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Zhetisay vs Ekibastuz Result & Analysis

Date: 16/08/2024
Time: 12:00
Final 3-2
Zhetisay
Zhetisay
Vs
61%
21%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ekibastuz
Ekibastuz
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Zhetisay win✓ Hit
60.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz win✗ Miss
18.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

ZhetisayZhetisay

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-620W62W21W00D23L11D21W00D46L30WA·AKT07/06H·SPO13/06H·ARY21/06A·ALT28/06H·SD 05/07A·TAR12/07H·AKT19/07A·KAI25/07A·SPO01/08H·AKZ08/08
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.951.052.701.001.331.08
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.691.082.400.601.251.38
vs Weaker (9)2.331.003.001.401.500.50
Clean sheet %45% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekibastuz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W02L12L42W03L30W21W21W42W14LH·ZHE30/05H·OKZ07/06A·KHA13/06H·SD 21/06A·SPO27/06H·ARY05/07A·KAS12/07H·KHA25/07A·AKT02/08H·SPO09/08
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.601.931.531.331.67
vs Stronger (1)0.004.000.004.00--
vs Similar (25)1.601.602.001.461.171.75
vs Weaker (4)2.251.003.000.002.001.33
Clean sheet %23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Zhetisay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%4%09%119%221%319%413%515%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.6%
Under 1.5
12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
68.5%
Under 2.5
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
47.1%
Under 3.5
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
64.4%
No
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.3%
3-0
6.0%
1-0
5.9%
2-2
5.8%
1-2
5.1%
Zhetisay goals ↓
Ekibastuz goals →
01234
03.7%2.8%2.2%0.9%0.3%
15.9%9.1%5.1%2.1%0.6%
27.8%9.5%5.8%2.4%0.7%
36.0%7.3%4.5%1.8%0.6%
43.5%4.2%2.6%1.1%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zhetisay goals (down), columns = Ekibastuz goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Okzhetpes
2.28
Ulytau
2.17
Kaspiy
2.10
Sport Academy Kairat
2.07
Khan Tengri
1.96
Ekibastuz
1.82
Zhetisay
1.76
Taraz
1.46
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.36
SD Family
1.11
Akzhayik
0.86
Kaisar II
0.79
Yassy Turkistan
0.76
Arys
0.68
Kyran
0.43
Aktobe Jas
0.41
Zhetisay is 0.06 points worse than Ekibastuz in terms of average points per game (1.76 vs 1.82).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sport Academy Kairat
2.66
Ulytau
2.41
Kaspiy
2.28
Okzhetpes
2.14
Khan Tengri
1.96
Ekibastuz
1.93
SD Family
1.89
Zhetisay
1.76
Taraz
1.32
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.11
Arys
1.00
Yassy Turkistan
0.97
Aktobe Jas
0.86
Akzhayik
0.86
Kaisar II
0.82
Kyran
0.57
Zhetisay is 0.17 goals worse than Ekibastuz in terms of goals scored per game (1.76 vs 1.93).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Okzhetpes
0.55
Ulytau
1.00
Kaspiy
1.00
Khan Tengri
1.07
Taraz
1.21
Zhetisay
1.28
Ekibastuz
1.29
Altay (Kazakhstan)
1.32
Sport Academy Kairat
1.52
Akzhayik
1.71
Kaisar II
2.00
Arys
2.29
SD Family
2.29
Yassy Turkistan
2.45
Kyran
2.57
Aktobe Jas
2.59
Zhetisay is 0.01 goals better than Ekibastuz in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.29).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

ZhetisayZhetisay

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
60-610W60W00D00D21W11D11D00D34L20WA·AKT07/06H·SPO13/06H·ARY21/06A·ALT28/06H·SD 05/07A·TAR12/07H·AKT19/07A·KAI25/07A·SPO01/08H·AKZ08/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.411.500.200.580.58
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.080.541.800.000.620.88
vs Weaker (9)0.890.221.200.400.500.00
Clean sheet %73% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekibastuz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L01L31W00D10W10W10W21W11DH·ZHE30/05H·OKZ07/06A·KHA13/06H·SD 21/06A·SPO27/06H·ARY05/07A·KAS12/07H·KHA25/07A·AKT02/08H·SPO09/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.670.930.470.470.87
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (25)0.640.641.000.460.250.83
vs Weaker (4)1.250.751.000.001.331.00
Clean sheet %50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Zhetisay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zhetisay over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhetisay over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhetisay over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

