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Zimbru II vs Oguzsport Result & Analysis

Date: 17/04/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 0-1
Zimbru II
Zimbru II
Vs
46%
27%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Oguzsport
Oguzsport
Moldova: Liga 1
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zimbru II win✗ Miss
46.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Oguzsport win✓ Hit
26.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Zimbru IIZimbru II

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-531W30W02L03L51W12L40W41W01L10WA·OGU17/10A·VIC24/10H·FCM02/11A·FLO07/11H·ISK21/11H·VIC06/03A·UNI13/03H·OLI20/03H·FĂL03/04A·SHE10/04
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.452.001.302.001.60
vs Stronger (9)2.561.112.751.502.400.80
vs Similar (5)2.201.002.001.002.501.00
vs Weaker (6)1.002.331.001.331.003.33
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Oguzsport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OguzsportOguzsport

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L03L10W01L12L20W11D24L00D02LH·ZIM17/10A·FCM24/10H·FLO02/11A·ISK07/11H·VIC21/11A·SHE07/03A·OLI14/03H·FCM21/03A·VIC03/04H·UNI10/04
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.751.202.001.001.50
vs Stronger (2)1.001.000.002.002.000.00
vs Similar (11)1.091.551.201.801.001.33
vs Weaker (7)1.142.291.502.250.672.33
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
77.4%
Under 1.5
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.1%
Under 2.5
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.9%
Under 3.5
70.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.0%
No
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-0
8.1%
0-0
7.5%
1-2
6.8%
0-1 ✓
6.2%
2-2
5.5%
Zimbru II goals ↓
Oguzsport goals →
01234
07.5%6.2%4.3%1.6%0.5%
18.9%13%6.8%2.6%0.8%
28.1%9.4%5.5%2.1%0.6%
34.3%5.0%2.9%1.1%0.3%
41.7%2.0%1.2%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zimbru II goals (down), columns = Oguzsport goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Stăuceni
2.53
Sireți
2.33
Floreşti
2.07
FCM Ungheni
1.91
Iskra
1.80
Univer Comrat
1.73
Zimbru II
1.64
Sheriff II
0.95
Oguzsport
0.86
Făleşti
0.73
Olimp Comrat
0.68
Victoria Bardar
0.68
Zimbru II is 0.77 points better than Oguzsport in terms of average points per game (1.64 vs 0.86).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sireți
3.47
FC Stăuceni
3.00
Floreşti
2.87
FCM Ungheni
2.59
Univer Comrat
2.00
Iskra
1.93
Zimbru II
1.86
Victoria Bardar
1.23
Olimp Comrat
1.14
Făleşti
1.14
Oguzsport
1.09
Sheriff II
1.05
Zimbru II is 0.77 goals better than Oguzsport in terms of goals scored per game (1.86 vs 1.09).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Stăuceni
0.80
Floreşti
0.87
Sireți
1.33
FCM Ungheni
1.55
Zimbru II
1.59
Oguzsport
1.64
Sheriff II
1.68
Univer Comrat
1.68
Iskra
1.93
Făleşti
2.55
Olimp Comrat
2.82
Victoria Bardar
2.91
Zimbru II is 0.05 goals better than Oguzsport in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 1.64).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Zimbru IIZimbru II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W20W01L01L20W12L20W10W01L10WA·OGU17/10A·VIC24/10H·FCM02/11A·FLO07/11H·ISK21/11H·VIC06/03A·UNI13/03H·OLI20/03H·FĂL03/04A·SHE10/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.100.601.000.601.200.60
vs Stronger (9)1.330.441.500.751.200.20
vs Similar (5)0.800.200.330.331.500.00
vs Weaker (6)1.001.171.000.671.001.67
Clean sheet %55% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Oguzsport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OguzsportOguzsport

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L02L10W00D01L20W01L13L00D00DH·ZIM17/10A·FCM24/10H·FLO02/11A·ISK07/11H·VIC21/11A·SHE07/03A·OLI14/03H·FCM21/03A·VIC03/04H·UNI10/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.000.501.300.500.70
vs Stronger (2)1.000.000.000.002.000.00
vs Similar (11)0.360.910.201.200.500.67
vs Weaker (7)0.571.431.001.750.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zimbru II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oguzsport over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oguzsport over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oguzsport over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Zimbru IIZimbru II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W01L02L31W00D20W31W00D00DA·OGU17/10A·VIC24/10H·FCM02/11A·FLO07/11H·ISK21/11H·VIC06/03A·UNI13/03H·OLI20/03H·FĂL03/04A·SHE10/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.851.000.700.801.00
vs Stronger (9)1.220.671.250.751.200.60
vs Similar (5)1.400.801.670.671.001.00
vs Weaker (6)0.001.170.000.670.001.67
Clean sheet %30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Oguzsport) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

