This opponent (Khimki) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Khimki
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
2.00
1.29
1.64
0.94
2.31
vs Stronger (21)
1.29
2.33
1.40
2.30
1.18
2.36
vs Similar (9)
0.67
1.22
1.00
0.00
0.40
2.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Zenit) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
85.5%
Under 1.5
14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
65.2%
Under 2.5
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.2%
Under 3.5
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.1%
No
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.2%
3-0
10.7%
2-1
8.7%
1-0 ✓
8.6%
3-1
7.7%
1-1
7.3%
4-0
7.1%
4-1
5.1%
Zenit goals ↓
Khimki goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.2%
1.8%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
1
8.6%
7.3%
2.4%
0.6%
0.1%
2
12%
8.7%
3.1%
0.7%
0.1%
3
11%
7.7%
2.7%
0.7%
0.1%
4
7.1%
5.1%
1.8%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zenit goals (down), columns = Khimki goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Krasnodar
2.23
Zenit
2.20
CSKA Moscow
1.97
Spartak Moscow
1.90
Dynamo
1.87
Lokomotiv
1.77
Ural
1.50
FC Sochi
1.50
Rubin
1.50
FC Rostov
1.30
Akron
1.17
Krylia Sovetov
1.03
Khimki
0.97
Dinamo Makhachkala
0.97
Nizhny Novgorod
0.94
Akhmat
0.88
FC Orenburg
0.63
Fakel
0.60
Zenit is 1.23 points better than Khimki in terms of average points per game (2.20 vs 0.97).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dynamo
2.03
FC Sochi
2.00
FC Krasnodar
1.97
Zenit
1.93
Spartak Moscow
1.87
Lokomotiv
1.70
CSKA Moscow
1.57
Rubin
1.40
FC Rostov
1.37
Akron
1.30
Krylia Sovetov
1.20
Khimki
1.17
Ural
1.00
Nizhny Novgorod
0.94
Akhmat
0.94
FC Orenburg
0.93
Dinamo Makhachkala
0.90
Fakel
0.47
Zenit is 0.77 goals better than Khimki in terms of goals scored per game (1.93 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Zenit
0.60
CSKA Moscow
0.70
FC Krasnodar
0.77
Spartak Moscow
0.83
Dynamo
1.17
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.17
Lokomotiv
1.37
Fakel
1.40
FC Rostov
1.43
Ural
1.50
FC Sochi
1.50
Rubin
1.50
Akhmat
1.56
Krylia Sovetov
1.70
Nizhny Novgorod
1.81
Akron
1.83
Khimki
1.87
FC Orenburg
1.87
Zenit is 1.27 goals better than Khimki in terms of goals conceded per game (0.60 vs 1.87).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Spartak Moscow
63%
Zenit
61%
FC Krasnodar
57%
CSKA Moscow
54%
Dynamo
52%
FC Rostov
52%
FC Orenburg
51%
Lokomotiv
50%
Krylia Sovetov
49%
Akhmat
48%
Khimki
47%
Akron
47%
Ural
46%
FC Sochi
44%
Dinamo Makhachkala
43%
Nizhny Novgorod
43%
Rubin
43%
Fakel
42%
Zenit is 14.0 percentage points better than Khimki in terms of average possession (61% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Zenit
For 6.1 · Against 3.3 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 3.3 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 18.3 · Total 28.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Khimki
For 3.7 · Against 5.9 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 12.1 · Total 24.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Zenit
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.3
8.9
3.4
3.8
3.0
23.1
24.8
21.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
9.1
10.2
7.7
6.1
5.8
6.7
31.6
32.0
31.0
vs Weaker (43)
9.8
10.4
9.1
2.9
3.4
2.4
21.4
23.1
19.5
% over line
50%
57%
42%
48%
58%
38%
52%
67%
37%
% under line
50%
43%
58%
52%
42%
62%
48%
33%
63%
This opponent (Khimki) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Khimki
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
9.8
11.5
3.1
3.0
3.2
23.9
23.5
24.3
vs Stronger (22)
10.6
9.8
11.4
2.9
3.0
2.8
22.8
22.5
23.1
vs Similar (28)
10.7
9.9
11.6
3.3
3.0
3.6
26.1
25.5
26.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
67%
60%
73%
