Zenit’s recent win over Fakel fuels the model’s confidence that they will secure a home victory, reflected in a 66% chance of winning. The Cup fixture is expected to produce an average of three goals, with the most probable total being two. The single scoreline the model deems most likely is 2-0, carrying a 11.2% probability. Zenit’s home form against weaker opposition shows they average 1.58 goals scored and 0.58 conceded, while Dinamo Makhachkala’s away record against stronger teams yields only 0.71 goals scored and 2.14 conceded. The match’s probabilities are 66% home win, 21% draw, and 13% away win. Suggested picks include Under 11.5 corners (99.6%), Under 10.5 corners (98.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.8%), Under 7.5 (98.7%), Under 9.5 corners (97.3%), Under 6.5 (96.5%), Home +2 handicap (95.6%), and Away under 2.5 goals (94.1%).
Results analysis
Zenit’s 3-0 triumph over Dinamo Makhachkala extended their two-game winning streak, confirming the model’s home-win pick with a 65% probability. The final score matched the forecast, and the pre-match favourite proved correct. The model’s selections performed exceptionally well: Under 7.5 (98.7%) hit, Away under 3.5 goals (98.7%) hit, Under 6.5 (96.5%) hit, Home +2 handicap (95.5%) hit, Away under 2.5 goals (94.0%) hit, Under 5.5 (91.3%) hit, Home over 0.5 goals (88.3%) hit, and Under 5.5 cards (87.9%) hit. All eight picks settled as predicted, underscoring the model’s accuracy for this cup encounter.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Zenit win✓ Hit
65.5%
Avg Implied 69.9% · @ 1.34
Edge
-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
Dafabet
1.34
Draw✗ Miss
21.2%
Avg Implied 19.0% · @ 4.91
Edge
+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
5.32
Marathonbet
5.25
1xBet
5.23
Superbet
4.70
Dafabet
4.70
Dinamo Makhachkala win✗ Miss
13.3%
Avg Implied 11.0% · @ 8.47
Edge
+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
9.30
Pinnacle
9.26
1xBet
9.25
Dafabet
8.00
SBO
7.53
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Zenit
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
0.50
1.47
0.53
1.53
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.75
0.75
1.00
0.33
0.00
2.00
vs Weaker (26)
1.62
0.46
1.58
0.58
1.64
0.36
Clean sheet %
67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Makhachkala) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo Makhachkala
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.23
0.92
0.92
1.06
1.47
vs Stronger (13)
0.62
1.46
0.50
0.67
0.71
2.14
vs Similar (17)
1.29
1.06
1.29
1.14
1.30
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Zenit) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.4%
@ 1.24+6.1%
Under 1.5
18.6%
@ 3.77-6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Under
Pinnacle
4.03
1xBet
3.76
Marathonbet
3.76
Superbet
3.55
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.3%
@ 1.79+5.2%
Under 2.5
41.7%
@ 2.02-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.82
Superbet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Pinnacle
1.76
Under
Pinnacle
2.10
1xBet
2.09
Marathonbet
2.07
SBO
1.96
Superbet
1.90
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.9%
@ 2.88+3.6%
Under 3.5
64.1%
@ 1.38-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.00
Pinnacle
2.97
Marathonbet
2.77
1xBet
2.77
Under
Pinnacle
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
Superbet
1.34
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.6%
@ 2.12+8.8%
No
47.4%
@ 1.65-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
2.17
1xBet
2.09
Marathonbet
2.09
No
1xBet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.66
Superbet
1.61
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
11.2%@ 5.46+3.3%
1-1
10.1%@ 8.63+5.1%
2-1
9.8%@ 8.20+4.6%
1-0
9.5%@ 5.54+1.7%
3-0 ✓
8.0%@ 7.77+2.4%
3-1
7.0%@ 11.53+3.3%
0-0
5.8%@ 11.78+2.1%
2-2
4.3%@ 23.29+2.5%
Zenit goals ↓
