PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Zimbru II vs Iskra Result & Analysis

Date: 14/08/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 1-2
Zimbru II
Zimbru II
Vs
43%
29%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Iskra
Iskra
Moldova: Liga 1
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

This match between Zimbru II and Iskra is expected to be a closely contested affair, with Zimbru II coming off a defeat in their last outing. The home side has shown decent form at home, scoring an average of 2.33 goals and conceding 1.67, particularly against similar opponents. Meanwhile, Iskra has struggled away from home, scoring 1.7 goals and conceding 1.9, also against similar opponents.

The model predicts a home win, with a 43% chance of Zimbru II emerging victorious, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 28% chance of Iskra winning. The expected total number of goals is 2.5, with 2 goals being the most likely total. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 13.7%. The model suggests taking Under 3.5 goals at 74.8% and Over 1.5 goals at 73.4%. Zimbru II has a 43% chance of winning, a 29% chance of drawing, and a 28% chance of losing.

Results analysis

The biggest upset of the day came as Iskra stunned Zimbru II with a 2-1 away win, extending their run of form. The win was a major surprise, given that Zimbru II were the pre-match favourite with a 43% chance of winning. However, the model's selection, Home win, was wrong, as Iskra pulled off the upset. The model's call on the final score was also off, with the most likely score being 1-1, but the actual result was 1-2. The model did correctly predict that the match would see Under 3.5 goals, with a 74.8% probability, and also correctly predicted that the match would see Over 1.5 goals, with a 73.4% probability.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zimbru II win✗ Miss
43.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Iskra win✓ Hit
27.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Zimbru IIZimbru II

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-551W12L40W41W01L10W01L15L40W24LH·ISK21/11H·VIC06/03A·UNI13/03H·OLI20/03H·FĂL03/04A·SHE10/04H·OGU17/04A·FCM24/04H·SPA31/07A·UNI07/08
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.961.622.001.171.922.08
vs Stronger (10)2.501.402.751.502.331.33
vs Similar (7)2.140.862.000.802.501.00
vs Weaker (7)1.002.711.001.331.003.75
Clean sheet %21% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IskraIskra

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D00D02L30W20W31W01L20W13LH·SPA10/04H·FLO17/04A·FC 25/04H·POL01/05H·SIR05/05A·SPA09/05H·FC 16/05A·SIR20/05A·UNI31/07H·VUL07/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.701.531.531.401.87
vs Stronger (1)0.004.00--0.004.00
vs Similar (10)2.100.601.830.672.500.50
vs Weaker (19)1.212.161.332.111.102.20
Clean sheet %30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%017%127%222%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.4%
Under 1.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.7%
Under 2.5
53.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.2%
Under 3.5
74.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.3%
No
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0
10.0%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.1%
0-1
7.4%
1-2 ✓
6.9%
2-2
5.0%
Zimbru II goals ↓
Iskra goals →
01234
09.1%7.4%4.8%1.8%0.5%
110%14%6.9%2.6%0.7%
28.1%9.0%5.0%1.8%0.5%
33.9%4.3%2.4%0.9%0.2%
41.4%1.5%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zimbru II goals (down), columns = Iskra goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Stăuceni
2.53
Floreşti
2.07
Spartanii Selemet
1.94
FCM Ungheni
1.91
Iskra
1.80
Univer Comrat
1.73
Zimbru II
1.64
FC National Ialoveni
1.49
Vulturii Cutezători
1.49
Oguzsport
0.86
Făleşti
0.73
Victoria Bardar
0.68
Zimbru II is 0.16 points worse than Iskra in terms of average points per game (1.64 vs 1.80).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Stăuceni
3.00
Floreşti
2.87
FCM Ungheni
2.59
Spartanii Selemet
2.53
Univer Comrat
2.00
FC National Ialoveni
1.95
Vulturii Cutezători
1.95
Iskra
1.93
Zimbru II
1.86
Victoria Bardar
1.23
Făleşti
1.14
Oguzsport
1.09
Zimbru II is 0.07 goals worse than Iskra in terms of goals scored per game (1.86 vs 1.93).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Stăuceni
0.80
Floreşti
0.87
Spartanii Selemet
1.37
FCM Ungheni
1.55
Zimbru II
1.59
Oguzsport
1.64
Univer Comrat
1.68
FC National Ialoveni
1.78
Vulturii Cutezători
1.78
Iskra
1.93
Făleşti
2.55
Victoria Bardar
2.91
Zimbru II is 0.34 goals better than Iskra in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.93).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Zimbru IIZimbru II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W12L20W10W01L10W00D04L10W02LH·ISK21/11H·VIC06/03A·UNI13/03H·OLI20/03H·FĂL03/04A·SHE10/04H·OGU17/04A·FCM24/04H·SPA31/07A·UNI07/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.960.750.920.501.001.00
vs Stronger (10)1.200.601.500.751.000.50
vs Similar (7)0.710.140.400.201.500.00
vs Weaker (7)0.861.571.000.670.752.25
Clean sheet %54% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IskraIskra