44%
44%
44%
67%
67%
67%
% under line
33%
40%
27%
56%
56%
56%
33%
33%
33%
This opponent (Zenit) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC Orenburg
11.1
Ural
11.0
Lokomotiv
10.9
Khimki
10.7
Dynamo
10.5
Nizhny Novgorod
10.2
Akhmat
9.9
Akron
9.9
Spartak Moscow
9.8
Dinamo Makhachkala
9.8
Zenit
9.4
FC Sochi
9.4
Fakel
9.3
Rubin
9.3
CSKA Moscow
9.3
FC Rostov
9.2
Krylia Sovetov
9.2
FC Krasnodar
8.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fakel
5.0
Akhmat
4.9
Lokomotiv
4.8
Spartak Moscow
4.8
Rubin
4.6
FC Rostov
4.6
FC Orenburg
4.5
Krylia Sovetov
4.4
Dynamo
4.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
4.4
FC Krasnodar
4.4
CSKA Moscow
4.4
Zenit
4.3
Nizhny Novgorod
4.3
Ural
4.1
Khimki
3.9
FC Sochi
3.8
Akron
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Fakel
26.8
Dinamo Makhachkala
26.6
Spartak Moscow
26.5
Nizhny Novgorod
26.0
Akhmat
25.9
Rubin
25.3
FC Rostov
24.7
FC Krasnodar
24.4
FC Orenburg
24.4
Ural
24.1
Dynamo
24.0
Lokomotiv
24.0
Khimki
23.9
CSKA Moscow
23.3
Krylia Sovetov
22.9
FC Sochi
22.9
Zenit
22.8
Akron
22.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
60.2%
Under 9.5
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
60.2%
Under 3.5
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
83.7%
Under 21.5
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Zenit
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.30
0.73
0.47
0.73
0.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (26)
0.77
0.27
0.69
0.46
0.85
0.08
Clean sheet %
80% (+53pp vs league)
This opponent (Khimki) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Khimki
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.73
0.36
0.29
0.31
1.12
vs Stronger (21)
0.33
0.62
0.30
0.40
0.36
0.82
vs Similar (9)
0.33
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.20
1.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Zenit) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zenit over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zenit over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zenit over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Zenit
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.33
1.33
0.20
0.80
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.75
0.75
1.00
0.00
0.50
1.50
vs Weaker (26)
1.12
0.27
1.38
0.23
0.85
0.31
Clean sheet %
70% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Khimki) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Khimki
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.27
0.93
1.36
0.62
1.19
vs Stronger (21)
0.95
1.71
1.10
1.90
0.82
1.55
vs Similar (9)
0.33
0.22
0.50
0.00
0.20
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Zenit) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zenit over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zenit over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zenit over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Khimki over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home win
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Zenit
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luciano Gondou39%
Wilson Isidor33%
Maksim Glushenkov30%
Mateo Cassierra27%
Andrey Mostovoy26%
Pedro19%
Luiz Henrique18%
Aleksandr Sobolev13%
Gustavo Mantuan11%
Aleksandr Erokhin10%
Artur9%
Nino7%
Nuraly Alip5%
Wendel5%
Ilzat Akhmetov0%
Wílmar Barrios0%
Denis Adamov0%
Evgeny Latyshonok0%
Vyacheslav Karavaev0%
Claudinho0%
Douglas Santos0%
Vanja Drkušić0%
Yuri Gorshkov0%
Saša Zdjelar0%
Ivan Sergeev0%
Strahinja Eraković0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ognjen Mimović25%
Gustavo Mantuan22%
Wendel18%
Luiz Henrique18%
Wílmar Barrios14%
Strahinja Eraković14%
Aleksandr Sobolev13%
Luciano Gondou13%
Claudinho12%
Maksim Glushenkov10%
Nino10%
Artur9%
Nuraly Alip5%