Dinamo Makhachkala goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.8%
3.3%
1.9%
0.6%
0.1%
1
9.5%
10%
4.0%
1.2%
0.3%
2
11%
9.8%
4.3%
1.3%
0.3%
3
8.0%
7.0%
3.1%
0.9%
0.2%
4
4.3%
3.8%
1.7%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zenit goals (down), columns = Dinamo Makhachkala goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Zenit
2.55
Volgar Astrakhan
2.33
Irkutsk
2.25
Broke Boys
2.25
Cherepovets
2.25
Kristall MEZ
2.25
Veles
2.25
Spartak Moscow
2.08
KDV
2.00
Dinamo Vologda
2.00
Luki-Energiya
2.00
Astrakhan
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Rodina Moskva
2.00
Enisey
2.00
Arsenal Tula
2.00
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2.00
FC Krasnodar
1.92
CSKA Moscow
1.75
Torpedo Moskva
1.75
Lokomotiv
1.70
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.70
Chelyabinsk
1.67
Dynamo
1.58
Zenit Penza
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.50
FK Spartak Tambov
1.50
Salyut-Belgorod
1.50
Chayka
1.50
2Drots
1.50
Ilpar
1.50
Znamya Noginsk
1.50
FK Sokol Saratov
1.50
KAMAZ
1.50
Ural
1.50
Fakel
1.33
FC Rostov
1.25
Krylia Sovetov
1.10
FC 10
1.04
Metallurg Asha
1.04
Chita
1.04
Izberbash
1.04
Iskra Smolensk
1.04
Bomik
1.04
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1.04
FC Tosno
1.04
SKA Rostov
1.04
Izhevsk
1.04
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
1.04
Anzhi
1.04
Spartak Nalchik
1.00
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.00
Dinamo Bryansk
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Tver
1.00
Torpedo Miass
1.00
Nart Cherkessk
1.00
Dinamo Kirov
1.00
Amkar
1.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Tekstilshchik
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Spartak Kostroma
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.00
Baltika
0.88
Rubin
0.86
FC Orenburg
0.78
FK Neftekhimik
0.75
Temp Barnaul
0.67
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0.67
Akron
0.67
Akhmat
0.67
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.50
Mashuk-KMV
0.50
Nizhny Novgorod
0.50
FC Sochi
0.33
Murom
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Chertanovo Moscow
0.00
Dinamo Barnaul
0.00
Kvant
0.00
Shumbrat
0.00
Kristall
0.00
Pobeda
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
0.00
Orel
0.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.00
Novosibirsk
0.00
Torpedo Vladimir
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Ryazan
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Leningradets
0.00
Rotor Volgograd
0.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Zenit is 0.85 points better than Dinamo Makhachkala in terms of average points per game (2.55 vs 1.70).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Irkutsk
3.75
Zvezda St. Petersburg
2.50
Cherepovets
2.50
Tyumen
2.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2.50
KDV
2.33
Luki-Energiya
2.33
Zenit
2.09
FC Krasnodar
2.08
Murom
2.00
Orel
2.00
Salyut-Belgorod
2.00
Astrakhan
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Kristall MEZ
2.00
Nosta
2.00
Ilpar
2.00
Veles
2.00
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.00
Spartak Moscow
1.85
Broke Boys
1.75
Torpedo Moskva
1.75
Lokomotiv
1.70
Arsenal Tula
1.60
Dynamo
1.58
CSKA Moscow
1.58
Znamya Noginsk
1.50
Rodina Moskva
1.50
Enisey
1.50
Krylia Sovetov
1.40
FC Rostov
1.38
Volgar Astrakhan
1.33
Akhmat
1.33
Fakel
1.33
FC Sochi
1.33
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.30
FC 10
1.10
Metallurg Asha
1.10
Chita
1.10
Izberbash
1.10
Iskra Smolensk
1.10
Bomik
1.10
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1.10
FC Tosno
1.10
SKA Rostov
1.10
Izhevsk
1.10
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
1.10
Anzhi
1.10
Dinamo Stavropol
1.00
Avangard Kursk
1.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.00
Chertanovo Moscow
1.00
Dinamo Barnaul
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Shumbrat
1.00
