This opponent (Fakel) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fakel
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.00
0.73
0.53
0.67
1.47
vs Stronger (17)
0.59
1.24
0.62
0.62
0.56
1.78
vs Similar (13)
0.85
0.69
0.86
0.43
0.83
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Zenit) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.9%
Under 1.5
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.9%
Under 2.5
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.2%
Under 3.5
78.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
27.6%
No
72.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
18.6%
1-0
18.1%
3-0 ✓
12.3%
0-0
10.2%
1-1
7.7%
2-1
7.0%
4-0
6.1%
3-1
4.6%
Zenit goals ↓
Fakel goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
2.8%
0.7%
0.1%
0.0%
1
18%
7.7%
1.3%
0.2%
0.0%
2
19%
7.0%
1.3%
0.2%
0.0%
3
12%
4.6%
0.9%
0.1%
0.0%
4
6.1%
2.3%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zenit goals (down), columns = Fakel goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Zenit
2.58
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.50
Chayka
2.33
Volgar Astrakhan
2.33
Lokomotiv
2.27
Amkal
2.25
Kuban Kholding
2.25
Spartak Kostroma
2.20
Ural
2.17
Spartak Moscow
2.00
FC Sochi
2.00
Tekstilshchik
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
2.00
Mashuk-KMV
2.00
Luki-Energiya
2.00
Orel
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Tver
2.00
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
2.00
CSKA Moscow
1.92
FC Rostov
1.85
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.75
Kompozit
1.75
Amkar
1.60
Rodina Moskva
1.50
Torpedo Moskva
1.50
FK Sokol Saratov
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
Kristall
1.50
Pobeda
1.50
2Drots
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Forte Taganrog
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Zenit Penza
1.50
Temp Barnaul
1.50
Dinamo Stavropol
1.50
Salyut-Belgorod
1.50
Ryazan
1.50
Novosibirsk
1.50
Torpedo Miass
1.50
Biolog
1.50
Baltika
1.33
Chelyabinsk
1.33
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.33
Dynamo
1.27
Akron
1.25
FC Krasnodar
1.25
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.25
Znamya Truda
1.25
Akhmat
1.20
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.12
Rubin
1.11
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FK Neftekhimik
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
Leningradets
1.00
Chernomorets
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Murom
1.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
1.00
Pskov 747
1.00
Khimki
0.71
Nizhny Novgorod
0.67
Fakel
0.50
FC Orenburg
0.50
FC UFA
0.50
Lada Tolyatti
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
Sokol Kazan
0.50
Krylia Sovetov
0.17
Enisey
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
KAMAZ
0.00
Veles
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Kaluga
0.00
Nart Cherkessk
0.00
KDV
0.00
Legion Dynamo
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
0.00
Dinamo Barnaul
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
0.00
Anri Vladivostok
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Nosta
0.00
FK Spartak Tambov
0.00
Druzhba
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
ZOV
0.00
Kolomna
0.00
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
0.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
0.00
Sakhalin
0.00
Zenit is 2.08 points better than Fakel in terms of average points per game (2.58 vs 0.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Chernomorets
3.00
Amkal
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
