Zenit’s defensive solidity is on full display, having conceded just 0.62 goals per game at home against weaker opposition. Their recent 0-2 loss to Spartak Moscow suggests a cautious start, but the team’s 1.62 average goals scored at home indicates they can still find the net. CSKA Moscow, fresh from a 3-2 win over Lokomotiv, has shown resilience away, averaging 1.62 goals scored and 0.62 conceded on the road. The model projects a tight, low-scoring affair with an expected 2.2 goals and a 2-goal total most likely. The single most probable scoreline is 1-0 for Zenit, a 14.5% chance. Home win is favoured, with a 53% chance, draw 29% and away win 18%. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 goals at 99.8%, Away under 3.5 goals at 99.2%, Under 6.5 at 99.2%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.2%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.8%, Under 5.5 at 97.3%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.0% and Away under 2.5 goals at 95.8%.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Zenit win
53.2%
Avg Implied 58.8% · @ 1.61
Edge
-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.63
Pinnacle
1.61
Dafabet
1.60
SBO
1.52
Draw
28.2%
Avg Implied 23.7% · @ 3.99
Edge
+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.10
Dafabet
4.10
Pinnacle
3.94
SBO
3.59
CSKA Moscow win
18.6%
Avg Implied 17.6% · @ 5.37
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
5.60
1xBet
5.58
Pinnacle
5.50
Marathonbet
5.45
SBO
4.73
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Zenit
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
0.50
1.53
0.53
1.53
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.75
0.75
1.00
0.33
0.00
2.00
vs Weaker (26)
1.65
0.46
1.67
0.58
1.64
0.36
Clean sheet %
67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
CSKA Moscow
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.30
1.53
1.20
1.07
1.40
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
3.00
1.00
3.00
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.44
2.00
2.50
2.00
0.60
2.00
vs Weaker (20)
1.25
0.90
1.20
0.70
1.30
1.10
Clean sheet %
17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Zenit) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
68.9%
@ 1.24-5.8%
Under 1.5
31.1%
@ 3.67+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.26
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
Under
Pinnacle
3.81
Marathonbet
3.60
1xBet
3.60
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
41.3%
@ 1.83-11.2%
Under 2.5
58.7%
@ 2.03+11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.88
Pinnacle
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
SBO
1.79
Under
1xBet
2.07
SBO
2.03
Pinnacle
2.02
Marathonbet
2.00
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
20.8%
@ 2.90-11.1%
Under 3.5
79.2%
@ 1.36+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.01
Marathonbet
2.85
1xBet
2.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.38
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
Both teams to score
Yes
44.6%
@ 1.81-6.7%
No
55.4%
@ 1.90+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.81
No
1xBet
1.91
Marathonbet
1.89
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.6%@ 6.51+6.9%
1-1
13.1%@ 7.03+6.9%
2-0
11.3%@ 7.25+5.3%
0-0
10.9%@ 12.10+7.3%
2-1
9.1%@ 7.51+3.3%
0-1
6.6%@ 13.65+3.4%
3-0
5.8%@ 11.68+2.0%
1-2
4.8%@ 16.03+2.1%
Zenit goals ↓
CSKA Moscow goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
6.6%
3.1%
0.8%
0.2%
1
14%
13%
4.8%
1.3%
0.3%
2
11%
9.1%
3.7%
1.0%
0.2%
3
5.8%
4.7%
1.9%
0.5%
0.1%
4
2.2%
1.8%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zenit goals (down), columns = CSKA Moscow goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Krasnodar
3.00
Spartak Moscow
2.17
CSKA Moscow
2.00
Zenit
2.00
Dynamo
1.67
Baltika
1.67
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.50
Rubin
1.50
FC Orenburg
1.17
Krylia Sovetov
1.00
Akhmat
1.00
FC Rostov
0.83
Rodina Moskva
0.67
Akron
0.50
Lokomotiv
0.50
Fakel
0.33
Zenit and CSKA Moscow are level in average points per game (both 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Zenit
2.17
Spartak Moscow
1.83
FC Krasnodar
1.83
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.67