Kristall
1.00
Dinamo Vologda
1.00
FK Spartak Tambov
1.00
Dinamo Kirov
1.00
Amkar
1.00
Chayka
1.00
Akron
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
FK Sokol Saratov
1.00
Baltika
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Chelyabinsk
1.00
FK Neftekhimik
1.00
Ural
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
1.00
FC Orenburg
0.78
Rubin
0.71
Temp Barnaul
0.67
Tekstilshchik
0.67
Nizhny Novgorod
0.67
Zenit Penza
0.50
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0.33
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Irtysh Omsk
0.00
Tver
0.00
Torpedo Miass
0.00
Pobeda
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
0.00
Mashuk-KMV
0.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.00
Novosibirsk
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
Torpedo Vladimir
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Ryazan
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Leningradets
0.00
Spartak Kostroma
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Zenit is 0.79 goals better than Dinamo Makhachkala in terms of goals scored per game (2.09 vs 1.30).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Irtysh Omsk
0.00
Tver
0.00
Torpedo Miass
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
Rodina Moskva
0.00
Spartak Kostroma
0.00
Zenit Penza
0.50
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
0.50
Dinamo Vologda
0.50
2Drots
0.50
FK Sokol Saratov
0.50
KAMAZ
0.50
Volgar Astrakhan
0.67
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Tekstilshchik
0.67
Zenit
0.73
Irkutsk
0.75
FC Krasnodar
0.77
Arsenal Tula
0.80
Dynamo
0.92
Saturn Ramenskoye
1.00
KDV
1.00
Temp Barnaul
1.00
Pobeda
1.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.00
FK Spartak Tambov
1.00
Salyut-Belgorod
1.00
Dinamo Kirov
1.00
Amkar
1.00
Tyumen
1.00
Torpedo Vladimir
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Kaluga
1.00
Znamya Noginsk
1.00
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.00
Enisey
1.00
Torpedo Moskva
1.00
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.00
Ural
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Strogino
1.00
Spartak Moscow
1.08
Broke Boys
1.25
CSKA Moscow
1.25
Baltika
1.25
Veles
1.25
Rubin
1.29
Lokomotiv
1.30
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.33
Astrakhan
1.33
Fakel
1.33
Dinamo Stavropol
1.50
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.50
Mashuk-KMV
1.50
FC Rostov
1.50
Chayka
1.50
Kristall MEZ
1.50
FK Neftekhimik
1.50
FC 10
1.50
Metallurg Asha
1.50
Chita
1.50
Izberbash
1.50
Iskra Smolensk
1.50
Bomik
1.50
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod
1.50
FC Tosno
1.50
SKA Rostov
1.50
Izhevsk
1.50
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
1.50
Anzhi
1.50
Luki-Energiya
1.67
Akhmat
1.67
Cherepovets
1.75
Krylia Sovetov
1.90
Avangard Kursk
2.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
2.00
Chertanovo Moscow
2.00
Dinamo Barnaul
2.00
Novosibirsk
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Rotor Volgograd
2.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
2.00
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.00
Akron
2.17
Nizhny Novgorod
2.17
Leningradets
2.50
FC Orenburg
2.56
Murom
3.00
Kvant
3.00
Shumbrat
3.00
Kristall
3.00
Orel
3.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
3.00
Nosta
3.00
Ilpar
3.00
Ryazan
3.00
Ska-khabarovsk
3.00
FC Sochi
3.00
Anri Vladivostok
4.00
Zenit is 0.27 goals better than Dinamo Makhachkala in terms of goals conceded per game (0.73 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
CSKA Moscow
64%
Baltika
36%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Zenit
For 6.0 · Against 4.2 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 15.5 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dinamo Makhachkala
For 3.9 · Against 5.2 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 13.0 · Total 25.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Zenit