3.00
Orel
2.67
FC Sochi
2.50
Volga Ulyanovsk
2.50
Forte Taganrog
2.50
Torpedo Vladimir
2.50
Temp Barnaul
2.50
Lokomotiv
2.09
Spartak Moscow
2.00
Rodina Moskva
2.00
Tekstilshchik
2.00
FK Sokol Saratov
2.00
Tyumen
2.00
Volgar Astrakhan
2.00
Dinamo St. Petersburg
2.00
Kristall
2.00
Kuban Kholding
2.00
Dinamo Vladivostok
2.00
KDV
2.00
Ryazan
2.00
Novosibirsk
2.00
FK Spartak Tambov
2.00
Murom
2.00
ZOV
2.00
Zenit
1.92
Dynamo
1.91
Luki-Energiya
1.75
Baltika
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Chayka
1.67
Lada Tolyatti
1.50
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.50
Chertanovo Moscow
1.50
Dinamo Kirov
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Tver
1.50
Sokol Kazan
1.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
1.50
Spartak Kostroma
1.40
FC Rostov
1.38
Krylia Sovetov
1.33
Akhmat
1.30
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.25
Kompozit
1.25
Amkar
1.20
Ural
1.17
CSKA Moscow
1.15
Akron
1.12
FC Orenburg
1.00
FC Krasnodar
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Torpedo Moskva
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Pobeda
1.00
Dinamo Vologda
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Zenit Penza
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Kaluga
1.00
Nart Cherkessk
1.00
Legion Dynamo
1.00
Zvezda St. Petersburg
1.00
Dinamo Barnaul
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
1.00
Anri Vladivostok
1.00
Druzhba
1.00
Biolog
1.00
Pskov 747
1.00
Kolomna
1.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
1.00
Khimki
0.86
Nizhny Novgorod
0.83
Rubin
0.78
Chelyabinsk
0.67
FC UFA
0.50
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Broke Boys
0.50
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
Fakel
0.33
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
Enisey
0.00
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Ska-khabarovsk
0.00
Veles
0.00
Urozhay
0.00
Cherepovets
0.00
Strogino
0.00
Spartak Nalchik
0.00
Ilpar
0.00
Avangard Kursk
0.00
Irkutsk
0.00
Dinamo Bryansk
0.00
Nosta
0.00
Angust Nazran
0.00
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
0.00
Sakhalin
0.00
Zenit is 1.58 goals better than Fakel in terms of goals scored per game (1.92 vs 0.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FK Neftekhimik
0.00
Chayka
0.00
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
0.00
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0.25
Dinamo Vladivostok
0.25
CSKA Moscow
0.38
Zenit
0.42
Kompozit
0.50
2Drots
0.50
Tver
0.50
Dinamo Stavropol
0.50
Torpedo Miass
0.50
Uralets Nizhnyi Tagil
0.50
Baltika
0.67
FC Sochi
0.75
Volga Ulyanovsk
0.75
Tyumen
0.75
Amkal
0.75
Luki-Energiya
0.75
Spartak Kostroma
0.80
Ural
0.83
Rubin
0.89
FC Rostov
0.92
Spartak Moscow
1.00
Rodina Moskva
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
Enisey
1.00
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Arsenal Tula
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
Ska-khabarovsk
1.00
Chelyabinsk
1.00
Volgar Astrakhan
1.00
Irtysh Omsk
1.00
Kosmos Dolgoprudny
1.00
Chertanovo Moscow
1.00
Znamya Truda
1.00
Mashuk-KMV
1.00
Kvant
1.00
Cherepovets
1.00
Broke Boys
1.00
Strogino
1.00
Spartak Nalchik
1.00
Volna Nizhegorodskaya
1.00
Irkutsk
1.00
Nosta
1.00
Angust Nazran
1.00
Pskov 747
1.00
Lokomotiv
1.09
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.38
Akhmat
1.40
Amkar
1.40
FC Krasnodar
1.50
Dinamo St. Petersburg
1.50
Kuban Kholding
1.50
Pobeda
1.50
Dinamo Vologda
1.50
Forte Taganrog
1.50
Astrakhan
1.50
Ryazan
1.50
Biolog
1.50
Fakel
1.67
FC Orenburg
1.67
Leningradets
1.67
Orel
1.67
Khimik Dzerzhinsk
1.67
Dynamo
1.73