Baltika
1.67
CSKA Moscow
1.50
Akhmat
1.50
Rubin
1.50
Krylia Sovetov
1.33
Dynamo
1.33
Rodina Moskva
1.33
FC Rostov
1.17
Akron
1.00
Lokomotiv
0.83
FC Orenburg
0.83
Fakel
0.50
Zenit is 0.67 goals better than CSKA Moscow in terms of goals scored per game (2.17 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Krasnodar
0.67
Zenit
0.67
Spartak Moscow
0.83
CSKA Moscow
1.00
Baltika
1.00
Fakel
1.17
Dynamo
1.17
FC Orenburg
1.17
Akhmat
1.33
Lokomotiv
1.33
Rubin
1.33
Krylia Sovetov
1.67
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.67
FC Rostov
1.67
Akron
2.50
Rodina Moskva
2.83
Zenit is 0.33 goals better than CSKA Moscow in terms of goals conceded per game (0.67 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Dynamo
63%
Spartak Moscow
62%
Zenit
60%
CSKA Moscow
57%
FC Krasnodar
57%
Akron
54%
Lokomotiv
51%
FC Rostov
49%
Fakel
48%
Akhmat
47%
Rubin
47%
Krylia Sovetov
46%
Rodina Moskva
44%
Dinamo Makhachkala
40%
FC Orenburg
39%
Baltika
36%
Zenit is 2.2 percentage points better than CSKA Moscow in terms of average possession (60% vs 57%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Zenit
For 6.0 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 15.5 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
CSKA Moscow
For 4.2 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 14.1 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Zenit
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
8.9
9.9
4.0
3.7
4.2
27.1
26.7
27.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
9.0
6.0
11.0
5.8
3.7
8.0
29.4
31.5
28.0
vs Weaker (44)
9.5
9.2
9.7
3.7
3.7
3.7
26.8
26.1
27.4
% over line
46%
39%
53%
52%
52%
52%
86%
76%
95%
% under line
54%
61%
47%
48%
48%
48%
14%
24%
5%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
CSKA Moscow
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
10.5
10.3
4.2
3.9
4.5
26.6
26.6
26.7
vs Stronger (2)
9.5
9.0
10.0
4.0
5.0
3.0
26.0
23.0
29.0
vs Similar (15)
9.7
10.0
9.2
4.5
4.4
4.6
25.3
25.4
25.2
vs Weaker (33)
10.8
10.8
10.7
4.0
3.6
4.5
27.1
27.2
27.0
% over line
57%
57%
56%
50%
42%
58%
86%
81%
93%
% under line
43%
43%
44%
50%
58%
42%
14%
19%
7%
This opponent (Zenit) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
CSKA Moscow
10.3
Rodina Moskva
10.0
Dynamo
9.7
FC Orenburg
9.7
Zenit
9.7
Krylia Sovetov
9.4
Akhmat
9.4
Akron
9.3
Fakel
9.2
Spartak Moscow
9.1
Dinamo Makhachkala
8.9
Lokomotiv
8.9
FC Krasnodar
8.6
Rubin
8.4
FC Rostov
8.3
Baltika
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Spartak Moscow
5.4
Baltika
5.1
FC Krasnodar
4.9
FC Rostov
4.8
Krylia Sovetov
4.7
Lokomotiv
4.6
Rubin
4.5
FC Orenburg
4.5
Akhmat
4.5
CSKA Moscow
4.5
Dynamo
4.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.3
Zenit
4.1
Fakel
4.0
Akron
4.0
Rodina Moskva
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Spartak Moscow
30.3
Baltika
30.2
FC Orenburg
29.1
FC Rostov
29.1
Rubin
28.8
Akhmat
28.5
FC Krasnodar
28.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
28.4
Rodina Moskva
28.2
Fakel
27.8
Dynamo
27.7
Lokomotiv
27.5
Akron
27.2
Zenit
26.8
CSKA Moscow
26.7
Krylia Sovetov
26.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
46.8%
@ 2.40+8.7%
Under 9.5
53.2%
@ 1.48-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.41
Marathonbet
2.40
Under
Marathonbet
1.48
1xBet
1.48
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
63.7%
Under 3.5
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
87.5%
Under 21.5
12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Zenit or Draw
81.4%
Avg Implied 82.4% · @ 1.15
Edge
-1.0%
53%
28%
19%
covers Zenit + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
SBO
1.10
Zenit or CSKA Moscow
71.8%
Avg Implied 76.4% · @ 1.24
Edge
-4.6%
53%
28%
19%
covers Zenit + CSKA Moscow
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
SBO
1.19
Draw or CSKA Moscow
46.8%
Avg Implied 41.1% · @ 2.30
Edge
+5.6%
53%
28%
19%
covers Draw + CSKA Moscow
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.34
Marathonbet
2.34
SBO
2.23
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Zenit over/under 0.5
Over
78.3%
@ 1.12-4.5%
Under
21.7%
@ 5.40+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.12
Under
1xBet
5.40
