Akhmat win✗ Miss
9.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Zenit
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.90
0.57
1.80
0.53
2.00
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
0.67
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.50
vs Weaker (27)
2.04
0.52
1.93
0.57
2.15
0.46
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Akhmat) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akhmat
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.77
1.47
2.20
0.87
1.33
vs Stronger (13)
0.77
1.92
0.83
2.50
0.71
1.43
vs Similar (16)
1.38
1.56
1.75
1.88
1.00
1.25
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
3.00
3.00
3.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Zenit) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.4%
Under 1.5
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
52.6%
Under 2.5
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.3%
Under 3.5
69.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.0%
No
57.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
14.1%
1-0
12.4%
3-0 ✓
10.0%
1-1
9.5%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
7.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-0
5.3%
Zenit goals ↓
Akhmat goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.1%
3.2%
1.3%
0.3%
0.0%
1
12%
9.5%
2.8%
0.6%
0.1%
2
14%
9.2%
3.0%
0.6%
0.1%
3
10.0%
6.5%
2.1%
0.5%
0.1%
4
5.3%
3.5%
1.1%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zenit goals (down), columns = Akhmat goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Zenit
2.58
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.50
Chayka
2.33
Volgar Astrakhan
2.33
Lokomotiv
2.27
Amkal
2.25
Kuban Kholding
2.25
Spartak Kostroma
2.20
Ural
2.17
Spartak Moscow
2.00
FC Sochi
2.00
Tekstilshchik
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Mashuk-KMV
2.00
Luki-Energiya
2.00
Orel
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Tver
2.00
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
2.00
CSKA Moscow
1.92
FC Rostov
1.85
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.75
Kompozit
1.75
Amkar
1.60
Rodina Moskva
1.50
Torpedo Moskva
1.50
FK Sokol Saratov
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
Kristall
1.50
Pobeda
1.50
2Drots
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Forte Taganrog
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Zenit Penza
1.50
Temp Barnaul
1.50
Dinamo Stavropol
1.50
Salyut-Belgorod
1.50
Ryazan
1.50
Novosibirsk
1.50
Torpedo Miass
1.50
Biolog
1.50
Baltika
1.33
Chelyabinsk
1.33
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.33
Dynamo
1.27
Akron
1.25
FC Krasnodar
1.25
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.25
Znamya Truda
1.25
Akhmat
1.20
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.12
Rubin
1.11
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FK Neftekhimik
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
Leningradets
1.00
Chernomorets
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Murom
1.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
1.00
Pskov 747
1.00
Khimki
0.71
Nizhny Novgorod
0.67
Fakel
0.50
FC Orenburg
0.50
FC UFA
0.50
Lada Tolyatti
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
Sokol Kazan
0.50
Krylia Sovetov
0.17
Enisey
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
KAMAZ
0.00
Veles
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
KDV
0.00
Legion Dynamo
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
0.00
Dinamo Barnaul
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Nosta
0.00
FK Spartak Tambov
0.00
Druzhba
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
ZOV
0.00
Kolomna
0.00
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
0.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
0.00
Sakhalin
0.00
Zenit is 1.38 points better than Akhmat in terms of average points per game (2.58 vs 1.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Chernomorets
3.00
Amkal
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
3.00
Orel
2.67
FC Sochi
2.50
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.50
Forte Taganrog
2.50
Torpedo Vladimir
2.50
Temp Barnaul
2.50
Lokomotiv