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.5
9.9
4.0
3.8
4.2
26.9
26.3
27.5
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (6)
9.0
6.0
11.0
5.8
3.7
8.0
29.4
31.5
28.0
vs Weaker (44)
9.8
9.9
9.7
3.7
3.8
3.7
26.5
25.6
27.4
% over line
49%
44%
53%
52%
52%
52%
84%
72%
95%
% under line
51%
56%
47%
48%
48%
48%
16%
28%
5%
This opponent (Dinamo Makhachkala) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo Makhachkala
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.3
9.4
4.2
4.7
3.8
28.3
29.1
27.6
vs Stronger (20)
8.7
8.6
8.9
4.2
4.6
3.8
26.1
25.8
26.4
vs Similar (30)
9.0
8.1
9.7
4.2
4.7
3.8
29.7
31.8
28.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
44%
55%
56%
65%
48%
89%
89%
90%
% under line
50%
56%
45%
44%
35%
52%
11%
11%
10%
This opponent (Zenit) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
KAMAZ
15.0
Rotor Volgograd
11.0
Chelyabinsk
11.0
Spartak Kostroma
10.5
Nizhny Novgorod
10.5
CSKA Moscow
10.3
Rodina Moskva
10.2
FC Orenburg
9.9
Dynamo
9.7
Zenit
9.6
Volgar Astrakhan
9.6
Krylia Sovetov
9.5
Akhmat
9.4
Arsenal Tula
9.3
Akron
9.3
FC Sochi
9.2
Fakel
9.2
Spartak Moscow
9.1
Tekstilshchik
9.0
Dinamo Makhachkala
8.9
Lokomotiv
8.9
Leningradets
8.9
Veles
8.8
FK Neftekhimik
8.7
FC UFA
8.7
FC Krasnodar
8.6
Torpedo Moskva
8.5
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.5
Ural
8.4
Rubin
8.4
FC Rostov
8.3
Baltika
8.2
Tyumen
7.4
Ska-khabarovsk
7.2
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
Enisey
5.5
KDV
4.0
Novosibirsk
4.0
Dinamo Bryansk
3.0
Znamya Noginsk
3.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Broke Boys
7.0
Tekstilshchik
5.5
Spartak Moscow
5.4
Baltika
5.0
FC Krasnodar
4.9
FC Rostov
4.8
Krylia Sovetov
4.7
Rubin
4.6
FC Orenburg
4.6
Lokomotiv
4.6
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.5
KAMAZ
4.5
Dynamo
4.5
CSKA Moscow
4.5
Akhmat
4.5
FC Sochi
4.4
Veles
4.4
Chelyabinsk
4.3
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.3
FC UFA
4.3
Zenit
4.1
Spartak Kostroma
4.0
Fakel
4.0
Volgar Astrakhan
4.0
Akron
4.0
FK Sokol Saratov
4.0
Chayka
3.9
Arsenal Tula
3.9
Rotor Volgograd
3.8
Ural
3.8
Enisey
3.6
Ska-khabarovsk
3.6
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Rodina Moskva
3.4
Leningradets
3.3
Tyumen
3.3
FK Neftekhimik
3.1
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1
KDV
3.0
Novosibirsk
3.0
Irkutsk
3.0
Mashuk-KMV
1.0
Luki-Energiya
1.0
Dinamo Bryansk
0.0
Znamya Noginsk
0.0
Chertanovo Moscow
0.0
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
0.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Torpedo Moskva
32.0
Spartak Moscow
30.3
Baltika
30.2
FC Rostov
29.1
FC Orenburg
28.9
Dinamo Makhachkala
28.8
Rubin
28.7
Nizhny Novgorod
28.6
Rotor Volgograd
28.5
Akhmat
28.5
FC Krasnodar
28.4
Rodina Moskva
28.2
Fakel
27.8
Dynamo
27.7
Lokomotiv
27.5
Zenit
27.4
Akron
27.2
FC Sochi
27.1
FK Neftekhimik
27.0
FC UFA
27.0
Ural
26.8
CSKA Moscow
26.7
Krylia Sovetov
26.3
Enisey
23.0
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
14.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
40.3%
@ 1.82-10.7%
Under 9.5
59.7%
@ 1.90+10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.91
Superbet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Under
1xBet
1.90
Superbet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.90
Pinnacle
1.89
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.7%
@ 1.83-7.5%
Under 3.5
57.3%
@ 1.85+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.83
Under
Superbet
1.85
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
69.3%
Under 21.5
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Zenit or Draw✓ Hit
86.7%
Avg Implied 88.4% · @ 1.06
Edge
-1.7%
65%
21%
13%
covers Zenit + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Superbet
1.05
Zenit or Dinamo Makhachkala✓ Hit
78.8%
Avg Implied 81.5% · @ 1.15
Edge
-2.7%
65%
21%
13%
covers Zenit + Dinamo Makhachkala
