PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Zimbru II vs Olimp Comrat Result & Analysis

Date: 20/03/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 4-1
Zimbru II
Zimbru II
Vs
62%
19%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Olimp Comrat
Olimp Comrat
Moldova: Liga 1
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zimbru II win✓ Hit
61.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
19.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Olimp Comrat win✗ Miss
19.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Zimbru IIZimbru II

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-533D00D32W31W30W02L03L51W12L40WA·FCM19/09H·FLO26/09A·ISK03/10A·OGU17/10A·VIC24/10H·FCM02/11A·FLO07/11H·ISK21/11H·VIC06/03A·UNI13/03
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.061.592.001.382.111.78
vs Stronger (8)2.751.252.751.502.751.00
vs Similar (3)2.331.002.001.002.501.00
vs Weaker (6)1.002.331.001.331.003.33
Clean sheet %18% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Olimp Comrat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat

Last 10 – goals for & against
90-901L14L10W14L11D06L19L23L20W11DH·FC 20/09H·SIR27/09A·FĂL04/10A·UNI18/10H·SHE24/10A·FC 01/11A·SIR08/11H·FĂL22/11A·UNI06/03H·OGU14/03
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.572.901.362.071.753.62
vs Stronger (12)0.673.000.602.400.713.43
vs Similar (16)1.943.001.502.002.384.00
vs Weaker (2)4.001.504.001.004.002.00
Clean sheet %13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%2%06%115%219%320%416%523%6+
The model estimates around 4.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
92.2%
Under 1.5
7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
77.6%
Under 2.5
22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
58.6%
Under 3.5
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
72.1%
No
27.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.4%
3-1
7.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-2
5.4%
3-0
5.0%
4-1 ✓
4.9%
Zimbru II goals ↓
Olimp Comrat goals →
01234
02.3%1.8%1.8%0.9%0.3%
13.7%7.1%4.7%2.3%0.9%
25.7%8.4%6.2%3.0%1.1%
35.0%7.4%5.4%2.7%1.0%
43.3%4.9%3.6%1.8%0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Zimbru II goals (down), columns = Olimp Comrat goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Stăuceni
2.53
Sireți
2.33
Floreşti
2.07
FCM Ungheni
1.91
Iskra
1.80
Univer Comrat
1.73
Zimbru II
1.64
Sheriff II
0.95
Oguzsport
0.86
Făleşti
0.73
Olimp Comrat
0.68
Victoria Bardar
0.68
Zimbru II is 0.95 points better than Olimp Comrat in terms of average points per game (1.64 vs 0.68).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sireți
3.47
FC Stăuceni
3.00
Floreşti
2.87
FCM Ungheni
2.59
Univer Comrat
2.00
Iskra
1.93
Zimbru II
1.86
Victoria Bardar
1.23
Olimp Comrat
1.14
Făleşti
1.14
Oguzsport
1.09
Sheriff II
1.05
Zimbru II is 0.73 goals better than Olimp Comrat in terms of goals scored per game (1.86 vs 1.14).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Stăuceni
0.80
Floreşti
0.87
Sireți
1.33
FCM Ungheni
1.55
Zimbru II
1.59
Oguzsport
1.64
Sheriff II
1.68
Univer Comrat
1.68
Iskra
1.93
Făleşti
2.55
Olimp Comrat
2.82
Victoria Bardar
2.91
Zimbru II is 1.23 goals better than Olimp Comrat in terms of goals conceded per game (1.59 vs 2.82).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Zimbru IIZimbru II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W00D11D20W20W01L01L20W12L20WA·FCM19/09H·FLO26/09A·ISK03/10A·OGU17/10A·VIC24/10H·FCM02/11A·FLO07/11H·ISK21/11H·VIC06/03A·UNI13/03
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.180.651.120.621.220.67
vs Stronger (8)1.380.501.500.751.250.25
vs Similar (3)1.000.000.000.001.500.00
vs Weaker (6)1.001.171.000.671.001.67
Clean sheet %53% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Olimp Comrat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D01L00D12L01L02L14L12L10WA·SHE12/09H·FC 20/09H·SIR27/09A·FĂL04/10A·UNI18/10H·SHE24/10A·FC 01/11A·SIR08/11H·FĂL22/11H·OGU14/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.130.640.791.121.44
vs Stronger (11)0.181.180.000.600.331.67
vs Similar (16)1.121.190.880.881.381.50
vs Weaker (3)2.330.672.001.002.500.50
Clean sheet %37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Zimbru II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olimp Comrat over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olimp Comrat over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olimp Comrat over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Zimbru IIZimbru II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D21W11D10W01L02L31W00D20WA·FCM19/09H·FLO26/09A·ISK03/10A·OGU17/10A·VIC24/10H·FCM02/11A·FLO07/11H·ISK21/11H·VIC06/03A·UNI13/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.880.940.880.750.891.11
vs Stronger (8)1.380.751.250.751.500.75
vs Similar (3)1.331.002.001.001.001.00
vs Weaker (6)0.001.170.000.670.001.67
Clean sheet %24% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Olimp Comrat) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W01L13L10W02L10W04L05L11D01LA·SHE12/09H·FC 20/09H·SIR27/09A·FĂL04/10A·UNI18/10H·SHE24/10A·FC 01/11A·SIR08/11H·FĂL22/11H·OGU14/03
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.800.711.290.692.25
vs Stronger (11)0.362.090.601.800.172.33
vs Similar (16)0.811.810.621.121.002.50
vs Weaker (3)1.330.672.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Zimbru II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Zimbru II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zimbru II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olimp Comrat over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olimp Comrat over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Olimp Comrat over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.592.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.577.6%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes72.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (7)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (5)
€1m
ZI (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FU (2)
€0m
SIR (0)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
ZI wins
0
Draws
0
OC wins