2.09
Spartak Moscow
2.00
Rodina Moskva
2.00
Tekstilshchik
2.00
FK Sokol Saratov
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Volgar Astrakhan
2.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
2.00
Kristall
2.00
Kuban Kholding
2.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.00
KDV
2.00
Ryazan
2.00
Novosibirsk
2.00
FK Spartak Tambov
2.00
Murom
2.00
ZOV
2.00
Zenit
1.92
Dynamo
1.91
Luki-Energiya
1.75
Baltika
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Chayka
1.67
Lada Tolyatti
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Tver
1.50
Sokol Kazan
1.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
1.50
Spartak Kostroma
1.40
FC Rostov
1.38
Krylia Sovetov
1.33
Akhmat
1.30
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.25
Kompozit
1.25
Amkar
1.20
Ural
1.17
CSKA Moscow
1.15
Akron
1.12
FC Orenburg
1.00
FC Krasnodar
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Torpedo Moskva
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Pobeda
1.00
Dinamo Vologda
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Zenit Penza
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Kaluga
1.00
Nart Cherkessk
1.00
Legion Dynamo
1.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.00
Dinamo Barnaul
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
1.00
Anri Vladivostok
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Biolog
1.00
Pskov 747
1.00
Kolomna
1.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
1.00
Khimki
0.86
Nizhny Novgorod
0.83
Rubin
0.78
Chelyabinsk
0.67
FC UFA
0.50
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
Fakel
0.33
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
Enisey
0.00
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Veles
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
0.00
Sakhalin
0.00
Zenit is 0.62 goals better than Akhmat in terms of goals scored per game (1.92 vs 1.30).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Chayka
0.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.00
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.25
CSKA Moscow
0.38
Zenit
0.42
Kompozit
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Tver
0.50
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
0.50
Baltika
0.67
FC Sochi
0.75
Volga Ulyanovsk
0.75
Tyumen
0.75
Amkal
0.75
Luki-Energiya
0.75
Spartak Kostroma
0.80
Ural
0.83
Rubin
0.89
FC Rostov
0.92
Spartak Moscow
1.00
Rodina Moskva
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Enisey
1.00
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Ska-khabarovsk
1.00
Chelyabinsk
1.00
Volgar Astrakhan
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.00
Chertanovo Moscow
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Cherepovets
1.00
Broke Boys
1.00
Strogino
1.00
Spartak Nalchik
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Irkutsk
1.00
Nosta
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Pskov 747
1.00
Lokomotiv
1.09
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.38
Akhmat
1.40
Amkar
1.40
FC Krasnodar
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
Kuban Kholding
1.50
Pobeda
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Forte Taganrog
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Ryazan
1.50
Biolog
1.50
Fakel
1.67
FC Orenburg
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Orel
1.67
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.67
Dynamo
1.73
Nizhny Novgorod
1.83
Akron
1.88
KAMAZ
2.00
Veles
2.00
Zenit Penza
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Kaluga
2.00
Nart Cherkessk
2.00
Legion Dynamo
2.00
Dinamo Barnaul
2.00
Ilpar
2.00
Avangard Kursk
2.00
Sokol Kazan
2.00
Murom
2.00
Druzhba
2.00
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
2.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
2.00
Sakhalin
2.00
Khimki
2.43
Torpedo Moskva
2.50
FK Sokol Saratov
2.50
Lada Tolyatti
2.50
Kristall
2.50
Temp Barnaul
2.50
Novosibirsk
2.50
Chernomorets
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
3.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
3.00
ZOV
3.00
Krylia Sovetov
3.67
Zvezda St. Petersburg
4.00
Dinamo Bryansk
4.00
FK Spartak Tambov
4.00
Dinamo Kirov
4.50