OguzsportOguzsport

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L00D01L11D00D10W11D00D02LH·ZIM17/10A·FCM24/10H·FLO02/11A·ISK07/11H·VIC21/11A·SHE07/03A·OLI14/03H·FCM21/03A·VIC03/04H·UNI10/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.750.700.700.500.80
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.002.000.000.00
vs Similar (11)0.730.641.000.600.500.67
vs Weaker (7)0.570.860.500.500.671.33
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zimbru II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oguzsport over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oguzsport over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oguzsport over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.570.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (7)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (5)
€1m
ZI (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FU (2)
€0m
SIR (0)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
3
ZI wins
0
Draws
0
OGU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Zimbru II vs Oguzsport · H/A from ZI
DateH/AGameScore
17/10/25AOguzsport Vs ZI1-3
29/08/25HZI Vs Oguzsport2-1
25/07/25AOguzsport Vs ZI1-2

Zimbru IIZimbru II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/04/26ASheriff II Vs ZI0-1
03/04/26HZI Vs Făleşti0-1
20/03/26HZI Vs Olimp Comrat4-1
13/03/26AUniver Comrat Vs ZI0-4
06/03/26HZI Vs Victoria Bardar1-2
21/11/25HZI Vs Iskra5-1
07/11/25AFloreşti Vs ZI3-0
02/11/25HZI Vs FCM Ungheni0-2
24/10/25AVictoria Bardar Vs ZI0-3
17/10/25AOguzsport Vs ZI1-3

OguzsportOguzsport

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/04/26HOGU Vs Univer Comrat0-2
03/04/26AVictoria Bardar Vs OGU0-0
21/03/26HOGU Vs FCM Ungheni2-4
14/03/26AOlimp Comrat Vs OGU1-1
07/03/26ASheriff II Vs OGU0-2
21/11/25HOGU Vs Victoria Bardar1-2
07/11/25AIskra Vs OGU1-0
02/11/25HOGU Vs Floreşti1-0
24/10/25AFCM Ungheni Vs OGU3-0
17/10/25HOGU Vs Zimbru II1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Zimbru II
Zimbru II
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLW1.80
HomeLWLWL1.70
AwayWWLWW1.90
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %55%50%60%
AVG goals3.453.303.60
Over 1.5 %85%80%90%
Over 2.5 %80%70%90%
Over 3.5 %50%50%50%
Scored2.002.002.00
Conceded1.451.301.60
BTTS60%70%50%
Clean Sheet20%10%30%
Corners---
Cards---
Oguzsport
Oguzsport
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLDL0.75
HomeLWLLL0.70
AwayLLWDD0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %15%20%10%
AVG goals2.853.202.50
Over 1.5 %85%90%80%
Over 2.5 %60%70%50%
Over 3.5 %35%40%30%
Scored1.101.201.00
Conceded1.752.001.50
BTTS60%60%60%
Clean Sheet20%20%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni2242
59%
1.9
5734+23
4.1
91%
82%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.5
-
2FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni1538
80%
2.5
4512+33
3.8
80%
67%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.00.8
-
3Univer ComratUniver Comrat2238
55%
1.7
4437+7
3.7
100%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.7
-
4Zimbru IIZimbru II2236
50%
1.6
4135+6
3.5
82%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
5SirețiSireți1535
73%
2.3
5220+32
4.8
93%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0103.51.3
-
6FloreştiFloreşti1531
60%
2.1
4313+30
3.7
80%
60%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.90.9
-
7IskraIskra1527
53%
1.8
2929+0
3.9
80%
67%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.9
-
8Sheriff IISheriff II2221
23%
1.0
2337-14
2.7
73%
50%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
9OguzsportOguzsport2219
18%
0.9
2436-12
2.7
82%
55%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
10FăleştiFăleşti2216
18%
0.7
2556-31
3.7
77%
64%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.5
-
11Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar2215
18%
0.7
2764-37
4.1
91%
82%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.9
-
12Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat2215
18%
0.7
2562-37
4.0
77%
59%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.8
-
Moldova: Liga 1 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

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