The match between Zeta and Jedinstvo is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win. The odds are 37% for a Zeta victory, 29% for a draw, and 33% for Jedinstvo. The expected total goals sit at 2.5, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1 at 14%. Zeta, playing at home against a similarly strong opponent, averages 0.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Jedinstvo, on the road, averages 0.83 goals scored and 1.17 conceded against similar opposition. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.5%), Under 6.5 (98.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (95.6%), Under 5.5 (95.5%), Under 4.5 (88.6%), Away under 2.5 goals (87.3%), and Home under 2.5 goals (85.5%). Zeta’s recent form shows an unbeaten run of five matches, ending with a 2-0 win over Rudar, while Jedinstvo’s last five include three wins after two defeats, with a 2-0 victory over Kom.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Zeta win
37.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
29.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo win
33.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Zeta
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.17
0.67
1.13
1.07
1.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.95
1.26
0.44
1.44
1.40
1.10
vs Weaker (11)
0.73
1.00
1.00
0.67
0.40
1.40
Clean sheet %
27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Jedinstvo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Jedinstvo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.40
0.69
1.00
0.93
1.86
vs Stronger (12)
0.83
1.83
0.40
1.00
1.14
2.43
vs Similar (15)
0.73
1.00
0.67
0.89
0.83
1.17
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
1.67
1.50
1.50
0.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Zeta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
73.3%
Under 1.5
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
46.6%
Under 2.5
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
25.1%
Under 3.5
74.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
52.9%
No
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
0-0
9.2%
1-0
9.1%
0-1
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
5.9%
Zeta goals ↓
Jedinstvo goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.2%
8.4%
5.9%
2.4%
0.7%
1
9.1%
14%
7.8%
3.2%
1.0%
2
6.8%
8.3%
5.1%
2.1%
0.6%
3
3.0%
3.6%
2.2%
0.9%
0.3%
4
1.0%
1.2%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zeta goals (down), columns = Jedinstvo goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Jedinstvo
2.36
Grbalj
1.86
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.78
Kom
1.39
Berane
1.39
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.34
Lovćen
1.33
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.31
Mogren
1.25
Zeta
1.00
Zeta is 1.36 points worse than Jedinstvo in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 2.36).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Jedinstvo
2.18
Grbalj
1.75
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.42
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.42
Kom
1.31
Berane
1.25
Mogren
1.16
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.08
Lovćen
0.94
Zeta
0.50
Zeta is 1.68 goals worse than Jedinstvo in terms of goals scored per game (0.50 vs 2.18).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Zeta
0.50
Jedinstvo
0.73
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.94
Berane
1.00
Grbalj
1.17
Kom
1.19
Lovćen
1.25
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.28
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.29
Mogren
1.39
Zeta is 0.23 goals better than Jedinstvo in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 0.73).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Zeta or Draw
66.6%
Avg Implied -
37%
29%
33%
covers Zeta + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Zeta or Jedinstvo
70.7%
Avg Implied -
37%
29%
33%
covers Zeta + Jedinstvo
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Jedinstvo
62.6%
Avg Implied -
37%
29%
33%
covers Draw + Jedinstvo
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Zeta over/under 0.5
Over
73.1%
Under
26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeta over/under 1.5
Over
37.8%
Under
62.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeta over/under 2.5
Over
14.6%
Under
85.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeta over/under 3.5
Over
4.4%
Under
95.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 0.5
Over
70.7%
Under
29.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 1.5
Over
34.7%
Under
65.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 2.5
Over
12.7%
Under
87.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 3.5
Over
3.6%
Under
96.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Zeta, so a minus line means Zeta give that many goals of a start and Jedinstvo receive them. At -1, Zeta must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Zeta win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Zeta)
Zeta -2
6.1%
Draw -2
11.3%
Jedinstvo +2
82.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Zeta)
Zeta -1
17.4%
Draw -1
20.0%
Jedinstvo +1
62.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Zeta)
Zeta +1
66.6%
Draw +1
18.6%
Jedinstvo -1
14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Zeta)
Zeta +2
85.3%
Draw +2
9.8%
Jedinstvo -2
4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Zeta
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.60
0.25
0.62
0.57
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.53
0.63
0.40
0.80
0.67
0.44
vs Weaker (11)
0.18
0.55
0.00
0.33
0.40
0.80
Clean sheet %
53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Jedinstvo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Jedinstvo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.57
0.06
0.31
0.50
0.86
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
0.75
0.00
0.40
0.71
1.00
vs Similar (15)
0.20
0.33
0.11
0.11
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Zeta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zeta over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeta over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeta over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Zeta
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.53
0.50
0.44
0.57
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.53
0.58
0.20
0.50
0.89
0.67
vs Weaker (11)
0.55
0.45
1.00
0.33
0.00
0.60
Clean sheet %
50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Jedinstvo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Jedinstvo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.83
0.62
0.69
0.43
1.00
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
1.08
0.40
0.60
0.43
1.43
vs Similar (15)
0.53
0.67
0.56
0.78
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.67
1.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Zeta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zeta over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeta over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeta over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jedinstvo over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Montenegro: Second League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Mladost Lješkopolje
Mogren
Lovćen
Grbalj
Kom
Iskra (Montenegro)
Rudar (Montenegro)
Berane