Urozhay
5.00
KDV
5.00
Anri Vladivostok
5.00
Kolomna
8.00
Zenit is 0.98 goals better than Akhmat in terms of goals conceded per game (0.42 vs 1.40).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Zenit
For 5.9 · Against 3.7 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.9 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.9 · Against 13.2 · Total 22.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Akhmat
For 5.1 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 14.7 · Total 26.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Zenit
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
10.3
9.0
3.5
4.0
3.0
21.7
22.6
20.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
10.0
12.0
8.0
5.5
5.7
5.3
29.0
29.0
29.0
vs Weaker (44)
9.6
10.0
9.2
3.2
3.7
2.7
20.5
21.6
19.4
% over line
41%
45%
36%
48%
56%
40%
48%
59%
36%
% under line
59%
55%
64%
52%
44%
60%
52%
41%
64%
This opponent (Akhmat) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akhmat
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.2
9.1
4.2
4.6
3.8
24.1
24.3
24.0
vs Stronger (21)
9.9
9.9
9.9
4.1
4.0
4.2
25.0
25.4
24.7
vs Similar (28)
9.4
10.2
8.6
4.2
4.9
3.4
23.2
23.0
23.5
vs Weaker (1)
14.0
14.0
-
5.0
5.0
-
32.0
32.0
-
% over line
56%
68%
43%
60%
72%
48%
66%
77%
55%
% under line
44%
32%
57%
40%
28%
52%
34%
23%
45%
This opponent (Zenit) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lokomotiv
11.3
Shinnik Yaroslavl
11.3
FC Orenburg
11.0
Khimki
10.8
Dynamo
10.7
Arsenal Tula
10.7
Ural
10.4
Baltika
10.2
Spartak Moscow
10.0
FK Neftekhimik
10.0
Chernomorets
9.9
Zenit
9.8
Akron
9.8
Nizhny Novgorod
9.6
Enisey
9.6
Volgar Astrakhan
9.6
FC Rostov
9.6
Akhmat
9.6
Fakel
9.5
Veles
9.4
Rubin
9.4
Urozhay
9.3
FC Sochi
9.3
Krylia Sovetov
9.3
FC Krasnodar
9.1
Dinamo Makhachkala
9.1
FK Sokol Saratov
9.1
CSKA Moscow
9.0
KAMAZ
8.8
FC UFA
8.7
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.7
Rodina Moskva
8.5
Ska-khabarovsk
8.4
Leningradets
8.4
Tyumen
8.3
Torpedo Moskva
7.7
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fakel
5.3
KAMAZ
5.2
Akhmat
5.1
Spartak Moscow
4.9
Lokomotiv
4.9
FC UFA
4.8
Veles
4.7
FC Rostov
4.6
Krylia Sovetov
4.6
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.6
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.5
Dynamo
4.5
Nizhny Novgorod
4.4
Rubin
4.3
CSKA Moscow
4.3
Urozhay
4.3
Rodina Moskva
4.3
FC Orenburg
4.2
Volgar Astrakhan
4.2
FC Krasnodar
4.2
Zenit
4.1
Khimki
4.1
Torpedo Moskva
4.1
Ural
4.0
Enisey
3.9
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3.7
FK Neftekhimik
3.6
Ska-khabarovsk
3.6
Chernomorets
3.6
Tyumen
3.6
Baltika
3.6
FC Sochi
3.6
Chayka
3.6
Akron
3.4
Leningradets
3.4
Arsenal Tula
3.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2.8
FK Sokol Saratov
2.8
Rotor Volgograd
2.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rodina Moskva
30.5
Enisey
28.5
Fakel
26.8
Dinamo Makhachkala
25.4
Nizhny Novgorod
24.8
Rubin
24.6
Spartak Moscow
24.5
Akhmat
24.0
Lokomotiv
23.7
Khimki
23.5
Arsenal Tula
23.5
FC Orenburg
23.3
FC Rostov
23.3
Krylia Sovetov
23.1
Torpedo Moskva
23.0
Ural
23.0
Dynamo
22.9
FC Krasnodar
22.9
CSKA Moscow
22.6
Baltika
22.3
FC Sochi
22.0
Zenit
21.2
Akron
19.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
50.0%
Under 9.5
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
66.8%
Under 3.5
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
76.0%
Under 21.5
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Zenit or Draw✓ Hit
90.8%
Avg Implied -
71%
20%
9%
covers Zenit + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Zenit or Akhmat✓ Hit
80.0%
Avg Implied -
71%
20%
9%
covers Zenit + Akhmat
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Akhmat✗ Miss
29.2%
Avg Implied -
71%
20%
9%
covers Draw + Akhmat
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Zenit over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
88.1%
Under
11.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zenit over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
62.8%
Under
37.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zenit over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
35.8%
Under