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.15
SBO
1.11
Draw or Dinamo Makhachkala✗ Miss
34.5%
Avg Implied 30.1% · @ 3.12
Edge
+4.4%
65%
21%
13%
covers Draw + Dinamo Makhachkala
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
3.38
1xBet
3.28
SBO
2.92
Superbet
2.90
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Zenit over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
88.3%
@ 1.09+2.8%
Under
11.7%
@ 6.45-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.10
Superbet
1.09
Under
1xBet
6.80
Superbet
6.10
Zenit over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
63.2%
@ 1.51+0.9%
Under
36.8%
@ 2.50-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.55
Superbet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.47
Under
Pinnacle
2.66
Marathonbet
2.57
1xBet
2.40
Superbet
2.37
Zenit over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
36.3%
@ 2.62+0.3%
Under
63.7%
@ 1.48-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.80
Pinnacle
2.61
Superbet
2.57
Marathonbet
2.51
Under
Marathonbet
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
Superbet
1.45
1xBet
1.43
Zenit over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
17.0%
@ 5.33-0.5%
Under
83.0%
@ 1.14+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.80
Marathonbet
4.85
Under
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.12
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
58.6%
@ 1.94+10.2%
Under
41.4%
@ 1.82-10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.02
Pinnacle
1.95
Superbet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.88
Under
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathonbet
1.82
1xBet
1.79
Superbet
1.78
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
22.1%
@ 5.72+5.6%
Under
77.9%
@ 1.12-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.90
1xBet
5.70
Superbet
5.55
Under
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Superbet
1.11
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.0%
@ 18.00+0.7%
Under
94.0%
@ 1.01-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
18.00
Under
Superbet
1.01
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Zenit, so a minus line means Zenit give that many goals of a start and Dinamo Makhachkala receive them. At -1, Zenit must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Zenit win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Zenit)Actual: Zenit
Zenit -2
22.5%
@ 3.34-4.6%
Draw -2
20.1%
@ 3.92-3.0%
Dinamo Makhachkala +2
57.5%
@ 1.81+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
3.34
Draw
Marathonbet
3.92
Away
Marathonbet
1.81
Handicap -1 (Zenit)Actual: Zenit
Zenit -1
42.5%
@ 2.00-3.3%
Draw -1
22.9%
@ 3.40-4.0%
Dinamo Makhachkala +1
34.5%
@ 3.38+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.00
Draw
Marathonbet
3.40
Away
Marathonbet
3.38
Handicap +1 (Zenit)Actual: Zenit
Zenit +1
86.7%
Draw +1
8.9%
Dinamo Makhachkala -1
4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Zenit)Actual: Zenit
Zenit +2
95.5%
Draw +2
3.4%
Dinamo Makhachkala -2
1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Zenit
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.17
0.80
0.07
0.67
0.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.50
0.50
0.67
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Weaker (26)
0.77
0.12
0.83
0.08
0.71
0.14
Clean sheet %
87% (+58pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Makhachkala) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo Makhachkala
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.53
0.31
0.46
0.65
0.59
vs Stronger (13)
0.31
0.46
0.17
0.17
0.43
0.71
vs Similar (17)
0.65
0.59
0.43
0.71
0.80
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Zenit) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.34
Pinnacle
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Under
Pinnacle
3.28
1xBet
3.22
Marathonbet
3.22