Zenit over/under 1.5
Over
45.2%
@ 1.70-10.3%
Under
54.8%
@ 2.13+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
Pinnacle
1.69
Under
Pinnacle
2.16
1xBet
2.11
Marathonbet
2.11
Zenit over/under 2.5
Over
19.9%
@ 3.15-9.8%
Under
80.1%
@ 1.33+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.24
1xBet
3.10
Marathonbet
3.10
Under
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
Zenit over/under 3.5
Over
6.9%
@ 6.30-7.6%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.07+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.30
1xBet
6.30
Under
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
CSKA Moscow over/under 0.5
Over
55.3%
@ 1.57-4.2%
Under
44.7%
@ 2.30+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.58
Marathonbet
1.56
1xBet
1.56
Under
Pinnacle
2.37
1xBet
2.27
Marathonbet
2.27
CSKA Moscow over/under 1.5
Over
19.3%
@ 3.83-5.2%
Under
80.7%
@ 1.25+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.93
1xBet
3.78
Marathonbet
3.78
Under
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
CSKA Moscow over/under 2.5
Over
4.8%
@ 10.22-4.2%
Under
95.2%
@ 1.02+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.25
1xBet
10.20
Under
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
CSKA Moscow over/under 3.5
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Zenit, so a minus line means Zenit give that many goals of a start and CSKA Moscow receive them. At -1, Zenit must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Zenit win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Zenit)
Zenit -2
11.7%
@ 4.80-7.0%
Draw -2
16.7%
@ 4.65-2.5%
CSKA Moscow +2
71.6%
@ 1.44+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.80
Draw
Marathonbet
4.65
Away
Marathonbet
1.44
Handicap -1 (Zenit)
Zenit -1
28.4%
@ 2.61-6.3%
Draw -1
24.8%
@ 3.40-1.8%
CSKA Moscow +1
46.8%
@ 2.34+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.61
Draw
Marathonbet
3.40
Away
Marathonbet
2.34
Handicap +1 (Zenit)
Zenit +1
81.4%
@ 1.17+13.8%
Draw +1
12.5%
@ 4.10-6.8%
CSKA Moscow -1
6.0%
@ 6.05-7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.17
Draw
Marathonbet
4.10
Away
Marathonbet
6.05
Handicap +2 (Zenit)
Zenit +2
94.0%
Draw +2
4.7%
CSKA Moscow -2
1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Zenit
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.17
0.87
0.07
0.67
0.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.50
0.50
0.67
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Weaker (26)
0.81
0.12
0.92
0.08
0.71
0.14
Clean sheet %
87% (+60pp vs league)
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
CSKA Moscow
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.60
0.53
0.73
0.40
0.47
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.44
0.89
0.50
1.00
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (20)
0.45
0.45
0.50
0.60
0.40
0.30
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Zenit) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
72.3%
@ 1.36+3.0%
Under 0.5
27.7%
@ 3.05-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Under
Pinnacle
3.08
1xBet
3.04
Marathonbet
3.04
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
36.6%
@ 2.70+1.8%
Under 1.5
63.4%
@ 1.44-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.77
1xBet
2.66
Marathonbet
2.66
Under
Marathonbet
1.45
1xBet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.42
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
11.9%
@ 6.20-2.9%
Under 2.5
88.1%
@ 1.08+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.20
1xBet
6.20
Under
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zenit over/under 0.5 HT
Over
60.0%
@ 1.67+3.9%
Under
40.0%
@ 2.12-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.67
1xBet
1.66
Under
Pinnacle
2.16
1xBet
2.09
Zenit over/under 1.5 HT
Over
20.7%
@ 4.33-0.7%
Under
79.3%
@ 1.18+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.33
1xBet
4.33
Under
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Zenit over/under 2.5 HT
Over
5.2%
Under
94.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
CSKA Moscow over/under 0.5 HT
Over
30.9%
@ 2.81-2.2%
Under
69.1%
@ 1.39+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.99
1xBet
2.72
Marathonbet
2.72