Nizhny Novgorod
1.83
Akron
1.88
KAMAZ
2.00
Veles
2.00
Zenit Penza
2.00
Torpedo Vladimir
2.00
Kaluga
2.00
Nart Cherkessk
2.00
Legion Dynamo
2.00
Dinamo Barnaul
2.00
Ilpar
2.00
Avangard Kursk
2.00
Sokol Kazan
2.00
Murom
2.00
Druzhba
2.00
Kirovets Voskhozhdenie
2.00
Metallurg Lipetsk
2.00
Sakhalin
2.00
Khimki
2.43
Torpedo Moskva
2.50
FK Sokol Saratov
2.50
Lada Tolyatti
2.50
Kristall
2.50
Temp Barnaul
2.50
Novosibirsk
2.50
Chernomorets
3.00
Salyut-Belgorod
3.00
Saturn Ramenskoye
3.00
OES Dimitrovgrad
3.00
ZOV
3.00
Krylia Sovetov
3.67
Zvezda St. Petersburg
4.00
Dinamo Bryansk
4.00
FK Spartak Tambov
4.00
Dinamo Kirov
4.50
Urozhay
5.00
KDV
5.00
Anri Vladivostok
5.00
Kolomna
8.00
Zenit is 1.25 goals better than Fakel in terms of goals conceded per game (0.42 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Zenit
For 5.6 · Against 3.2 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.2 · Against 14.0 · Total 21.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Fakel
For 5.1 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 9.5 · Total 21.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Zenit
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.2
9.7
3.4
3.5
3.3
20.4
19.9
20.9
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
10.9
12.5
8.7
5.1
4.8
5.7
24.1
20.2
29.3
vs Weaker (43)
9.8
9.8
9.9
3.1
3.2
3.0
19.8
19.9
19.8
% over line
46%
50%
42%
46%
46%
46%
42%
42%
42%
% under line
54%
50%
58%
54%
54%
54%
58%
58%
58%
This opponent (Fakel) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fakel
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.5
9.4
4.9
4.6
5.2
26.5
27.6
25.4
vs Stronger (26)
9.2
8.9
9.3
4.8
4.3
5.2
26.8
27.7
26.2
vs Similar (24)
9.7
10.0
9.4
5.0
4.9
5.2
26.1
27.4
24.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
47%
54%
40%
68%
68%
68%
84%
92%
76%
% under line
53%
46%
60%
32%
32%
32%
16%
8%
24%
This opponent (Zenit) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lokomotiv
11.2
Dynamo
11.0
Shinnik Yaroslavl
10.8
FC Orenburg
10.8
Arsenal Tula
10.7
Ural
10.4
Spartak Moscow
10.2
Baltika
10.1
FK Neftekhimik
10.0
Zenit
10.0
Chernomorets
9.9
Akhmat
9.9
FC Rostov
9.7
Volgar Astrakhan
9.6
Nizhny Novgorod
9.6
Khimki
9.6
Enisey
9.5
Akron
9.5
CSKA Moscow
9.4
Veles
9.4
Fakel
9.4
Krylia Sovetov
9.4
Urozhay
9.3
Rubin
9.3
FC Sochi
9.2
FK Sokol Saratov
9.1
FC Krasnodar
9.1
Rodina Moskva
8.9
KAMAZ
8.8
FC UFA
8.7
Dinamo Makhachkala
8.7
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.5
Ska-khabarovsk
8.4
Leningradets
8.4
Tyumen
8.3
Torpedo Moskva
8.0
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
KAMAZ
5.9
FC UFA
5.3
Lokomotiv
5.3
Fakel
5.1
Akhmat
5.1
FC Rostov
5.1
Spartak Moscow
5.0
Krylia Sovetov
4.9
FC Krasnodar
4.8
Rubin
4.7
Veles
4.7
FC Orenburg
4.6
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.6
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.6
Rodina Moskva
4.5
Dynamo
4.5
CSKA Moscow
4.5
Khimki
4.4
Urozhay
4.3
Enisey
4.2
Nizhny Novgorod
4.2
Volgar Astrakhan
4.2
Ural
4.2
Torpedo Moskva
4.1
Akron
4.0
FK Neftekhimik
4.0
FC Sochi
3.9
Baltika
3.8
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
3.8
Chernomorets
3.8
Tyumen
3.7
Zenit
3.5
Ska-khabarovsk
3.5
Leningradets
3.4
Arsenal Tula
3.2
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1
FK Sokol Saratov
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rodina Moskva
30.5
Enisey
28.5
Fakel
26.5
Khimki
26.5
Rubin
24.2
Nizhny Novgorod
24.1
Akhmat
23.5
Arsenal Tula
23.5
Torpedo Moskva
23.3
Lokomotiv
23.2
FC Orenburg
23.2
FC Krasnodar
23.1
Krylia Sovetov
23.1
Ural
22.8
Spartak Moscow
22.8
FC Rostov
22.6
CSKA Moscow
22.4
Baltika