Superbet
3.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.66
Marathonbet
2.62
1xBet
2.59
Superbet
2.55
Under
1xBet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.47
Superbet
1.46
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.05
1xBet
6.00
Superbet
5.85
Under
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zenit over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.56
Superbet
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
Under
Pinnacle
2.55
Superbet
2.37
1xBet
2.34
Zenit over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.48
Under
Marathonbet
1.26
1xBet
1.24
Zenit over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.95
1xBet
3.60
Superbet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.40
Under
Marathonbet
1.27
1xBet
1.26
Superbet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.25
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Zenit
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.33
0.67
0.47
0.87
0.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.25
0.25
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (26)
0.85
0.35
0.75
0.50
0.93
0.21
Clean sheet %
80% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Makhachkala) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo Makhachkala
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.70
0.62
0.46
0.41
0.88
vs Stronger (13)
0.31
1.00
0.33
0.50
0.29
1.43
vs Similar (17)
0.65
0.47
0.86
0.43
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Zenit) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Under
Marathonbet
4.30
1xBet
4.30
Superbet
3.90
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.05
1xBet
2.01
Marathonbet
2.01
Under
1xBet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.82
Superbet
1.70
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.05
1xBet
4.05
Under
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Superbet
1.19
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zenit over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.39
1xBet
1.38
Under
1xBet
2.90
Superbet
2.77
Zenit over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.75
1xBet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.62
Under
Marathonbet
1.43
1xBet
1.40
Superbet
1.39
Zenit over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.90
Under
1xBet
1.06
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.00
Superbet
2.85
Marathonbet
2.84
Under
Superbet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.37
1xBet
1.35
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
12.00
Marathonbet
11.25
Under
Marathonbet
1.01
Dinamo Makhachkala over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
94.0%
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
91.3%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
88.3%
1.09
1xBet
1.10
Superbet
1.09
-
-
-
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
86.7%
1.06
Marathonbet
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Superbet
1.05
-
-
-1.7%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
83.0%
1.14
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.12
-
-
-
+0.5%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
81.4%
1.24
Superbet
1.26
Pinnacle
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
-
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
81.0%
1.12
Pinnacle
1.14
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
-
-1.5%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
81.0%
1.34
Superbet
1.38
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.29
-
-
+12.7%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
78.8%
1.15
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.15
SBO
1.11
-
-2.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
77.9%
1.12
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Superbet
1.11
-
-
-5.6%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
71.5%