Under
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
CSKA Moscow over/under 1.5 HT
Over
5.7%
@ 10.72-2.9%
Under
94.3%
@ 1.01+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.75
1xBet
10.70
Under
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
CSKA Moscow over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.6%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Zenit
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.33
0.67
0.47
0.87
0.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.25
0.25
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (26)
0.85
0.35
0.75
0.50
0.93
0.21
Clean sheet %
80% (+53pp vs league)
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
CSKA Moscow
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.70
1.00
0.47
0.67
0.93
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.00
1.11
2.00
1.00
0.20
1.20
vs Weaker (20)
0.80
0.45
0.70
0.10
0.90
0.80
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Zenit) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.5%
@ 1.21+0.7%
Under 0.5
22.5%
@ 4.00-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
Under
Marathonbet
4.00
1xBet
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
40.0%
@ 2.03-6.7%
Under 1.5
60.0%
@ 1.78+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.03
1xBet
2.03
Under
Marathonbet
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
16.9%
@ 4.10-5.8%
Under 2.5
83.1%
@ 1.20+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.10
1xBet
4.10
Under
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zenit over/under 0.5 2H
Over
59.1%
@ 1.44-5.1%
Under
40.9%
@ 2.58+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.44
Under
1xBet
2.58
Zenit over/under 1.5 2H
Over
28.5%
@ 3.10-1.4%
Under
71.5%
@ 1.32+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.10
1xBet
3.10
Under
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
Zenit over/under 2.5 2H
Over
7.0%
@ 8.70-3.5%
Under
93.0%
@ 1.02+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.70
Under
1xBet
1.02
CSKA Moscow over/under 0.5 2H
Over
36.2%
@ 2.25-4.9%
Under
63.8%
@ 1.57+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.25
Under
1xBet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.57
CSKA Moscow over/under 1.5 2H
Over
7.6%
@ 7.80-4.3%
Under
92.4%
@ 1.05+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.80
Marathonbet
7.80
Under
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
CSKA Moscow over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
95.2%
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
+4.2%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
94.3%
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.9%
Over 19.5 fouls
94.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
94.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
93.1%
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.07
-
-
-
+7.6%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.0%
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.5%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
92.4%
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
-
-
-
+4.3%
Under 4.5
91.2%
1.11
Pinnacle
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
-
-
+8.4%
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.1%
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
-
-
-
+2.9%
Over 21.5 fouls
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.1%
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
-
-
-
+5.8%
Home or Draw
81.4%
1.15
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
SBO
1.10
-
-
-1.0%
Home +1 handicap
81.4%
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
-
-
-
-
+13.8%
Over 2.5 cards
81.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
80.7%
1.25
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
-
-
+5.2%
Home under 2.5 goals
80.1%
1.33
Marathonbet
1.33
1xBet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.32
-
-
+9.8%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
79.3%
1.18
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
-
-
-
+0.7%
Under 3.5
79.2%
1.36
Pinnacle
1.38
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
-
-
+11.1%
Home over 0.5 goals