22.3
Dynamo
22.2
FC Sochi
21.5
Akron
21.2
Dinamo Makhachkala
21.0
Zenit
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
57.3%
Under 9.5
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
68.9%
Under 3.5
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
69.0%
Under 21.5
31.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Zenit or Draw✓ Hit
94.7%
Avg Implied -
75%
19%
5%
covers Zenit + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Zenit or Fakel✓ Hit
80.7%
Avg Implied -
75%
19%
5%
covers Zenit + Fakel
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Fakel✗ Miss
24.6%
Avg Implied -
75%
19%
5%
covers Draw + Fakel
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Zenit over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
86.2%
Under
13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zenit over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
58.9%
Under
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zenit over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
31.9%
Under
68.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zenit over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
14.0%
Under
86.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fakel over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
31.1%
Under
68.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fakel over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
5.4%
Under
94.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fakel over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
0.7%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fakel over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.1%
Under
99.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Zenit, so a minus line means Zenit give that many goals of a start and Fakel receive them. At -1, Zenit must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Zenit win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Zenit)Actual: Zenit
Zenit -2
25.8%
Draw -2
23.7%
Fakel +2
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Zenit)Actual: Zenit
Zenit -1
49.5%
Draw -1
26.0%
Fakel +1
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Zenit)Actual: Zenit
Zenit +1
94.7%
Draw +1
4.3%
Fakel -1
0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Zenit)Actual: Zenit
Zenit +2
99.1%
Draw +2
0.8%
Fakel -2
0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Zenit
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.37
0.80
0.20
1.13
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.25
0.25
0.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (26)
1.08
0.38
0.92
0.23
1.23
0.54
Clean sheet %
73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Fakel) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fakel
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.20
0.43
0.13
0.20
0.27
0.67
vs Stronger (17)
0.12
0.65
0.00
0.38
0.22
0.89
vs Similar (13)
0.31
0.15
0.29
0.00
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Zenit) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zenit over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zenit over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zenit over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fakel over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fakel over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fakel over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Zenit
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.50
0.73
0.60
1.13
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
1.25
0.50
0.50
0.50
2.00
0.50
vs Weaker (26)