ZhetisayZhetisay

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L21W00D02L00D10W00D12L10WA·AKT07/06H·SPO13/06H·ARY21/06A·ALT28/06H·SD 05/07A·TAR12/07H·AKT19/07A·KAI25/07A·SPO01/08H·AKZ08/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.950.641.200.800.750.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.620.540.600.600.620.50
vs Weaker (9)1.440.781.801.001.000.50
Clean sheet %59% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekibastuz) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L11D11D03L20W11D11D21W03LH·ZHE30/05H·OKZ07/06A·KHA13/06H·SD 21/06A·SPO27/06H·ARY05/07A·KAS12/07H·KHA25/07A·AKT02/08H·SPO09/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.931.001.070.870.80
vs Stronger (1)0.003.000.003.00--
vs Similar (25)0.960.961.001.000.920.92
vs Weaker (4)1.000.252.000.000.670.33
Clean sheet %33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Zhetisay) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zhetisay over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhetisay over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zhetisay over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekibastuz over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OKZ (23)
€5m
KAS (23)
€4m
A( (20)
€3m
ULY (20)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OKZ (8)
€2m
ULY (7)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
KAS (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAS (8)
€2m
OKZ (6)
€1m
ULY (6)
€1m
A( (4)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAS (11)
€1m
OKZ (9)
€1m
A( (8)
€1m
ULY (7)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
ZHE wins
0
Draws
1
EKI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Zhetisay vs Ekibastuz · H/A from ZHE
DateH/AGameScore
30/05/24AEkibastuz Vs ZHE2-1

ZhetisayZhetisay

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/08/24HZHE Vs Akzhayik3-0
01/08/24ASport Academy Kairat Vs ZHE6-4
25/07/24AKaisar II Vs ZHE0-0
19/07/24HZHE Vs Aktobe Jas2-1
12/07/24ATaraz Vs ZHE1-1
05/07/24HZHE Vs SD Family2-3
28/06/24AAltay (Kazakhstan) Vs ZHE0-0
21/06/24HZHE Vs Arys2-1
13/06/24HZHE Vs Sport Academy Kairat6-2
07/06/24AAktobe Jas Vs ZHE0-2

EkibastuzEkibastuz

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/08/24HEKI Vs Sport Academy Kairat1-4
02/08/24AAktobe Jas Vs EKI2-4
25/07/24HEKI Vs Khan Tengri2-1
12/07/24AKaspiy Vs EKI1-2
05/07/24HEKI Vs Arys3-0
27/06/24ASport Academy Kairat Vs EKI3-0
21/06/24HEKI Vs SD Family4-2
13/06/24AKhan Tengri Vs EKI2-1
07/06/24HEKI Vs Okzhetpes0-2
30/05/24HEKI Vs Zhetisay2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Zhetisay
Zhetisay
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLW1.86
HomeWWLWW2.30
AwayWDDDL1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %55%70%42%
AVG goals3.003.702.42
Over 1.5 %73%90%58%
Over 2.5 %55%70%42%
Over 3.5 %23%40%8%
Scored1.952.701.33
Conceded1.051.001.08
BTTS50%60%42%
Clean Sheet45%40%50%
Corners---
Cards---
Ekibastuz
Ekibastuz
Kazakhstan: 1. Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWL1.32
HomeLWWWL1.60
AwayLLLWW1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%44%28%
AVG goals3.603.723.48
Over 1.5 %92%96%88%
Over 2.5 %76%80%72%
Over 3.5 %40%48%32%
Scored1.702.081.32
Conceded1.901.642.16
BTTS70%72%68%
Clean Sheet20%20%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1OkzhetpesOkzhetpes2966
72%
2.3
6216+46
2.7
69%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2112.10.6
-
2UlytauUlytau2963
69%
2.2
7029+41
3.4
90%
72%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.41.0
-
3KaspiyKaspiy2961
66%
2.1
6629+37
3.3
83%
66%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1212.31.0
-
4Sport Academy KairatSport Academy Kairat2960
66%
2.1
7744+33
4.2
83%
72%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.71.5
-
5Khan TengriKhan Tengri2855
61%
2.0
5530+25
3.0
68%
57%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.1
-
6EkibastuzEkibastuz2851
57%
1.8
5436+18
3.2
89%
82%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.3
-
7ZhetisayZhetisay2951
52%
1.8
5137+14
3.0
76%
55%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.3
-
8TarazTaraz2841
43%
1.5
3734+3
2.5
75%
57%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.2
-
9Altay (Kazakhstan)Altay (Kazakhstan)2838
39%
1.4
3137-6
2.4
71%
54%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.3
-
10SD FamilySD Family2831
32%
1.1
5364-11
4.2
96%
89%
54%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.92.3
-
11AkzhayikAkzhayik2824
25%
0.9
2448-24
2.6
75%
57%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.7
-
12Kaisar IIKaisar II2822
18%
0.8
2356-33
2.8
71%
61%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.0
-
13Yassy TurkistanYassy Turkistan2922
17%
0.8
2871-43
3.4
97%
66%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.4
-
14ArysArys2819
18%
0.7
2864-36
3.3
82%
64%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.3
-
15Aktobe JasAktobe Jas2912
10%
0.4
2575-50
3.4
90%
66%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.6
-
16KyranKyran73
14%
0.4
418-14
3.1
57%
43%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.6
-
Kazakhstan: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kazakhstan: 1. Division stats & trends →

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