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Zeta vs Mogren Prediction & Stats

Date: 12/09/2026
Time: 17:00
Zeta
Zeta
Vs
32%
31%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Mogren
Mogren
Montenegro: Second League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The match between Zeta and Mogren is a tight affair, with no clear favourite. The model favours an away win, giving Mogren a 38% chance of triumph, while Zeta’s 32% and a 31% draw keep the contest balanced. An average of 2.4 goals is expected, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 28%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.4% probability. Zeta’s home form shows a 2-0 win over Rudar, and they have been unbeaten in their last five matches, but they concede 2.5 goals on average at home. Mogren, playing away against a weaker opponent, averages 3.0 goals scored and 0.5 conceded, reflecting a strong offensive threat. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (98.9%), Home under 3.5 goals (97.3%), Under 5.5 (96.7%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.3%), Under 4.5 (91.0%), Home under 2.5 goals (89.7%), and Away under 2.5 goals (87.2%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zeta win
31.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
30.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Mogren win
37.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

ZetaZeta

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W12L11D01L33D11D00D11D20W10WH·GRB06/05H·BOK10/05A·MLA14/05H·KOM21/05A·OTR25/05A·IGA29/05H·IGA03/06A·GRB15/08H·RUD22/08A·ISK30/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.170.671.131.071.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.951.260.441.441.401.10
vs Weaker (11)0.731.001.000.670.401.40
Clean sheet %27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Mogren) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MogrenMogren

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W12L30WA·KOM16/08H·GRB23/08A·RUD29/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.331.001.002.003.000.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (3)2.331.001.002.003.000.50
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Zeta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
69.4%
Under 1.5
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
41.7%
Under 2.5
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
21.1%
Under 3.5
78.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
49.0%
No
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.8%
0-1
10.4%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
7.3%
2-0
5.9%
Zeta goals ↓
Mogren goals →
01234
011%10%7.3%3.0%0.9%
19.3%14%8.1%3.3%1.0%
25.9%7.3%4.5%1.9%0.6%
32.2%2.7%1.7%0.7%0.2%
40.6%0.8%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zeta goals (down), columns = Mogren goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Jedinstvo
2.36
Grbalj
1.86
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.78
Kom
1.39
Berane
1.39
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.34
Lovćen
1.33
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.31
Mogren
1.25
Zeta
1.00
Zeta is 0.25 points worse than Mogren in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.25).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Jedinstvo
2.18
Grbalj
1.75
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.42
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.42
Kom
1.31
Berane
1.25
Mogren
1.16
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.08
Lovćen
0.94
Zeta
0.50
Zeta is 0.66 goals worse than Mogren in terms of goals scored per game (0.50 vs 1.16).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zeta
0.50
Jedinstvo
0.73
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.94
Berane
1.00
Grbalj
1.17
Kom
1.19
Lovćen
1.25
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.28
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.29
Mogren
1.39
Zeta is 0.89 goals better than Mogren in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 1.39).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Zeta or Draw
62.4%
Avg Implied -
32%
31%
38%
covers Zeta + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Zeta or Mogren
69.4%
Avg Implied -
32%
31%
38%
covers Zeta + Mogren
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Mogren
68.1%
Avg Implied -
32%
31%
38%
covers Draw + Mogren
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Zeta over/under 0.5
Over
67.3%
Under
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeta over/under 1.5
Over
30.7%
Under
69.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeta over/under 2.5
Over
10.3%
Under
89.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeta over/under 3.5
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mogren over/under 0.5
Over
70.9%
Under
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mogren over/under 1.5
Over
35.0%
Under
65.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mogren over/under 2.5
Over
12.8%
Under
87.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mogren over/under 3.5
Over
3.7%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Zeta, so a minus line means Zeta give that many goals of a start and Mogren receive them. At -1, Zeta must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Zeta win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Zeta)
Zeta -2
4.1%
Draw -2
9.2%
Mogren +2
86.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Zeta)
Zeta -1
13.3%
Draw -1
18.6%
Mogren +1
68.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Zeta)
Zeta +1
62.4%
Draw +1
20.6%
Mogren -1
16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Zeta)
Zeta +2
83.1%
Draw +2
11.2%
Mogren -2
5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ZetaZeta

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D01L10W00D11D01L00D10W00D00DH·GRB06/05H·BOK10/05A·MLA14/05H·KOM21/05A·OTR25/05A·IGA29/05H·IGA03/06A·GRB15/08H·RUD22/08A·ISK30/08
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.600.250.620.570.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.530.630.400.800.670.44
vs Weaker (11)0.180.550.000.330.400.80
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Mogren) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MogrenMogren