0.88
0.50
0.77
0.62
1.00
0.38
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Fakel) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Fakel
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.57
0.60
0.33
0.40
0.80
vs Stronger (17)
0.47
0.59
0.62
0.25
0.33
0.89
vs Similar (13)
0.54
0.54
0.57
0.43
0.50
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Zenit) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zenit over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zenit over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zenit over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fakel over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fakel over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fakel over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
94.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
91.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home win
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
BTTS No
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Zenit
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luciano Gondou39%
Wilson Isidor33%
Maksim Glushenkov30%
Mateo Cassierra27%
Andrey Mostovoy26%
Pedro19%
Luiz Henrique18%
Aleksandr Sobolev13%
Gustavo Mantuan11%
Aleksandr Erokhin10%
Artur9%
Nino7%
Nuraly Alip5%
Wendel5%
Ilzat Akhmetov0%
Wílmar Barrios0%
Denis Adamov0%
Evgeny Latyshonok0%
Vyacheslav Karavaev0%
Claudinho0%
Douglas Santos0%
Vanja Drkušić0%
Yuri Gorshkov0%
Saša Zdjelar0%
Ivan Sergeev0%
Strahinja Eraković0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ognjen Mimović25%
Gustavo Mantuan22%
Wendel18%
Luiz Henrique18%
Wílmar Barrios14%
Strahinja Eraković14%
Aleksandr Sobolev13%
Luciano Gondou13%
Claudinho12%
Maksim Glushenkov10%
Nino10%
Artur9%
Nuraly Alip5%
Aleksandr Erokhin5%
Pedro4%
Evgeny Latyshonok4%
Andrey Mostovoy4%
Douglas Santos3%
Ilzat Akhmetov0%
Denis Adamov0%
Vyacheslav Karavaev0%
Mateo Cassierra0%
Vanja Drkušić0%
Yuri Gorshkov0%
Saša Zdjelar0%
Wilson Isidor0%
Ivan Sergeev0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ivan Sergeev33%
Wendel32%
Claudinho25%
Artur18%
Andrey Mostovoy15%
Gustavo Mantuan15%
Pedro12%
Maksim Glushenkov10%
Mateo Cassierra10%
Douglas Santos10%
Luiz Henrique9%
Aleksandr Sobolev9%
Yuri Gorshkov7%
Nuraly Alip5%
Strahinja Eraković5%
Luciano Gondou4%
Nino3%
Ilzat Akhmetov0%
Wílmar Barrios0%
Aleksandr Erokhin0%
Denis Adamov0%
Evgeny Latyshonok0%
Vyacheslav Karavaev0%
Vanja Drkušić0%
Saša Zdjelar0%
Wilson Isidor0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Maksim Glushenkov45%
Luiz Henrique27%
Claudinho25%
Aleksandr Sobolev17%
Luciano Gondou17%
Mateo Cassierra17%
Artur9%
Aleksandr Erokhin5%
Wendel5%
Andrey Mostovoy4%
Gustavo Mantuan4%
Ilzat Akhmetov0%
Wílmar Barrios0%
Denis Adamov0%
Evgeny Latyshonok0%
Vyacheslav Karavaev0%
Nino0%
Douglas Santos0%
Vanja Drkušić0%
Yuri Gorshkov0%
Saša Zdjelar0%
Nuraly Alip0%
Wilson Isidor0%
Ivan Sergeev0%
Strahinja Eraković0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Pedro0%
Fakel
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Evgeniy Markov25%
Nikolay Giorgobiani12%
Vladimir Iljin12%
Ilnur Alshin7%
Aleksey Kashtanov4%
Mohamed Brahimi3%
Aleksandr Lomovitskiy0%
Belajdi Pusi0%
Rayan Senhadji0%
Dylan Mertens0%
Thabo Cele0%
Igor Yurganov0%
Khyzyr Appaev0%
Irakliy Kvekveskiri0%
Vyacheslav Yakimov0%
Sergey Bozhin0%
Vitaliy Gudiev0%
Igor Kalinin0%
Sergey Bryzgalov0%
Aleksandr Belenov0%
Vladislav Masternoy0%
Anton Kovalev0%
Maks Dziov0%
Albert Gabaraev0%
Nichita Moțpan0%
Mikhail Shchetinin0%
Abdulla Bagamaev0%
Andrey Ivlev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Irakliy Kvekveskiri42%