Head-to-head

Zimbru II vs Olimp Comrat · H/A from ZI
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Zimbru IIZimbru II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/03/26AUniver Comrat Vs ZI0-4
06/03/26HZI Vs Victoria Bardar1-2
21/11/25HZI Vs Iskra5-1
07/11/25AFloreşti Vs ZI3-0
02/11/25HZI Vs FCM Ungheni0-2
24/10/25AVictoria Bardar Vs ZI0-3
17/10/25AOguzsport Vs ZI1-3
03/10/25AIskra Vs ZI2-3
26/09/25HZI Vs Floreşti0-0
19/09/25AFCM Ungheni Vs ZI3-3

Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/03/26HOC Vs Oguzsport1-1
06/03/26AUniver Comrat Vs OC0-2
22/11/25HOC Vs Făleşti2-3
08/11/25ASireți Vs OC9-1
01/11/25AFC Stăuceni Vs OC6-0
24/10/25HOC Vs Sheriff II1-1
18/10/25AUniver Comrat Vs OC4-1
04/10/25AFăleşti Vs OC0-1
27/09/25HOC Vs Sireți1-4
20/09/25HOC Vs FC Stăuceni0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Zimbru II
Zimbru II
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLW1.76
HomeWDLWL1.75
AwayWWWLW1.78
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %53%50%56%
AVG goals3.653.383.89
Over 1.5 %94%88%100%
Over 2.5 %88%75%100%
Over 3.5 %53%50%56%
Scored2.062.002.11
Conceded1.591.381.78
BTTS65%75%56%
Clean Sheet18%12%22%
Corners---
Cards---
Olimp Comrat
Olimp Comrat
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWD1.16
HomeLLDLD1.33
AwayWLLLW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%38%31%
AVG goals4.103.334.81
Over 1.5 %86%83%88%
Over 2.5 %76%71%81%
Over 3.5 %54%42%65%
Scored1.621.581.65
Conceded2.481.753.15
BTTS66%67%65%
Clean Sheet18%17%19%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni2242
59%
1.9
5734+23
4.1
91%
82%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.5
-
2FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni1538
80%
2.5
4512+33
3.8
80%
67%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.00.8
-
3Univer ComratUniver Comrat2238
55%
1.7
4437+7
3.7
100%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.7
-
4Zimbru IIZimbru II2236
50%
1.6
4135+6
3.5
82%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
5SirețiSireți1535
73%
2.3
5220+32
4.8
93%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0103.51.3
-
6FloreştiFloreşti1531
60%
2.1
4313+30
3.7
80%
60%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.90.9
-
7IskraIskra1527
53%
1.8
2929+0
3.9
80%
67%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.9
-
8Sheriff IISheriff II2221
23%
1.0
2337-14
2.7
73%
50%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
9OguzsportOguzsport2219
18%
0.9
2436-12
2.7
82%
55%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
10FăleştiFăleşti2216
18%
0.7
2556-31
3.7
77%
64%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.5
-
11Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar2215
18%
0.7
2764-37
4.1
91%
82%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.9
-
12Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat2215
18%
0.7
2562-37
4.0
77%
59%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.8
-
Moldova: Liga 1 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

← all matches