78.3%
1.12
1xBet
1.12
-
-
-
-
-4.5%
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.5%
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
-
-
-
+0.7%
Over 23.5 fouls
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
76.0%
1.10
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.09
-
-
-
-5.4%
Under 5.5 cards
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.3%
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
-
-
+3.0%
Home or Away
71.8%
1.24
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.26
SBO
1.19
-
-
-4.6%
Away +2 handicap
71.6%
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
-
-
-
-
+9.5%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
71.5%
1.32
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
-
-
-
+1.4%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Zenit
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Maksim Glushenkov60%
Aleksandr Sobolev50%
Jhon Jhon20%
Gustavo Mantuan17%
Felipe Augusto17%
Igor Diveev0%
Wílmar Barrios0%
Wendel0%
Denis Adamov0%
Nino0%
Kevin Andrade0%
Douglas Santos0%
Nuraly Alip0%
Luiz Henrique0%
Román Vega0%
Pedro0%
Daniil Kondakov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Wendel60%
Maksim Glushenkov40%
Román Vega33%
Wílmar Barrios17%
Kevin Andrade17%
Igor Diveev0%
Denis Adamov0%
Nino0%
Douglas Santos0%
Aleksandr Sobolev0%
Nuraly Alip0%
Luiz Henrique0%
Gustavo Mantuan0%
Jhon Jhon0%
Felipe Augusto0%
Pedro0%
Daniil Kondakov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Maksim Glushenkov40%
Pedro40%
Wendel20%
Jhon Jhon20%
Aleksandr Sobolev17%
Igor Diveev0%
Wílmar Barrios0%
Denis Adamov0%
Nino0%
Kevin Andrade0%
Douglas Santos0%
Nuraly Alip0%
Luiz Henrique0%
Gustavo Mantuan0%
Román Vega0%
Felipe Augusto0%
Daniil Kondakov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Maksim Glushenkov60%
Igor Diveev17%
Kevin Andrade17%
Aleksandr Sobolev17%
Román Vega17%
Felipe Augusto17%
Wílmar Barrios0%
Wendel0%
Denis Adamov0%
Nino0%
Douglas Santos0%
Nuraly Alip0%
Luiz Henrique0%
Gustavo Mantuan0%
Jhon Jhon0%
Pedro0%
Daniil Kondakov0%
CSKA Moscow
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luciano Gondou33%
Henrique Carmo25%
Matheus Alves20%
Ivan Oblyakov17%
Kirill Danilov17%
Kirill Glebov17%
Matija Popović17%
Milan Gajić0%
Dmitriy Barinov0%
Moisés0%
João Victor0%
Danil Krugovoy0%
Vladislav Torop0%
Tamerlan Musaev0%
Danila Kozlov0%
Matvey Kislyak0%
Imran Firov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luciano Gondou33%
Imran Firov25%
Matheus Alves20%
João Victor17%
Vladislav Torop17%
Kirill Danilov17%
Milan Gajić0%
Dmitriy Barinov0%
Ivan Oblyakov0%
Moisés0%
Danil Krugovoy0%
Tamerlan Musaev0%
Kirill Glebov0%
Danila Kozlov0%
Matvey Kislyak0%
Matija Popović0%
Henrique Carmo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Milan Gajić25%
Matheus Alves20%
Danil Krugovoy17%
Luciano Gondou17%
Kirill Glebov17%
Matvey Kislyak17%
Dmitriy Barinov0%
Ivan Oblyakov0%
Moisés0%
João Victor0%
Vladislav Torop0%
Tamerlan Musaev0%
Kirill Danilov0%
Danila Kozlov0%
Imran Firov0%
Matija Popović0%
Henrique Carmo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Luciano Gondou33%
Ivan Oblyakov17%
Kirill Danilov17%
Matija Popović17%
Milan Gajić0%
Dmitriy Barinov0%
Moisés0%
João Victor0%
Danil Krugovoy0%
Vladislav Torop0%
Tamerlan Musaev0%
Kirill Glebov0%
Danila Kozlov0%
Matvey Kislyak0%
Matheus Alves0%
Imran Firov0%
Henrique Carmo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FAK (26)
€14m
Zenit's squad is €70m more valuable than CSKA Moscow's (€182m vs €111m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
FAK (10)
€5m
Zenit's attack is €63m more valuable than CSKA Moscow's (€100m vs €37m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
FAK (4)
€2m
Zenit's midfield is €17m less valuable than CSKA Moscow's (€31m vs €48m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
AKH (10)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
Zenit's defence is €24m more valuable than CSKA Moscow's (€50m vs €26m).
Russia: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Krasnodar
Spartak Moscow
Baltika
Dynamo
Rubin
Dinamo Makhachkala
FC Orenburg
Akhmat
Krylia Sovetov
FC Rostov
Rodina Moskva
Lokomotiv
Akron
Fakel