Sergey Bryzgalov40%
Abdulla Bagamaev33%
Maks Dziov29%
Sergey Bozhin26%
Mohamed Brahimi24%
Igor Kalinin22%
Rayan Senhadji20%
Vladimir Iljin20%
Dylan Mertens19%
Igor Yurganov15%
Ilnur Alshin15%
Khyzyr Appaev14%
Vladislav Masternoy14%
Nichita Moțpan14%
Vyacheslav Yakimov13%
Evgeniy Markov12%
Aleksey Kashtanov9%
Aleksandr Belenov8%
Mikhail Shchetinin7%
Nikolay Giorgobiani6%
Vitaliy Gudiev6%
Andrey Ivlev5%
Aleksandr Lomovitskiy0%
Belajdi Pusi0%
Thabo Cele0%
Anton Kovalev0%
Albert Gabaraev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrey Ivlev10%
Evgeniy Markov6%
Nikolay Giorgobiani6%
Igor Kalinin4%
Aleksey Kashtanov4%
Irakliy Kvekveskiri4%
Vladimir Iljin4%
Ilnur Alshin4%
Aleksandr Lomovitskiy0%
Belajdi Pusi0%
Rayan Senhadji0%
Dylan Mertens0%
Thabo Cele0%
Igor Yurganov0%
Khyzyr Appaev0%
Vyacheslav Yakimov0%
Sergey Bozhin0%
Vitaliy Gudiev0%
Sergey Bryzgalov0%
Aleksandr Belenov0%
Mohamed Brahimi0%
Vladislav Masternoy0%
Anton Kovalev0%
Maks Dziov0%
Albert Gabaraev0%
Nichita Moțpan0%
Mikhail Shchetinin0%
Abdulla Bagamaev0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Evgeniy Markov19%
Vladimir Iljin16%
Aleksey Kashtanov13%
Aleksandr Lomovitskiy11%
Belajdi Pusi11%
Irakliy Kvekveskiri4%
Rayan Senhadji0%
Dylan Mertens0%
Thabo Cele0%
Igor Yurganov0%
Ilnur Alshin0%
Khyzyr Appaev0%
Vyacheslav Yakimov0%
Sergey Bozhin0%
Vitaliy Gudiev0%
Igor Kalinin0%
Sergey Bryzgalov0%
Aleksandr Belenov0%
Mohamed Brahimi0%
Nikolay Giorgobiani0%
Vladislav Masternoy0%
Anton Kovalev0%
Maks Dziov0%
Albert Gabaraev0%
Nichita Moțpan0%
Mikhail Shchetinin0%
Abdulla Bagamaev0%
Andrey Ivlev0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (26)
€182m
SM (26)
€129m
FK (28)
€114m
CM (27)
€111m
DYN (28)
€110m
LOK (27)
€68m
RUB (27)
€45m
FR (28)
€32m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKH (25)
€30m
KS (27)
€26m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
FO (30)
€18m
NN (28)
€18m
RM (26)
€17m
FS (21)
€15m
FAK (26)
€14m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Zenit's squad is €168m more valuable than Fakel's (€182m vs €14m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (9)
€100m
SM (10)
€59m
DYN (8)
€45m
CM (11)
€37m
FK (9)
€34m
LOK (8)
€21m
AKH (11)
€17m
FR (11)
€14m
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
KS (11)
€9m
DM (13)
€9m
FO (12)
€8m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FAK (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Zenit's attack is €95m more valuable than Fakel's (€100m vs €5m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CM (5)
€48m
SM (6)
€37m
FK (7)
€35m
ZEN (5)
€31m
DYN (7)
€24m
RUB (6)
€12m
LOK (7)
€8m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
KS (4)
€6m
FR (5)
€5m
AKH (4)
€4m
RM (4)
€3m
FO (5)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FAK (4)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Zenit's midfield is €29m more valuable than Fakel's (€31m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZEN (12)
€50m
FK (12)
€45m
DYN (13)
€42m
LOK (12)
€40m
SM (10)
€34m
CM (11)
€26m
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
FR (12)
€13m
KS (12)
€11m
FS (11)
€9m
AKH (10)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
FO (13)
€7m
FAK (12)
€7m
RM (11)
€7m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Zenit's defence is €43m more valuable than Fakel's (€50m vs €7m).
Russia: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Krasnodar
CSKA Moscow
Spartak Moscow
Dynamo
Lokomotiv
Rubin
FC Rostov
Akron
Krylia Sovetov
Nizhny Novgorod
Dinamo Makhachkala
Khimki
Akhmat
FC Orenburg
FC Sochi
Ural