64.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zenit over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
16.7%
Under
83.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
47.9%
Under
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
13.9%
Under
86.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
2.8%
Under
97.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.4%
Under
99.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Zenit, so a minus line means Zenit give that many goals of a start and Akhmat receive them. At -1, Zenit must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Zenit win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Zenit)Actual: Zenit
Zenit -2
25.1%
Draw -2
21.8%
Akhmat +2
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Zenit)Actual: Zenit
Zenit -1
46.9%
Draw -1
23.9%
Akhmat +1
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Zenit)Actual: Zenit
Zenit +1
90.8%
Draw +1
6.7%
Akhmat -1
2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Zenit)Actual: Zenit
Zenit +2
97.5%
Draw +2
2.0%
Akhmat -2
0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Zenit
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.13
0.87
0.07
1.13
0.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (27)
1.11
0.11
0.93
0.07
1.31
0.15
Clean sheet %
87% (+58pp vs league)
This opponent (Akhmat) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akhmat
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.90
0.73
1.13
0.27
0.67
vs Stronger (13)
0.31
0.92
0.67
1.33
0.00
0.57
vs Similar (16)
0.69
0.88
0.88
1.00
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Zenit) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zenit over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zenit over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zenit over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Zenit
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.43
0.93
0.47
0.87
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
0.67
0.67
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (27)
0.93
0.41
1.00
0.50
0.85
0.31
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Akhmat) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Akhmat
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.87
0.73
1.07
0.60
0.67
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
1.00
0.17
1.17
0.71
0.86
vs Similar (16)
0.69
0.69
0.88
0.88
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
2.00
3.00
2.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Zenit) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zenit over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zenit over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zenit over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Akhmat over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
90.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
90.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
88.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
87.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home win
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Zenit
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luciano Gondou39%
Wilson Isidor33%
Maksim Glushenkov30%
Mateo Cassierra27%
Andrey Mostovoy26%
Pedro19%
Luiz Henrique18%
Aleksandr Sobolev13%
Gustavo Mantuan11%
Aleksandr Erokhin10%
Artur9%
Nino7%
Nuraly Alip5%
Wendel5%
Ilzat Akhmetov0%
Wílmar Barrios0%
Denis Adamov0%
Evgeny Latyshonok0%
Vyacheslav Karavaev0%
Claudinho0%
Douglas Santos0%
Vanja Drkušić0%
Yuri Gorshkov0%
Saša Zdjelar0%
Ivan Sergeev0%
Strahinja Eraković0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ognjen Mimović25%
Gustavo Mantuan22%
Wendel18%
Luiz Henrique18%
Wílmar Barrios14%
Strahinja Eraković14%
Aleksandr Sobolev13%
Luciano Gondou13%
Claudinho12%
Maksim Glushenkov10%
Nino10%
Artur9%
Nuraly Alip5%
Aleksandr Erokhin5%
Pedro4%
Evgeny Latyshonok4%
Andrey Mostovoy4%
Douglas Santos3%
Ilzat Akhmetov0%
Denis Adamov0%
Vyacheslav Karavaev0%
Mateo Cassierra0%
Vanja Drkušić0%
Yuri Gorshkov0%
Saša Zdjelar0%
Wilson Isidor0%
Ivan Sergeev0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ivan Sergeev33%
Wendel32%