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W00D10WA·KOM16/08H·GRB23/08A·RUD29/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.330.330.000.002.000.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (3)1.330.330.000.002.000.50
Clean sheet %67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Zeta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
68.5%
Under 0.5
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
29.3%
Under 1.5
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.5%
Under 2.5
86.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zeta over/under 0.5 HT
Over
48.2%
Under
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeta over/under 1.5 HT
Over
13.0%
Under
87.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeta over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mogren over/under 0.5 HT
Over
36.4%
Under
63.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mogren over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.7%
Under
92.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mogren over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ZetaZeta

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D01L01L22D10W00D01L20W10WH·GRB06/05H·BOK10/05A·MLA14/05H·KOM21/05A·OTR25/05A·IGA29/05H·IGA03/06A·GRB15/08H·RUD22/08A·ISK30/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.530.500.440.570.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.530.580.200.500.890.67
vs Weaker (11)0.550.451.000.330.000.60
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Mogren) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MogrenMogren

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L20WA·KOM16/08H·GRB23/08A·RUD29/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.671.002.001.000.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (3)1.000.671.002.001.000.00
Clean sheet %67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Zeta) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.0%
Under 0.5
23.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
41.3%
Under 1.5
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
17.2%
Under 2.5
82.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zeta over/under 0.5 2H
Over
50.1%
Under
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeta over/under 1.5 2H
Over
19.4%
Under
80.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zeta over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.6%
Under
94.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mogren over/under 0.5 2H
Over
45.8%
Under
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mogren over/under 1.5 2H
Over
10.4%
Under
89.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mogren over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.7%-------
Under 6.599.0%-------
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.2%-------
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.2%-------
Home under 3.5 goals97.3%-------
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.3%-------
Under 5.596.7%-------
Away under 3.5 goals96.3%-------
Home under 2.5 2H goals94.4%-------
Away under 1.5 HT goals92.3%-------
Under 4.591.0%-------
Home under 2.5 goals89.7%-------
Away under 1.5 2H goals89.6%-------
Away under 2.5 goals87.2%-------
Home under 1.5 HT goals87.0%-------
Away +2 handicap86.7%-------
Under 2.5 HT goals86.5%-------
Home +2 handicap83.1%-------
Under 2.5 2H goals82.8%-------
Home under 1.5 2H goals80.6%-------
Under 3.578.9%-------
Over 0.5 2H goals77.0%-------
Away over 0.5 goals70.9%-------
Under 1.5 HT goals70.7%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JED (17)
€1m
GRB (2)
€0m
R( (3)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JED (5)
€0m
GRB (1)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JED (2)
€0m
R( (1)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JED (10)
€1m
R( (2)
€0m
GRB (1)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
ZET wins
0
Draws
0
MOG wins

Head-to-head

Zeta vs Mogren · H/A from ZET
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

ZetaZeta

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26AIskra (Montenegro) Vs ZET0-1
22/08/26HZET Vs Rudar (Montenegro)2-0
15/08/26AGrbalj Vs ZET1-1
03/06/26HZET Vs Igalo0-0
29/05/26AIgalo Vs ZET1-1
25/05/23AOtrant-Olympic Vs ZET3-3
21/05/23HZET Vs Kom0-1
14/05/23AMladost Lješkopolje Vs ZET1-1
10/05/23HZET Vs Bokelj1-2
06/05/23HZET Vs Grbalj1-0

MogrenMogren

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26ARudar (Montenegro) Vs MOG0-3
23/08/26HMOG Vs Grbalj1-2
16/08/26AKom Vs MOG1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Zeta
Zeta
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDWW1.18
HomeWLLDW1.32
AwayDDDDW1.05
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %31%37%25%
AVG goals2.132.002.25
Over 1.5 %64%58%70%
Over 2.5 %33%32%35%
Over 3.5 %13%16%10%
Scored0.970.891.05
Conceded1.151.111.20
BTTS44%32%55%
Clean Sheet28%42%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Mogren
Mogren
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLW2.00
HomeL0.00
AwayWW3.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %67%0%100%
AVG goals3.333.003.50
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %100%100%100%
Over 3.5 %33%0%50%
Scored2.331.003.00
Conceded1.002.000.50
BTTS67%100%50%
Clean Sheet33%0%50%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje37
67%
2.3
51+4
2.0
67%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.70.3
-
2ZetaZeta37
67%
2.3
41+3
1.7
67%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.30.3
-
3MogrenMogren36
67%
2.0
73+4
3.3
100%
100%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.0
-
4LovćenLovćen36
67%
2.0
67-1
4.3
100%
100%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.02.3
-
5GrbaljGrbalj35
33%
1.7
32+1
1.7
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.7
-
6KomKom33
33%
1.0
45-1
3.0
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
7Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)33
33%
1.0
12-1
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.30.7
-
8JedinstvoJedinstvo33
33%
1.0
35-2
2.7
67%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.01.7
-
9Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)33
33%
1.0
15-4
2.0
67%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.31.7
-
10BeraneBerane30
0%
0.0
25-3
2.3
33%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.7
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Montenegro: Second League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →

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