1.55
Superbet
1.59
1xBet
1.56
Pinnacle
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
-
+11.9%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Zenit
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Maksim Glushenkov60%
Aleksandr Sobolev50%
Jhon Jhon20%
Gustavo Mantuan17%
Felipe Augusto17%
Igor Diveev0%
Wílmar Barrios0%
Wendel0%
Denis Adamov0%
Nino0%
Kevin Andrade0%
Douglas Santos0%
Nuraly Alip0%
Luiz Henrique0%
Román Vega0%
Pedro0%
Daniil Kondakov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Wendel60%
Maksim Glushenkov40%
Román Vega33%
Wílmar Barrios17%
Kevin Andrade17%
Igor Diveev0%
Denis Adamov0%
Nino0%
Douglas Santos0%
Aleksandr Sobolev0%
Nuraly Alip0%
Luiz Henrique0%
Gustavo Mantuan0%
Jhon Jhon0%
Felipe Augusto0%
Pedro0%
Daniil Kondakov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Maksim Glushenkov40%
Pedro40%
Wendel20%
Jhon Jhon20%
Aleksandr Sobolev17%
Igor Diveev0%
Wílmar Barrios0%
Denis Adamov0%
Nino0%
Kevin Andrade0%
Douglas Santos0%
Nuraly Alip0%
Luiz Henrique0%
Gustavo Mantuan0%
Román Vega0%
Felipe Augusto0%
Daniil Kondakov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Maksim Glushenkov60%
Igor Diveev17%
Kevin Andrade17%
Aleksandr Sobolev17%
Román Vega17%
Felipe Augusto17%
Wílmar Barrios0%
Wendel0%
Denis Adamov0%
Nino0%
Douglas Santos0%
Nuraly Alip0%
Luiz Henrique0%
Gustavo Mantuan0%
Jhon Jhon0%
Pedro0%
Daniil Kondakov0%
Dinamo Makhachkala
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gamid Agalarov33%
Nikita Glushkov33%
Miro33%
Daniil Lesovoy17%
Aleksandr Sandrachuk17%
Andrés Alarcón17%
Soslan Kagermazov0%
Mutalip Alibekov0%
Temirkan Sundukov0%
Marat Apshatsev0%
Timur Magomedov0%
Houssem Eddine Mrezigue0%
Mohamed Azzi0%
Egor Smelov0%
Abdulpasha Dzhabrailov0%
Ilyas Akhmedov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Temirkan Sundukov33%
Marat Apshatsev33%
Andrés Alarcón33%
Ilyas Akhmedov33%
Mutalip Alibekov17%
Daniil Lesovoy17%
Gamid Agalarov17%
Miro17%
Soslan Kagermazov0%
Nikita Glushkov0%
Aleksandr Sandrachuk0%
Timur Magomedov0%
Houssem Eddine Mrezigue0%
Mohamed Azzi0%
Egor Smelov0%
Abdulpasha Dzhabrailov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nikita Glushkov33%
Daniil Lesovoy17%
Houssem Eddine Mrezigue17%
Soslan Kagermazov0%
Mutalip Alibekov0%
Gamid Agalarov0%
Temirkan Sundukov0%
Marat Apshatsev0%
Aleksandr Sandrachuk0%
Timur Magomedov0%
Mohamed Azzi0%
Andrés Alarcón0%
Egor Smelov0%
Miro0%
Abdulpasha Dzhabrailov0%
Ilyas Akhmedov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Temirkan Sundukov17%
Soslan Kagermazov0%
Mutalip Alibekov0%
Daniil Lesovoy0%
Gamid Agalarov0%
Nikita Glushkov0%
Marat Apshatsev0%
Aleksandr Sandrachuk0%
Timur Magomedov0%
Houssem Eddine Mrezigue0%
Mohamed Azzi0%
Andrés Alarcón0%
Egor Smelov0%
Miro0%
Abdulpasha Dzhabrailov0%
Ilyas Akhmedov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
NN (28)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FS (21)
€15m
FAK (26)
€14m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Zenit's squad is €162m more valuable than Dinamo Makhachkala's (€182m vs €20m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FAK (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Zenit's attack is €92m more valuable than Dinamo Makhachkala's (€100m vs €9m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FAK (4)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Zenit's midfield is €28m more valuable than Dinamo Makhachkala's (€31m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
FS (11)
€9m
AKH (10)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Zenit's defence is €42m more valuable than Dinamo Makhachkala's (€50m vs €8m).
Russia: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →
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FC Krasnodar
Spartak Moscow
CSKA Moscow
Baltika
Dynamo
Rubin
FC Orenburg
Akhmat
Krylia Sovetov
FC Rostov
Rodina Moskva
Lokomotiv
Akron
Fakel