Claudinho25%
Artur18%
Andrey Mostovoy15%
Gustavo Mantuan15%
Pedro12%
Maksim Glushenkov10%
Mateo Cassierra10%
Douglas Santos10%
Luiz Henrique9%
Aleksandr Sobolev9%
Yuri Gorshkov7%
Nuraly Alip5%
Strahinja Eraković5%
Luciano Gondou4%
Nino3%
Ilzat Akhmetov0%
Wílmar Barrios0%
Aleksandr Erokhin0%
Denis Adamov0%
Evgeny Latyshonok0%
Vyacheslav Karavaev0%
Vanja Drkušić0%
Saša Zdjelar0%
Wilson Isidor0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Maksim Glushenkov45%
Luiz Henrique27%
Claudinho25%
Aleksandr Sobolev17%
Luciano Gondou17%
Mateo Cassierra17%
Artur9%
Aleksandr Erokhin5%
Wendel5%
Andrey Mostovoy4%
Gustavo Mantuan4%
Ilzat Akhmetov0%
Wílmar Barrios0%
Denis Adamov0%
Evgeny Latyshonok0%
Vyacheslav Karavaev0%
Nino0%
Douglas Santos0%
Vanja Drkušić0%
Yuri Gorshkov0%
Saša Zdjelar0%
Nuraly Alip0%
Wilson Isidor0%
Ivan Sergeev0%
Strahinja Eraković0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Pedro0%
Akhmat
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Georgi Melkadze29%
Maksim Samorodov23%
Felippe Cardoso17%
Daniil Zorin17%
Lucas Lovat14%
Amine Talal10%
Aleksandr Zhirov10%
Nader Ghandri9%
Mauro Luna Diale7%
Lechi Sadulaev7%
Daniil Utkin6%
Vladislav Kamilov4%
Arsen Adamov3%
Darko Todorović0%
Miroslav Bogosavac0%
Svetoslav Kovachev0%
Giorgi Shelia0%
Leo Goglichidze0%
Miloš Šatara0%
Bernard Berisha0%
Anton Shvets0%
Ismael Silva Lima0%
Gamid Agalarov0%
Camilo0%
Zaim Divanović0%
Rodrigo Ruiz Díaz0%
Vadim Ulyanov0%
Turpal-Ali Ibishev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nader Ghandri45%
Camilo38%
Gamid Agalarov33%
Svetoslav Kovachev30%
Lucas Lovat29%
Georgi Melkadze29%
Ismael Silva Lima26%
Felippe Cardoso25%
Darko Todorović24%
Anton Shvets20%
Vladislav Kamilov19%
Lechi Sadulaev17%
Turpal-Ali Ibishev16%
Daniil Utkin12%
Amine Talal10%
Aleksandr Zhirov10%
Daniil Zorin8%
Bernard Berisha8%
Maksim Samorodov8%
Mauro Luna Diale7%
Miloš Šatara6%
Giorgi Shelia4%
Arsen Adamov3%
Miroslav Bogosavac0%
Leo Goglichidze0%
Zaim Divanović0%
Rodrigo Ruiz Díaz0%
Vadim Ulyanov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Georgi Melkadze21%
Maksim Samorodov15%
Lechi Sadulaev13%
Daniil Utkin12%
Rodrigo Ruiz Díaz8%
Bernard Berisha8%
Mauro Luna Diale7%
Amine Talal5%
Vladislav Kamilov4%
Giorgi Shelia4%
Darko Todorović3%
Arsen Adamov3%
Lucas Lovat0%
Miroslav Bogosavac0%
Nader Ghandri0%
Felippe Cardoso0%
Svetoslav Kovachev0%
Aleksandr Zhirov0%
Leo Goglichidze0%
Miloš Šatara0%
Anton Shvets0%
Ismael Silva Lima0%
Gamid Agalarov0%
Camilo0%
Zaim Divanović0%
Vadim Ulyanov0%
Turpal-Ali Ibishev0%
Daniil Zorin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Felippe Cardoso33%
Georgi Melkadze29%
Lechi Sadulaev23%
Maksim Samorodov19%
Svetoslav Kovachev10%
Nader Ghandri9%
Mauro Luna Diale7%
Anton Shvets7%
Daniil Utkin6%
Amine Talal5%
Aleksandr Zhirov5%
Arsen Adamov3%
Darko Todorović0%
Lucas Lovat0%
Miroslav Bogosavac0%
Giorgi Shelia0%
Leo Goglichidze0%
Vladislav Kamilov0%
Miloš Šatara0%
Bernard Berisha0%
Ismael Silva Lima0%
Gamid Agalarov0%
Camilo0%
Zaim Divanović0%
Rodrigo Ruiz Díaz0%
Vadim Ulyanov0%
Turpal-Ali Ibishev0%
Daniil Zorin0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
NN (28)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FS (21)
€15m
FAK (26)
€14m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Zenit's squad is €151m more valuable than Akhmat's (€182m vs €30m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FAK (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Zenit's attack is €83m more valuable than Akhmat's (€100m vs €17m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FAK (4)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Zenit's midfield is €27m more valuable than Akhmat's (€31m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
FS (11)
€9m
AKH (10)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Zenit's defence is €42m more valuable than Akhmat's (€50m vs €9m).
Russia: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →
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FC Krasnodar
CSKA Moscow
Spartak Moscow
Dynamo
Lokomotiv
Rubin
FC Rostov
Akron
Krylia Sovetov
Nizhny Novgorod
Dinamo Makhachkala
Khimki
FC Orenburg
Fakel
FC Sochi
Ural