Aleksandr Erokhin5%
Pedro4%
Evgeny Latyshonok4%
Andrey Mostovoy4%
Douglas Santos3%
Ilzat Akhmetov0%
Denis Adamov0%
Vyacheslav Karavaev0%
Mateo Cassierra0%
Vanja Drkušić0%
Yuri Gorshkov0%
Saša Zdjelar0%
Wilson Isidor0%
Ivan Sergeev0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ivan Sergeev33%
Wendel32%
Claudinho25%
Artur18%
Andrey Mostovoy15%
Gustavo Mantuan15%
Pedro12%
Maksim Glushenkov10%
Mateo Cassierra10%
Douglas Santos10%
Luiz Henrique9%
Aleksandr Sobolev9%
Yuri Gorshkov7%
Nuraly Alip5%
Strahinja Eraković5%
Luciano Gondou4%
Nino3%
Ilzat Akhmetov0%
Wílmar Barrios0%
Aleksandr Erokhin0%
Denis Adamov0%
Evgeny Latyshonok0%
Vyacheslav Karavaev0%
Vanja Drkušić0%
Saša Zdjelar0%
Wilson Isidor0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Maksim Glushenkov45%
Luiz Henrique27%
Claudinho25%
Aleksandr Sobolev17%
Luciano Gondou17%
Mateo Cassierra17%
Artur9%
Aleksandr Erokhin5%
Wendel5%
Andrey Mostovoy4%
Gustavo Mantuan4%
Ilzat Akhmetov0%
Wílmar Barrios0%
Denis Adamov0%
Evgeny Latyshonok0%
Vyacheslav Karavaev0%
Nino0%
Douglas Santos0%
Vanja Drkušić0%
Yuri Gorshkov0%
Saša Zdjelar0%
Nuraly Alip0%
Wilson Isidor0%
Ivan Sergeev0%
Strahinja Eraković0%
Sergey Volkov0%
Ognjen Mimović0%
Pedro0%
Khimki
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lucas Vera23%
Edgardo Fariña21%
Anton Zabolotnyi21%
Aleksandr Rudenko17%
Zelimkhan Bakaev12%
Reziuan Mirzov12%
Butta Magomedov8%
Khetag Khosonov6%
Georgiy Dzhikiya0%
Denis Glushakov0%
Petar Golubović0%
Orinho0%
Oleksandr Filin0%
Igor Obukhov0%
Kirill Kaplenko0%
Nemanja Anđelković0%
Sergey Terekhov0%
Danil Stepanov0%
Kirill Panchenko0%
Robert Mejía0%
Cedric Gogoua0%
Álex Corredera0%
Saminu Kwari Abdullahi0%
Dani Fernández0%
Ilya Berkovskyi0%
Ilya Sadygov0%
Nikita Kokarev0%
Boni Amian0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Edgardo Fariña50%
Robert Mejía30%
Nemanja Anđelković29%
Sergey Terekhov25%
Dani Fernández25%
Zelimkhan Bakaev24%
Boni Amian20%
Anton Zabolotnyi17%
Reziuan Mirzov15%
Saminu Kwari Abdullahi14%
Ilya Sadygov14%
Petar Golubović12%
Georgiy Dzhikiya12%
Aleksandr Rudenko10%
Lucas Vera10%
Oleksandr Filin7%
Danil Stepanov7%
Orinho5%
Álex Corredera5%
Denis Glushakov0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Igor Obukhov0%
Kirill Kaplenko0%
Kirill Panchenko0%
Cedric Gogoua0%
Butta Magomedov0%
Ilya Berkovskyi0%
Nikita Kokarev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Anton Zabolotnyi14%
Lucas Vera13%
Sergey Terekhov12%
Dani Fernández10%
Ilya Sadygov7%
Petar Golubović6%
Khetag Khosonov6%
Álex Corredera5%
Reziuan Mirzov4%
Aleksandr Rudenko3%
Georgiy Dzhikiya0%
Denis Glushakov0%
Orinho0%
Oleksandr Filin0%
Igor Obukhov0%
Kirill Kaplenko0%
Nemanja Anđelković0%
Zelimkhan Bakaev0%
Danil Stepanov0%
Kirill Panchenko0%
Robert Mejía0%
Cedric Gogoua0%
Butta Magomedov0%
Saminu Kwari Abdullahi0%
Ilya Berkovskyi0%
Nikita Kokarev0%
Edgardo Fariña0%
Boni Amian0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Anton Zabolotnyi24%
Orinho9%
Zelimkhan Bakaev8%
Aleksandr Rudenko7%
Dani Fernández5%
Lucas Vera3%
Georgiy Dzhikiya0%
Denis Glushakov0%
Petar Golubović0%
Khetag Khosonov0%
Oleksandr Filin0%
Igor Obukhov0%
Kirill Kaplenko0%
Nemanja Anđelković0%
Reziuan Mirzov0%
Sergey Terekhov0%
Danil Stepanov0%
Kirill Panchenko0%
Robert Mejía0%
Cedric Gogoua0%
Álex Corredera0%
Butta Magomedov0%
Saminu Kwari Abdullahi0%
Ilya Berkovskyi0%
Ilya Sadygov0%
Nikita Kokarev0%
Edgardo Fariña0%
Boni Amian0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Russia: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: Premier League stats & trends →
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FC Krasnodar
CSKA Moscow
Spartak Moscow
Dynamo
Lokomotiv
Rubin
FC Rostov
Akron
Krylia Sovetov
Nizhny Novgorod
Dinamo Makhachkala
Akhmat
FC Orenburg
Fakel
FC Sochi
Ural