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W00D02L00D20W20W01L10W13LH·SPA10/04H·FLO17/04A·FC 25/04H·POL01/05H·SIR05/05A·SPA09/05H·FC 16/05A·SIR20/05A·UNI31/07H·VUL07/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.800.870.800.870.80
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (10)1.100.100.830.171.500.00
vs Weaker (19)0.791.160.891.220.701.10
Clean sheet %53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zimbru II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Zimbru IIZimbru II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W00D20W31W00D00D01L11D30W22DH·ISK21/11H·VIC06/03A·UNI13/03H·OLI20/03H·FĂL03/04A·SHE10/04H·OGU17/04A·FCM24/04H·SPA31/07A·UNI07/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.881.080.670.921.08
vs Stronger (10)1.300.801.250.751.330.83
vs Similar (7)1.430.711.600.601.001.00
vs Weaker (7)0.141.140.000.670.251.50
Clean sheet %29% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Iskra) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

IskraIskra

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L00D00D30W00D11D00D10W00DH·SPA10/04H·FLO17/04A·FC 25/04H·POL01/05H·SIR05/05A·SPA09/05H·FC 16/05A·SIR20/05A·UNI31/07H·VUL07/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.900.670.730.531.07
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (10)1.000.501.000.501.000.50
vs Weaker (19)0.421.000.440.890.401.10
Clean sheet %53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zimbru II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Iskra over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.574.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (12)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
2
ZI wins
1
Draws
0
ISK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Zimbru II vs Iskra · H/A from ZI
DateH/AGameScore
21/11/25HZI Vs Iskra5-1
03/10/25AIskra Vs ZI2-3
22/08/25HZI Vs Iskra2-2

Zimbru IIZimbru II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/08/26AUniver Comrat Vs ZI4-2
31/07/26HZI Vs Spartanii Selemet4-0
24/04/26AFCM Ungheni Vs ZI5-1
17/04/26HZI Vs Oguzsport0-1
10/04/26ASheriff II Vs ZI0-1
03/04/26HZI Vs Făleşti0-1
20/03/26HZI Vs Olimp Comrat4-1
13/03/26AUniver Comrat Vs ZI0-4
06/03/26HZI Vs Victoria Bardar1-2
21/11/25HZI Vs Iskra5-1

IskraIskra

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/08/26HISK Vs Vulturii Cutezători1-3
31/07/26AUniver Comrat Vs ISK0-2
20/05/26ASireți Vs ISK1-0
16/05/26HISK Vs FC Stăuceni3-1
09/05/26ASpartanii Selemet Vs ISK0-2
05/05/26HISK Vs Sireți3-0
01/05/26HISK Vs Politehnica UTM0-2
25/04/26AFC Stăuceni Vs ISK0-0
17/04/26HISK Vs Floreşti1-1
10/04/26HISK Vs Spartanii Selemet1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Zimbru II
Zimbru II
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWL1.62
HomeLWLLW1.67
AwayLWWLL1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%50%50%
AVG goals3.583.174.00
Over 1.5 %83%75%92%
Over 2.5 %79%67%92%
Over 3.5 %54%50%58%
Scored1.962.001.92
Conceded1.621.172.08
BTTS58%58%58%
Clean Sheet21%17%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Iskra
Iskra
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWL1.50
HomeDLWWL1.80
AwayLDWLW1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%52%32%
AVG goals3.322.963.68
Over 1.5 %80%72%88%
Over 2.5 %58%52%64%
Over 3.5 %48%44%52%
Scored1.601.601.60
Conceded1.721.362.08
BTTS64%60%68%
Clean Sheet26%36%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Vulturii CutezătoriVulturii Cutezători513
80%
2.6
208+12
5.6
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0004.01.6
-
2IskraIskra512
80%
2.4
186+12
4.8
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.61.2
-
3FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni57
40%
1.4
1310+3
4.6
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.62.0
-
4OguzsportOguzsport47
50%
1.8
31+2
1.0
25%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.2
-
5Univer ComratUniver Comrat57
40%
1.4
1514+1
5.8
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.02.8
-
6FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni47
50%
1.8
65+1
2.8
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.2
-
7FăleştiFăleşti47
50%
1.8
32+1
1.2
25%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.5
-
8FC National IaloveniFC National Ialoveni44
25%
1.0
34-1
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.0
-
9Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar43
25%
0.8
36-3
2.2
50%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
10Zimbru IIZimbru II53
20%
0.6
914-5
4.6
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.8
-
11Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet51
0%
0.2
427-23
6.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.85.4
-
12FloreştiFloreşti00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Moldova: Liga 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

← all matches